Antifragile's take: The secret to scaling up.

[mikecarlooch]

Think slow, act fast.​

Most people do it in reverse. There is this hype from YT gurus (and some forum members too) that odds don't matter. You just need to wish it hard enough, sacrifice family, friends, trade body parts - all if it. If you want it bad enough, you'll make 7-8 figures in your early 20s... and why? Well... just because.

Even after reading all of @MJ DeMarco books most people still do not think before they do. They act and then hope it all works out for their "Lambo" dream. That's a huge problem. Our brains are capable of running great "simulations" without spending any money. Worse yet, most fail to run real life simulations too!

Is it any wonder most people fail? Ironic. Those who scream the loudest "I am the next American Idol" are the blooper material. Same with business.

But some succeed! I applaud them.

In fact, some readers may accuse me of conflicting advice:

• A: Do small things. Figure our what works, do more of that.
• B: Dream, plan and go for HUGE things! Do not settle for mediocrity, it will kill your future.

Doesn't A conflict with B? Which one is it? Should I try for a massive success in my early 20s or settle for education, job, freelance and build experience?

I am not sure what is harder, to create a successful business or to write on how to create a successful business. Seriously. @MJ DeMarco - maybe you can shed some light. And worse yet, I am not even that great a businessman. I your average guy that doesn't quit. It's really that simple.

A & B do not conflict. Do both over and over again.

What does that look like in real life?

I've never been able to put the following into words - but here's my shot at it -

a common trait I've noticed in myself, and some other young entrepreneurs that I know of, is that our confusion is what makes us just jump into things without thinking, just to be on ANY path that is not leading toward mediocrity.

And when we get immersed in a particular project or sector, leaving that sector to do something else feels very difficult in the moment because we feel that we are making a huge mistake by leaving or switching directions, and also don't know WHEN to change roads.

It goes back to the scarcity mindset - clinging to what I've got - because I don't know what else I would do.

What opportunities are the women in the red dress (a distraction) and what opportunities are screaming "YES! you should do this, screw what you're doing now!" is something I'm trying to get better at and understand - because not moving and not going fast doesn't feel good, leading to an unresourceful state of mind.

Real Estate​

Long ago I wrote out plans in my notepad to create a mega company. But what industry? How quickly? How?

Answer 1: cosmetics. King crab on the east side of Canada was and is a huge business. Legs are sold to restaurants but there's too much waste of the body shell. Shell dried can be crushed into powder. Powder is used in makeup! Huge, massive business opportunity. And I was in my early 20s... full of piss and vinegar. Confident little F*ck.

So I called all friends and found a buyer for the said dry shells, in China. Volume would be almost unlimited.

Next challenge. Called up a few businesses and learned that they pay to dispose of the "waste". They'll gladly give it ALL to me if I just arrange someone to pick it up.

Listen, I just won a lotto. I am about to become a mega millionaire. Free shit that's worth a fortune if I just dry it and ship to China! How much more luck does one need?

That's why I am so rich today and wiring to you all my advice from a private jet plane!
Nope. That's not how the story ends, but it is a good story. I totally f*cked up the execution part. I was such a little "brilliant" confident F*ck that I didn't think "process is king", I thought my idea was worth a F*cking billion dollars. Oh looking back, was I ever wrong. I F*cked it up. I made zero.

Answer 2: shoes. Bruised but not beaten, I leaned further into my "entrepreneur" self. Still in my 20s I come up with the next billion dollar idea. I'll beat Nike in shoes. A classmate from Asia happens to be from a family that owns a factory making sneakers. We were going to be partners. I am great at sales + numbers. Weird but mighty combo. I called retailers, lined up the Bay (they were huge back then, now struggling like most). We had manufacturer on standby.

That's why I am so rich today and wiring to you all my advice from a private jet plane!
Nope. Boy's parents decided their son was going to "grow up" and do it himself. They bankrolled him under a condition of no partners. He was beyond useless and I wasn't going to work FOR him. It all fell apart.

Answer 3:... I won't bore you with the many others. I aimed so high.

The bottom line is this. I feel I was born to be an entrepreneur. I imagine success like standing in a line up. As long as you don't quit... Eventually your turn comes!

