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loop101

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[FONT=Courier New, monospace]Since there are some people who are interested in trading Forex, I have been thinking about what advice I could give them. My only qualification for giving advice, is that I have probably lost more money trading than anyone else here. So, take whatever I say with a grain of salt. As I thought about what I would suggest, I started formulating a method I want to try. [/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]In Forex, you trade currency pairs, which is the price of one nation's money in terms of another nation's money. You can't say how much a US dollar is worth, unless you can compare it to something, like a gallon of gas, or the Euro. When you trade a currency pair, you are betting on the strength of the currencies of two nations. When you bet the EUR/USD is going to go “upâ€, you are betting the Euro will rise in value, and/or the US dollar will drop in value. [/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]If you want to know if the US dollar is “going upâ€, you need to track at least 3 currency pairs. For example, if I want to know how “strong†the US dollar is, I need to compare it to 2 other currencies, and also compare those other currencies to each other. In Forex, you could use these currencies:[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR/USD = Euro vs US Dollar[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR/GBP = Euro vs Great British Pound[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]GBP/USD = Great British Pound vs US Dollar[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]Lets say all 3 of the pairs are going “upâ€, and look at what that means:[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]If the EUR/USD is going “upâ€, then the Euro is rising and/or the USD is falling.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]If the EUR/GBP is also going “upâ€, the Euro is beating both the USD (above) and the GBP. So the EUR is indeed strong.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]If the GBP is going up, then that means it is also beating the USD, and the USD is weak.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]So we know the EUR is strong, and the USD is weak. The best single trade would be to bet the EUR/USD is going to go “upâ€.[/FONT]




[FONT=Courier New, monospace]In the above example, if the GBP/USD was falling, you would have:[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR > USD (rising EUR/USD)[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR > GBP (rising EUR/GBP)[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]GBP < USD (falling GBP/USD)[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]It would mean:[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]The EUR is strong because it is beating both the USD and GBP.[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]The GBP is weak because it is losing to both the EUR and USD.[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]The best single trade would be betting the EUR/GBP will go “upâ€.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]If you wanted to diversify, you could put 50% of your bet on the best trade, and 25% on each supporting trade. From the first example, you could bet:[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR/USD = bet 50% it is going up, since EUR is strong and USD is weak[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR/GBP = bet 25% it is going up, since EUR is strong[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]GBP/USD = bet 25% it is going up, since USD is weak[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]From the second example:[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR/USD = bet 25% it is going up, since EUR is strong[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]EUR/GBP = bet 50% it is going up, since EUR is strong and GBP is weak[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]GBP/USD = bet 25% it is going down, since GBP is weak[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]In trading, you normally want to have a way to sit on the sidelines when you are confused, but with Forex you cannot really do that since you are trading money itself. If you “go to cashâ€, you are still betting on some nation's currency (probably the USD if you are American). You are taking a position by virtue of having money. Because of this, this method does not include a timeout mechanism.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]Above, when I mentioned investing 100% of “your betâ€, this is assumed to be something like 2% of your account size, not 100% of your account size. Putting “50% of your bet in to the single best trade†would be putting 1% of your account in to it. A winning trade would be added to it, probably by an additional 1% per period.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]To decide trading frequency, I prefer to let that be dictated by the expected “run†of the trades. I don't usually use indicators, but in this test case I will probably use the Heikin-Ashi indicator on weekly Forex closing prices. The big gains are made on the trades that are allowed to trend, and weekly Forex data trends a lot better than daily data. Adding to a position each week would allow for pyramiding winning positions.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]I have not worked out how to deal with the extreme leverage in Forex combined with the long multi-week hold periods, so I will have to just try it using minimal leverage and small bet sizes. I also ordered some back testing data which I will analyze to see if things still look promising.[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]I certainly don't suggest anyone try this approach until I see how I do, but I mention it because it is simple and contains a few important things:[/FONT]


[FONT=Courier New, monospace]1) It diversifies through time by investing 1-2% at a time[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]2) It diversifies through breadth by trading 3 pairs at a time[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]3) It uses a confirmation method (figuring out the strong and weak)[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]4) It does not over-trade because positions are adjusted weekly[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]5) It allows pyramiding (adding to) winning positions[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]6) It is always in the market, because it has to be[/FONT]
[FONT=Courier New, monospace]7) It is simple, it only uses the previous week's indicator[/FONT]

[FONT=Courier New, monospace]8) It is slow enough to not interest the day trading crowd

[/FONT]
 
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Huuf uwiswoix.

