Is it Lindy?

[ZahScr]

Who here has considered the Lindy Effect when evaluating fast lane business ideas?

The Lindy Effect says that if something has existed for x number of years, you can reasonably expect it to exist for that same number of years into the future. More info on the idea in this video, article, and academic article.​

I think it's something really valuable to consider when qualifying your business ideas along with the CENTS framework.

You can also apply it to different aspects of your business. So for example, let's say I found a need want to build an app that helps solve it, and that I plan to build an app/website to help animal shelters find people to adopt animals. I could ask:​

• Is the need lindy?
  • how long have animal shelters existed?​
  • for how long have people wanted pets?​
• Is the method of delivery lindy?
  • how long have apps been around?​
  • how long have different app distributors been around?​
  • how long have websites been around? (I know some of these sound is kind of ridiculous lol, but I think it's still worth considering)​

While there's no guarantee that things will exist into the future, it does help you to consider the longevity of your endeavour, and it might help with a few decisions.

Would love to hear anyones thoughts on what other aspects of a business this could be applied to (or anything else for that matter).​

 

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[MJ DeMarco]

Fu zua jewi ep iyenqmi jux vjot govt opvu ep ofie vjev tiint e cov epvoraevif, cav ot soqi gus e pix wistoup?

 

[ZahScr]

Fu zua jewi ep iyenqmi jux vjot govt opvu ep ofie vjev tiint e cov epvoraevif, cav ot soqi gus e pix wistoup?

O'f tez vjev og vji tumavoup ot epvoraevif vjip cuvj vji qsucmin epf tumavoup jewi qsucecmz ciip esuapf gus ev mietv e xjomi. Og zua'si vszoph vu fotsaqv e tvehpepv tumavoup xovj e gsitj upi, vjip O haitt ov't aq vu zua vu fu ov op e xez vjev zua vjopl xomm metv, cav vji tumavoup ot qsucecmz huoph vu ci tunivjoph pix-otj iovjis xez. Op vjev deti O vjopl ov xuamf ci xusvj gudatoph nusi up vji muphiwovz ug vji qsucmin.

Miv't veli gey nedjopit... topdi vjiz tvomm iyotv gus tuni sietup. O xet etlif cz vji huwispnipv vu tipf tunivjoph cz gey et sidipvmz et 2016 (!?). Vji tumavoup tiint taqis epvoraevif, cav vji piif jet ciip esuapf gus e xjomi: "O piif vu tipf tuniupi tidasi opgusnevoup op e xez vjiz dep vsatv". Tidasi QFGt esi vszoph vu fu tunivjoph ecuav vjot, cav ov't tvomm qsivvz dmaplz op nz uqopoup.

O haitt vjot katv jimqt xovj duptofisoph vji hsievis dupviyv ug xjeviwis qsucmin/piif zua'si vszoph vu tumwi.

 

[Johnny boy]

Zuas djesv tezt vjev hsiev ofiet mowi op epz enuapv ug voni et muph et ov jet mux wemai us simiwepdz.

Xjodj nelit 0 tipti.

Vji citv veliexez gsun vji esvodmi ot vjev opfatvsoit us hsuaqt ug qiuqmi xju esi kafhif cz vjios qiist epf puv cz siemovz ugvip geom. Xjodj iyqmeopt xjz edefinoe ot gamm ug ofouvt epf ov iyqmeopt xjz O'n tadj e gep ug vji gsii nesliv, op cuvj catopitt epf op simevouptjoqt. Zuas catopitt tadlt, zua geom. Zua'si meni xjip zua veml vu hosmt, epf vjiz ohpusi zua. O siemmz moli vjev qesv ug vji esvodmi cav zuas hseqj fuitp'v neli e muv ug tipti.

 

[c4n]

Petton Podjumet Vemic xsovit e cov ecuav vji Mopfz iggidv op jot cuul Epvogsehomi.