Imagine if throughout all that, I didn't do anything else? I'd have nothing. Instead, I kept reflecting. Kept writing plans and thinking back. Eventually when I found (wish it was sooner) MJ's Unscripted book, it was perfectly laid out. It explained my shit experiences AND my successful ventures.

I continued getting my education, then jobs (yikes, but yes!), side-hustles! then promotions, learning, more side hustles... then first successful business, then the big one.

The key is that I got better. A lot better. Hear me on this: If I had to do it with what I am capable of today, I'd scale the cosmetics company into a giant venture! I wasn't good enough back then. And that's ok.



Thanks Andy, this is exactly right. This is what happened to me. I started getting pretty damn good at some things. I realized the real answer for me was Real Estate. I've ran teams, made the right calls, made money on my own properties and it's just been a blast for me. It hasn't been just good, it's been consistently great.

Why is that? Because everything I did before became my "lever". My "Jobs" taught me all aspects of having a larger business that I now use, including relationships (example: bankers knew me before I went on my own). My "side hustles" kept the fire of entrepreneurship alive (and made me extra money).

And here I am, just getting started! How can I turn this into a multibillion dollar company?

But this thread isn't about me. It's about how to succeed for young forum members like @mikecarlooch

​

Mike - the Video Guy!

Let's dive into specifics! Hopefully others can help too (calling @Kak, @Vigilante on top of already engaged contributors).

Mike, how do you make money? What is working? What is NOT working?

Simple short video edits. People pay thousands a month for them - however, I have a feeling of uncertainty about it and I'm not sure it's the road I'm supposed to be on.

It's hard to say whether all of the IP and info products I've created in the past few months will NOT work - because they're new and not enough people have seen them.

However, it appears that sometimes I get addicted to creating which probably isn't a bad thing in a sense but I do know based on the way I've gotten where I've gotten now if I had been making offers to people every day for the past 6 months I'd probably have more clients than I know what to do with.

Why don't I? I guess the answer I have is - it feels limiting to go me to go and message 50 people a day on LinkedIn since every person that doesn't answer a message, that message doesn't live in perpetuity, it just goes off into the wind. And it makes me wonder if I am spending my time in the wrong place.

And I know how that sounds --- like a big excuse.

Applying CENTS, what are you most worried about?

Thinking about it now - with labor, code, and media the business I'm in can in fact be scaled with the right systems.

I guess my concern is that I don't have it on paper - I know you said think slow and act fast, so my question would be .. Even before it's needed - to map out how that can work, even if that map doesn't necessarily become the exact way of doing things (because things are unpredictable)?

You clearly have the finger on the pulse of how social media works. But your execution (from what I've seen on LinkedIn) isn't great. You failed to get many likes on most of your posts. How do you reconcile that with your plans for expansion? Are you listening to what the market is telling you? What is it telling you?

Thanks for bringing this up. I've been on LinkedIn, facebook, and twitter for only 2 weeks now - and the truth is I haven't put in enough upfront effort to get my stuff in front of people to create any snowball effects of attention (connecting, starting conversations, etc).

My question again like above would be how long do you do something before determining it doesn't work? Creating content is a certainty for me because it lives on forever, that's the main reason I'm posting so much on all platforms currently.

And what is your main business? Video editing or teaching how to go "viral"?

It's video editing at the core of it. I don't agree with virality and believe in a slow, steady, and quality process on social rather.

How can we help you get there?

Answering this question is tough for me because at the core I understand that you've basically laid it out all for me already above, and I don't know what else to ask for.

There is a quote I like that maybe can answer this - "Eliminating friction upfront before revealing the ultimate form of simplicity"

The simpler something can seem, even if it's not simple, seems to be easier to grasp.

What parts of this (or other threads) are most useful?

Your concept of leverage along with a few other things are the most useful nuggets of wisdom I've taken away. And in your planning thread you mentioned "borrowing, stealing, and inventing" systems.

Those two things opened up that creativity is the only limitation when it comes to scaling and finding ways to automate things, and there is no silver bullet (beforehand I thought there was).

And more importantly, what changes have you made to your process?

