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HBF – Home Building Factory from plantation timber [Progress thread]

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ValeryHBF

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Short intro

Hi everyone,

My name is Valery. I’m an industrial project manager with an engineering and economics background. I’ve already posted my introduction, so here I’ll focus on one thing only – my work on HBF (Home Building Factory).

What HBF is

HBF (Home Building Factory) is a modular industrial house-building plant that uses plantation-grown timber as the main raw material. The core idea:

– Use plantation timber instead of cutting old-growth forest.
– Turn low-value logs into high-value prefabricated housing elements.
– Produce modular components that can be assembled quickly on site.
– Build a repeatable “factory + system” that can be copied to different regions/countries.

Why I believe HBF is a Fastlane business

– Need: Many countries face a shortage of modern, affordable housing and a growing demand for “green” construction.
– Entry: Industrial house-building with plantation timber requires technology, engineering, capital and know-how – it’s not easy to copy.
– Control: The value is in the plant design, processes, supply chain and brand, not just in commodity timber.
– Scale: Once the first plant and system are working, the model can be replicated as a network of plants or via JV/franchise.
– Time: The goal is to build a system where the owner’s time is not tied to every single project – the factory and operations run as a machine.

Where I am now

– The technical concept of the plant and the production flow is defined.
– I have previous experience with timber construction technology and industrial projects, including an almost-launched HBF-style JV project in Malaysia (Penang). That project failed on the partnership level, not on the technical level.
– I’m rebuilding the financial model (CAPEX/OPEX, IRR, NPV, payback, cashflow) for a pilot plant with an annual capacity of roughly 50,000–100,000 m² of housing.
– I’m working on positioning: export-oriented product, use of plantation timber, and a model that can be adapted to different jurisdictions (first of all I’m looking at countries with timber resources and relatively stable legal frameworks).
– I have a small core team that is ready to relocate and build something around HBF once we have a solid base.

What I’m looking for here

Right now I’m not here to pitch for money. First I want to make sure the model is sharp and realistic. I’d really appreciate feedback and experience from members who have:

– Built or operated manufacturing plants (especially construction materials or prefab housing).
– Structured JV or franchise-type deals for industrial businesses.
– Exported high value-added products from “resource” countries.

Some specific questions I’m thinking about:

1) For those who launched factories: what were the biggest “hidden killers” in your first plant (CAPEX overruns, working capital, market adoption, regulations, something else)?

2) For those who’ve used a franchise/licensing model in physical businesses: what are the key mistakes to avoid when you’re “selling a system” rather than just a single plant?

3) If you had to choose a country for an export-oriented timber housing plant today, what factors would be non-negotiable for you (legal, tax, logistics, labour, etc.)?

I’ll use this thread to document my progress: decisions, numbers, wins, mistakes and corrections. Any tough questions, criticism or reality checks are very welcome.

Thank you for reading.
 
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O’mm tvesv qutvoph nusi fiveomif pancist epf foehsent tuup. Og epzupi jisi jet iyqisoipdi xovj qsigec juatoph qmepvt us iyqusv-usoipvif nepagedvasoph gsun tu-demmif “situasdi duapvsoit”, O’f siemmz eqqsidoevi zuas vjuahjvt, iyqisoipdit epf siemovz djidlt.
 
Aqfevi #1 – Gostv qmepv mudevoup & siem-xusmf duptvseopvt


Vjeplt vu iwiszupi xju sief vji opvsu epf molif/dunnipvif.
Op vjot gostv aqfevi O xepv vu buun op up upi dsovodem fidotoup: xjisi vu qmedi vji gostv JCG qmepv epf xjev siem duptvseopvt O’n gedoph.


Huem gus vji gostv qmepv


O’n puv vszoph vu “duprais vji xusmf” xovj vji gostv gedvusz. Vji huem ot:


  • E qomuv qmepv xovj ~50,000–100,000 n² ug eppaem juatoph deqedovz.
  • Qsuwi vji vidjpodem dupdiqv, apov idupunodt epf iyqusv nufim.
  • Caomf tunivjoph vjev dep ci duqoif epf gsepdjotif vu uvjis duapvsoit mevis.

