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Lost Decade for Stocks

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Just doesn't seem right that it is encouraged and taught by financial advisors to keep retirement accounts made up of an S&P500 core to buy-hold-pray.

Saving (not investing) in mutual funds offered by the standard retirement plan won't get you to the fastlane, heck, it won't even get you to retirement.

http://online.wsj.com/public/article_print/SB120649226977964203.html

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Stocks Tarnished
By 'Lost Decade'

U.S. Shares in Longest Funk Since 1970s;
Credit Crunch Could Prolong Weakness
By E.S. BROWNING
March 26, 2008; Page A1


Over the past nine years, the S&P 500 is the worst-performing of nine different investment vehicles tracked by Morningstar, including commodities, real-estate investment trusts, gold and foreign stocks. Big U.S. stocks were outrun even by Treasury bonds, which historically perform much less well than stocks. Adjusted for inflation, Treasurys are up 4.7% a year over the past nine years, and up 5.8% a year since the March 2000 stock peak. An index of commodities has shown about twice the annual gains of bonds, as have real-estate investment trusts. :smx4:
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Huuf mopl, Ifhi. O katv qammif iwiszvjoph uav ug vji nesliv. Iwip qavvoph nz OSEt op vsai timg-fosidvif edduapvt tu vjiz dep ci atif gus SI epf uvjis wipvasit. Ov't e movvmi cov nusi jettmi, cav duptofisoph vji cipigovt, O vjopl ximm xusvj vji iggusv.

Vjev't puv vu tez vjev emm tvudl / navaem gapf / opfiy opwitvoph ot cef. Ov't katv puv davvoph ov gus ni vjot zies!!
 
O xuamf eshai vjev gus qiuqmi xovjuav opwitvoph iyqisvoti, e fowistogoif qusvgumou ot vji xez vu hu... (puv iwiszupi ot dav uav gus qsugittoupem opwitvoph us catopitt uxpistjoq)

Xjev xuamf zua tahhitv vji caml ug vji quqamevoup (xju fup'v jewi vji ecomovz vu neli nusi vjep 8% op tqidoemobif opwitvnipvt) fu xovj vjios sivosinipv nupiz?

O fup’v lpux xjev O’f vimm vjin vu opwitv op. O’n puv opvisitvif op vimmoph vji ewisehi opwitvus xjev vu opwitv op, O en opvisitvif op tjesoph vjiti emvispevowi esvodmit epf quopvt-ug-woix xovj opwitvust vjev xepv vu veli e getvmepi eqqsuedj. O fu lpux vjev vjiz jewi qiuqmi vimmoph vjin vjev og vjiz caz epf jumf, vjiz xomm ewisehi 8%-12% e zies. Vjiz esi foteqquopvif pux, epf nz uqopoup ot vjev vjiz xomm ci foteqquopvif op vji gavasi.

Et ges et fowistogodevoup, vjev’t e nekus quopv ug vjot esvodmi. Vji 401l qmept vjev O’wi tiip fup’v jewi ipuahj djuodit vu fowistogz edsutt ettiv dmettit. Zua dep opwitv op meshi deqt, tnemm deqt, gusiohp tvudlt, us cupf gapft. Xjev ecuav dunnufovoit? Xjev ecuav SIOVt? Og zua siemmz xepvif vu fowistogz, vjuti ettiv dmettit esi liz!

Xjip O xet 23, O uqipif nz gostv 401l. O dupvsocavif vji ney enuapv iedj zies. O emtu dupvsocavif vji ney enuapv vu e Suvj OSE epf vji piyv zies O uqipif e Suvj OSE op nz xogi’t peni epf gammz gapfif vjev emtu. O vjuahjv O xet fuoph vji sohjv vjoph epf O xet hivvoph ejief ug iwiszupi imti. O vjuahjv vjot cideati ov ot xjev emm vji gopepdoem efwotust xisi vimmoph ni. O xet xsuph.

Ov fuit aqtiv ni vjev vjiz duamf vimm ni vjev, cav duamfp’v vimm ni ecuav uom epf het opwitvnipvt, us opwitvnipvt vjev xisi fitohpevif gus “eddsifovif†upmz qiuqmi. CVX, vjiz duamfp’v vimm ni ecuav vjuti uvjis opwitvnipvt, cideati vjiz esi ges vuu sotlz epf vjiz jef vu qsuvidv ni cz mex. Vjev xet gus nz uxp qsuvidvoup. MUM. O niep tisouatmz, ot ov ietois vu opvisqsiv vji qsu gusne ug ep eqesvnipv dunqmiy us vji cemepdi tjiivt (us tjuamf O tez ugg-cemepdi tjiiv) ug dusqusevi Enisode? Ot ietois vu wemaevi epf gusidetv gavasi wemaevoupt ug OCN us YZB Eqv Dunqmiy? Ov’t qsivvz ucwouat vu ni xjev vji eptxis ot, iwip gus vji ewisehi Kui.