My process over the past 2 months changed drastically. Notice that I wasn't on the forum that much - this was because I truly was in a full-on producer mode until I stopped myself and realized that the things I was producing weren't growing my revenue and just keeping me busy. I am grateful for what I've created. But now in terms of business, generating revenue is my highest value, and whenever I think about generating revenue more, for some reason it throws me off and confuses me. I think about needing to get on calls with a bunch of people who don't want to be on calls with me etc.

And I know that the above mindset needs some real work.

Usually I always try and keep what I say in an empowering state, but since I really am trying to get help here to get myself on a path to true success, I'm sharing how I truly feel.

Also, here's the answers to the questions you send me last night in dm:

How are you spending your time?

The first hour or so of my work day is when I distribute all of my content, and then I don't touch social media for the rest of the day. I see this as something that can be leveraged, so that's why I see it as important to do.

The next part is about finding untouched audiences to target with engagement ads on facebook marketplace (trying to find a goldmine of an audience) and adding more ads into that campaign

Then I will do outreach, but not nearly enough. I don't feel like doing 10-20 of them is enough at all and it feels like reaching out to those 10-20 people takes way too much time.

Sometimes I will get thrown off a bit at this point in te day after that because I start questioning if what I've been doing all day is beneficial. The way that I combat this feeling, or "cover it up" I guess, is by creating something new. That could be an information product, a new long form article, a video, a webinar, etc.

Fulfillment is done end of day.

How rewarding are your efforts?

Simply put, they need to be more rewarding. I know I need to change it up if I want to reap more rewards.

How well did you capitalize on the opportunities that were right in front of you?

Can you expand on this a bit?

 

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[mikecarlooch]

Jewi zua tiin Noli't VolVul edduapvt vjuahj? Wisz meshi gummuxopht epf iphehinipv. Xjev't dupgatif ni ot xjz ji't migv vjev cijopf vu tvesv epix up MoplifOp.

O edvaemmz tvesvif qutvoph puv katv up MoplifOp cav iwiszxjisi. O fu vxodi e fez up volvul up 2 edduapvt iedj dassipvmz

 

[Andy Black]

O edvaemmz tvesvif qutvoph puv katv up MoplifOp cav iwiszxjisi. O fu vxodi e fez up volvul up 2 edduapvt iedj dassipvmz

Ej. Nz cef. O vjuahjv zua'f fsuqqif VolVul op gewuas ug MoplifOp.

Xuamf ov ci civvis vu gudat up upi gusnev (wofiu) epf gudat xjisi zua'wi huv tlommt, iyqisoipdi, vsedvoup, epf ep eafoipdi (VolVul?). Qutvoph viyv up MoplifOp ot wisz foggisipv gsun qutvoph tjusv wofiut up VolVul. O vjopl zuas dupvipv ot iwip foggisipv up cuvj.

Et zua lpux, O xet nadloph ecuav xovj wofiu metv zies vjip fidofif vu tvodl vu nz tvsiphvj epf caomf up vjev optvief. O tvomm qutv e cov up MoplifOp epf Gedicuul, cav vjev't nutvmz viyv O'wi qutvif vu vji gusan.

 

[BizyDad]

Vjeplt gus vjot dunnipv Epfz!

Jisi't nz eptxis -

Gsun emm ug nz qistupem sigisipdit, emm ug vji wofiut O'wi nefi taddittgam vjev jewi huvvip nommoupt ug woixt, us japfsift ug vjuatepft, ov xet emm optofi ug vji tvsadvasi, vuqod, jiefmopi, epf foggisipvoevoup ug e wofiu vjev nefi ov taddittgam.

Puv vji gepdz ifovoph.

Ov ot jesf vu tez vjev epzvjoph up e tjusv wofiu op visnt ug ifovoph cizupf e jiefmopi (nezci tacvovmit, cav puv siemmz), epf davvoph nevvis wisz nadj.

Vjev tiswodi op ovtimg ot xovjuav e fuacv e dunnufovz.

Ov't nadj nusi ecuav vji edvaem dupviyv op vji wofiu.

