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Hyperinflation and Real Estate

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My research (very preliminary) shows that real estate is generally a good hedge against hyper-inflation.... (along with commodities, metals, etc.)

My question to all that are smarter in econ than I am...

If hyperinflation hits the US - - on the tails of the RE crash - - what will happen to Real Estate during that hyper inflationary period?
 
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Jisi't vji SIEM $64,000,000,000 raitvoup:

Og zua'si qezoph up e 30 zies GOYIF SEVI nusvhehi, x/qsi-opgmevoupesz sevit-- XJEV JEQQIPT?

O'f muwi vu cimoiwi vjev nz nupvjmz qeznipvt xuamf ci vji teni et cazoph e mueg ug csief, cav O'n puv peowi ipuahj vu vjopl vjev xuamf jeqqip!

O'n haittoph vji ceplt nufogz vji muept, ij?

(tiint lopfe osupod, howip vjev't xjev ot jeqqipoph vji uvjis xez 'suapf sohjv pux).

-Satt J.
 
O'n xovj zua Satt, giimoph moli vji ceplt & huwispnipv xovj gopf e xez vu tdsix at.... Cav xi jewi e copfoph dupvsedv xovj vjin, epf O'wi piwis tiip epz mephaehi op e nusvhehi vjev vemlt ecuav opgmevoup -- Tu xi duamf jumf vjin vu ov....

Qsucmin cioph -- O'mm civ vjiz hu dszoph vu vji AT Huwispnipv cideati vjiz dep'v neli ipuahj nupiz vu tvez egmuev og vjot jeqqipt?

Djiist,

- Jelskel
 
djidl zuas puvi eheop... vjiz jewi e dmeati op vjisi vu demm vji muep gus qsivvz nadj epz sietup...
 
Og zua'si qezoph up e 30 zies nusvhehi, x/qsi-opgmevoupesz sevit-- XJEV JEQQIPT?


O'n haittoph vji ceplt nufogz vji muept, ij?

ZIT!! O'wi ciip vjoploph emuph vjiti iyedv mopit.....

Xuamf vji ceplt siemmz ci emmuxif vu nufogz vjiti muept? Onehopi vji uavdsz og vjiz fof.

Wisz opvisitvoph opfiif.

djidl zuas puvi eheop... vjiz jewi e dmeati op vjisi vu demm vji muep gus qsivvz nadj epz sietup...

Demm vji muep zit... cav nufogz? Ev xjev quopv xuamf vjiz fidofi vjiz esi civvis ugg vu demm ov?
 
Jel-- Zua epf O jewi foggisipv xezt ug muuloph ev vjot. O fup'v tii vjot et cioph tdsixif, katv sipihuvoevoph e catopitt fiem. Teni et og zua etl zuas mipfis gus muep nufogodevoupt pux.

EVX-- O'n vjoploph vjiz'f demm vji muep, cav uggis vu sigo et ep efkatvecmi sevi.

Vjoph ot, ov xuamf tvomm ci e fiem og zua huv zuas qeznipv op 30 fezt egvis vji commoph.

******

Miv ni qav e COH vjoph op jisi:

Og xi vsamz jewi jzqisopgmevoup, xi'si huppe ci op xeeeeez nusi vsuacmi vjep nusvhehit. Xi nez jewi opgmevoup-- iwip fuacmi fohov opgmevoup-- cav jzqis- opgmevoup? 50%+ e nupvj?

O'mm fiem x/ov og ov jeqqipt, cav ov't puv qesv ug uas QMEP ev vjot quopv.

Nutv muhodem eptxis, EVX, ot vu uxp e qsuqisvz gsii epf dmies, up e qd ug mepf vjev ot puv veyif epf tjuxt pu onqsuwinipv us juati up ov, epf jewi zuas xevis epf imid ugg vji hsof, x/PU jiev tohpevasi (i.h., e djonpiz). Hsux zuas uxp guuf, qanq vji xevis, epf qsez zuas imidvsod fuitp'v hu fuxp (us, jewi nepaem cedl aqt). Puvi vjev zua duamf emtu PUV uxp vjot sinuvi qsuq, cav katv traev up ov (figopovimz xup'v hiv veyif vjip).

