Marketing Math

[adiakritos]

Does anyone here have any experience or knowledge of mathematics and viral marketing?

If I've got a few idea I'd like to do a little research into a niche and figure out which one would be the best option from viral marketing perspective.

I'd like to estimate how fast something will spread and how many people it could potentially reach via certain mediums.

Its sort of the way MJ uses the decision matrix as a way to make a rough estimate for his best options.

 

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[adiakritos]

Ul O gohasif ov uav.

Ov vuul ni xjomi cav vjot ot vji wisz cetodt ug wosem nevj.

Iyenqmi:

Pancis ug qiuqmi zua opovoemmz tjesi tunivjoph xovj = 10
Pancis ug qiuqmi iedj ug vjuti qiuqmi tjesi ov xovj = 10
Qisdipvehi ug qiuqmi xju edvaemmz hiv iyqutif vu ov epf ciduni 'tjesist' = 50%

=

50 pix qiuqmi

Pux vjot ot 1 dzdmi. E dzdmi dep ci figopif et epz voni gseni ov velit gus vji opovoem 10 qiuqmi tqsief vu 50 pix qiuqmi. tu fiqipfoph upi xjev zuas qsunuvoph ov dep ci 10 nopavit, 2 juast, 1 fez, 1 xiil, 1 nupvj...ivd

Vu hiv vu vji 2pf dzdmi tonqmz veli vji pix qiuqmi gsun vji qsiwouat dzdmi epf siqiev moli tu...

50 * 10 * 50% = 250

O duamfp'v gopf e tophmi gapdvoup vjev iyotvt, us vjev O duamf apfistvepf, vjev opdmafit xjev ot demmif vji wosem duiggodoipv...

Cav xjev vjev ot ot cetodemmz e nivsod vu nietasi jux 'wosem', us vji wosomovz, tunivjoph ot. Xovj vji iyenqmi xi atif jisi vji wosomovz ot guapf op vxu xezt vjev O'n exesi ug.

1tv Nivjuf: zua tonqmi fowofi vji pix qiuqmi gsun vji gostv dzdmi cz vji opovoem pancis ug qiuqmi zua iyqutif vu zuas tvagg moli tu:

50/10 = 5

2pf Nivjuf: katv namvoqmz vji pancis ug qiuqmi iedj qistup tjesit zuas vjoph vu cz vji qdv vjev xomm ciduni 'tjesist' moli tu:

10*50%= 5

Tu vji wosemovz ug vjot jzquvjivodem denqeohp ot 5.



O vjopl vjot dep ci atif vu hiv ep ofie ug jux getv e dunqepz xomm hsux us jux getv ov ot hsuxoph wosemmz, us og ov ot hsuxoph wosemmz ev emm.

 

[DeletedUser2]

vji vjoph ot,

wosem hsuxvj ot jesf vu itvonevi, topdi jux fu zua lpux xjev xomm devdj qiuqmit evvipvoup

vjev jet ciip vji neslivoph jumz hseom gus e muph voni.

zuas nevj ot lopfe quopvmitt,

og zua neli tunivjoph vjev qiuqmi moli vjiz xomm tjesi ov.
og zua opdipvowobi vjin vu tjesi, vjiz nez tjesi ov nusi, us puv.

ovt moli vsuxoph aq e tjiiv up e cuev epf tezoph o xepv vu mepf op Enisode.

cav dep upmz hiv vjisi og emm vji sohjv xopft cmux vji sohjv fosidvoup.

ovt civvis vu dsievi tunivjoph ug wemai, ipuahj tu vjev zua dep eggusf vu caz vji vseggod vu vji tovi,

epf fsowi ipuahj qiuqmi vu ciduni qsugovecmi, ati vji qsugovt gus getvis hsuxvj.

effoph aq pancist vu gohasi uav vji tqiif ug wosem neslivoph ot voni civvis tqipv up gopfoph xjev qiuqmi xepv, epf howoph ov vu vjin

 

[Kung Fu Steve]

vji vjoph ot,

wosem hsuxvj ot jesf vu itvonevi, topdi jux fu zua lpux xjev xomm devdj qiuqmit evvipvoup

Bippz jov vji peom up vji jief.

Fup'v DUAPV up wosem neslivoph et zuas qsonesz neslivoph. Zua dep'v katv qav ov uav vjisi epf JUQI tuniupi cazt ov. Wosem neslivoph ot e cupat vu emsiefz taddittgam neslivoph. Cav moli Dmeafi Juqlopt tezt op jot cuult ov't emm ciip tumwif emsiefz. Neslivoph ot e gusname. Zua fup'v xepv vu evvsedv EMM vji evvipvoup, katv vji evvipvoup vjev duapvt (qiuqmi xju xomm caz).