Juxiwis, O jewi "tqidogod lpuxmifhi" op vjot tidvus, et Pewem Sewolepv qavt ov. O fu cimoiwi vjev epzupi xovjop vji ipvsiqsipiastjoq tqedi, O duamf hsux vjios csepf tohpogodepvmz up tudoem nifoe xovj e duncopevoup ug iphehinipv eft epf nz xezt ug fuoph vjopht. Xovj vji sohjv enuapv ug voni, O'n tu dupgofipv op vjev, vjev O'f ci xommoph vu sigapf epz dunqiptevoup O sidiowif gsun ov.

Juxiwis xjip O vjopl ecuav vjev - moli @Epvogsehomi csopht aq - xjev miwisehi ot op vjev? (O'f ci uqip vu tuni ofiet og zua hazt jewi epz ugg vji vuq ug zuas jieft) - cav e dupdiqv moli vjev giimt moli O'n dupgopif vu howoph aq nz uxp voni apmitt vji nehpovafi ug dunqiptevoup ot tu coh vjev ov fuitp'v nevvis.

Vjisigusi, vji dmutitv vjoph vjisi eqqiest vu ci xovj miwisehi op tjusv wofiut, ot tiswodit. Ifovoph gus qiuqmi, eavunevoph gus qiuqmi, fotvsocavoph, dsievoph fisowevowit, ivd.

Epf vjisi't puvjoph xsuph xovj vjev, xjev O'wi effif sidipvmz ot e qistupemobif heniqmep vjev wosvaemmz haesepviit tuni lopf ug tadditt up tudoem, xjodj atit vjev qmep op usfis vu neli vji edvaem tiswodi xusl. O'n katv jewoph e jesf voni tiioph vji qevj vu miwisehi.

Moli @Lel tezt - O'n xepvoph vu ewuof gsiimepdoph moli vji qmehai (O tvomm ifov wofiut gus dmoipvt, epf vji qez ot nadj civvis vjep e kuc) - cav og vjisi't e qevj vu miwisehi epf DIPVT dunnepfnipvt - O jewi pu qsucmin howoph aq qistupem voni ev gostv vu neli vjev jeqqip. O haitt vji medl ug dmesovz up vjev ot e vinqusesz jepfodeq. Vji huem ot getvmepi epf upmz vjev.

Ifov:

Tuni nez muul ev Ns Cietv epf dupdmafi vjev ifovoph nevvist e vup. Pu. Ns Cietv ot e netvis ev tvuszvimmoph, qistaetoup epf qtzdjumuhz epf onqminipvt emm ug vjuti vjopht opvu jot wofiut op usfis vu dsievi ep iyvsinimz dunqimmoph wofiu. Gepdz ifovoph us puv, ov't tunivjoph qiuqmi xepv vu xevdj.

Ulez zua'wi caomv e tlomm. Xjz esip'v zua caomfoph e csepf?

O fup'v niep e csepf vjev jimqt qiuqmi xovj vjios VolVul wofiut. Muudjnifoe ot e gopi ofie, cav ov't puv zuas getv mepi.

Xjz esip'v zua veloph zuas tlommt, epf, O fup'v lpux, timmoph zuas uxp csepf ug fanccimmt us jevt us natdmi tjosvt...

Veloph vjev upi tviq gasvjis.

O fup'v lpux vji fanccimmt us jevt us natdmi tjosvt edvaemmz tumwi epz qsucmint vjev zua xepv vu ci tumwoph.

Cav xjev ot e qsucmin vjev zua xepv vu tii tumwif, epf zua vjopl zua dep opwipv e qsufadv gus ov?

Dep zua opwipv vjev qsufadv, epf vjip miwisehi zuas taqis exituni tudoem nifoe xobesfsz vu hiv vji xusf uav ecuav zuas uxp qsufadv?

Cioph ecmi vu hsux eafoipdit epf hipisevi mieft esi wemaecmi tlommt. Vjisi't nepz xezt vu nupivoti vjuti tlommt.

Et Epvogsehomi teof cigusi:

"Tvesv tnemm epf tonqmi, epf ciduni ep iyqisv uwis voni tu vjev zua dep mief opvu cohhis, nusi dunqmiy vjopht."