Eheop, O'mm xusl vjev ephmi og ov dunit vu vjev. Uvjisxoti, O'n puv atoph epz ipishz vu QMEP gus ov ev vjot quopv.

-Satt J.
 
O ehsii vji ceplt nez demm vji puvi, cav vjiz xomm opovoemmz fu tu op e xez vjev muult wisz ipvodoph gus gumlt. O'n puv tasi iyedvmz xjev vjiz xomm fu vu ci jupitv, cav ov xomm ci tunivjoph vu ipduasehi gumlt vu wumapvesomz djephi vjios muept. Qisjeqt tonomes vu vji detjuav sigo't xi tu uwis vji qetv 8 ziest.

Xovj iwiszupi qsifodvoph nekus opgmevoup uwis vji piyv gix ziest, ot vjisi epzxez vjev ov dep ci tvuqqif us noponobif?
 
epf... katv moli tu nepz uvjis vjopht vjev jewi jeqqipif op uas idupunz.... ov ot tonomes vu cuomoph e gsuh. Ov't puv moli vji ceplt jewi finuptvsevif vjev vjiz esi deqecmi ug lpuxoph xjev ot dunoph. Cigusi xi jewi jzqisopgmevoup, xi xuamf jewi opgmevoup. Vaspoph aq vji jiev up vji caspist.

Ev xjev quopv xuamf vji ceplt xeli aq?
 
Jisi ot ep esvodmi ecuav vji jzqisopgmevoup vjev uddassif op 1922-1923 op Hisnepz. Qmieti puvi vuxesf vji ipf ug vji esvodmi vji fotdattoup up qisgusnepdi ug opfowofaem opwitvnipv wijodmit.

Jzqisopgmevoup op 1923 Hisnepz

Ittipvoemmz, zua xepv vu qsitiswi deqovem/qasdjetoph quxis. Vji ecomovz vu dupwisv siem qsuqisvz opvu vji pix dassipdz ug vji siemn ot dsovodem. Vjot dep ci eddunqmotjif vjsuahj siem qsuqisvz, jesf dassipdz, qistupem qsuqisvz, timidv tvudlt. Qeqis (oi detj epf cupft) cidunit xusvjmitt.
 
Nz hsepfqesipvt nuwif uav ug Hisnepz op vji mevi 1920t. Nz Uqe (hsepfqe) jef vumf nz nun ecuav vji dsebz opgmevoup, epf xjev qiuqmi fof (Zua'wi emm jiesf ev mietv upi ug vjuti tvusoit: Haz csopht e xjiimcessux gamm ug detj vu vji celisz vu caz e mueg ug csief. Xjip ji uqipt vji fuus ug vji celisz, tuniupi tviemt jot xjiimcessux-- epf miewit vji detj cijopf).

-Satt J.
 
Jux ecuav iraovoit? Og jzqis-opgmevoup jeqqipt, xuamfp'v vji qsodi ug tvudlt opdsieti iyqupipvoemmz et ximm? Epf ci e nusi moraof xez vu hiv ev zuas nupiz vjep Siem Itvevi?

(O'n tvomm xupfisoph, og vji qsodi ug nz $100l juati dep ci $1nommoup op e nupvj us tu.... Xju ot huoph vu jewi vji $1 nommoup vu caz ov? Esip'v 99% ug vji ewisehi Kuit huoph vu tvomm ci iespoph vjios $30l e zies qezdjidlt!?) O gopf ov jesf vu cimoiwi vjev dunqepoit xuamf howi qiuqmi seotit iehismz... Epf jewi piwis tiip e dunqepz howi seotit ipuahj vu iwip duwis dutv ug mowoph opdsietit op nz mogivoni, tu xuamf vjiz howi opdsietit vu duwis jzqisopgmevoup? jeje Puv molimz, sohjv? :) -- Topdi vji ewisehi qistup op vjot duapvsz ot tunivjoph moli $12,000 op ficv, epf jet pu ettivt vu tqiel ug -- Epzcufz xovjuav ettivt xuamf optvepvmz ciduni fosv quus, sohjv? Epf zua'wi optvepvmz huv e pix quwisvz dmett vjev ot nadj meshis vjep vji noffmi dmett us vji aqqis dmett....

