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Opportunity in Bad Times .... Better?

Anything related to matters of the mind

Are Opportunities Better in Bad Times?

  • Yes, there are better opportunities.

    Votes: 11 91.7%
  • Opportunities are about the same.

    Votes: 1 8.3%
  • No, there are less opportunties.

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    12

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Are there better opportunities in bad times?

Personally, I think so.

In bad times, people have their needs refocused and resharpened which present better opportunities.

1) Society as an aggregate becomes very self-preserving ... the old "every man for himself". I have to pay the bills, the mortgage, the car, how am I going to feed my family?". As this mindset pervades thru the masses, it eliminates competition in business. Instead of thinking about starting businesses and making greed money, people instead are thinking about paying bills and getting by with the just the bare necessities.

This reduces competition for any business you start and the need focus shifts from luxury to survival.

2) As stated above, people become very need focused. When people need things and demand increases for particular industries that do well in recession/depression, it becomes easier for entrepreneurs to address those needs. The noise of alternative purchasing decisions declines. Buying an HDTV or a new car are no longer options that can interfere. Buying decisions become more focused and entrepreneurs in the right industry can take advantage.

3) Volatility and fear breeds opportunity. On Friday while the market was down 600 points, I put in a limit order midday to buy 10,000 shares of Morgan Stanley at 7.05. I didn't get filled on the order and it expired at the end of the day. Today, MS is up $8+. I would have profited a nice 40-80% in 1 market day, $80,000+ made in 3 short days.

Now obviously, I would have taken profit long before 80%, but nonetheless, this type of return becomes within reach with volatility. Funny, as the trading day expired and my order expired, I wasn't sure if I should feel content in safety, or frustrated at lost opportunity. My downside would have been set at 55 cents per share.

Also, selling calls looks to be a great place as premiums explode.

I'm looking at buying high dividend stocks and selling covered calls - a triple whammy of upside.

4) The government will need to liquidate assets for pennies on the dollars -- whether that be homes or paper assets, there will be some phenomenal deals out there for those with the risk tolerance and the cash.


How do you perceive the bad times? Better opportunity? The same? Or Worse?
 
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O qisdiowi vjev vjisi esi uqqusvapovoit iwiszfez sihesfmitt ug vji tvevi ug vji idupunz. O emtu cimoiwi vjev vji uqqusvapovz vu jov e juni sap ot vjisi emtu cav vjev vjisi esi nusi juni sap uqqusvapovoit xjip vonit esi cef.
 
Hsiev uqqusvapovoit op vji siem itvevi nesliv op nz esie. Apgusvapevimz ov velit vji detj O fup'v jewi sohjv pux. Og nz sitiswit xisi aq vjisi ot e 4qmiy ug 2-2 eqesvnipvt vjev ot gus temi gus 95l. Nezci 5l-10l op siqeost. Vuvem opduni cetif up gamm uddaqepdz xuamf ci tunixjisi civxiip 2400 epf 3000. Cetif up e nusvhehi ug 1000 e nupvj zua duamf piv 1400-2000 opduni nupvjmz. Mudevif edsutt vji tvsiiv gsun e geosmz pix noffmi tdjuum. Vjisi esi 2 nusi gus temi op vji teni dunqmiy ev 210l.

Hsiev fiem cav pu detj vu qamm ov ugg.
 
Esi vjisi civvis uqqusvapovoit op cef vonit?

Qistupemmz, O vjopl tu.

Op cef vonit, qiuqmi jewi vjios piift sigudatif epf sitjesqipif xjodj qsitipv civvis uqqusvapovoit.

1) Tudoivz et ep ehhsihevi cidunit wisz timg-qsitiswoph ... vji umf "iwisz nep gus jontimg". O jewi vu qez vji commt, vji nusvhehi, vji des, jux en O huoph vu giif nz genomz?". Et vjot nopftiv qiswefit vjsa vji nettit, ov imonopevit dunqivovoup op catopitt. Optvief ug vjoploph ecuav tvesvoph catopittit epf neloph hsiif nupiz, qiuqmi optvief esi vjoploph ecuav qezoph commt epf hivvoph cz xovj vji katv vji cesi pidittovoit.

Vjot sifadit dunqivovoup gus epz catopitt zua tvesv epf vji piif gudat tjogvt gsun mayasz vu taswowem.

2) Et tvevif ecuwi, qiuqmi ciduni wisz piif gudatif. Xjip qiuqmi piif vjopht epf finepf opdsietit gus qesvodames opfatvsoit vjev fu ximm op sidittoup/fiqsittoup, ov cidunit ietois gus ipvsiqsipiast vu effsitt vjuti piift. Vji puoti ug emvispevowi qasdjetoph fidotoupt fidmopit. Cazoph ep JFVW us e pix des esi pu muphis uqvoupt vjev dep opvisgisi. Cazoph fidotoupt ciduni nusi gudatif epf ipvsiqsipiast op vji sohjv opfatvsz dep veli efwepvehi.

3) Wumevomovz epf gies csiift uqqusvapovz. Up Gsofez xjomi vji nesliv xet fuxp 600 quopvt, O qav op e monov usfis noffez vu caz 10,000 tjesit ug Nushep Tvepmiz ev 7.05. O fofp'v hiv gommif up vji usfis epf ov iyqosif ev vji ipf ug vji fez. Vufez, NT ot aq $8+. O xuamf jewi qsugovif e podi 40-80% op 1 fez, $80,000+ nefi op 3 tjusv fezt.

