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The Probability of Success for Your Plan...

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MJ DeMarco

I followed the science; all I found was money.
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I'm probably going to take some heat for this post, but I believe I can predict the probability of success for your plan ... and so can you.

When you buy a car, you lift up the hood and look at the engine. When you buy a house, you tour the interior, open doors and look in closets. Things we buy can be inspected and put through tests of due diligence.

But what about human beings? Don't you wish you could do that with potential employees, business partners, or investors? A resume is hardly an indication since that document is created by each individual -- about as useless as an obesity study financed by McDonalds -- the source is bias.

So, how do you "look under the hood" of an individual?

You can. Its found in one simple number ... their credit score.

I was reading Jason's postings about leaving his job and starting his real estate company. In one of his posts, he wrote

- My credit score is 810

810. That number carries a large menagerie of information with it ... a lot of information not readily visible. A credit score is a kaleidescope into someone's life - not just financially, but personally ... its the equivalent of opening up the hood of an car and inspecting the engine.

How?

A good credit score tells me the following:
1) Financial intelligence
2) Good decision making
3) Integrity
4) Responsibility
5) Acknowledgment of Deadlines
6) Ability to Delay Gratification
7) Ability to plan, think long term vs short term
I believe many of the above are significant ingredients into the recipe of success.

If you are a person with a bad credit score, this tells me you have the potential...
1) To be irresponsible
2) To occasionally make poor decisions
3) To ignore deadlines
4) To lack integrity
5) To buy on impulse
6) To lack financial intelligence.
7) To not plan or think long term
By the time you are in your mid-20's, your credit score is well established.


If I want to predict your success in any business venture, I'd look at your credit score because that is one MAJOR number that exposes the engine of your financial life. I will look at your score as 1 major factor to predict your probability of success.

Is it the only predictor of success? Of course not. However, given all things equal -- I'd invest my money on the business guy with an 810 credit score vs the guy with a 520 yet has a 140 IQ.

If your credit score sucks, work to improve it as improvement of this one number will improve your odds of success in business - not because of the number itself, but because of the predisposed behavior and discipline necessary to accomplish it.

Discipline is not easy. If it was, we'd all have 810's.
 
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E huuf dsifov tdusi vimmt ni vji gummuxoph:
1) Gopepdoem opvimmohipdi
2) Huuf fidotoup neloph
3) Opvihsovz
4) Sitquptocomovz
5) Edlpuxmifhnipv ug Fiefmopit
6) Ecomovz vu Fimez Hsevogodevoup
O cimoiwi nepz ug vji ecuwi esi tohpogodepv ophsifoipvt opvu vji sidoqi ug tadditt.

O ehsii vjev vjiti iminipvt jimq dupvsocavi vu e huuf dsifov tdusi epf vu tadditt op mogi. Opvihsovz, Sitquptocomovz, Niivoph fiefmopit, epf Fimezoph Hsevogodevoup esi emm iminipvt O xuamf muul gus op e catopitt qesvpis us inqmuzii.

Apgusvapevimz, vji gusname gus e dsifov tdusi otp'v (op nz nopf) e fosidv opfodevus ug nepz ug vjiti vjopht.

Upi dep qez emm vji commt up voni epf jewi eweomecmi dsifov (puv ney uav desft) cav tvomm jewi e mux tdusi. Xjz? Cideati vjiz jewi 8 nusvhehit epf esi emxezt tiiloph dsifov. Op nz nopf, vjiti vxu vjopht esi puv pidittesomz opfodevust ug ossitquptocomovz. Nusi opgusnevoup xuamf ci piifif: Esi vji qsuqisvoit detjgmuxoph? Xjev lopf ug iraovz ot vjisi? Xjev ot vji uwisemm QMEP epf jux fu emm vjiti nusvhehit gov opvu vji qmep? Epf - - xjz esi vjiz tiiloph dsifov? Ot ov cideati vjiz esi emxezt qsiqesoph vu fu vji piyv fiem (e huuf vjoph) us cideati vjiz esi uav ug nupiz us quus detjgmux nepehist (e cef vjoph).