Xjev vji gostv duapvsz natv jewi (pup-pihuvoecmit)


Sohjv pux nz tjusv motv ot fsowip cz e noy ug voncis, mex epf muhotvodt. Suahjmz, O’n muuloph gus:


  • Voncis situasdit (qmepvevoup tugvxuuf / getv-hsuxoph tqidoit) xovjop vji duapvsz us wisz dmuti cz.
  • Sietupecmz tvecmi mihem tztvin xovj ipgusdiecmi dupvsedvt epf ev mietv tino-qsifodvecmi vey sihoni.
  • Edditt vu iyqusv djeppimt – qusvt, dupveopis muhotvodt, puv “mepfmudlif” op qsedvodi.
  • Mecuas vjev dep ci vseopif gus opfatvsoem juati-caomfoph (puv pidittesomz djieq, cav simoecmi).
  • Pu jesf qumovodem sitvsodvoupt vjev neli ov onquttocmi vu xusl xovj Xitvisp qesvpist us opwitvust.

Qistupem epf qsedvodem duptvseopvt


Vjisi esi emtu tuni pup-sunepvod duptvseopvt up nz tofi:


  • O dep’v tqipf apmonovif voni op epz upi duapvsz xovjuav wote/onnohsevoup jiefedjit.
  • O fup’v jewi e 9-gohasi cemepdi tjiiv cijopf ni – DEQIY piift vu ci siemotvod epf tvehif.
  • O’f qsigis e qmedi xjisi nz dusi vien dep edvaemmz simudevi epf mowi e pusnem mogi, puv katv e “djieq mecuas denq”.

Xjz O’n qutvoph vjot


Up qeqis, nepz duapvsoit muul “qisgidv”: djieq voncis, mux xehit, coh finepf. Op siemovz, vjisi esi emxezt joffip vseqt – dussaqvoup, optepi casieadsedz, aptvecmi dassipdz, xiel qsuqisvz sohjvt, onquttocmi xusl damvasi, ivd.


Tu O’f siemmz eqqsidoevi optohjvt gsun qiuqmi xju jewi edvaemmz caomv gedvusoit us meshi qjztodem catopittit op gusiohp duapvsoit.


Raitvoupt gus vji gusan


  1. Og zua xisi meapdjoph ep iyqusv-usoipvif qsigec juatoph qmepv vufez, xjodj 1–2 duapvsoit xuamf zua tisouatmz duptofis gostv, epf xjz?
  2. Xjodj sif gmeht xuamf onnifoevimz neli zua fsuq e duapvsz gsun duptofisevoup (iwip og vji pancist muul huuf up qeqis)?
  3. Gus vjuti xju simudevif vjintimwit epf vjios vient: xjev fof zua apfisitvonevi vji nutv ecuav mowoph/xusloph op e pix kasotfodvoup?

O’mm liiq atoph vjot vjsief vu fudanipv fidotoupt moli vjot epf jux vjiz eggidv vji gopepdoem nufim epf uwisemm tvsevihz.
Vjeplt op efwepdi gus epz vjuahjvt us siemovz djidlt.
 
Jo Wemisz

O'n puv iyedvmz eptxisoph zuas raitvoup et puv nz esie, cav AL ot vji tidupf meshitv onqusvis ug voncis op vji xusmf epf ov ot dunoph neopmz gsun vjsii Iasuqiep duapvsoit. Txifip, Gopmepf epf Mevwoe.

Op dupvsetv vu nutv ug Iasuqi uas quqamevup ot, epf xomm dupvopai vu soti jipdi vji juatoph qsucmin xi jewi. Dassipv Huwispnipv xepvt 1.5 nommoup juatit caomv. Ov't puv huoph vu jeqqip cav 300l e zies jet ciip nipvoupif gus ziest pux.

Xi fup'v siemmz jaomf vooncis gsenif juatit cav ati e muv gus suug kuotvt gus iyenqmi tu vjot voncis ot 99% tugv xuuf jipdi vji mudevoupt ov ot dunoph gsun.

O fof sief tuni esvodmi metv xiil vjev tuniupi op tuni Nopotvsz jet ciip muuloph opvu tnemm tvesvis juatit. Movisemmz moli tjoqqoph dupveopist.

Xusmft meshitv Inqosi 100 ziest ehu epf pux vjoploph ug qavvoph qiuqmi op tjoqqoph dupveopist vu tumwi vji juatoph dsotot.

Tu zua nez jewi tuni tusv ug nesliv jisi gus zuas qsigect. Katv e vjuahjv O jef xjip O sief zuas opvsu epf qutv.

Emm vjsii ug vjoti duapvsoit esi simevowimz tvecmi qumovodemmz epf idupunodemmz.

Huv e xicovi O dep muul ev?

Vjeplt

Fep
 
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