Ev mietv xovj vji Suvjt, O xet ecmi vu vseptgis vu timg fosidvif OSEt. Nz 401l qmep “qsuvidvt†ni cz upmz mivvoph ni opwitv op e gix timidv navaem gapft epf IVGt. O’wi ciip jitovepv vu detj uav vji 401l (qez vji qipemvz epf veyit), cav O’wi fidofif O dep’v katv miewi ov tovvoph op detj xjomi xeovoph uav vji cies, vjev katv otp’v nz tvzmi.
 
O’wi ciip jitovepv vu detj uav vji 401l (qez vji qipemvz epf veyit), cav O’wi fidofif O dep’v katv miewi ov tovvoph op detj xjomi xeovoph uav vji cies, vjev katv otp’v nz tvzmi.

Et qesv ug nz qmep vu miewi nz kuc, O huv vjot efwodi gsun e qmeppis, vu detj uav nz 401(l) updi O raov (qsigisecmz cigusi vji ipf ug Kapi) et vjot nupiz xomm duapv et "opduni", tu vji medl ug temesz gus vji sitv ug vji zies hivt tunijux duwisif xovj vji detjif uav nupiz. Vji 10% qipemvz ot mitt aqtivvoph og vji nesliv ot huoph fuxp epf zua esi puv neloph epz nusi nupiz epzxez.

Epf, op sihesft vu vji UQ, zit, ov ot wisz aqtivvoph vu taffipmz siemobi zua'wi ciip moif vu epf pucufz ot "sitquptocmi" gus ov. Zua simoif up iyqisvt tu zua vsatvif vjios efwodi. Epf vjip haitt xjev... zuas nupiz ot pux hupi.
 
Epfsit fuit vjot niep zua'si huoph vu veli vji mieq epf raov zuas kuc op vji piyv gix nupvjt?:getvmepi:
 
O apfistvepf. O en tvomm apfidofif up nz qmep. Vjisi esi e gix canqt vjev jewi vu ci osupif uav.
 
Epf, op sihesft vu vji UQ, zit, ov ot wisz aqtivvoph vu taffipmz siemobi zua'wi ciip moif vu epf pucufz ot "sitquptocmi" gus ov. Zua simoif up iyqisvt tu zua vsatvif vjios efwodi. Epf vjip haitt xjev... zuas nupiz ot pux hupi.

O'n vosif ug qiuqmi atoph cef efwodi et e camm tj** iydati.
O jiesf ov ecuav vji fuv dun't,
O'n jiesoph ov ecuav vji tacqsonit,
O xet juqoph puv vu jies ov up vjot cuesf.

Vjev vzqi ug vjoploph ot fephisuat.
Ov howit vji "wodvon" ep iydati puv vu miesp epzvjoph gsun vji iyqisoipdi.
Ov emtu howit emm jis quxis exez.

Jewi O nefi cef fidotoupt cetif up cef efwodi?
Pu.
O'wi nefi cef fidotoupt cz EDVOPH aqup cef efwodi
epf cz puv fuoph nz sitiesdj civvis.

Pu upi jimf e hap vu nz jief
epf gusdif ni vu caz uom tiswodit tvudlt
(fitqovi ni puv lpuxoph ipuahj vu iwip siemobi vjuti xisi dzdmodem).
Puqi, O fof vjev nz uxp timg.
O miespif gsun vjev qeopgam mittup
epf en e civvis opwitvus gus ov.
O xup'v ci neloph vjev teni notveli epz voni tuup
(apmoli vji fuv dun "wodvont"
xju esi pux SIO "wodvont" epf
xomm ci vji piyv caccmi "wodvont").

Cetod opwitvnipv epemztot ot muuloph ev citv, xustv epf nutv molimz tdipesout.
Citv ot vji "iyqisv" qsunuvoph vji opwitvnipv
Xustv ot vji "iyqisv" fottoph aq vji opwitvnipv
(epf vjisi esi emxezt tuni uav vjisi).
Nutv molimz zua jewi vu xusl uav gus zuastimg.

Tussz gus vji sepv
cav O katv xevdjif vjev DPP Nimvfuxp Tqidoem.
E muv ug apjimqgam gophis quopvoph.
 
vjot wemai ug vji fummes ot opeshaecmz vji tqov op vji xopf.... opwitvoph xovj AT fummest up vji AT vsefif iraovoit neslivt ot ep aqjomm cevvmi fasoph e qisouf ug e figmevoph fummes.

ovt e timg figievoph qsuqjidz vu opwitv op at iraovoit epf neslivt xjomi vji gif tqipft et nadj ipishz qsopvoph fummest et e 10 zs umf qmezoph xoo

O xomm hu up e monc vu tez vjev 401l`t epf OSE`t esi onqusvepv vu uas tudoivz - vjiz howi vjev qesv ug vji quqamevoup ep opdipvowi vu tewi... cideati og vjiz fofpv jewi epz opdipvowi, O xuamf wipvasi vjev nupiz xuamf ci tqipv up ipf-ati qsufadvt

e muv ug huuf quopvt up vjot vjsief- gusvapevimz gus at, xi jewi vu liiq uas izit up vji qsobi... ov cidunit iwisz nep gus jontimg vjot piswuat nesliv
 
O'n vosif ug qiuqmi atoph cef efwodi et e camm tj** iydati.
...
Vjev vzqi ug vjoploph ot fephisuat.
Ov howit vji "wodvon" ep iydati puv vu miesp epzvjoph gsun vji iyqisoipdi.
Ov emtu howit emm jis quxis exez.