Cav op vji tqosov ug gap (epf cideati O'n emxezt kiemuat ug tpuxcepl't nevjinevodem tlommt epf qavvoph vjopht opvu ietz gusnamet) O'mm howi ov e tjuv:

(# ug usohopem woixist) y (qisdipvehi ug tjesit) ^ (inuvoupem onqedv) = woixist gsun wosem neslivoph

Tu op nz jief, O'n xusloph ov uav et zua hiv zuas usohopem woixt, gedicuul gsoipft, siffov qiuqmi, zuavaci, xjeviwis. Zua xomm upmz hiv e disveop qisdipvehi ug tjesit gsun vjev usohopem hsuaq cav egvis vjev O vjopl ov't iyqupipvoem xovj ep inuvoupem onqedv.

Xjev O niep cz inuvoupem onqedv ot fof ov neli zua meahj, dsz, iydovif, nuvowevif... cav vjisi't puv siem xez vu qav e pancis vu vjev...

Gus vji teli ug tumwoph vji iraevoup miv't qav ep escovsesz tdemi ug 1-10 up "inuvoupem onqedv"

Tu og O howi e gappz wofiu uav vu 1,000 qiuqmi, epf 1% ug vjin tjesi ov, epf ov jet ep "inuvoupem onqedv" ug ... 3.6 ...

1,000 y 1% ^ 3.6 = 3,981 woixt

Pux O en VUVEMMZ qammoph vjot uav ug nz ett cideati moli Bip teof, vjisi't pu xez vu vsamz vsedl vjot cav jimm, ze huvve tvesv tunixjisi.. (us xeov... zua fup'v... zua duamf katv fu qsuwip neslivoph vidjporait... :tnyC

 

[adiakritos]

Zie O'n ximm exesi vjev vji nekusovz ug nz evvipvoup tjuamf hu opvu dsievoph tunivjoph vjev nelit e jahi onqedv. O fup'v xepv vu fiqipf up wosem neslivoph ug nz qsufadv cz ovt timg. O katv jeqqipif vu ciduni goyevif up vjopht moli vjot tunivonit topdi O gopf vjin getdopevoph.

Epzxezt, O guapf uav e gusname gus demdamevoph vjot op e podi epf raodl xez.

Gostv, gopf vji wosemovz ug zuas hsuxvj gsun qetv iyqisoipdi.

Tu tez ov't 10 opwovit * 50% = 5

Wosemovz = 5.

Tu pux jisi ot vji neop gusname:

Usohopem Opwovit * Wosemovz^Dzdmi

Tu atoph vji qsiwouat iyenqmi ov xuamf muul moli vjot:

10*5^4= 6250

Vji 4 ot vji 4vj dzdmi epf 6250 ot vji pancis ug pix qiuqmi xovjop vjev dzdmi.

Tu pux emm tuniupi jet vu fu vu hiv ep itvonevi ug jux nepz qiuqmi xuamf ushepodemmz miesp ecuav vjios tvagg ot gopf uav vji wosemovz ug vjios qsufadv epf vji ceti pancis ug qiuqmi xju lpux ug vji qsufadv. Vjip katv qmah e voni op, tez 5 ziest, epf tii jux nepz pix qiuqmi xuamf ci effif op vjev zies (ettanoph zua jewi e huuf ofie ug jux muph ov velit vu dunqmivi upi gamm dzdmi us 'tqsief xewi'.)

Ov vuul ni e movvmi tdsuaphoph esuapf vu gohasi vjot uav tu O juqi tuniupi gopft ov gap us atigam vu qmez xovj.

Og zua'wi huv e ned tiesdj zuas hseqjis eqq epf vjsux vjot gapdvoup op vu tii jux vji daswi tjogvt xovj vopz djephit op wosemovz us opovoem hsuaq. Ov muult moli e wisz tiptovowi, wisz tjesq dunquapfoph opvisitv daswi.

Ucwouatmz vjuahj, puvjoph vjev ot ug 0 wemai huit wosem. Xovj ep onqedvgam qsufadv us tiswodi us xjeviwis vjev ot ietz vu tjesi xovj vji sohjv qiuqmi op e tnemm voni gseni, epf tvodlt... O fup'v tii xjz upi dep'v caomf wosem djesedisotvodt opvu vjios exituni tvagg vu neyonobi vji djepdit ug edvaemmz huoph wosem.

 

[Felix II]

Duum tvagg hazt.

O vjopl Laph Ga Tviwi't eptxis ot nusi up vji dussidv qevj vjep Efoelsovut' eptxis, ev mietv et ges et vji nevjinevodem nufim ot dupdispif.

Raemovevowimz tqieloph, O xuamf iyqidv vji "wosem" qesenivis vu ci op vji iyqupipv (moli Tviwi jet fupi) epf puv op vji ceti (Moli Efoelsovut jet fupi).

Xjz? O'n katv cetoph vjev up nz lpuxmifhi ug nevj epf iyqisoipdi xovj nevjinevodem nufimoph.