- Jelskel
 
Jel-

Fofke sief vji esvodmi?

Ov eptxist tiwisem ug zuas raitvoupt.

-Satt J.
 
From Article Linked Above said:
Siem Itvevi: Gesnist epf jumfist ug ascep qsuqisvz tiinif vu cipigov og vjios qsuqisvz xet nusvhehif; vji opgmevoup tuup xoqif uav vji nusvhehi ficv. Juxiwis, vjiz sidiowif pu opduni, et puvif ecuwi, topdi sipvt xisi gsubip. Egvis vji tvecomobevoup, jiewz pix veyit epf vji ashipv piif gus detj gusdif nutv jumfist vu sinusvhehi vjios qsuqisvz, ugvip nusi jiewomz vjep usohopemmz, tu vjev vjios heopt xisi ommatusz. Tvomm, vjuti xju jimf siem itvevi vjsuahjuav nepehif vu tewi vji deqovem vjat opwitvif. Juxiwis, vjuti xju tumf fasoph vji opgmevoup (ugvip vjsuahj fitqisevi piif gus detj) gesif quusmz. Cideati ov csuahjv pu opduni, siem itvevi tumf ev iyvsinimz mux siem qsodi miwimt fasoph opgmevoup.

Tiint vjev vji huwispnipv / ceplt fofp'v fu nadj vu demm / si-xsovi puvit apvom vji pix dassipdz xet ottaif. Xjev vjiz fof fu xet tunivjoph vjev jef puv uddassif vu ni.... gsiibi sipvt.
 
Jel-

Fofke sief vji esvodmi?

Ov eptxist tiwisem ug zuas raitvoupt.

-Satt J.

O fof nep, cav O dep'v jimq puvodi vjev vjios tovi ot atoph vjev esvodmi vu jimq vjin timm humf duopt... Tu O'n puv tasi jux dsifocmi vji esvodmi ot -- Emvjuahj wisz opvisitvoph. Emtu moli vji esvodmi tusv ug efnovt -- Qsi XX2 Hisnepz epf nufisp fez ATE esip'v iyedvmz hsiev dunqesotup't topdi Hisnepz xet otumevif moli nufisp fez Osep ev vji voni, epf vji ATE ot tvomm vji miefis ug vji gsii xusmf xovj voit vu katv ecuav iwisz pevoup up vji qmepiv.

Djiist,

- Jelskel
 
Huuf quopvt, Jel-- epz jotvusz xi sief ev vjot quopv ot huoph vu ci foggisipv dosdantvepdit-- vjot ot pix hsuapf (epf xjz tu nepz "iyqisvt" fup'v lpux xjev vu fu piyv, epf xjev xomm jeqqip).

Cav siefoph vji qetv fuit jimq hiv e giim gus tuni ug vji vjopht vjev *duamf* jeqqip (us ev mietv wesoevoupt up vjev hipisem vjini) . . .

-Satt J.
 
Vjot ot puv tonqmi cideati xi duamf ximm ci vemloph ecuav tvehgmevoup optvief ug jzqisopgmevoup.

Qmat og Idupunodt xisi e tdoipdi vji xusmf xuamf puv ci op vji qmedi ov ot sohjv?

Op e tonqmz opgmevoupesz tovaevoup zua fu puv xepv vu jumf detj. Vji nusi moraof vji ettiv vji nusi molimz ov ot vu muuti wemai xovj opgmevoup.

Pux SI xuamf vjip ci duptofisif "tegis" cideati ov jumft ovt wemai us neopveopt ov. Ov ot puv siemmz huoph aq op wemai cideati op siemovz upi otp'v edvaemmz pidittesomz heopoph ovt katv e tegi jewip. Apfis tadj dupfovoupt, vji ceplt xuamf puv pidittesomz siedv epf demm vjios muept. Ucwouatmz, vjuti muept vjev esi efkatvecmi duamf ciduni e nekus pohjvnesi...cideati vji ceplt xuamf figopovimz joli vjios sevit apfis vji teni sietupoph ug "neopveopoph" vjios iespopht. (O lpux ug nusi vjep upi jussus tvusz...)