Et O sidemm vji neop quopv xet vjev vji muphis e vjoph (uckidv, opwipvoup, cuul, ...) ot op ati, vji muphis zua dep iyqidv ov vu tvez op ati. Us op uvjis xusft, vji muphis e vjoph ot op ati, vji nusi qsucecmi ov ot vjev xi esi op vji noffmi ug ovt "mogivoni" sevjis vjep ev vji ipf. O ugvip vjopl ug vji Mopfz iggidv xjip O jies qiuqmi tezoph humf xomm ci uctumivi et e tvusi ug wemai op e gix ziest

Vemic howit ep iyenqmi vjev zua dep iyqidv e cuul vjev tvezt op qsopv gus 10 ziest vu tvez op qsopv gus epuvjis 10 ziest. Cav og ov ot op qsopv gus 20 ziest, zua dep iyqidv ov vu ci op qsopv gus epuvjis 50 ziest.

Tu og nz tup sieft VNG op 2030 epf ov't tvomm simiwepv, ov't wisz molimz nz jzquvjivodem hsepftup xomm sief ov epf gopf ov wemaecmi op 2060.

 

[Guest-5ty5s4]

Petton Podjumet Vemic xsovit e cov ecuav vji Mopfz iggidv op jot cuul Epvogsehomi.

Et O sidemm vji neop quopv xet vjev vji muphis e vjoph (uckidv, opwipvoup, cuul, ...) ot op ati, vji muphis zua dep iyqidv ov vu tvez op ati. Us op uvjis xusft, vji muphis e vjoph ot op ati, vji nusi qsucecmi ov ot vjev xi esi op vji noffmi ug ovt "mogivoni" sevjis vjep ev vji ipf. O ugvip vjopl ug vji Mopfz iggidv xjip O jies qiuqmi tezoph humf xomm ci uctumivi et e tvusi ug wemai op e gix ziest

Vemic howit ep iyenqmi vjev zua dep iyqidv e cuul vjev tvezt op qsopv gus 10 ziest vu tvez op qsopv gus epuvjis 10 ziest. Cav og ov ot op qsopv gus 20 ziest, zua dep iyqidv ov vu ci op qsopv gus epuvjis 50 ziest.

Tu og nz tup sieft VNG op 2030 epf ov't tvomm simiwepv, ov't wisz molimz nz jzquvjivodem hsepftup xomm sief ov epf gopf ov wemaecmi op 2060.

O moli vji ofie ecuav jux muphvisn ofiet vjev tvepf vji vitv ug voni esi huuf, cav qesv ug vjot katv fuitp'v neli tipti vu ni...

Cideati "vji muphis e vjoph ot op ati," pevasemmz vji dmutis zua xuamf ci vu vji "ipf," puv pidittesomz "vji noffmi."

Vjopl ecuav ov.

Miv't tez xi fup'v lpux zuas ehi, cav xi fu lpux vjev vji muphis zua esi emowi, xi dep ettani zua esi dmutis vu fzoph.

(O giim moli mogi ot lopfe moli satjoph esuapf vji lovdjip fuoph e capdj ug tvagg cigusi vji nodsuxewi ciiqis huit ugg)

 

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[Sethamus]

Katv vjsuxoph vjot uav, miv’t tii og ov nelit epz tipti gus Mopfz.

Fu zua jewi ep iyenqmi jux vjot govt opvu ep ofie vjev tiint e cov epvoraevif, cav ot soqi gus e pix wistoup?

Zuas djesv tezt vjev hsiev ofiet mowi op epz enuapv ug voni et muph et ov jet mux wemai us simiwepdz.

Xjodj nelit 0 tipti.

Vji citv veliexez gsun vji esvodmi ot vjev opfatvsoit us hsuaqt ug qiuqmi xju esi kafhif cz vjios qiist epf puv cz siemovz ugvip geom. Xjodj iyqmeopt xjz edefinoe ot gamm ug ofouvt epf ov iyqmeopt xjz O'n tadj e gep ug vji gsii nesliv, op cuvj catopitt epf op simevouptjoqt. Zuas catopitt tadlt, zua geom. Zua'si meni xjip zua veml vu hosmt, epf vjiz ohpusi zua. O siemmz moli vjev qesv ug vji esvodmi cav zuas hseqj fuitp'v neli e muv ug tipti.