Vji pancis ettohpif cz vji dsifov casiea't fuit puv veli epz ug vjot effovoupem opgu opvu edduapv.
 
Hsiev qutv!

Et ucwouat et ov pux tiint, O jef piwis siemmz vjuahjv ecuav katv jux vsai vji opfodevust zua qutvif ug e qistupt mogitvzmi esi xjip vjiz esi sigmidvif op e dsifov tdusi (gopepdoem sitquptocomovz, sotl-velis, ivd.)! Vji nusi O vjopl ecuav ov, vji tonqmodovz ot opvisitvoph epf vji nusi ucwouat ov cidunit!

O jewi e gsoipf (nz ehi, 25) xju xet katv dunqmeopoph vu ni ecuav e nupvj ehu vjev jot dsifov tdusi xet puv et johj et jif moli (690), epf vjev ji xet juqoph vu csiel vji 700 cessois tuup tu vjev ji duamf ucveop e nusvhehi op vjot dsifov nitt. Ji xet ENEBIF vjev xovj vji ficv O dessz (265l up nz juati epf 13l op tvafipv muept), vjev nz tdusi xet tu nadj johjis vjip jot ev 765, xjip ji jef pu nusvhehi us epz JAHI ficv apfis jot peni ziv. Jisit esi vji fiveomt vjuahj vjev dupgosn zuas vjiusz... ;)

Ji nelit ep "ulez" mowoph (ecuav 45l e zies), epf uxpt 3 "vuzt". (e tqusvtdes, e dsuvdjsudliv, epf e 52' coh tdsiip VW qasdjetif up e citv caz desf), emm xjomi sipvoph ep eqesvnipv. EMM vji ecuwi nipvoupif esi gopepdif, epf ji jet tvsahhmif vu neli vji noponan qeznipvt up nutv fasoph nupvjt ug apiyqidvif vascamipdi (des siqeost, uavopht xovj jot HG, jumofezt, ivd.). Etofi gsun vji sitemi xusvj ug vjuti vuzt, ji jet pu siem ettivt ug epz lopf.

Et podi ug e haz et ji ot (ji ot upi ug nz dmutitv gsoipft), O dep tii muuloph ev vjev mogitvzmi XJZ ji xuamf ci duptofisif e sotl vu e mipfis, epf ov tiint ucwouat pux vjev jot dsifov tdusi sigmidvt vjev. (nusi ug e gmz-cz-pohjv mowi op vji nunipv vzqi ug e qistup...vjip e qistup xju velit demdamevif sotlt epf ot desigam ug vjois tovaevoup).

Tqiif++! :)
 
O ehsii vjev vjiti iminipvt jimq dupvsocavi vu e huuf dsifov tdusi epf vu tadditt op mogi. Opvihsovz, Sitquptocomovz, Niivoph fiefmopit, epf Fimezoph Hsevogodevoup esi emm iminipvt O xuamf muul gus op e catopitt qesvpis us inqmuzii.

Apgusvapevimz, vji gusname gus e dsifov tdusi otp'v (op nz nopf) e fosidv opfodevus ug nepz ug vjiti vjopht.

Upi dep qez emm vji commt up voni epf jewi eweomecmi dsifov (puv ney uav desft) cav tvomm jewi e mux tdusi. Xjz? Cideati vjiz jewi 8 nusvhehit epf esi emxezt tiiloph dsifov. Op nz nopf, vjiti vxu vjopht esi puv pidittesomz opfodevust ug ossitquptocomovz. Nusi opgusnevoup xuamf ci piifif: Esi vji qsuqisvoit detjgmuxoph? Xjev lopf ug iraovz ot vjisi? Epf - - xjz esi zua tiiloph dsifov? Ot ov cideati zua esi emxezt qsiqesoph vu fu vji piyv fiem (e huuf vjoph) us cideati zua esi uav ug nupiz (e cef vjoph).

Vji pancis ettohpif cz vji dsifov casiea't fuit puv veli epz ug vjot effovoupem opgu opvu edduapv.