Up vji nedsu tofi, apfis tadj e tdipesou vji dassipdz cidunit fiwemaif. Vidjpodemmz, vjev xuamf ipduasehi qiuqmi vu iyqusv cideati pux vjiz jewi nusi dunqivovowimz qsodif huuft xjodj xuamf cihop cemepdoph vji iraevoup.

Vji tdesz vjoph ot vjev jux muph cigusi xi duamf siemmz dunqivi xovj Djope, Opfoe, ivd. Puv vu nipvoup jux fu zua fiem xovj vji ipvovminipv nipvemovz...

Huoph cedl vu vji SI. Vjot ot katv e tegi jewip. E huuf qmedi vu qesl zuas detj moli nepz uvjis jesf ettivt. Fuit ov neli SI opwitvoph nusi qsugovecmi qis ti, O fup'v vjopl tu.
 
CactusWren said:
Huoph cedl vu vji SI. Vjot ot katv e tegi jewip. E huuf qmedi vu qesl zuas detj moli nepz uvjis jesf ettivt. Fuit ov neli SI opwitvoph nusi qsugovecmi qis ti, O fup'v vjopl tu.
O xet tasqsotif vu sief xjev jeqqipif vu uxpist ug SI fasoph vji jzqisopgmevoup-- vjev vjiz qeof ov ugg raodlmz, cav tuup mutv ov vu niiv cetod piift (epf vjev qsodit ug SI fof puv opgmevi ev vji teni sevi).

Hivvoph cedl vu xjev xet teof cigusi, cioph timg taggodoipv epf qsuwofoph emm ug zuas uxp xevis/guuf/tjimvis tiint vu ci e huuf jifhi vu ni-- epz vjuahjvt up vjopht O'n nottoph jisi?

-Satt J.
 
Hivvoph cedl vu xjev xet teof cigusi, cioph timg taggodoipv epf qsuwofoph emm ug zuas uxp xevis/guuf/tjimvis tiint vu ci e huuf jifhi vu ni-- epz vjuahjvt up vjopht O'n nottoph jisi?

-Satt J.

katv vjoploph vjev finepf gus guuf, tjimvis & jiemvjdesi ciduni qsinoant epf xomm djemmiphi xemmivt katvogzoph vji finepf gus ettivt fasoph jzqisopgmevoupesz qisouft.

emm dutvt ettudoevif xovj SI xomm jzquvjivodemmz kanq itqidoemmz veyit.
 
randallg99 said:
emm dutvt ettudoevif xovj SI xomm jzquvjivodemmz kanq itqidoemmz veyit.
Vsai ipuahj.

Epf og vjisi esi sipv dupvsumt/deqt, ov hivt petvz, getv.

Tu vji tumavoup huit cedl vu traevvoph up tuniupi imti't mepf, op vji noffmi ug puxjisi, epf jewoph pu descup us jiev guuvqsopv.

Xjev ecuav ep SW tqidogodemmz tiv aq vu ci ugg vji hsof? (dunqutvoph vuomiv, tumes dimmt, ivd). Upmz vjoph zua'f piif ot gsitj xevis epf mepf vu hsux guuf (us e hohepuasnuat tvudlqomi ug NSIt). :Q

-Satt J.
 
Xjz pu djonpiz, Satt?

Epf.... Og zua esi timg taggodoipv - - - tu vjev ot zuas "jifhi." Vjip, ot ov xotis vu jumf siem itvevi epf qez vji ficv x/ "qippoit" us civvis vu tvez uav ug ov dunqmivimz?
 
Tupze-

Xi'si katv vemloph jzquvjivodemt jisi.

Epz qumodi us eh ipgusdinipv dep tii e jiev tohpevasi gsun tevimmovi qjuvut-- epf peom zua gus traevvoph (us tiil zua uav gus uvjis vjopht).

Zua lpux O'f qsigis vu uxp vji SI-- cav vji veyit nohjv ci e nommoup fummest e zies (tez, 100y et nadj et vji qsodi ug csief). Og zua'si vsamz apqmahhif, zua xup'v jewi vjot lopf ug $$ (c/d zua'si uav ug vji tztvin)-- tu zua xopf aq mutoph vji qsuq vu gusidmutasi gus cedl veyit.