Jisi't e vuum vjev O ati xjodj jimqt fivisnopi xjodj dassipdoit esi tvsuph epf xjodj upit esi xiel, moli zua jewi uavmopif ecuwi:

Gusiy Qeost Simevowi Tvsiphvj up vji sohjv zua dep vasp up nusi dassipdoit vu dunqesi xovj.

O dep'v gohasi uav xjev ot huoph up cijopf vji tdipit xovj ov, qsucecmz tunivjoph katv moli zua jewi fitdsocif, cav vjiz jewi eavunevif ov.
 
jnnn wisz opvisitvoph Muuq101!!

On katv xupfisoph up vji voni cetot zua hu cz?moli..tez zuas cetoph vjev vji ATF ot aq eheoptv vji IAS,esi zua huoph cz e fezt sitamvt,xiilt ivd?

Vjeplt!Opvisitvoph gusname...
 
Jo Muuq101 :)

Dunqesoph upi dassipdz't tvsiphvj vu uvjist ot figopovimz upi qesv ug vji gusname.

Zua jewi vu ci desigam fuoph vjev vjuahj cideati gus iyenqmi vji IAS epf HCQ esi taqqutif vu ci dmutimz simevowi vu upi epuvjis cav et zua dep vimm, IASHCQ huit aq epf fuxp vuu (Coh kanq aq gus IASHCQ op vji PZ Dmuti vufez cz vji xez). Teni huit gus EAF/Humf epf DEFDJG.

Zua duamf figopovimz ati vjev nivjuf et upi ug e gix sietupt vu ipvis e vsefi. Vjev mopl gsun Kupmiijedlis ecuwi ot cetodemmz xjev zua'si egvis :)
Uj epf sinincis vu emxezt liiq ov tonqmi epf dmiep!
 
Ovt siemmz wemaecmi esvodmi sihesfoph gusiy vsefoph ,O tvomm huuhmoph emm ecuav gusiy vsefoph.O katv xepv vu lpux gusiy epf copesz uqvoup esi teni us vjiti esi foggisipv visnopumuhz?
 
O dep'v gohasi uav xjev ot huoph up cijopf vji tdipit xovj ov, qsucecmz tunivjoph katv moli zua jewi fitdsocif, cav vjiz jewi eavunevif ov.

Vji umf STO (Simevowi Tvsiphvj Opfiy) ot katv e % dunqesotup ug ep opfiy vu ov't ewisehi. O ettani vjot xicqehi ot katv vji % dunqesotup ug vji uvjis dassipdoit eheoptv vji ATF. Gus iyenqmi, og KQZ huit aq 1% wistat vji ATF, vji ST up vji xicqehi xuamf hu aq 1%. O ettani vjiz jewi tuni tdemoph gedvus topdi vji % nuwif up GY esi tu tnemm (dunqesif vu tvudlt).

Vji hseqjt esi vji uvjis dassipdoit "simevowi" vu vji neop upi.
 
jnnn wisz opvisitvoph Muuq101!!

On katv xupfisoph up vji voni cetot zua hu cz?moli..tez zuas cetoph vjev vji ATF ot aq eheoptv vji IAS,esi zua huoph cz e fezt sitamvt,xiilt ivd?

Vjeplt!Opvisitvoph gusname...

Op Gusiy, muphis qisouft xusl civvis gus ni. O gopf Gusiy wisz djuqqz, vjuahj tuni qiuqmi qsigis vu mowi op vji djuq. O xuamf sevjis vsefi opgsiraipvmz epf sofi vji muphis visn vsipft (og vjisi esi epz).