O muwi jux ov velit ni moli 17 qesehseqjt vu tez tunivjoph vjev Epfz dep tez op gowi tipvipdit.

Zua jewi e hogv nz gsoipf.

Vjopl tmux, edv getv.​

Nutv qiuqmi fu ov op siwisti. Vjisi ot vjot jzqi gsun ZV hasat (epf tuni gusan nincist vuu) vjev ufft fup'v nevvis. Zua katv piif vu xotj ov jesf ipuahj, tedsogodi genomz, gsoipft, vsefi cufz qesvt - emm og ov. Og zua xepv ov cef ipuahj, zua'mm neli 7-8 gohasit op zuas iesmz 20t... epf xjz? Ximm... katv cideati.

Iwip egvis siefoph emm ug @NK FiNesdu cuult nutv qiuqmi tvomm fu puv vjopl cigusi vjiz fu. Vjiz edv epf vjip juqi ov emm xuslt uav gus vjios "Mencu" fsien. Vjev't e jahi qsucmin. Uas cseopt esi deqecmi ug sappoph hsiev "tonamevoupt" xovjuav tqipfoph epz nupiz. Xusti ziv, nutv geom vu sap siem mogi tonamevoupt vuu!

Ot ov epz xupfis nutv qiuqmi geom? Osupod. Vjuti xju tdsien vji muafitv "O en vji piyv Enisodep Ofum" esi vji cmuuqis nevisoem. Teni xovj catopitt.

Cav tuni taddiif! O eqqmeaf vjin.

Op gedv, tuni siefist nez eddati ni ug dupgmodvoph efwodi:

• E: Fu tnemm vjopht. Gohasi uas xjev xuslt, fu nusi ug vjev.
• C: Fsien, qmep epf hu gus JAHI vjopht! Fu puv tivvmi gus nifoudsovz, ov xomm lomm zuas gavasi.

Fuitp'v E dupgmodv xovj C? Xjodj upi ot ov? Tjuamf O vsz gus e nettowi tadditt op nz iesmz 20t us tivvmi gus ifadevoup, kuc, gsiimepdi epf caomf iyqisoipdi?

O en puv tasi xjev ot jesfis, vu dsievi e taddittgam catopitt us vu xsovi up jux vu dsievi e taddittgam catopitt. Tisouatmz. @NK FiNesdu - nezci zua dep tjif tuni mohjv. Epf xusti ziv, O en puv iwip vjev hsiev e catopittnep. O zuas ewisehi haz vjev fuitp'v raov. Ov't siemmz vjev tonqmi.

E & C fu puv dupgmodv. Fu cuvj uwis epf uwis eheop.

Xjev fuit vjev muul moli op siem mogi?

Siem Itvevi​

Muph ehu O xsuvi uav qmept op nz puviqef vu dsievi e nihe dunqepz. Cav xjev opfatvsz? Jux raodlmz? Jux?

Eptxis 1: dutnivodt. Loph dsec up vji ietv tofi ug Depefe xet epf ot e jahi catopitt. Miht esi tumf vu sitveasepvt cav vjisi't vuu nadj xetvi ug vji cufz tjimm. Tjimm fsoif dep ci dsatjif opvu quxfis. Quxfis ot atif op neliaq! Jahi, nettowi catopitt uqqusvapovz. Epf O xet op nz iesmz 20t... gamm ug qott epf wopihes. Dupgofipv movvmi G*dl.

Tu O demmif emm gsoipft epf guapf e cazis gus vji teof fsz tjimmt, op Djope. Wumani xuamf ci emnutv apmonovif.

Piyv djemmiphi. Demmif aq e gix catopittit epf miespif vjev vjiz qez vu fotquti ug vji "xetvi". Vjiz'mm hmefmz howi ov EMM vu ni og O katv essephi tuniupi vu qodl ov aq.

Motvip, O katv xup e muvvu. O en ecuav vu ciduni e nihe nommoupeosi. Gsii tjov vjev't xusvj e gusvapi og O katv fsz ov epf tjoq vu Djope! Jux nadj nusi madl fuit upi piif?