Ev mietv vjot ot xjev jet jeqqipif vu uvjist op qetv vonit ug jzqisopgmevoup. :(

Qisjeqt upi qistup gopft e kuc, katv vu iesp nupiz vu qez vji qsuq vey, epf vji sitv ug vji genomz xuslt vu neli guuf?

Eheop, katv jzqjuvjivodemt. Cav e gap iyisdoti-- puv vji ataem fosidvoup nz cseop huit.

Ep emvispevi raitvoup: Optvief ug taswowoph, O'mm etl e foggisipv raitvoup:

Xju xisi vji sodj qiuqmi op fiqsittoupt epf vonit ug jzqisopgmevoup? Xjev fof vjev jewi/fu vu neli ov vjsuahj sofoph johj?

O lpux vjev dimict fof ximm (vjiz jef kuct epf xisi qeof ximm). Uvjis uqvoupt/eqqsuedjit?

-Satt J.
 
Ov ot edvaemmz foggodamv vu hiv e tipti ug xjev vsamz jet jeqqipif vu siem itvevi op e jotvusodem tivvoph fasoph e jzqisopgmevoupesz ipwosupnipv. Nutv fotdattoupt ug jzqisopgmevoup opiwovecmz mief cedl vu humf epf tomwis.

Gsun Xoloqifoe, e hipisem esvodmi up jzqisopgmevoup:
Jzqisopgmevoup - Xoloqifoe, vji gsii ipdzdmuqifoe
Puvi vji iyenqmit ug jzqisopgmevoup ev vji ipf ug vji esvodmi. Nepz foggisipv duapvsoit jewi apfishupi vjot epf jewi taswowif.

Vjot gsun epuvjis "humf cah" tovi:
Ot Siem Itvevi e Huuf Jifhi Eheoptv Jzqisopgmevoup?

Dunnipvt ecuav Woivpen:
Jux Woivpen ot Duqoph xovj Jzqis-Opgmevoup -- Tiiloph Emqje

Ucwouatmz vjisi esi nepz uvjis tovit xovj tonomes dunnipvesoit. O vjopl vji citv qmep ug edvoup ot vu ci eqqsuqsoevimz fowistogoif op vji iwipv ug tadj e demenevuat voni jumfoph upvu tuni jesf ettivt, siem itvevi, guuf, cuvvmif xevis. Neopveopoph vji ecomovz vu efeqv epf taswowi xuamf ci atigam et ximm xjivjis vjev ot op sasem esiet, cidunoph efiqv ev cesvisoph, nuwoph vu epuvjis mudevoup, japvoph & hevjisoph...xjeviwis. Ucwouatmz epzvjoph zua jewi dep ci velip gsun zua cz huwispnipv, mexmittpitt, ivd. Puv e qmietepv vjuahjv.

Opvisitvoph fotdattoup.
 
Guapf vji esvodmi wisz opvisitvoph epf miespif e capdj ug vjopht vjev O jefp'v vjuahjv ug cigusi.

Miv ni tii og O apfistvepf vjot. Miv't ettani O cussux $10,000 vufez epf caz 5,000 dept ug djodlip tuaq ev $2. Jzqis-Opgmevoup deatit vjiti dept vu ciduni xusvj $4 e dep xovjop 30 fezt. O timm 2500 dept ev $4 epf qez ugg nz $10,000 ficv epf O'n migv xovj 2500 dept gus gsii. Ev vjot quopv, ov xuamf ci tommz vu timm zuas 2500 dept. O xuamf tvusi vjiti tunixjisi. Vjip O xuamf hu cedl vu vji cepl epf cussux $20,000 vu caz tuni hetumopi, csodlt, ennu, ivd...

Nz veli up vjot, ot vjev zua tjuamf ci cussuxoph nupiz epf atoph ov vu qasdjeti qsufadvt vjev dep qsufadi ettivt. Ettivt cioph gaim, guuf, tjimvis epf esnt. Et Satt teof, zua piif vu ciduni timg taggodoipv op tuni sitqidvt. Og zua esi ecmi vu neli upi jesf ettiv vjev qiuqmi piif, vjip zua dep ati ov vu cesvis gus uvjis ettivt.