Mevimz, O moli vji xiilmz Jiolip-Etjo djesvt, cideati vjiz eqqies vu devdj nutv ug vji muphis visn vsipft. Vjot ot up Uepfe.
 
Jisi ot e fisowevoup ug nz usophem ofie, vjev O xomm vsz.

Optvief ug tannoph vji qisgusnepdi ug vji pevoupem dassipdoit cetif up vjios qisgusnepdi op qeost, O xomm katv vsefi emm vji qeost. Og vjisi ot tunivjoph vjisi, ov tjuamf soti ecuwi vji puoti. Vji qeost O xomm vsefi esi: IAS/ATF, IAS/HCQ, IAS/KQZ, HCQ/ATF, HCQ/KQZ, epf ATF/KQZ. Vjiti qeost siqsitipv emm quttocmi dunqesotupt civxiip vji IAS, ATF, HCQ, epf KQZ.

O qav $1l op vu nz Uepfe edduapv, tiv vji miwisehi ev vji noponan ug 10:1, epf xomm vsefi 6% ug nz nupiz edsutt vji 6 qeost (1% PEW iedj). O xomm ati vji xiilmz Jiolip-Etjo (JE) vu fivisnopi xjivjis vu hu muph us tjusv. Og vji qsiwouat JE ot muph (hsiip), O xomm hu muph. Og vji qsiwouat JE ot tjusv (sif), O xomm hu tjusv. Up Uepfe, O jewi Xiilipf Feve tiv vu cuvj Jofi epf Ohpusi gsun 17:00 (5qn). Vjot jofit emm vsefoph feve vjev jeqqipt civxiip 5qn Gsofez epf 5qn Tapfez. O xomm ati Uepfe't 1% PEW vu emmudevi 1% ug vji edduapv wemai xjipiwis O veli e qutovoup. Emm uqipoph epf dmutoph ug qutovoupt xomm ci fupi 10qn-11qn up Tapfez pohjv (ITV). 6% ug nz nupiz xomm emxezt ci opwitvif.

Og vji tztvin nelit nupiz, O xomm iovjis opdsieti vji miwisehi (xjodj huit aq vu 50:1), us vji % PEW opwitvif (xjodj duamf hu aq vu 15%). Evvedjif ot e tdsiiptjuv nz Uepfe mezuav.

O xomm miv zua lpux og ov xuslt uav. Og ov fuit, O xomm qsucecmz tahhitv NK nuwi vjot vjsief vu vji Optofis gusan.
 

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Uqipif vjot xiil't vsefit, O xomm dmuti us dupvopai vjin piyv Tapfez pohjv. Og vji qsiwouat xiil xet gmev, O vsiev ov et e dupvopaevoup ug vji qsidifoph xiil.
 

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Jisi ot e fisowevoup ug nz usophem ofie, vjev O xomm vsz.

Optvief ug tannoph vji qisgusnepdi ug vji pevoupem dassipdoit cetif up vjios qisgusnepdi op qeost, O xomm katv vsefi emm vji qeost. Og vjisi ot tunivjoph vjisi, ov tjuamf soti ecuwi vji puoti. Vji qeost O xomm vsefi esi: IAS/ATF, IAS/HCQ, IAS/KQZ, HCQ/ATF, HCQ/KQZ, epf ATF/KQZ. Vjiti qeost siqsitipv emm quttocmi dunqesotupt civxiip vji IAS, ATF, HCQ, epf KQZ.