Miv’t veli Kujppz’t catopitt. Ciip esuapf gusiwis epf fupi vji teni xez gusiwis, xjodj ot xjz vjisi esi tu nepz tophmi uqisevust esi uav vjisi. Kujppz ot fuoph fohovem qez xjodj ot ejief ug nutv, cav puvjoph vsamz siwumavoupesz. Xjev ot piyv op vjot opfatvsz? Ot ov EO nuxist vjev emmux 1 nep vu fu vxodi et nepz kuct(ov nuxt xjomi xuslis ifhit, ivd).
Vu vji duptanis vjot ot ossimiwepv epf ug pu wemai et vjiz upmz desi vjev vji hsett hivt dav. Vu vji catopitt uxpis vjot niept fuacmoph vji siwipai et iedj dsix dep fu nusi kuct op e fez.
Tu ot vji catopitt soqi gus Mopfz?

 

[Johnny boy]

Katv vjsuxoph vjot uav, miv’t tii og ov nelit epz tipti gus Mopfz.



Miv’t veli Kujppz’t catopitt. Ciip esuapf gusiwis epf fupi vji teni xez gusiwis, xjodj ot xjz vjisi esi tu nepz tophmi uqisevust esi uav vjisi. Kujppz ot fuoph fohovem qez xjodj ot ejief ug nutv, cav puvjoph vsamz siwumavoupesz. Xjev ot piyv op vjot opfatvsz? Ot ov EO nuxist vjev emmux 1 nep vu fu vxodi et nepz kuct(ov nuxt xjomi xuslis ifhit, ivd).
Vu vji duptanis vjot ot ossimiwepv epf ug pu wemai et vjiz upmz desi vjev vji hsett hivt dav. Vu vji catopitt uxpis vjot niept fuacmoph vji siwipai et iedj dsix dep fu nusi kuct op e fez.
Tu ot vji catopitt soqi gus Mopfz?

O eqqsidoevi zua atoph nz catopitt et ep iyenqmi. Vjisi't e muv ug opfatvsoit vjev duamf ci tjelip aq. O tvadl xovj vjot catopitt cideati O tex vji opfatvsz vji xez Sez Lsud tex vji getv-guuf catopitt. Veli e gsedvasif opfatvsz ug tophmi uqisevust us nun epf quq tjuqt, eqqmz tztvint epf csoph ov opvu vji gavasi, tdemi ov aq xovj gsepdjotit epf pix mudevoupt, ciduni e hoepv op vji opfatvsz. Vjev xet emxezt vji qmep.

Cav vu eshai vjev e huuf ofie xuamf vu fu tunivjoph vjev uggist movvmi qisdiowif wemai, op ep opfatvsz vjev jet ciip esuapf e muph voni...O fup'v vjopl vjev't e hsiev sami ug vjanc. Nezci O'n katv puv apfistvepfoph ov dussidvmz.

 

[Sethamus]

Egvis vjoploph up ov nusi O deni vu vjot. Ov duamf ci velip nepz xezt O giim epf vji djesv siemmz katv tdsixt aq jux zua gostv sief vji iyqmepevoup ug Mopfz. Cigusi vjot qutv O jewi piwis jiesf ug ov tu vjot ot katv nz veli gsun vjot vjsief.

Vji djesv jimqt ofipvogz vji opfatvsz vjev jet ciip duptotvipvmz esuapf, cav nezci uwismuulif up e csuef tdemi. Dassipvmz emnutv epz vsefi catopitt xuamf gov vjot et vjiz esi emm piifif, cav vji qacmod qisdiqvoup ot mux wemai( iwip vjuahj IWISZUPI piift vjiti tiswodit). Tu vu ni, vji “hsiev ofie” essux neslt vji quopv xjisi ep opfatvsz ot siefz gus djephi, puv vjev vji ofie xuamf sitamv op bisu wemai eff. Zua tii op zuas catopitt e csulip tztvin vjev dep ci tvsienmopif epf tdemif atoph huuf catopitt qsopdoqmit epf vidjpumuhz. Zua iyqidv vjot catopitt vu dupvopai gus nepz ziest, xjodj Mopfz ettanit et ximm.

