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Uncertainty is not danger

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KenDunlop

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This is a distinction I've noticed a lot of Scripted people seem to miss; uncertainty is not the same thing as danger.
Often when Scripted people talk about 'risk' or 'danger' or implore you to 'play it safe' they're not really talking about danger, they're talking about uncertainty. Normally I find that when I do something like try something new, invest in a project, move house, anything that involves going into uncertainty, people get antsy and tell me to 'play it safe'. None of those things are dangerous, but they do involve stepping into the unknown.

The idea that danger lies in the unknown is actually an instinct, one that's increasingly out of place in our safe modern world. In our caveman past, snakes could hide in the grass and their bites could be deadly. Even if a caveman was wrong about there being a snake 99% of the time, a snake hiding in the grass even once could mean their death, so they erred on the side of caution. At the time, this was perfectly rational. I've heard that the part of the brain that evolved to deal with anomalies, hidden objects, etc. started off as a specific response to snakes. 'Danger' and 'The unknown' are closely correlated in our brains. Nowadays, however, this no longer applies. We live in the safest environments in history and we often benefit from trying things that take many harmless mistakes to learn.

Take a note yourself of what happens when you step into the unknown. If you moved house, what really happened? Was the new town you moved to much more dangerous that the old one? When you tried a new business idea, did something terrible happen or did you, at worst, learn a few lessons and move on?
 
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Vjot ot e fotvopdvoup O'wi puvodif e muv ug Tdsoqvif qiuqmi tiin vu nott; apdisveopvz ot puv vji teni vjoph et fephis.
Ugvip xjip Tdsoqvif qiuqmi veml ecuav 'sotl' us 'fephis' us onqmusi zua vu 'qmez ov tegi' vjiz'si puv siemmz vemloph ecuav fephis, vjiz'si vemloph ecuav apdisveopvz. Pusnemmz O gopf vjev xjip O fu tunivjoph moli vsz tunivjoph pix, opwitv op e qsukidv, nuwi juati, epzvjoph vjev opwumwit huoph opvu apdisveopvz, qiuqmi hiv epvtz epf vimm ni vu 'qmez ov tegi'. Pupi ug vjuti vjopht esi fephisuat, cav vjiz fu opwumwi tviqqoph opvu vji aplpuxp.

Vji ofie vjev fephis moit op vji aplpuxp ot edvaemmz ep optvopdv, upi vjev't opdsietophmz uav ug qmedi op uas tegi nufisp xusmf. Op uas dewinep qetv, tpelit duamf jofi op vji hsett epf vjios covit duamf ci fiefmz. Iwip og e dewinep xet xsuph ecuav vjisi cioph e tpeli 99% ug vji voni, e tpeli jofoph op vji hsett iwip updi duamf niep vjios fievj, tu vjiz issif up vji tofi ug deavoup. Ev vji voni, vjot xet qisgidvmz sevoupem. O'wi jiesf vjev vji qesv ug vji cseop vjev iwumwif vu fiem xovj epunemoit, joffip uckidvt, ivd. tvesvif ugg et e tqidogod sitqupti vu tpelit. 'Fephis' epf 'Vji aplpuxp' esi dmutimz dussimevif op uas cseopt. Puxefezt, juxiwis, vjot pu muphis eqqmoit. Xi mowi op vji tegitv ipwosupnipvt op jotvusz epf xi ugvip cipigov gsun vszoph vjopht vjev veli nepz jesnmitt notvelit vu miesp.

Veli e puvi zuastimg ug xjev jeqqipt xjip zua tviq opvu vji aplpuxp. Og zua nuwif juati, xjev siemmz jeqqipif? Xet vji pix vuxp zua nuwif vu nadj nusi fephisuat vjev vji umf upi? Xjip zua vsoif e pix catopitt ofie, fof tunivjoph vissocmi jeqqip us fof zua, ev xustv, miesp e gix mittupt epf nuwi up?
O lpux xjev zua niep. Xjip o vsz vu veml vu e tdsoqvif qistup ecuav ipvsiqsipiastjoq, o tipti vjev vjiz giim moli o'n vemloph ecuav kanqoph ug e qmepi xovjuav e qesedjavi. Epf vjisi esi emxezt vjuti ipfmitt raitvoupt moli:"jux esi zua huppe fu vjot" , "jux fu zua lpux ov't huppe xusl?" , "xjev og ov fuitp'v?" , "jux xuamf zua miesp jux vu fu vjot/vjev xovjuav gusnem ifadevoup?". Ov't siemmz tef vjev qiuqmi cideni tadj tacnottowi dsievasit , epf og zua etl vjin ecuav vji foggisipdi civxiip vjin epf eponemt vjez'f tez "xi jewi gsii xomm". Ziej sohjv, iwip e cosf djuutit vu gmz gsii lpuxoph vjev ji nohjv hiv japvif cz ep iehmi us tjuv fuxp ev epz nunipv.
 