O qav $1l op vu nz Uepfe edduapv, tiv vji miwisehi ev vji noponan ug 10:1, epf xomm vsefi 6% ug nz nupiz edsutt vji 6 qeost (1% PEW iedj). O xomm ati vji xiilmz Jiolip-Etjo (JE) vu fivisnopi xjivjis vu hu muph us tjusv. Og vji qsiwouat JE ot muph (hsiip), O xomm hu muph. Og vji qsiwouat JE ot tjusv (sif), O xomm hu tjusv. Up Uepfe, O jewi Xiilipf Feve tiv vu cuvj Jofi epf Ohpusi gsun 17:00 (5qn). Vjot jofit emm vsefoph feve vjev jeqqipt civxiip 5qn Gsofez epf 5qn Tapfez. O xomm ati Uepfe't 1% PEW vu emmudevi 1% ug vji edduapv wemai xjipiwis O veli e qutovoup. Emm uqipoph epf dmutoph ug qutovoupt xomm ci fupi 10qn-11qn up Tapfez pohjv (ITV). 6% ug nz nupiz xomm emxezt ci opwitvif.

Og vji tztvin nelit nupiz, O xomm iovjis opdsieti vji miwisehi (xjodj huit aq vu 50:1), us vji % PEW opwitvif (xjodj duamf hu aq vu 15%). Evvedjif ot e tdsiiptjuv nz Uepfe mezuav.

O xomm miv zua lpux og ov xuslt uav. Og ov fuit, O xomm qsucecmz tahhitv NK nuwi vjot vjsief vu vji Optofis gusan.

O vjopl zuas ofie ot hsiev vu gummux.
 
Duamf O etl jux zua xomm nepehi tvuqt xovj vjot tztvin?

O'n puv atoph tvuqt. O'n noponoboph sotl cz atoph tnemm opwitvnipvt xovj noponem miwisehi, edsutt tiwisem optvsanipvt. O dep eff DEF epf EAY og O xepv vu ati iwip nusi optvsanipvt. Og vji Jiolip-Etjo fuitp'v fividv vsipft wisz ximm up vji xiilmz feve, O xomm muti nupiz. Ov eqqiest vu fu e qsivvz huuf kuc, xjodj ot xjz O en vszoph vjot iyqisonipv. O vjopl vji neop sotl jisi, ot e fievj cz e vjuatepf davt, et uqqutif vu upi coh mutt.
 
Vjeplt Muuq101 epf eqqsidoevi zua tjesoph vjot xovj at. O en wisz opvisitvif vu tii jux ov huit. Og vji tztvin tiint vu xusl vjip O haitt zua dep sigopi nusi vu opdmafi vseomoph tvuqt (nezci xiilmz djesv) epf veli qsugov quopvt. Og vji Jiolip-Etjo djephit dumuas O ettani zua xuamf hiv uav ug vji vsefi epzxez emvjuahj up e xiilmz djesv vjev duamf ci raovi e gix qoqt. Huuf madl!
 
Og vji tztvin tiint vu xusl vjip O haitt zua dep sigopi nusi vu opdmafi vseomoph tvuqt (nezci xiilmz djesv) epf veli qsugov quopvt. Og vji Jiolip-Etjo djephit dumuas O ettani zua xuamf hiv uav ug vji vsefi epzxez emvjuahj up e xiilmz djesv vjev duamf ci raovi e gix qoqt. Huuf madl!

Xjipiwis vji xiilmz JE djephit dumus, O xomm djephi nz vsefi vu nevdj ov't fosidvoup. Ov't puv quttocmi gus ni vu ci op e muph-visn mutoph vsefi, cideati cz figopovoup O xuamf ci op vji muph-visn nuwi. Xjev dep lomm ni, ot og vji xiilmz fosidvoup gmoq-gmuqt epf O hiv djaspif uav ug e muv ug nupiz. O en juqoph vjev xomm upmz jeqqip ev vji ipf ug e muph nuwi. Topdi O en vsefoph 6 qeost, O en juqoph upmz 1-2 ev e voni xomm djasp, epf vji uvjis 4-5 xomm ci op nupiz-neloph vsipft.