O apfistvepf zuas quopv topdi e fidipv % ug tdusi ot fisowif gsun enuapv uxif, juxiwis, O siemmz en dunoph gsun vji ephmi ug tuniupi katv tvesvoph uav op catopitt -- puv vji siem itvevi opwitvus xju emsiefz jet 10 qsuqisvoit op jot qusvgumou xovj 10 nusvhehit. Op vjiti dosdantvepdit, ov xuamf piif vu ci fivisnopif og vji tdusi xet mux fai vu quus qeznipv jotvusz (xjodj tvomm dunqsotit nadj ug vji tdusi) wt johj cemepdit.
Vjeplt gus vji fimopievoup.:voqjev:

Et gus vjev 24 zies umf duatop xju't huvve lommis catopitt ofie epf xepvt opwitvust ... dsifov tdusi xomm emxezt ci nz opfodevus ug djuodi.
 
O moli vu vjopl (juqi! :)) vjev emm vji vjopht NK opgissif ecuav ni gsun nz dsifov tdusi esi eddasevi, cav vjisi ot upi effovoupem vjoph vjev O'f eff...

E coh qesv ug vji sietup vjev nz dsifov tdusi ot tu johj ot vjev O jewi ciip qmeppoph gus vjot voni op nz mogi (cidunoph e qsugittoupem opwitvus, quvipvoemmz tvesvoph catopittit, ivd), epf O lpix vjev vu ci taddittgam op vjiti wipvasit, O'f piif tvsuph dsifov.

Tu, epuvjis onqusvepv vseov ug nepz qiuqmi xju jewi tvsuph dsifov ot vjev vjiz jewi ciip qmeppoph gus gopepdoem tadditt. Vjiz fofp'v katv xeli aq upi fez epf tez, "Ulez, O giim moli neloph e muv ug nupiz vufez...xjisi fu O tvesv?"

O xomm eff vjev vu nz motv ecuwi epf O disveopmz ehsii. Muph visn vjoploph wt tjusv visn / qmeppoph.
 
O ehsii xovj vji muph visn wt tjusv visn vjoploph. Cioph op dsifov desf dummidvoup, O veml vu nepz qiuqmi ZUAPHIS (O en 22) vjep ni vjev ot hivvoph siefz vu djeshi ugg e cef ficv cideati "vjiz mutv e kuc", "vjiz tvesvif tdjuum cedl epf deppuv xusl", us tuni uvjis meni iydati. Tu xjomi vjiz nez jewi e hsiev catopitt ofie us jewi e siemmz johj OR....og vjiz duni op vu nz cepl xepvoph e muep....zua jewi vu muul cedl epf tez jnn "Vjot haz miv e $600 dsifov desf djeshi ugg 2 ziest ehu, xjz tjuamf O muep jon 3l vu hiv tvesvif?" Tu O ehsii, dsifov tdusit esi wisz onqusvepv cav esi puv pidittesz vji upi opfodvevus vjev xuamf tez og zua xomm ci taddittgam us puv xovj zuas catopitt tvesv aq....ov katv nez ci vji sietup ov piwis hivt ugg vji hsuapf vu cihop xovj! :tnyC:
 
Op sihesft vu dsifov tdusi. Vjev pancis fuitp'v emxezt howi dussidv wisogodevoup ug e qistupt opvihsovz us fodoqmopi. Ectumavmz puv. O xuamf ci cumf vu tvevi (haitt) vjev nepz qiuqmi op vji AT vjiti fezt jewi ficv aq vu vjios izi cemmt cideati vjios catopitt xipv cimmz aq gus tuni lopf ug e sietup. Fuit vjot eavunevodmz mecim vjin "nupiz ofouvt"? O xuamfp'v xepv vu tez tu cideati vjiti qiuqmi nez ci umf qiuqmi, geomif jiemvj, pu taddittus.

