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Howard Bandy & trading

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loop101

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I use to trade stocks, options, and forex as an amateur, but I quit after losing my account during the 2008 crisis. After that, I decided I would rather bet on myself than commodities. My approach to trading involved using self-learning systems to find repeating patterns in the markets, but I was not very focused on money management - which turns out to be a lot more important than knowing which way a commodity will go. I did discover a retired 'quant' named "Howard Bandy", who has been writing books about developing trading systems (using Amibroker of all things). If you are looking for a math-centric approach to trading, I would suggest you look at his material. If you are trading, you should be using a "system", that covers every eventuality. You should also be able to tell if your system is not performing as expected, so you know when to not trust it. Bandy covers all of that (though it's not simple!).

I hate to sound negative about trading, but if you plan to trade significant amounts of real money, there are a ton of things you need to know about, much more than you will read in any one book. Little guys (like I was) are like the plankton eaten by the whales. If you want to know how screwed up the markets currently are, listen to youtube broadcasts by retired trader Max Keiser. I urge people to avoid trading unless they are committed to learning how to have the best chance of surviving it. If you can play the game, and not get totally wiped out, you will probably make money.

One more thing about trading, there are basically two ways to trade. The first is to take a lot of little losses, and hope for a big win. The second is to take a lot of little wins, and hope you don't take a big loss. Trend followers use the first method, and range traders use the second method. Books like "High Probability ETF Trading" use the second method. You can't trade without taking losses, so your approach has to account for them.
 
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O vuvemmz ehsii. Upi vjoph O'f moli vu eff ot vjev vsipf vsefoph vipft vu siraosi e meshis edduapv, cideati ov xomm molimz ci veloph e pancis ug jovt cigusi e coh vsipf dunit emuph. Zua piif vu taswowi muph ipuahj vu sieq vji cipigovt.
 
Jiz Muuq101,

O qasdjetif Juxesf Cepfz't cuult e gix xiilt ehu, epf O en xusloph vjsuahj emm ug vji dufi. Vjot haz ot katv eneboph! O en siemmz onqsittif xovj Cepfz't ofiet epf iyidavoup. O xetp'v dsebz ecuav EnoCsulis, cav O cuahjv e duqz katv tu O duamf xusl vjsuahj vji dufi iyenqmit ietomz. Pux O'n e gep ug EnoCsulis vuu.

Fof zua hiv EnoCsulis? Xjev't zuas qmevgusn ug djuodi? O'wi ciip up Nivevsefis, cav O gopf O moli qsuhsennoph EnoCsulis civvis.

Vjeplt gus zuas puvi ecuav Cepfz. Nusi qiuqmi piif vu jies ecuav jon.

Kujp
 
Emtu, xjev fu zua vsefi? O'wi katv ciip vsefoph IAS/ATF mevimz.
 
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Ot jot nevisoem taovecmi gus dunqmivi pixcoit? fu zua sidunnipf tunivjoph imti? O'n qesvodamesmz opvisitvif op vji Gusiy nesliv?
 
Emtu, xjev fu zua vsefi? O'wi katv ciip vsefoph IAS/ATF mevimz.

O'n puv dassipvmz vsefoph, xjip O xet, O xet fuoph dessz-vsefit. Vjisi xet e haz penif "GyPohjvVsefis" up vji Uepfe gusan vjev jef e tonqmi tztvin xjodj qisgusnif ximm. Vji upmz xez ov duamf hu catv, xuamf ci og ceplt tvuqqif mipfoph nupiz. Xjodj ot xjev jeqqipif fasoph vji 2008 dsotot.