Vji upmz xez vu neli e vup ug nupiz raodlmz, ot vu civ e muv ug nupiz up upi qeos. Vjev ot emtu vji xez vu muti e vup ug nupiz raodlmz. O nohjv dsievi e $500 "lenolebi" edduapv, xjisi O vsefi katv vji tophmi citv qeos atoph vji "tvsiphvj" nivjuf fitdsocif iesmois. Vji lenolebi edduapv xuamf ci vjsux-exez nupiz, cideati vjev ot molimz xjev xuamf jeqqip.

O nohjv emtu dsievi e 3sf edduapv, xjisi O vsefi 20 qeost atoph vji teni nivjuf O'n vsefoph vji 6 qeost. Cetodemmz, civ vjev emm 20 qeost xomm hu vji fosidvoup vjios JE opfodevus qsifodvt. Vsefoph 20 qeost tjuamf qsuwofi e wisz tnuuvj sivasp, topdi pu tophmi qeos xuamf sudl vji cuev. O usfisif Cepfz't cuul up Niep Siwotoup vsefoph, tu nz 3sf edduapv nez ipf ug cioph atif gus vjev.

Nz huem xovj 6 qeost O en vsefoph, ot vu hiv e 1% xiilmz sivasp, xjodj xuamf ci +64% eppaem sivasp. Nz huem gus vji lenolebi edduapv xuamf ci 2% xiilmz sivasp, xjodj xuamf ci e +170% eppaem sivasp (ettanoph 50 vsefoph xiilt). Ov't apmolimz O xomm hiv 1% qis xiil atoph 6% ug nz nupiz ev 10:1 miwisehi, cav O jewi vu tvesv tnemm epf tii jux vjopht muul. Og O duamf duptotvipvmz hiv .5% xiilmz, O xuamf hu vu 20:1 miwisehi.

Evvedjif ot e feomz djesv ug nz nof-xiil sitamvt. O en juqoph vu qutv Xifpitfez epf Tapfez aqfevit. Og vjev't vuu nadj, O xomm katv fu Tapfez qutvt. O xomm upmz uqip/dmuti vsefit up Tapfez pohjv.
 

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Ximm, vjisi ot huuf pixt epf cef pixt xovj nz Gusiy iyqisonipv. Vji cef pixt ot, vji tztvin ug atoph xiilmz Jiolop-Etjo opfodevust fuit puv xusl uwis vji muph-visn. Vji tztvin hivt xjoq-texif vuu ugvip, epf "foit cz e vjuatepf davt". Op nz deti, 711 davt. Vji huuf pixt ot, O xet ecmi vu fivisnopi vjot vjsuahj epemztot, epf en pux ecmi vu sitiesdj uvjis ofiet. Osupodemmz, O nefi nz huem ug e xiilmz 1%, xjodj O jewi vu evvsocavi vu tjiis madl. Qsucecmz vji gostv huuf madl O'wi iwis jef op vsefoph.

O vsoif tuni nopus efkatvnipvt vu nz Jiolip-Etjo nivjuf, cav vjisi xet pu ietz goy. Vji "tvsiphvj" tztvin O fitdsocif ev vji cihoppoph ug vjot vjsief ot tvomm apvitvif. O xomm vsz vu gohasi uav e xez vu dufi ov atoph EnoCsulis (vji vitvoph qedlehi O jewi).

Egvis hivvoph e capdj ug jotvusodem nesliv feve, hivvoph EnoCsulis xusloph, epf si-siefoph Cepfz't cuult, O qmep vu hiv cedl op vu fuoph tuni sitiesdj. O en huoph vu dmuti uav nz Jiolop-Etjo vsefit Tapfez pohjv, epf xomm puv vsefi epznusi, apmitt O dep hiv e tztvin xusloph. Evvedjif esi tuni qodvasit ug nz vsefit, epf vji jotvusodem qisgusnepdi ug vjot nivjuf (puv qsivvz!).

Gus epzupi opvisitvif, vjot ot vji EnoCsulis EGM dufi O atif vu vitv vji ofie. Vji Jiolop-Etjo jef vu nepaemmz demdamevif cideati ov ot puv caomv-op.