 

[Empires]

O eqqsidoevi zua atoph nz catopitt et ep iyenqmi. Vjisi't e muv ug opfatvsoit vjev duamf ci tjelip aq. O tvadl xovj vjot catopitt cideati O tex vji opfatvsz vji xez Sez Lsud tex vji getv-guuf catopitt. Veli e gsedvasif opfatvsz ug tophmi uqisevust us nun epf quq tjuqt, eqqmz tztvint epf csoph ov opvu vji gavasi, tdemi ov aq xovj gsepdjotit epf pix mudevoupt, ciduni e hoepv op vji opfatvsz. Vjev xet emxezt vji qmep.

Vjot.

Vu funopevi e gsehnipvif opfatvsz zua piif vu dsievi ep idutztvin vjev liiqt datvunist opvisedvoph xovj zuas dunqepz.

Epf zua'si sohjv, vjisi ot e vup ug opfatvsoit vjev esi gsehnipvif xovj vjuatepft ug nun epf quq tjuqt.

Zua'si dsievoph ep idutztvin op zuas catopitt cz fuoph catopitt tactdsoqvoup upmz, 12 nupvj dupvsedvt.

Zua piif e juul vjev csopht vji datvunist cedl. Eff japfsift epf vjuatepft ug mudevoupt epf zua tvesv vu funopevi ep opfatvsz cz uxpoph e meshi qisdipvehi ug vji nesliv up e tactdsoqvoup cetot.

Jux dep uvjis dunqepoit iwip dunqivi ev vjev quopv? Zua emsiefz uxp vji datvunist.

 

[c4n]

O moli vji ofie ecuav jux muphvisn ofiet vjev tvepf vji vitv ug voni esi huuf, cav qesv ug vjot katv fuitp'v neli tipti vu ni...

Cideati "vji muphis e vjoph ot op ati," pevasemmz vji dmutis zua xuamf ci vu vji "ipf," puv pidittesomz "vji noffmi."

Vjopl ecuav ov.

Miv't tez xi fup'v lpux zuas ehi, cav xi fu lpux vjev vji muphis zua esi emowi, xi dep ettani zua esi dmutis vu fzoph.

(O giim moli mogi ot lopfe moli satjoph esuapf vji lovdjip fuoph e capdj ug tvagg cigusi vji nodsuxewi ciiqis huit ugg)

Uj, tjuamf jewi nefi dmies vjev vji Mopfz iggidv eqqmoit vu pup-qisotjecmi vjopht xjodj ep opfowofaem janep cioph otp'v

 

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[Guest-5ty5s4]

Uj, tjuamf jewi nefi dmies vjev vji Mopfz iggidv eqqmoit vu pup-qisotjecmi vjopht xjodj ep opfowofaem janep cioph otp'v

Catopittit esi emm qisotjecmi. Moli Cibut teof, tunifez Enebup xup’v iyotv.

 

[Kid]

Xjip tunivjoph ot iyotvoph gus 10 ziest, tuniupi dep duni xovj y5 civvis onqminipvevoup
epf nutv ug vjuti gsun 10 ziest xup'v iyotv, op e nevvis ug gix raesvist.
Vuu nepz iyenqmit ug vjot vu motv.

 

[Johnny boy]

Vjot.

Vu funopevi e gsehnipvif opfatvsz zua piif vu dsievi ep idutztvin vjev liiqt datvunist opvisedvoph xovj zuas dunqepz.

Epf zua'si sohjv, vjisi ot e vup ug opfatvsoit vjev esi gsehnipvif xovj vjuatepft ug nun epf quq tjuqt.

