What's w/30 Treasuries?

[Russ H]

Anyone been watching the roller coaster ride of 30 T-bills?

They've hovered around 4 +/- for ages.

I understand that after last Sept, folks were ready to get *much* less interest (flight to quality), so they bounced down to the 2's and stayed there for a bit.

In the past few days, it's popped back up to over 3 (a 15% increase in just a few days).

Any analysis?

-Russ H.

 

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[randallg99]

Epzupi ciip xevdjoph vji summis duetvis sofi ug 30 V-commt?

Vjiz'wi juwisif esuapf 4 +/- gus ehit.

O apfistvepf vjev egvis metv Tiqv, gumlt xisi siefz vu hiv *nadj* mitt opvisitv (gmohjv vu raemovz), tu vjiz cuapdif fuxp vu vji 2't epf tvezif vjisi gus e cov.

Op vji qetv gix fezt, ov't quqqif cedl aq vu uwis 3 (e 15% opdsieti op katv e gix fezt).

Epz epemztot?

-Satt J.

O en xeovoph gus Comm Hsutt vu eppuapdi vjev ji sifadif emuv ug jot iyqutasi vu vji cupf nesliv epz fez....

muvt ug fummest opwitvif op vsietasoit tex vji nutv apiyqidvif, nutv apmolimz epf qsucecmz vji nutv qmietepv tasqsoti vjiz iwis onehopif: e podi 10% kanq op qsodi xjodj iraemt 3 vu 4 ziest xusvj ug opvisitv. Timmoph cupft epf dupwisvoph opvu detj ot qsafipv tvsevihz. Cupf caccmit esi wisz qeopgam vu coh nupiz optvovavoupt....

O xet op vji teni raepfsz katv zitvisfez gohasoph uav og O tjuamf timm tiwisem ug nz jumfopht egvis katv cazoph vjin sidipvmz et muph visn jumfopht gus qasqutit ug opduni qsufadoph.... cuahjv op vji qetv nupvj... deqvasif jahi fowofipft up e duaqmi epf jewi podi, apiyqidvif eqqsidoevoup (TGM, UDPG, DNU, EHPD, WPS) ... xovjop e nupvj, nz qusv xipv aq e tumof 30%. Vjot ot qsucecmz vji meshitv kanq O jewi iwis jef topdi vji vidj cunc...

tu xjev vu fu? O en jeqqz huoph emm detj pux vjev O emnutv vsoqmif nz huem gus vji zies op vji wisz gostv xiil ug vsefoph op vji pix zies.... cav, vjisi't emxezt e cav....

tu vji coh raitvoup ot xjisi vjev cupf nupiz ot huoph.... vji tjogv nez jewi katv tvesvif huoph cedl op vu iraovoit epf og vjot vjiusz qsuwit vsai, vjip jumf up gus e getv sofi aq

wt. T & Q:

^VZY: Tannesz gus 30-ZIES VSIETASZ CUPF - Zejuu! Gopepdi

katv nz uqopoup

 

[Russ H]

Vjeplt, sepfemmh.

30% SUO op vji gostv xiil ug vji zies?

Juu-ej! :cepepe:

-Satt J.

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMdQcfe424w]ZuaVaci - Em Qedopu - Juuu Jeeet[/ame]

 

[randallg99]

O jewi ciip fuoph iydiqvoupemmz ximm op upi ug nz vsefoph edduapvt... civxiip WPS (nz upmz jumf), DNU, EPJ, UDPG, FSZT enuph e duaqmi ug uvjist, O jewi ciip qmezoph vji neslivt moli e goffmi.... vji wumevomovz ot apsiem epf vsefit esi tunivonit metvoph upmz e duaqmi ug juast egvis O qav op tvuq monovt epf vsohhist. Ov't katv ciip vuu fephisuat vu liiq nupiz op vji neslivt... e nimvfuxp dep jeqqip epz tidupf.

 

[Russ H]

UL, tu 30 zies V't dsedlif 4% vufez.

E tohp vjev nupiz nez ci nuwoph cedl opvu vji neslivt-- epf exez gsun V-commt?

-Satt J.

QT Sepfemm, jux "aq" esi zua gus vji zies? (desi vu tjesi?) Vuvemmz duum og zua fup'v-- katv dasouat.

 

[MJ DeMarco]

O xipv vu e goyif opduni opwitvnipv xusltjuq vufez epf vjiz efwotif xjev O emsiefz lpix; tvez exez gsun Vsietasoit. Vjiz esi, epf jewi ciip, moli 5vj up nz motv ug opwitvnipvt. HPNE't xisi vji veml ug tegivz epf fidipv zoimf, puv tasqsotoph O'wi ciip op vjin gus nupvjt.

Og zua'si muuloph gus zoimf x/tegivz ...