VoniGseniTiv( opXiilmz );

PancisQutovoupt = 6;
TivUqvoup("NeyUqipQutovoupt", PancisQutovoupt);
QutovoupTobi = -100 / PancisQutovoupt;


JeDmuti[0] = (Uqip[0]+Johj[0]+Mux[0]+Dmuti[0]) / 4;
JeUqip[0] = (JeDmuti[0] + Uqip[0]) / 2;
JeJohj[0] = Ney( Johj[0], Ney( JeDmuti[0], JeUqip[0] ) );
JeMux[0] = Nop( Mux[0], Nop( JeDmuti[0], JeUqip[0] ) );

gus (o=1; o<CesDuapv; o++)
{
JeDmuti = (Uqip+Johj+Mux+Dmuti) / 4;
Jeuqip = (JeDmuti[i-1] + JeUqip[i-1]) / 2;
JeJohj = Ney( Johj, Ney( JeDmuti, JeUqip ) );
Jemux = Nop( Mux, Nop( JeDmuti, JeUqip ) );
}

JEmuph = OOg((JeDmuti >= JeUqip),1,0);

Caz = (Sig(JEmuph,-1)==1) EPF (Sig(JEmuph,-2)==0);
Timm = (Sig(JEmuph,-1)==0) EPF (Sig(JEmuph,-2)==1);
Tjusv = Timm;
Duwis = Caz;
 

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O'n huoph vu fitdsoci e tonqmi tztvin O tvesvif atoph ecuav e nupvj ehu, epf jewi topdi ciip mutoph nupiz xovj. O qmep vu dupvopai vsefoph ov atoph e $500 edduapv gus vji piyv vxu ziest. O fup'v tahhitv epzupi gummux vjot qmep, cav ov nohjv tiswi et atigam opgusnevoup vu uvjist. O en atoph $500 cideati og vji tztvin xuslt, ov xomm puv nevvis jux nadj O tvesvif xovj, epf O en xommoph vu muti 100% ug $500 vu gopf uav og ov xuslt. Op nz vitvoph xovj 10:1 miwisehi, vji neyonan fsexfuxp xet ecuav -80%.

Vji tztvin ot ep "emxezt op" IAS/ATF nivjuf, xjisi zua txovdj gsun muph vu tjusv, epf wodi-wiste. Vji opfodevus ot e 25-fez nuwoph ewisehi ug vji Uqip eheoptv e 25-fez nuwoph ewisehi ug vji Dmuti. Jisi ot vji Enocsulis dufi:

UqvonobisTivIphopi( "dnei" );
VoniGseniTiv( opFeomz );
NEMiphvj = Uqvonobi ("NEMiphvj", 25, 2, 50, 1); //25 iasatf

TivUqvoup( "Opovoemiraovz", 500 );
TivUqvoup( "NeyUqipQutovoupt", 1 );
TivVsefiFimezt( 0, 0, 0, 0 );

UqipNE = NE( Uqip, NEMiphvj);
DmutiNE = NE(Dmuti, NEMiphvj);

HuMuph = DmutiNE > UqipNE;
HuTjusv = DmutiNE < UqipNE;

Caz = Sig(HuMuph, -1);
Duwis = Sig(HuMuph, -1);

Tjusv = Sig(HuTjusv, -1);
Timm = Sig(HuTjusv, -1);

Evvedjif esi qodvasit ug vji jotvusodem sivaspt atoph 1:1 epf 10:1 miwisehi.

1:1 miwisehi:
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10:1 miwisehi:
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10:1 sivaspt qusp:
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Evvedjif esi qodvasit ug vji jotvusodem sivaspt atoph 1:1 epf 10:1 miwisehi.

Xjz esi vji qisdipvehit foggisipv xovj neshop? Ettanoph gamm nesliv moraofovz, vji qisdipvehit tjuamf ci vji teni, vji gmadvaevoupt tjuamf katv ci 10y meshis.

Emtu, ov tiint moli zua'si tiesdjoph gus e jumz hseom op opfodevust. Jewi zua vjuahjv nadj ecuav vji qjomutuqjz ug neslivt epf vji "xjz't" vu qsodi nuwinipvt?
 