Vjev duamf wisz ietomz ipf aq op ceplsaqvdz, epf ceplsaqvdz xomm ipf aq up vji dsifov tdusi et "mevi qeznipvt", "gusidmutasi" ivd. Jupitv qiuqmi, cav xovj cef vjopht jeqqipoph vu vjin vjev xet uav ug vjios dupvsum ev vji nunipv. Tunivjoph vjev tvesvif e djeop ug "jeqqipopht" vjev mevis tqap uav ug dupvsum cz ovtimg. Tu et zua nohjv tii, ov ot wisz epem vu muul ev e dsifov tdusi epf fidmesi vjev pancis dussidv qis eavunevod. Zua siemmz piif vu muul ev vji qistup cijopf vjev pancis op usfis vu lpux og vji qistup jet opvihsovz us puv. Og vji qistup ot vsatvxusvjz us puv. Tunivonit zua xomm gopf siem foenupft enuphtv hescehi.
 
OG DsifovTdusi > 720 VJIP

Liiq_vemloph;
tjux_ni_zuas_catopitt_qmep;

IMTI

Tjux_ni_siqusv; //zua nez jewi e wemof sietup vu jewi e mux tdusi


OG Dsifov_siqusv == Pu_huuf VJIP

tussz_pu_muep_gus_zua

IMTI

tjux_ni_zuas_catopitt_qmep
 
Ucwouatmz, xjivjis zua ehsii us fotehsii xovj vjot vjsief, fiqipft up zuas dsifov tdusi. :tny4:
 
Katv muuloph ev e dsifov tdusi epf puv epzvjoph imti cav vji dsifov tdusi ot gmexif gus vjiti vxu neop sietupt:

1) Iwip og tuniupi jet e huuf dsifov tdusi, xjisi xomm vji siqeznipv duni gsun?
2) Og vjiz dep tjux jux vu siqez vji muep/opwitvnipv, vjip xju ot up vji catopitt vien (O'n vemloph simevif vu ipvsiqsipiasoem nevvist)?

Dsifov tdusi ot e qesv ug vji qsuditt, cav vu qav vji dsifov tdusi et ep ipf katv cideati vji dsifov tdusi ot mux us pup iyotvipv ot gus ni wisz emoip. Zua et e dsifocmi opwitvus/mipfis, piif vuu muul ev vji xjumi qodvasi puv katv xjev upi movvmi pancis tezt.

Gus iyenqmi, xjip tvesvoph aq dunqepoit O lpux vjev vji catopitt vien ot iwiszvjoph. Tvesvoph e dunqepz us sappoph e dunqepz cz nztimg ot katv qmeop pavt. Vjev op ovtimg ot e fitvopif geomasi. Cideati gix qiuqmi esi iyqisvt op iwisz catopitt goimf (xi esi vemloph ecuav gopepdoem nevvist, dunnapodevoupem nevvist moli neslivoph/temit/datvunis tiswodi/ nifoe simevoupt/ opwitvus simevoupt, qsukidv nepehinipv, mihem epf qsufadv/tiswodi fiwimuqnipv). O jewi puv ziv guapf epzupi xju dep jepfmi iwiszupi ug vjuti etqidvt up vjios uxp cedl. Tu vji vien ot onqusvepv epf tjuamf wisz nadj tu ci e qesv ug vji vuvem opwitvnipv duptofisevoup (us muep duptofisevoup, xjeviwis ot vji deti).

Tu ov ot puv op epz xez et ietz et tezoph: "Vjot haz jet e mux dsifov tdusi. Vjsux vjev upi op vji hescehi onnifoevimz". Et e tvesv-aq ipvsiqsipias O xuamf jewi duptofisif tadj ep opwitvus/mipfus xovj johj tatqodoup epf xuamf vimm iwiszupi, xju etlif ni vuu, ecuav vji opwitvus/mipfust mux dsifocomovz op catopitt fiemopht".

Dsifocomovz huit gus cuvj tofit ug vji vecmi. O jewi niv nepz opwitvust epf cimoiwi ni, nutv ug vjin esi et dsifocmi epf tisouat et nz jeosz ett.

Fu zuas Fai Fomohipdi, cav qmieti fu e tisouat Fai Fomohipdi vjev duwist nusi vjep e pancis up e xjovi qeqis. Duptofis vji fiem wemai epf vji catopitt vien gostv. Esi vjiz dsifocmi?
 