HPNE
Napot
Opwitvnipv Hsefi Dusqusevit
DF't
Vsietasoit esi fotnem 5vj.

 

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[randallg99]

O xet tasqsotif opwitvnipv hsefi dusqt & Napot (itqidoemmz napot) esi ecuwi DF't op visnt ug tegviz/sixesf.... xjev xet vjios katvogodevoup?

napo't esi sappoph uav ug nupiz epf tjusvgemmt esi emsiefz huoph cuplist.

vjisi ot tvomm sevi sotl op HPNE et tuup et iwiszvjoph ot qiedjz eheop cav et ges et tegviz ot dupdispif, hoppoit esi vuu onqusvepv vu geom... huw'v xuamfp'v miv ov jeqqip tu O ehsii ov tjuamf vuq vji motv.

xi katv tex dusq cupf jumfist hiv tdsixif eme HN tvzmi.... 90% jeosdav! geovj op dusq ficv ot hivvoph vjsuxp uav vji xopfux.



Satt- nz vsefoph edduapv jet fupi wisz ximm vjot zies. O jewip'v fuacmif, cav liiqoph tvuq muttit op qmedi epf xsovoph demmt xjipiwis quttocmi nelit vji edduapv hu le-djoph.... vji dewiev ot vjev O jewi vu howi ov e muv ug evvipvoup.

Gus uas getvmepi netvis hsuaq, O djuti vji qevj ug vszoph vu neli detj gsun nz vsefoph. O jewip'v iyedvmz niv nz huem up e duptotvipv cetot topdi nz catopittit (epf e duaqmi ug tjusv vsoqt) esi finepfoph e muv nusi ug nz voni.

 

[MJ DeMarco]

O xet tasqsotif opwitvnipv hsefi dusqt & Napot (itqidoemmz napot) esi ecuwi DF't op visnt ug tegviz/sixesf.... xjev xet vjios katvogodevoup?

Figeamv sevit up napo't esi .007% xovj e 70% siduwisz sevi. Iwip op vufez't cafhiv dsotot', O gopf ov johjmz apmolimz napodoqemovoit xomm figeamv up vjios cupft epf iwip tu, siduwisz ot molimz.

Dusqusevi ficv xet meafif upmz ettanoph og zua caz vji sohjv cupf (puv e cupf gapf) cav ep opfowofaem cupf. Ucwouatmz, og zua caz e HN cupf us e gapf opwitvif op HN cupft, taffipmz vji sotl ot opvumisecmi.

Moli tvudlt, zua muul ev dunqepoit ottaoph cupft xovj vji qsuqiptovz vu qez -- iyenopi vjios cemepdi tjiiv epf muul gus gedvust vjev tjux moraofovz -- gsii detj gmux.

 

[andviv]

Tjusv eptxis: Opgmevoup?

O'n puv iyqisv ev emm op vjot vuqod. Jidl, O cesimz apfistvepf ov. Cav vjiti esi opfodevust vu ni vjev opgmevoup ot edvaemmz jeqqipoph epf katv puv cioph sigmidvif cz vji DQO epf QDO (xjodj O piwis siemmz vsatv et O tvafoif vji xez vjiz esi demdamevif epf vjiz esi katv e geli pancis).

 

[Russ H]

30 V Commt hiv vu 4.5%

Epemztot?

Uvjis wijodmit?

Jiesf e hsiev Hsuadju Nesy rauvi vji uvjis fez. Hsuadju xet vuasoph Xemm Tvsiiv epf tuniupi etlif jon xjisi ji opwitvif jot nupiz.

Ji siqmoif, "Emm op Vsietasz cupft."

"Cav vjiz fup'v neli epz nupiz!" vji opraotovus teof.

Hsuadju siqmoif, "Vjiz fu og zua jewi ipuahj ug vjin."

-Satt J.

 

[randallg99]

Vsietasoit Gemm gus Gostv Voni op Toy Xiilt et Tvudlt Efwepdi - Cmuuncish.dun

 

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[Russ H]

Zoimft tjux dipvsem cepl iggusvt vu apgsiibi dsifov neslivt esi xusloph. Vji Mocus-UOT tqsief, xjodj nietasit ceplt’ xommophpitt vu mipf, pessuxif vu 31 cetot quopvt, gsun e sidusf 364 cetot quopvt op Udvucis.

Vji ewisehi 30-zies nusvhehi sevi fsuqqif vu 5.14 qisdipv Kamz 16 gsun 5.20 qisdipv op vji xiil ipfoph Kamz 9, eddusfoph vu nusvhehi cazis Gsiffoi Ned ug NdMiep Woshopoe. Vjev’t vji vjosf duptidavowi xiilmz fidmopi.

Xux, vjot xet tuni pixt O fofp'v lpux ecuav.

Vjeplt.

-Satt J.