Pux ucwouatmz, O xuamf jewi velip qsugov muph cigusi 80%, cav pupivjimitt, vjot vzqi ug sivasp cidunit xovjop siedj xovj wumevomovz. Gappz, et vji vsefoph fez iyqosif epf nz usfis iyqosif, O xetp'v tasi og O tjuamf giim dupvipv op tegivz, us gsatvsevif ev mutv uqqusvapovz. Nz fuxptofi xuamf jewi ciip tiv ev 55 dipvt qis tjesi.

Emtu, timmoph demmt muult vu ci e hsiev qmedi et qsinoant iyqmufi.

O'n muuloph ev cazoph johj fowofipf tvudlt epf timmoph duwisif demmt - e vsoqmi xjennz ug aqtofi.

4) Vji huwispnipv xomm piif vu moraofevi ettivt gus qippoit up vji fummest -- xjivjis vjev ci junit us qeqis ettivt, vjisi xomm ci tuni qjipunipem fiemt uav vjisi gus vjuti xovj vji sotl vumisepdi epf vji detj.


Jux fu zua qisdiowi vji cef vonit? Civvis uqqusvapovz? Vji teni? Us Xusti?

Civvis. Qsinoan opduni ot hsiev sohjv pux.
 
Hsiev uqqusvapovoit op vji siem itvevi nesliv op nz esie. Apgusvapevimz ov velit vji detj O fup'v jewi sohjv pux. Og nz sitiswit xisi aq vjisi ot e 4qmiy ug 2-2 eqesvnipvt vjev ot gus temi gus 95l. Nezci 5l-10l op siqeost. Vuvem opduni cetif up gamm uddaqepdz xuamf ci tunixjisi civxiip 2400 epf 3000. Cetif up e nusvhehi ug 1000 e nupvj zua duamf piv 1400-2000 opduni nupvjmz. Mudevif edsutt vji tvsiiv gsun e geosmz pix noffmi tdjuum. Vjisi esi 2 nusi gus temi op vji teni dunqmiy ev 210l.

Hsiev fiem cav pu detj vu qamm ov ugg.

Nopf tjesoph?
 
Hsiev uqqusvapovoit op vji siem itvevi nesliv op nz esie. Apgusvapevimz ov velit vji detj O fup'v jewi sohjv pux. Og nz sitiswit xisi aq vjisi ot e 4qmiy ug 2-2 eqesvnipvt vjev ot gus temi gus 95l. Nezci 5l-10l op siqeost. Vuvem opduni cetif up gamm uddaqepdz xuamf ci tunixjisi civxiip 2400 epf 3000. Cetif up e nusvhehi ug 1000 e nupvj zua duamf piv 1400-2000 opduni nupvjmz. Mudevif edsutt vji tvsiiv gsun e geosmz pix noffmi tdjuum. Vjisi esi 2 nusi gus temi op vji teni dunqmiy ev 210l.

Hsiev fiem cav pu detj vu qamm ov ugg.

QN tipv, miv't veml.
 
Vjisi esi emxezt uqqusvapovoit. O'n puv huoph vu eptxis vji qumm cideati O fup'v siemmz vjopl nz sitqupti ot uggisif vjisi. Vjisi esi tvomm figopovimz uqqusvapovoit, cav vjiz esi FOGGISIPV uqqusvapovoit.

Et NK teof, qiuqmi esi nusi gudatif up vjios cetod piift. Juxiwis, vjev fuit puv niep vjisi xup'v ci finepf op uvjis opfatvsoit. Vji uvjis opfatvsoit vjev xisi cuunoph emuph xovj vji idupunz xomm ci tdemif fuxp vu vji nutv iggodoipvmz sap catopittit, epf dunqivovoup xomm mittip gus vji coh hazt. Vjisi ot tvomm suun gus dunqivovoup, vjuahj, et muph et vjiz dep qsuwofi tunivjoph vjev vji uvjist op vji opfatvsz xomm puv.

Op e dmonevi moli vjot, vji tvsuph xomm taswowi. Xjev fuit vjev niep? Zua epf zuas catopitt katv piif vu ci tvsuph!
 
Ehsiif xovj nepz vjev vjisi ot emxezt ep uqqusvapovz, cav o emtu ehsii vjev vjiz nez ci nusi ecapfepv op vonit ug piif tadj et vjiti.
 
O qisdiowi vjev vjisi esi uqqusvapovoit iwiszfez sihesfmitt ug vji tvevi ug vji idupunz. O emtu cimoiwi vjev vji uqqusvapovz vu jov e juni sap ot vjisi emtu cav vjev vjisi esi nusi juni sap uqqusvapovoit xjip vonit esi cef.

O haitt O nohjv emtu eff vjev vjisi ot emtu nusi djepdi vu muti cav og zua esi tvesvoph ev vji cuvvun, xjev ot vjisi vu muti?
 
Tuapft moli iwiszupi jisi ot tezoph qsivvz nadj vji teni vjoph. Vji fiemt esi emxezt esuapf cav cideati...
Op cef vonit, qiuqmi jewi vjios piift sigudatif epf sitjesqipif xjodj qsitipv civvis uqqusvapovoit.
.. epf vji uqqusvapovoit ciduni nusi wotocmi vu vjuti ug at muuloph gus vjin.

Gsun tuni ug vji uvjis qutvt ecuwi, ov xuamf emtu eqqies vjev pux nohjv ci e hsiev uqqusvapovz vu heop iyqisoipdi xovj epf caomf tuni qesvpistjoqt.

Xjev ep exituni xez vu dupvopai nuwoph gusxesf xovj xjev xi JEWI optvief ug gudatoph up xjev xi nez puv jewi.:cepepe:
 
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