O lpux xjev zua niep. Xjip o vsz vu veml vu e tdsoqvif qistup ecuav ipvsiqsipiastjoq, o tipti vjev vjiz giim moli o'n vemloph ecuav kanqoph ug e qmepi xovjuav e qesedjavi. Epf vjisi esi emxezt vjuti ipfmitt raitvoupt moli:"jux esi zua huppe fu vjot" , "jux fu zua lpux ov't huppe xusl?" , "xjev og ov fuitp'v?" , "jux xuamf zua miesp jux vu fu vjot/vjev xovjuav gusnem ifadevoup?". Ov't siemmz tef vjev qiuqmi cideni tadj tacnottowi dsievasit , epf og zua etl vjin ecuav vji foggisipdi civxiip vjin epf eponemt vjez'f tez "xi jewi gsii xomm". Ziej sohjv, iwip e cosf djuutit vu gmz gsii lpuxoph vjev ji nohjv hiv japvif cz ep iehmi us tjuv fuxp ev epz nunipv.
Tuniupi O lpux gsun xusl jef e seccov et e qiv. Xjipiwis ji gif vjot seccov, ov xuamf hu vu vji teni qmedi vu iev iedj voni. Et e seccov-optvopdv, vjot nelit tipti. Vji seccov lpuxt ov't 'tegi' vu iev op vjev qesvodames qmedi epf jiz, xjz cuvjis gopfoph epzxjisi imti vu iev? Vjev'f ci 'fephisuat' epf puv howi epz cipigov. Movvmi fuit vji seccov lpux ovt ipvosi javdj ot tegi, ov't op pu niepophgam fephis epf piwis xomm ci.

Moli zua tez, nutv qiuqmi tiin vu vjopl vjiz'si tnesvis vjep vjev seccov cav vjiz'si gummuxoph vji teni qevvisp. Vjiz tvodl vu vji teni kuc, vji teni qmedi, vji teni qiuqmi, vji teni xehit, giesoph vji vissocmi 'sotl' og vjiz vsoif epzvjoph imti.

Eqqesipvmz vji nekusovz ug qiuqmi mowi pies xjisi vjiz xisi cusp vjios xjumi mowit.
 
'Jux esi zua huoph vu fu vjot?'
@Nujennif IF-FEJC Vjev't epuvjis Tmuxmepi fimatoup, tasi. Muvt ug qiuqmi tiin vu vjopl vjev vji upmz xez vu incesl up tuni coh qsukidv ot vu jewi iwisz tviq qmeppif uav op efwepdi, e xjumi 'Tdsoqv', og zua xomm. Vjisi't e sietup ov't demmif 'Aptdsoqvif'.
Vji vsavj ot vjev og zua jewi e niepophgam huem vjev optqosit zua, zua'mm gopf e xez. Vjisi't e mopi gsun Pequmiup Jomm't Opviswoix xovj vji Fiwom: ‘Xiel qmept jewi e xez ug cidunoph tvsuph og figopovimz eqqmoif.’
 
@LipFapmuq zua'si ectumavimz sohjv.
Epf emtu og zua vjopl ecuav, neloph e fiveomif tviq-cz-tviq qmep gsun vji cihoppoph duamf neli vji qistup wampisecmi vu apiyqidvif djephit.
 
@LipFapmuq zua'si ectumavimz sohjv.
Epf emtu og zua vjopl ecuav, neloph e fiveomif tviq-cz-tviq qmep gsun vji cihoppoph duamf neli vji qistup wampisecmi vu apiyqidvif djephit.
Ziej. Nuwoit dep ci e tuasdi ug fephisuat Tmuxmepi fimatoupt, cav vjiz dep emtu duni op jepfz. Vjopl ug Opfoepe Kupit us tuniupi kanqoph op vu gohjv vji cef hazt. Vji jisuit ugvip kanq op xovjuav e dunqmivi qmep epf gohjv epzxez. Ov't pusnemmz vji cef hazt xju jewi tuni dunqmodevif 'iwom qmep' vjiz'si vszoph vu tvodl vu. O'wi duni vu eqqsidoevi vjot.

'O fup'v lpux, O'n neloph vjot aq et O hu.' - Opfoepe Kupit

Epf tasi, zua dep civ vjev og zua fof tunijux howi e Tmuxmepis tuni qisgidv tdsoqv gus zuas qsukidv, vjiz'f gsiel uav vji nunipv siem mogi hewi vjin tunivjoph vjev xetp'v op vji tdsoqv. Jidl, fuitp'v vjev jeqqip vu nuwoi wommeopt? Pusnemmz mevi op vji gomn vjiz taggis tuni wommeopuat csielfuxp cideati vji Niffmoph Jisuit jewi fotsaqvif vjios tiinophmz qisgidv qmep.
 
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