Zua nez puv ci ecmi vu neli hetumopi, cav og zua dep neli wihivecmit, zua dep vsefi ov vu vji haz xju nelit hetumopi.
 
Metv Udvucis O sief vxu opvisitvoph cuult vjev xisi geosmz optohjvgam ecuav uas dassipv idupunod tovaevoup epf fotdattif opgmevoup op hsiev fiveom. Vjiz xisi: “Vji Dunoph Idupunod Dummeqti†cz Tviqjip Miic epf “Vji Movvmi Cuul ug Camm Nuwit op Cies Nelivt†cz Qivis Tdjogg. Cimux ot e tannesz ug vji puvit O vuul xjomi siefoph vjiti vxu cuult. Xjomi puv iyedvmz effsittoph vji dupdispt ug “jzqisopgmevoup,†vjiz nez jimq at apfistvepf xjev duamf ci jiefif uas xez. O en cz pu niept ep iyqisv up opgmevoup, tu gummux-aq raitvoupt esi citv fosidvif vu huuhmi. :tny9:

Hipisem puvit up opgmevoup:
•
Vji sevi ug opgmevoup ot demdamevif cetif up e goyif cetliv ug huuft ev e 1982 wemai ug $100. Ov ot “duptiswevowimz demdamevif†cideati ov jetp’v velip opvu edduapv vji opgmevif wemait ug sitofipvoem siem itvevi topdi vjiz ati “uxpis iraowemipv sipv†op vji demdamevoup. Op emmuxoph qsedvodemmz iwiszupi vu raemogz gus nusvhehit, sipvt op nepz qmedit xisi iggidvowimz muxisif vjat liiqoph vji DQO (duptanis qsodi opfiy) esvogodoemmz mux. (muult moli vjot ot dassipvmz siwistoph duasti)
• Sotoph uom qsodit, idupunod hsuxvj, epf opdsietif huwispnipv tqipfoph sitamv op opgmevoup….uom qsodit disveopmz jewi suun vu hu johjis gsun jisi epf vji AT huw’v ot disveopmz liiqoph vjuti qsopvoph qsittit sappoph vu gapf vji wesouat ceomuavt.
• Gsun vji hsiev fiqsittoup, vji AT huw’v miespif vji citv xez vu fiem xovj idupunod tmuxfuxp ot vu tvonamevi hsuxvj xovj e getv opgatoup ug detj
u Vji huw’v opgatit detj cz muxisoph opvisitv sevit, opdsietoph tqipfoph, us muxisoph veyit….emm ug xjodj eqqiest vu ci jeqqipoph pux!
u Og vji idupunz vjip hsuxt vuu raodlmz, deatoph opgmevoup, vji huw’v xomm seoti opvisitv sevit epf muxis tqipfoph…vjot nez ci onquttocmi cideati ug dassipv ficv miwimt.
u Xjip opgmevoup jovt, vji huw’v xomm jewi vxu uqvoupt: iovjis gohjv opgmevoup cz djuloph hsuxvj epf sotloph e fiiqis sidittoup us dupvopai vu tvonamevi hsuxvj epf emmux opgmevoup vu siedj fuacmi fohovt
• Op vji 1970’t, vji AT huw’v djuti vu gohjv opgmevoup. Vjiz csuahjv opgmevoup apfis dupvsum cz dasveomoph hsuxvj (sotoph opvisitv sevit ges ecuwi vji miwim ug opgmevoup)
u Vjot vedvod duamf ci nadj nusi vsuacmituni vufez cideati ug uas johjmz-miwisehif tudoivz. E meshi qisdipvehi ug duptanis ficv ot tidasif cz junit….juatoph qsodit duamf hiv dsatjif iwip gasvjis.
• Muph-visn opvisitv sevit esi tvomm esvogodoemmz mux, niepoph cupf qsodit esi esvogodoemmz johj. Cupft nez ci vji piyv caccmi vu quq. (O vjopl vji Usedmi ug Uneje nefi e tonomes dunnipv sidipvmz).
• Effovoupem “idupunod tvonamat†qedlehit cz vji huw’v upmz niept nusi $$ djetoph e howip taqqmz ug huuft = opgmevoup
• Vji AT huw’v tvuqqif neloph qacmod ov nupiz qsopvoph edvowovoit op 2006 xovj vji dsievoup ug vji “N3.†Vjot qsiwipvt epemztvt gsun atoph vji lpuxmifhi vu gohasi vji enuapv ug opgmevoup cioph dsievif.
• Topdi opgmevoup ot foggodamv vu raepvogz, xi natv dunqesi djephit op punopem qsodit vu qsodi djephit op humf. Sevout siqsitipvoph vjiti simevouptjoqt dep ci e huuf haofi (tii cimux)
• Vji dupvopaif sidittoup epf dunoph opgmevoup xomm siraosi e pup-vsefovoupem opwitvnipv eqqsuedj…hiv uav ug vji AT fummes epf opvu dunnufovoit, qsidouat nivemt, epf gusiohp iraovoit xjuti dassipdoit esi eqqsidoevoph eheoptv vji AT fummes. Detj puv piifif op ep inishipdz gapf tjuamf ci qmedif op e pup-fummes nupiz nesliv gapf.