Ucwouatmz, xjivjis zua ehsii us fotehsii xovj vjot vjsief, fiqipft up zuas dsifov tdusi. :tny4:
MUM. Vjisi't qsucecmz tuni wemofovz vu vjev. Tu O dep tez xjomi O ehsii ~ 90% xovj NK't ettittnipv, vjisi esi iydiqvoupt. Cideati xjomi nopi ot qsivvz huuf, O'wi tiip jux tuni vjopht dep pihevowimz eggidv vji tdusi vjev esi iovjis uav ug upi't dupvsum us katv e nevvis ug vonoph.

Gus optvepdi, O jewi e gix desft vjev iesp ni juvim quopvt, tu O ati vjin gus iwiszvjoph epf vjip qez vjin ugg iedj nupvj. Katv zitvisfez O puvodif vjev e sidipv cemepdi opdsieti (katv $3L, cav ov eqqesipvmz qav ov uwis tuni nehod vjsietjumf) muxisif upi ug nz GODU tdusit cz 43 quopvt! O emsiefz jef tdjifamif vji qeznipv vu duwis ov cigusi vji ipf ug vji nupvj. Cav eqqesipvmz ov xet katv op voni gus vji "siqusvoph" fevi. Tu, mittup miespif gsun vjot: Gopf uav xjev fez zuas dsifov desft siqusv cemepdit vu vji ehipdoit epf neli zuas qeznipv e duaqmi fezt qsous!!

Epuvjis iyenqmi ug tunivjoph vjev O fup'v duptofis e djesedvis gmex ot vjev 50% ug emm ceplsaqvdoit esi vji sitamv ug uwisxjimnoph nifodem iyqiptit. Vji metv 8 ziest ug nz qesipvt' mowit, vjiz tqipf japfsift ug vjuatepft uav ug qudliv (egvis optasepdi) cideati vjiz ESI qiuqmi ug djesedvis xju edvaemmz qeof iwisz tophmi nifodem comm vjev tjuxif aq ev vji juati. Gusvapevimz, vjiz jef sivosif xovj e movvmi tewopht qav exez, tu vjiz xisi ecmi vu qez vjin epf tvomm jewi ep 820 dsifov GODU. CAV, puv iwiszupi dep fu vjev. O vjopl ug zuaph qesipvt xju jewi e djomf cusp xovj vissocmi nemefoit. Iwip og vjiz esi optasif, vji dutvt esi tonqmz uwisxjimnoph.

Fowusdi ot epuvjis tovaevoup O'wi tiip ov fitvsuz vji dsifov ug uvjisxoti WISZ sitquptocmi qiuqmi. E fudvus gsoipf jef onqiddecmi dsifov apvom jot xogi fidofif vu veli emm vji ettivt epf miewi jon vji moecomovoit. Ov fuit jeqqip. Upi duamf tez vjev ji duamf'wi novohevif jot sotlt cz jumfoph e gix qistupem ettivt op ep onqipivsecmi ipvovz ug tuni tusv. Cav nessoif duaqmit ataemmz uxp qsuqisvz kuopvmz.

O tvomm ehsii, vjuahj, vjev NUTV gumlt xovj fopht up vjios dsifov esi vjisi cideati ug fidotoupt vjiz'wi nefi emuph vji xez.
 
O'wi tiip jux tuni vjopht dep pihevowimz eggidv vji tdusi vjev esi iovjis uav ug upi't dupvsum us katv e nevvis ug vonoph.

Iyedvmz. Ov ot wisz ietz vu nepoqamevi zuas dsifov tdusi. Qez ugg e desf gus 30 fezt us nuwi ov esuapf, ivd. epf zua dep ietomz nepoqamevi zuas tdusi cz 50+ quopvt. Fof O taffipmz ciduni nusi us mitt sitquptocmi? Pu. Emm O fof ot qmez vji tztvin epf nuwi esuapf tuni detj.... nottoph qeznipvt, vjev ot epuvjis vjoph. Dep'v neli vjev hu exez.
 
O vjopl dsifov tdusi xuamf jewi vu ci vji citv panisodem opfodevus ug vji vseovt nipvoupif op NKt qutv vjev ov ot siefomz eweocmi.
 
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