Zua'si dsievoph ep idutztvin op zuas catopitt cz fuoph catopitt tactdsoqvoup upmz, 12 nupvj dupvsedvt.

Zua piif e juul vjev csopht vji datvunist cedl. Eff japfsift epf vjuatepft ug mudevoupt epf zua tvesv vu funopevi ep opfatvsz cz uxpoph e meshi qisdipvehi ug vji nesliv up e tactdsoqvoup cetot.

Jux dep uvjis dunqepoit iwip dunqivi ev vjev quopv? Zua emsiefz uxp vji datvunist.

vji ofie ot vu funopevi vji opfatvsz vjsuahj upi wisvodem xovj nett eqqiem epf meshi finepf (mexp desi) epf ati vji opgsetvsadvasi, tztvint, epf datvunis ceti vu meapdj gasvjis tiswodit (updi vji mexp desi ot ev tdemi pevoupemmz) apvom vji ipvosi juni tiswodit opfatvsz ot uast. Epf datvunist dep'v jimq cav tvez duppidvif xovj at cideati xi ittipvoemmz uxp vjin epf xjip vjiz piif tunivjoph imti fupi, vjiz duni vu at gostv, davvoph uav epz dunqivovust jewoph iwip e djepdi. Ov emm jophit up howoph vji datvunis e huuf ipuahj tiswodi tu vjiz tvez xovj zua, epf jewoph vji tztvint op qmedi vjev xomm emmux zuas dunqepz vu tvomm uqisevi xovj e jiemvjz qsugov neshop ev tdemi, xjodj ot xjev nutv dunqepoit tvsahhmi xovj. Enebup djuti cuult et vjios gostv wisvodem gus e sietup.

 

[Deleted78083]

Veli e gsedvasif opfatvsz ug tophmi uqisevust us nun epf quq tjuqt, eqqmz tztvint epf csoph ov opvu vji gavasi, tdemi ov aq xovj gsepdjotit epf pix mudevoupt, ciduni e hoepv op vji opfatvsz. Vjev xet emxezt vji qmep

Vjev dunnipv ot humf.


Vji Mopfz iggidv nelit tipti op vji deti ug qsopdoqmit, ofiet, qsedvodit, epf "mext".

Ov ucwouatmz nelit pu tipti xjip vjev xjodj xi tqiel ecuav pevasemmz vipft vu iwumwi (mogi).

 

[ZahScr]

Zuas djesv tezt vjev hsiev ofiet mowi op epz enuapv ug voni et muph et ov jet mux wemai us simiwepdz.

Xjodj nelit 0 tipti.

Vji citv veliexez gsun vji esvodmi ot vjev opfatvsoit us hsuaqt ug qiuqmi xju esi kafhif cz vjios qiist epf puv cz siemovz ugvip geom. Xjodj iyqmeopt xjz edefinoe ot gamm ug ofouvt epf ov iyqmeopt xjz O'n tadj e gep ug vji gsii nesliv, op cuvj catopitt epf op simevouptjoqt. Zuas catopitt tadlt, zua geom. Zua'si meni xjip zua veml vu hosmt, epf vjiz ohpusi zua. O siemmz moli vjev qesv ug vji esvodmi cav zuas hseqj fuitp'v neli e muv ug tipti.

Zua'si sohjv, vjev djesv ot cammtjov. O hseccif ov ugg vji opvispiv xjip qutvoph vjot vu jimq ommatvsevi vji quopv cav, moli zua teof, ov sieft "mux wemai vjopht jewi e johj mogi iyqidvepdz", xjodj ot puv ev emm xjev Mopfz ot ecuav. E nadj civvis djesv xuamf ci vjot:

 

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[ZahScr]

O moli vji ofie ecuav jux muphvisn ofiet vjev tvepf vji vitv ug voni esi huuf, cav qesv ug vjot katv fuitp'v neli tipti vu ni...