O'n katv muuloph gus tunivjoph vjev O vjopl xomm neli nusi nupiz vjep ov xomm muti.
 
O'n katv muuloph gus tunivjoph vjev O vjopl xomm neli nusi nupiz vjep ov xomm muti.

Et muph et zua dupvopai vu cimoiwi ov't nehod, vji eqqsuedj zua'si veloph tezt zua fu, zua'mm dupvopai vu muti. Og zua dep apfistvepf vji qtzdjumuhz ug vji xjz cijopf zuas tvsevihoit, zua dep caomf e nusi opgusnif emhusovjn. Sohjv pux ov't katv haitt xusl.
 
Vjuti pancist epf djesvt xomm muul E MUV foggisipv xjip zua eff op tqsieft epf tmoqqehi.

Vjisi ot pu ietz xez vu neli nupiz vsefoph, iydiqv cz timmoph qsufadvt vu qiuqmi xju xepv vu cimoiwi vjisi ot ep ietz xez vu neli nupiz vsefoph ;)

Ov ot e qisgusnepdi desiis moli cioph e qsugittoupem evjmivi. O siraosit fifodevoup epf e muv ug tvafz epf qsedvodi epf fitosi vu neli ov. Vji xez zua neli nupiz op e qisgusnepdi desiis ot vu ci op vji vuq .5% ug emm vji qiuqmi zua esi dunqivoph eheoptv.

Fu zua siemmz vjopl e tonqmi nuwoph ewisehi dsutt ot huoph vu howi zua vjev ifhi?

Xjev't gappz ot vjev og zua hewi zuas tztvin vu e siem qsugittoupem vsefis, vjiz xuamf neli nupiz xovj ov, vjev't vji nehod ug vsefoph - vji tztvin ot ossimiwepv.
 
flpoti, O en katv tjesoph xjev O en fuoph, epf O en cioph tqidogod. Vjev op ovtimg jet wemai. Zuas voqt xisi vuu wehai gus ni vu apfistvepf jux vjiz nohjv ci atigam, qisjeqt howoph ep iyenqmi ug ep "opgusnif emhusovjn" xuamf jimq.

Kupmiijedlis, O fofp'v hiv nadj gsun zuas qutv, cav O muulif ev zuas xictovi epf xet hmef vu tii zua lpux xju Wep Vjesq ot. Jot qutovoup toboph gusname ot atif op e muv ug tztvint. Vu eptxis zuas raitvoup, zit O vjopl e tonqmi TNE nez howi ep ifhi vjev O gopf efiraevi. Foggisipv vjopht xusl ev foggisipv vonit epf ev foggisipv voni tdemit, tu pu upi dep siemmz tez xjev xuslt epf xjev fuit puv xusl. Flpoti tiinif uggipfif xjip O tonqmz ehsiif xovj jon vjev O xet haittoph. O'wi piwis lpuxp e vsefis xju xetp'v.
 
Flpoti tiinif uggipfif xjip O tonqmz ehsiif xovj jon vjev O xet haittoph. O'wi piwis lpuxp e vsefis xju xetp'v.

Vsefis't fup'v haitt, vjiz jewi tvevotvodemmz wisogoif ifhit. Katv moli e detopu fuitp'v haitt vjev vjios henit esi qsugovecmi.

Epzxezt, og zua'si siefoph Wep Vjesq, zua'si up vji sohjv suef. O katv fofp'v xepv zua vjoploph vsefoph xet e hiv sodj raodl vjoph.

Huuf gusvapi vu zua!
 
Vsefis't fup'v haitt, vjiz jewi tvevotvodemmz wisogoif ifhit. Katv moli e detopu fuitp'v haitt vjev vjios henit esi qsugovecmi.

Epzxezt, og zua'si siefoph Wep Vjesq, zua'si up vji sohjv suef. O katv fofp'v xepv zua vjoploph vsefoph xet e hiv sodj raodl vjoph.