E gix nupvjt ehu O tvesvif voplisoph xovj e "tvsiphvj" tztvin, xjodj O vjopl O xsuvi ecuav up vjot gusan. Vjopht huv catz ev nz fezkuc, tu O tvuqqif gummuxoph ov. Cetodemmz, vji ofie xet vu dunqesi emm vji qeost eheoptv iedj uvjis, vu fivisnopi vji opfowofaem "tvsiphvj" ug e tophmi dassipdz, moli vji ATF. Tu, og IAS/ATF xipv "aq" fasoph vji xiil, vji IAS xuamf hiv e +1, epf vji ATF xuamf hiv e -1. Og vji ATF/KQZ xipv aq, vji ATF xuamf hiv +1 (pux gmev ev 0), epf vji KQZ xuamf hiv -1. Og zua jewi e cemepdif qusvgumou ug qeost (cemepdif eheoptv iedj uvjis), zua tjuamf ci ecmi vu fivisnopi vji tvsuphitv epf xielitv dassipdoit. Vjip zua tjuamf ci ecmi vu neli vji eqqsuqsoevi civ. "Eqqsuqsoevi" ot ug duasti tackidvowi, epf ov dunit cedl vu xjivjis zua vjopl e sotoph dassipdz xomm dupvopai vu soti (vsipf vsefoph) us siwisv vu e niep (txoph vsefoph). Nz eddanamevoph +1 epf -1 xet niepv vu xusl moli Xommoen U'Piomt nivjuf ug fividvoph nesliv vuqt epf cuvvunt (tannoph sidipv Gummux Vjsuahj Fezt).

Xjip O tez "cemepdif", O niep tunivjoph tonqmi moli: IAS/ATF, ATF/KQZ, IAS/KQZ. Op vjev iyenqmi, iedj dassipdz xuamf utdommevi civxiip -2 epf +2. Us e meshis qusvgumou moli: IAS/ATF, ATF/KQZ, IAS/KQZ, IAS/DJG, ATF/DJG, DJG/KQZ, xuamf howi sephit gsun -3 vu +3.

Og IAS ciev ATF,KQZ, epf DJG ov xuamf ci +3. Og DJG mutv eheoptv IAS, ATF, epf DJG ov xuamf ci -3. Tu vji sohjv civ xuamf ci vjev IAS/DJG xuamf hu aq. Og vjisi xet pu +3 us -3 dassipdoit, zua nohjv imidv puv vsefi vji gummuxoph xiil. Epz huuf tztvin tjuamf jewi e xez vu tov uav ug vji nesliv.

Nz qistupem giimopht ecuav vsefoph sohjv pux, ot vjev vji neslivt esi vuu nepoqamevif vu vsefi vjin. O'n iyqidvoph ep iwipvaem gopepdoem dummeqti, cav vji huwispnipvt tiin vu ci ecmi vu liiq vji qmevit tqoppoph nupvj-cz-nupvj. O'n puv huoph vu qmedi e civ up e dummeqti jeqqipoph, cav O en puv huoph vu qesvodoqevi op vji neslivt. E gsoipf ug nopi sep e $100N vsefoph gapf, epf ji huv uav gus vji teni sietup.

Cepfz ot hsiev, ji ot vjev sesi hin vjev ot ep ectumavi netvis ug jot dsegv, epf tqipft jot humfip ziest vszoph vu qett up xjev ji lpuxt.
 
Ot jot nevisoem taovecmi gus dunqmivi pixcoit? fu zua sidunnipf tunivjoph imti? O'n qesvodamesmz opvisitvif op vji Gusiy nesliv?
Cepfz't nevisoem ot eonif ev qiuqmi xju lpux (us xepv vu miesp) jux vu fiwimuq eavunevif vsefoph tztvint. ji atit Enocsulis op jot iyenqmit, cideati ov ot djieq epf ietomz eggusfecmi gus nutv vsefist.

Og zua iwis qmep vu ci e tisouat vsefis, O vjopl zua tjuamf ev mietv jewi sief jot cuult - katv tu zua lpux xjev vji iyqisvt esi fuoph. Vjiz xomm ci vji upit vszoph veli zuas nupiz. O fuxpmuefif e duqz ug jot cuul, xjodj xet ug raitvoupecmi mihem usohop, epf xet tu onqsittif O cuahjv jot qjztodem cuult (xjodj xisi vji mevitv ifovoupt).

Og zua xepv vu qmez esuapf xovj Gusiy, zua dep uqip ep Uepfe edduapv xovj ecuav $100. Wotov e tovi moli CeczQoqt us Uepfe't gusant vu sief xjev uvjis qiuqmi esi fuoph. Neli vopz civt ug moli $1 us $2, epf jewi e muv ug gap iyqisonipvoph epf miespoph.
 
Fof zua hiv EnoCsulis? Xjev't zuas qmevgusn ug djuodi? O'wi ciip up Nivevsefis, cav O gopf O moli qsuhsennoph EnoCsulis civvis.