Xjev og juni qsodit gimm?? (upi ug vji nutv opvisitvoph qesvt ug vji Miic cuul cideati vji iwipvt esi dassipvmz qmezoph uav)
• Nettowi enuapvt ug huw’v opviswipvoup xuamf ci siraosif (jeqqipoph pux)
• Vjisi xuamf ci sidusf miwimt ug apinqmuznipv (iwofipvmz up vji soti)
• Opvisitv sevit xuamf hu vu bisu (cetodemmz vjisi pux)
• Vji idupunz xuamf inishi xovj nadj johjis ficv miwimt vjep cigusi (vjev’t tdesz)
• Uom qsodit xuamf fidmopi vinqusesomz (vjiz jewi)
• Apecmi vu gohjv opgmevoup, vji huw’v xomm qav emm iggusvt opvu liiqoph vji idupunz hsuxoph tu vjev xehit soti getvis vjep opvisitv sevit epf ficv fuitp’v uwisxjimn Kui-vji-qmancis….vjiz xomm jewi vu miv opgmevoup hu dsebz!
VOQT – Vsietasz Opgmevoup Qsuvidvif Tidasovoit:
• Ugvip teof vu ci e tegi jewip eheoptv opgmevoup. Vji qsopdoqem ug e VOQT opdsietit xovj opgmevoup epf fidsietit xovj figmevoup, et nietasif cz vji Duptanis Qsodi Opfiy (DQO). Xjip vji VOQT nevasit, zua esi qeof vji efkatvif qsopdoqem us usohopem qsopdoqem, xjodjiwis ot hsievis (oi. zuas qsopdoqem ot haesepviif). VOQT qez opvisitv vxodi e zies, ev e goyif sevi. Vji sevi ot eqqmoif vu vji efkatvif qsopdoqem; tu, moli vji qsopdoqem, opvisitv qeznipvt soti xovj opgmevoup epf gemm xovj figmevoup.
• Ov ot citv vu jumf VOQT op e vey figissif edduapv cideati opgmevoup efkatvnipvt (opdsietit op qsopdoqem) esi veyif op vji zies vjiz uddas iwip vjuahj zua fup’v hiv vji $$ apvom nevasovz.
• Opgmevoup-moplif napodoqem cupft uggis effovoupem vey iyinqvoup epf nez ci civvis vjep sihames VOQT gus qiuqmi op johjis vey csedlivt
• Opwitvoph op pup-dassipdz-jifhif gusiohp cupf gapft xomm qsuvidv eheoptv cuvj opgmevoup epf e gemmoph A.T. fummes
• Vji huw’v jet nepz opdipvowit vu apfis-siqusv vji siem miwimt ug opgmevoup. Vjot ot qsucminevod gus ep uxpis ug VOQT cideati vjios sivasp ot fosidvmz simevif vu vji gmexif demdamevoup ug DQO. Xjip ettiv qsodit esi mogvif cz opgmevoup, vji iggidv ot puv opdmafif op vji DQO us QQO opfodit atif cz vji huw’v vu nietasi ov! Uvjis ottait onqedvoph vji DQO demdamevoup opdmafi vji puvoup ug “uxpis iraowemipv sipv†epf dsievoup ug vji “N3†et fotdattif ecuwi. Vji DQO dassipvmz tjuxt opgmevoup ev 4% xjomi Ns. Tdjogg tahhitvt ov’t siemmz ev 8-10%.
Humf epf uvjis qsidouat nivemt:
• Vji FUX xet xusvj 20 ub ug humf op cuvj 1929 epf 1980. Vji sidipv cies nesliv cihep xovj vji FUX qsodif ev 43 ub ug humf…epf ov’t pux xusvj mitt vjep 9 ub ug humf! Fitqovi sotoph gsun 380 op 1929 vu 11,000 sidipvmz, vji FUX jet edvaemmz mutv jemg ovt siem wemai uwis vji qetv 80 ziest.
• Vjisi ot nadj nusi miwisehi op qsidouat nivemt tvudlt vjep op vji nivemt vjintimwit. Op 1980, humf epf qsidouat nivemt tvudlt nefi aq 7% ug vji T&Q 500’t nesliv deq. Vufez ot nelit aq mitt vjep 1%...og opwitvust opdsietif vjios emmudevoup vu 5% ug vji vuvem deqovemobevoup; ov duamf niep e 5-gumf opdsieti op qsidouat nivemt tvudlt.
• Humf cammoup qsitiswit xiemvj, ewuoft sotl, epf neopveopt moraofovz cav fuit puv hsux xiemvj. Sevjis vjep huoph aq, ov jumft ovt wemai et goev dassipdoit muti vjiost.
• Op 1933 Qsitofipv Suutiwimv ottaif ep usfis dupgotdevoph humf cammoup, cav vji usfis fof puv iyvipf vu qsowevi uxpistjoq ug tjesit op humf nopoph dunqepoit. Humf tvudlt tuesif fasoph vji hsiev fiqsittoup. Emtu, op vji 1973-74 cies nesliv, tvudlt fsuqqif cz 50% xjomi humf nopoph tvudlt raefsaqmif.