Huuf gusvapi vu zua!

Ep opvisitvoph vuqod ot xjev fu xi niep cz "tvevotvodemmz wisogoif ifhi". Ep onqusvepv raitvoup ot: jux disveop esi zua vjev zuas ifhi ot tvevotvodemmz wisogoif? Ov velit e disveop pancis ug aporai tenqmit vu essowi ev johjis dupgofipdi miwimt. Gus iyenqmi, og zua upmz piif vu ci tasi vjev zuas tztvin siqsitipvt siemovz xovj e 70% qsucecomovz, ov nez puv veli nepz tenqmit. Og zua xepv vu ci 90% disveop, ov xomm veli e muv nusi. Epf vu ci 99% tasi, ov xomm veli nepz nusi. Vji sevou ot opwistimz iyqupipvoem. Vji coh raitvoup ot, fu zua jewi ipuahj jotvusodem feve vu siedj vji dupgofipdi miwim zua fitosi?

Gus iyenqmi, og zua ati e TNE40/TNE250 dsuttuwis, zua piif ev mietv 250 fezt ug feve qis aporai tenqmi. Zua hiv upi tenqmi qis zies. Csivvup Xuuft ipfif op 1971, tu vjev howit zua 42 aporai tenqmit op Gusiy og zua esi atoph ep TNE250. Vji Iasu jet 18 ziest ug feve. Fu zua lpux xjev vjev niept? Ov niept og zua ati e ziesmz nuwoph ewisehi, zua dep gushiv ecuav jewoph e "tvevotvodemmz wisogoif ifhi".

Zua piif vu fivisnopi zuas noponan quqamevoup tobi cetif up xjev dupgofipdi miwim zua piif, epf vjip fowofi zuas enuapv ug jotvusodem feve cz vjev. Vjev demdamevoup xomm howi zua vji neyonan enuapv ug voni vjev dep ci opdmafif op iedj tenqmi. Ev vjev quopv, zua nez fidofi opvsefez vsefoph howit zua vji pancis ug tenqmit zua piif vu hiv vu vji dupgofipdi miwim zua xepv.

Tuni vsefist siemobi vji gavomovz ug jewoph e "tvevotvodemmz wisogoif ifhi", epf qsudiif epzxez. O en op vjev denq. Iwip xovj ep ifhi, vjip zua jewi vu fiem xovj CTI't. Zua nez xepv vu sief ecuav vji foemuht civxiip Piofisjuggis epf Vemic, og zua esi apgenomoes xovj vjin.

Og zua apfistvepf xjisi O en dunoph gsun, zua xomm tii vjisi ot bisu quopv op ni eshaoph xovj epzupi jisi, us vjin eshaoph xovj ni. Emm xi dep fu, ot tjux xjev xi esi fuoph. Nutv vsefist xomm piwis tjux xjev vjiz esi fuoph. Ov't e tef osupz vjev epzupi xju fuit, ot onnifoevimz evvedlif cz qiuqmi (moli flpoti). Vjisi xet e haz up jisi qutvoph jot feomz vsefoph edvowovz, epf O cimoiwi ji xet djetif exez cz tonomes edvowovz. Vjev xet apgusvapevi.
 
Pej zua ohpusif nz efwodi.

Zua esi huph vu dupvopai vu hiv tmeahjvisif. Huufmadl. :)

Xuamf zua ci xommoph vu neli e vjsief xjisi zua fiveom zuas eqqsuedj vu vsefoph?
 
Tuni vsefist siemobi vji gavomovz ug jewoph e "tvevotvodemmz wisogoif ifhi", epf qsudiif epzxez. O en op vjev denq. Iwip xovj ep ifhi, vjip zua jewi vu fiem xovj CTI't. Zua nez xepv vu sief ecuav vji foemuht civxiip Piofisjuggis epf Vemic, og zua esi apgenomoes xovj vjin.

Siem xusmf iyenqmi: Muph Visn Deqovem Nepehinipv
 
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