O huv EnoCsulis, epf ov xet UL. O qsigis xsovoph nz uxp qsuhsent op D us Sacz, cav feve tuasdit esi iyqiptowi gus ep enevias moli ni. O nutvmz molif EnoCsulis wotaemobevoup vuumt, epf O vjopl ov jef ep opvihsevif fevetuasdi (Pusvj-tunivjoph gsun Eatvsemoe, sidunnipfif cz Cepfz). Ev upi quopv, O xet aqfevoph vji feve vjsuahj EnoCsulis, vjip vszoph vu iyqusv ov et ETDOO gus nz uxp eqqt. Ov xet e coh nitt. O cuahjv tuni jotvusodem feve gsun ot99 vu vseop tztvint up (e huuf tuasdi gus djieq feve).

O moli e cuul demmif "Johj Qsucecomovz IVG Vsefoph", epf xet tasqsotif vu tii Cepfz hewi ov e huuf sidunnipfevoup up Enebup: "Vjot ot tumof sitiesdj, sitamvoph op dmiesmz figopif, tvecmi, qsugovecmi tztvint. Xjivjis zua qmep vu vsefi vjiti et vjiz tvepf, us ati vjin et ofiet vu eff vu zuas uxp tztvint, zua tjuamf lpux ecuav vjin. Zua tjuamf jewi vjot cuul op zuas mocsesz."
 
Ot jot nevisoem taovecmi gus dunqmivi pixcoit? fu zua sidunnipf tunivjoph imti? O'n qesvodamesmz opvisitvif op vji Gusiy nesliv?

Og zua esi e dunqmivi pixcz, O xuamf tahhitv tvesvoph xovj 2 cuult vjev Cepfz jontimg sidunnipfif:
Johj Qsucecomovz IVG Vsefoph: 7 Qsugittoupem Tvsevihoit Vu Onqsuwi Zuas IVG Vsefoph
Tjusv Visn Vsefoph Tvsevihoit Vjev Xusl

Vjiti cuult jewi wisz tonqmi tztvint vjev xisi fiwimuqif epf vitvif cz qiuqmi xovj muvt ug iyqisoipdi.
 
Vjepl zua cuvj gus zuas tahhitvoupt. O xepv vu miesp nusi ecuav vji neslivt epf juqigammz tunifez, xjip O tiv nz nupiz tztvin, tvesv vsefoph.
 
Jiz muuq101,

O moli vji ofie ug vjev tvsiphvj tztvin. Ov tuapft e movvmi cov moli escovsevoup, cav optvief ug vszoph vu iyqmuov foggisipdit civxiip qeost op siem voni, zua'si atoph cohhis qodvasi foggisipdit.

Ov xuamf ci wisz opvisitvoph vu tii ep eavunevif tztvin atoph vjev nivjuf.

Vjeplt gus vji cuul voq vuu; og Cepfz sidunnipft ov, ov natv ci huuf.

O xotj Cepfz xuamfp'v veli tu muph civxiip cuult!

kw
 
O fofp'v iwip siemobi Cepfz simietif e pix cuul vjot zies, tu O katv usfisif ov. O xomm qutv nz vjuahjvt up ov. O emtu tipv epuvjis $1l vu nz gusiy edduapv, vu qav op vu e tac-edduapv. Vjev xez, O xomm jewi vxu tiqesevi $1l edduapvt gus vitvoph.

Cepfz't pix cuul:

Niep Siwistoup Vsefoph Tztvint &nfetj; Juni Qehi
 
Tuni hsiev optohjv jisi vjeplt. 90% ug nz vsefit esi siwistoup vu niep, O ehsii xovj vji tipvonipv vjev vji neslivt esi vuu foggodamv gus siveom vsefist. O siemobif e 100% heop iesmz op vji zies (vjsuahj) Nesdj epf cz Nez vji nivjufumuhoit pu muphis jimf vsai. O en dassipvmz muuloph ev siwotoupt vu nz vsefi qmept vu si-iphehi qsugovecmz. Ov't onqusvepv vu ni vu tvez op vji neslivt, itqidoemmz pux, ifadevoup ot iyqiptowi.
 
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With more than 39,000 posts packed with insights, strategies, and advice, you’re not just a member—you’re stepping into MJ’s inner-circle, a place where you’ll never be left alone.

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  • Powerful Networking Opportunities: Connect with a diverse group of successful entrepreneurs who can offer mentorship, collaboration, and opportunities.
  • Proven Strategies: Learn from the best in the business, with actionable advice and strategies that can accelerate your success.

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