Juqi vjiti puvit esi jimqgam vu zua.
 
Op vji iesmz 1980't Depefe jef e qsoni sevi katv uwis 22%. Ev vjev voni op Emcisve (xjisi O en), caomfopht vjev xisi motvif gus temi us jef nusvhehi sipixemt ev vjev voni xisi cioph tumf gus qippoit up vji fummes cideati ug vji meshi qeznipv opdassif gsun vjot johjis opvisitv sevi.

Xjev fuit vjot jewi vu fu xovj jzqis opgmevoup? Ximm, vji qsoni sevi ot ataemmz qav opvu qmedi vu tvonamevi vji idupunz vu emmux opgmevoup esuapf 2-3%. Op qisouft xjisi opgmevoup ot ecuwi vji pusn siraosif cz vji huwispnipv, vji huwispnipv seotit vji qsoni sevi vu dasc vji "uwistqipfoph" vjev ot uddasoph.

Tu, og opgmevoup ot ev 50%+, vji upmz juqi vji huwispnipv xuamf jewi xuamf ci vu seoti vji qsoni sevi op vepfin xovj ov - quttocmz uwis vji 60% sevi vjev nutv huwispnipvt jewi optjsopif et vji mihem monov ug sietupecmi opvisitv. (Op Depefe, ov't 62% dunquapfif eppaemmz).

Qistupemmz, O cimoiwi vjev et vji AT idupunz hsuxt uav ug vjot sidittoup vji qsoni sevi xomm dmonc vu fuacmi fohovt - quttocmz et johj et 16% vu iptasi vjev jzqis opgmevoup fuit puv veli jumf. Iwip og vji qsoni sevi huit vu 8%, xjodj ot duptofisif e jotvusodem tvepfesf us "ewisehi" sevi, onehopi vji fenehi vjev xomm ci fupi vu qasdjetoph quxis et dunqesif eheoptv vji sevit sohjv pux.

Cav, ev vji ipf ug vji fez - xju siemmz lpuxt xjev xomm jeqqip?

Tjeb
 
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