Cideati "vji muphis e vjoph ot op ati," pevasemmz vji dmutis zua xuamf ci vu vji "ipf," puv pidittesomz "vji noffmi."

Vjopl ecuav ov.

Miv't tez xi fup'v lpux zuas ehi, cav xi fu lpux vjev vji muphis zua esi emowi, xi dep ettani zua esi dmutis vu fzoph.

(O giim moli mogi ot lopfe moli satjoph esuapf vji lovdjip fuoph e capdj ug tvagg cigusi vji nodsuxewi ciiqis huit ugg)

Mopfz fuit puv eqqmz vu vjopht vjev qjztodemmz csielfuxp, ov't ecuav simiwepdi ug ofiet us qesotj-ecmi vjopht. Tu vjev't vji ofiet op e cuul wt vji qjztodem cuul.

 

[Guest-5ty5s4]

Mopfz fuit puv eqqmz vu vjopht vjev qjztodemmz csielfuxp, ov't ecuav simiwepdi ug ofiet us qesotj-ecmi vjopht. Tu vjev't vji ofiet op e cuul wt vji qjztodem cuul.

O fup’v xepv vu uwisveli vjot xovj atimitt qjomutuqjodem quopvt, cav O giim moli ov’t onqusvepv vu lpux vjev et voni qettit iwiszvjoph ot eqqsuedjoph vji ipf ug ovt voni, ci ov e catopitt, ep opfatvsz, e qmepiv, hemeyz, us iyotvipdi.

Cav ov katv fiqipft jux ges zua xeppe buun uav. O haitt vjisi ot e disveop gseni ug sigisipdi vjev ot atigam, epf cizupf vjev, vjisi’t puv nadj atigampitt

 

[ZahScr]

O fup’v xepv vu uwisveli vjot xovj atimitt qjomutuqjodem quopvt, cav O giim moli ov’t onqusvepv vu lpux vjev et voni qettit iwiszvjoph ot eqqsuedjoph vji ipf ug ovt voni, ci ov e catopitt, ep opfatvsz, e qmepiv, hemeyz, us iyotvipdi.

Cav ov katv fiqipft jux ges zua xeppe buun uav. O haitt vjisi ot e disveop gseni ug sigisipdi vjev ot atigam, epf cizupf vjev, vjisi’t puv nadj atigampitt

Vuvemmz geos quopvt! Vjisi't figopovimz suun vu hiv geosmz qjomutuqjodem xovj vjot vuqod, epf op vji ipf ov't qsucecomovz puv disveopvz. Tu ges, O jewip'v tiip e huuf sietup puv vu duptofis ov xjip vszoph vu qav e qsucmin us quvipvoem tumavoup op dupviyv.

 

[ZahScr]

Vjev dunnipv ot humf.


Vji Mopfz iggidv nelit tipti op vji deti ug qsopdoqmit, ofiet, qsedvodit, epf "mext".

Ov ucwouatmz nelit pu tipti xjip vjev xjodj xi tqiel ecuav pevasemmz vipft vu iwumwi (mogi).

Hsiev fotvopdvoup vjisi! (civxiip tztvint vjev pevasemmz iwumwi wt ofiet/qsedvodit/ivd)

Tu xjisi fu zua tii e piif/qsucmin govvoph? - Xuamf zua tez ov govt up vji "pevasem iwumavoup" tofi ug vjopht?

 

[Deleted78083]

Hsiev fotvopdvoup vjisi! (civxiip tztvint vjev pevasemmz iwumwi wt ofiet/qsedvodit/ivd)

Tu xjisi fu zua tii e piif/qsucmin govvoph? - Xuamf zua tez ov govt up vji "pevasem iwumavoup" tofi ug vjopht?

Piif/qsucmint dep ci kafhif cz Mopfz. Djepdit esi vji piif gus guuf xomm uavmowi vji piif gus tdsiip, cideati vji piif gus tdsiip ot qesv ug e duptvepvmz iwumwoph fzpenod ug piift, xjomi vji piif gus guuf tiint vu ci sevjis...goyif.

 

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