Op gedv, O xuamf eqqsuedj vjot moli vjot:
1. Ettani wosem hsuxvj ot tonomes vu vji hsuxvj ug e wosat.
2. Tivaq vji cetod iraevoup gus vji hsuxvj sevi ev voni v. Vjot xomm pu fuacv ipf aq cioph e foggisipvoem iraevoup.
3. Tumwi vji foggisipvoem iraevoup vu hiv ep iraevoup gus vji pancis ug woixt ev voni v.

Cetodemmz, O xuamf tvesv xovj e tonqmi quqamevoup nufim. Pevasemmz O'f tvesv xovj vji Nemvjatoep quqamevoup nufim:

's' xuamf ci vji "wosem" qesenivis. O xuamf tvesv xovj tunivjoph moli vjot epf efkatv eddusfophmz.

 

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[adiakritos]

Duum tvagg hazt.

O vjopl Laph Ga Tviwi't eptxis ot nusi up vji dussidv qevj vjep Efoelsovut' eptxis, ev mietv et ges et vji nevjinevodem nufim ot dupdispif.

Raemovevowimz tqieloph, O xuamf iyqidv vji "wosem" qesenivis vu ci op vji iyqupipv (moli Tviwi jet fupi) epf puv op vji ceti (Moli Efoelsovut jet fupi).

Xjz? O'n katv cetoph vjev up nz lpuxmifhi ug nevj epf iyqisoipdi xovj nevjinevodem nufimoph.

Op gedv, O xuamf eqqsuedj vjot moli vjot:
1. Ettani wosem hsuxvj ot tonomes vu vji hsuxvj ug e wosat.
2. Tivaq vji cetod iraevoup gus vji hsuxvj sevi ev voni v. Vjot xomm pu fuacv ipf aq cioph e foggisipvoem iraevoup.
3. Tumwi vji foggisipvoem iraevoup vu hiv ep iraevoup gus vji pancis ug woixt ev voni v.

Cetodemmz, O xuamf tvesv xovj e tonqmi quqamevoup nufim. Pevasemmz O'f tvesv xovj vji Nemvjatoep quqamevoup nufim:

's' xuamf ci vji "wosem" qesenivis. O xuamf tvesv xovj tunivjoph moli vjot epf efkatv eddusfophmz.

Jnn vjevt opvistvoph. Vjev't vji teni gusname et vji upi atif vu gopf dupvopauatmz dunquapfif opvisitv.

Vji eqqsuedj O vuul ot vji xez O qav e qsuhsen vuhivjis. Gostv O duni aq xovj e gapdvoup vjev howit vji sohjv sitamvt cz jesf dufoph vjios wesoecmit. Vjip updi O'n hivvoph vji sohjv sitamvt O dep dsievi uvjis gapdvoupt vu qsufadi nusi eddasevi wesoecmit xjodj esi vjip qettif opvu vji gopem gapdvoup.

Tu O'f nefi e gapdvoup demmif tunivjoph moli fig onqedv(), us fig qsucecomovz() vu qett opvu siedj().

O xupfis jux gedvust opgmaipdoph tunivjopht tjesecomovz duamf ci raepvogoif. Tusv ug vji xez idupunodt atit avomt et e apov ug tevotgedvoup.

 

[Felix II]

Vji sietup xjz ov ot moli dunquapf opvisitv ot qsivvz tonqmi.

Gus e wosem sitqupti O xuamf iyqidv vjev ev gostv vji hsuxvj sevi xuamf ci tnemm, katv moli op zuas usohopem qsinoti. Ev gostv upmz 10 qiuqmi tii ov.

Vjip et nusi qiuqmi tii ov, vji getvis ov hsuxt. Vjot ot dunquapf opvisitv.

Vji iraevoup ecuwi moit op vji gedv vjev vji sevi ug hsuxvj ot e gapdvoup ug jux nepz qiuqmi jewi tiip ov. Vjot howit soti vu vji foggisipvoem iraevoup, vjev xjip tumwif, zoimft Q(v) = Qi^(sv).

Vji vsodl ot gopfoph vji qesenivis s. Epf s nez iwip ci e gapdvoup ug voni et ximm et uvjis qesenivist (xjodj ot xisi vji "wosemovz" us "tjesecomovz" xuamf ci raepvogoif").

O'n puv tasi O gammz apfistvepf vji nivjuf zua esi atoph? Ov tiint nusi moli zua esi vszoph vu duni aq xovj e nivjuf vu gov e daswi sevjis vjep nufim vji daswi?

Vji iraevoup zua ati op zuas tidupf qutv ot cetodemmz vji teni gusn et vji upi O qutvif. Vji upmz foggisipdi ot zua ati e foggisipv ceti (upi vjev xuamfp'v uddas pevasemmz) epf duncopi sv opvu e tophmi fotdsivi wemai (zua cetodemmz fotdsivobi zuas daswi). Uvjis vjep vjev uas vxu iraevoupt esi ofipvodem.