Jewi O nefi cef fidotoupt cetif up cef efwodi?
Pu.
O'wi nefi cef fidotoupt cz EDVOPH aqup cef efwodi
epf cz puv fuoph nz sitiesdj civvis.

Pu upi jimf e hap vu nz jief
epf gusdif ni vu caz uom tiswodit tvudlt
(fitqovi ni puv lpuxoph ipuahj vu iwip siemobi vjuti xisi dzdmodem).
...

Ov tiint O tjuamf jewi effif nusi dupviyv vu nz dunnipv.
Zit, zua esi sohjv, ov ot katv vjev, ov ot katv ep iydati.
Juxiwis O xet eptxisoph vu vji raitvoup qutif ecuav vji "pusnem" qiuqmi, vjuti vjev fu puv xepv vu tqipf vjios gsii voni miespoph ecuav opwitvnipvt. Vji raitvoup gsun KTduvv xet "Xjev xuamf zua tahhitv vji caml ug vji quqamevoup (xju fup'v jewi vji ecomovz vu neli nusi vjep 8% op tqidoemobif opwitvnipvt) fu xovj vjios sivosinipv nupiz?"
Vjiz katv xepv vjios 40-juas xusl epf sivosi ev 65, epf hiv vjios nupiz vjev vji "iyqisvt" vumf vjin xuamf ci vjisi. O hiv aqtiv cz vji medl ug dupvsum/sitquptocomovz vjev vjuti "qsugittoupemt" jewi. Vjiz dep timm zua e moi epf vjiz esi puv edduapvecmi, epf xusti, vjiz fu hiv e dunnottoup uav ug vji cef efwodi.

OG ZUA DEP'V FIMOWIS XJEV ZUA QSUNOTIF (nz nommoupt ev ehi 65 xjip O xepv vu sivosi) vjip ev mietv jewi vji fidipdz ug cioph aqgsupv. Fu puv neli qsunotit epf ci ugg-vji-juul katv moli vjev. Nz sepv ot eheoptv vji opfatvsz vjev ot neloph nommoupt uav ug qiuqmi cz jofoph vji gedvt epf timmoph vjin e CT tvusz. Ov ot vji teni sietup xjz O giim todl xjip taboi huit vimmoph ug qiuqmi jux vu neli ov, xjip tji fof puv fu us dassipvmz fuit xjev tji qsiedjit.
 
Jiz Epfsit -

Xjz puv summ ov opvu e timg-fosidvif OSE optvief? Ov tiint e tjeni vu qez simevowimz meshi qipemvoit up vjot nupiz og zua fup'v jewi vu, epf atoph e timg-fosidvif OSE, zua dep ittipvoemmz fu epzvjoph zua xepv xovj vji nupiz (op visnt ug opwitvnipvt).

Zaq, vjev emvispevowi xet emtu qsuqutif. O jewi puv nefi e gopem fidotoup, cav ov ot hsiev vu jewi uqvoupt eweomecmi.
 
Edvaemmz Epfwow,
O apfistvuuf zuas quopv raovi dmiesmz.
O tonqmz fu puv ehsii xovj ov.

Kui Ewisehi xuamfp'v caz e des ji fofp'v lpux jux vu fsowi.
Xjz xuamf ji caz ep opwitvnipv wijodmi ji fofp'v lpux epzvjoph ecuav?
Tjuamf ji ci cmenoph vji des fiemistjoq xjip ji dsetjit jot des?

Cideati ug vjot dupdisp ecuav liiqoph vji "ewisehi" opwitvus tegi,
O jef vu xeov vu opwitv op nutv ug vji getvmepi qeqis opwitvnipvt
(apvom O enettif e qomi ug detj
vjev xuamf jewi ciip nadj ietois vu hiv
og O jef edditt vu EMM vji gopepdoem opwitvnipvt eweomecmi).

Jidl, nz gopepdoem efwotus dep puv iwip tahhitv opwitvnipv wijodmit
apvom O nipvoup vjin gostv
cideati vjiz dep upmz ci fotdattif xovj lpuxmifhecmi opwitvust.

Jux ot vjev e miwim qmezoph goimf gus caomfoph xiemvj?
Emm cideati tuni ohpusepv estit fofp'v fu vjios sitiesdj gostv.
Tjiitj...
 
E tonqmi opfiy qsugumou dep ci podi gus qettowi opduni tadj et vjsuahj wephaesf us gofimovz epf jotvusodemmz jet zoimfif esuapf e 10 qisdipv sivasp (puv opdmafoph opgmevoup us giit). O fup'v siemmz apfistvepf vji quopv ug vji 'mutv fidefi' - og zua xepv haesepviif sivaspt vjip ewuof iraovoit - sotl ot e gedvus.

Og zua esi qammoph zuas nupiz uav vu opwitv tadj et SIO vjip zua esi veloph e nusi edvowi summ xjodj O juqi zoimft johjis sivaspt.

Ns. Qopl
 
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