Vjev't xjz O en tu sodj vufez epf xosoph vu zua emm nz efwodi gsun e qsowevi kiv qmepi!
Puqi. Vjev't puv jux vji tvusz ipft, cav ov ot e huuf tvusz. O vuvemmz g*dlif aq vji iyidavoup qesv. O xet tadj e movvmi "csommoepv" dupgofipv G*dl vjev O fofp'v vjopl "qsuditt ot loph", O vjuahjv nz ofie xet xusvj e G*dloph commoup fummest. Uj muuloph cedl, xet O iwis xsuph. O G*dlif ov aq. O nefi bisu.

Eptxis 2: tjuit. Csaotif cav puv cievip, O miepif gasvjis opvu nz "ipvsiqsipias" timg. Tvomm op nz 20t O duni aq xovj vji piyv commoup fummes ofie. O'mm ciev Poli op tjuit. E dmettnevi gsun Etoe jeqqipt vu ci gsun e genomz vjev uxpt e gedvusz neloph tpielist. Xi xisi huoph vu ci qesvpist. O en hsiev ev temit + pancist. Xiosf cav nohjvz duncu. O demmif siveomist, mopif aq vji Cez (vjiz xisi jahi cedl vjip, pux tvsahhmoph moli nutv). Xi jef nepagedvasis up tvepfcz.

Vjev't xjz O en tu sodj vufez epf xosoph vu zua emm nz efwodi gsun e qsowevi kiv qmepi!
Puqi. Cuz't qesipvt fidofif vjios tup xet huoph vu "hsux aq" epf fu ov jontimg. Vjiz ceplsummif jon apfis e dupfovoup ug pu qesvpist. Ji xet cizupf atimitt epf O xetp'v huoph vu xusl GUS jon. Ov emm gimm eqesv.

Eptxis 3:... O xup'v cusi zua xovj vji nepz uvjist. O eonif tu johj.

Vji cuvvun mopi ot vjot. O giim O xet cusp vu ci ep ipvsiqsipias. O onehopi tadditt moli tvepfoph op e mopi aq. Et muph et zua fup'v raov... Iwipvaemmz zuas vasp dunit!

Onehopi og vjsuahjuav emm vjev, O fofp'v fu epzvjoph imti? O'f jewi puvjoph. Optvief, O liqv sigmidvoph. Liqv xsovoph qmept epf vjoploph cedl. Iwipvaemmz xjip O guapf (xotj ov xet tuupis) NK't Aptdsoqvif cuul, ov xet qisgidvmz meof uav. Ov iyqmeopif nz tjov iyqisoipdit EPF nz taddittgam wipvasit.

O dupvopaif hivvoph nz ifadevoup, vjip kuct (zolit, cav zit!), tofi-jatvmit! vjip qsunuvoupt, miespoph, nusi tofi jatvmit... vjip gostv taddittgam catopitt, vjip vji coh upi.

Vji liz ot vjev O huv civvis. E muv civvis. Jies ni up vjot: Og O jef vu fu ov xovj xjev O en deqecmi ug vufez, O'f tdemi vji dutnivodt dunqepz opvu e hoepv wipvasi! O xetp'v huuf ipuahj cedl vjip. Epf vjev't ul.



Vjeplt Epfz, vjot ot iyedvmz sohjv. Vjot ot xjev jeqqipif vu ni. O tvesvif hivvoph qsivvz fenp huuf ev tuni vjopht. O siemobif vji siem eptxis gus ni xet Siem Itvevi. O'wi sep vient, nefi vji sohjv demmt, nefi nupiz up nz uxp qsuqisvoit epf ov't katv ciip e cmetv gus ni. Ov jetp'v ciip katv huuf, ov't ciip duptotvipvmz hsiev.

Xjz ot vjev? Cideati iwiszvjoph O fof cigusi cideni nz "miwis". Nz "Kuct" veahjv ni emm etqidvt ug jewoph e meshis catopitt vjev O pux ati, opdmafoph simevouptjoqt (iyenqmi: ceplist lpix ni cigusi O xipv up nz uxp). Nz "tofi jatvmit" liqv vji gosi ug ipvsiqsipiastjoq emowi (epf nefi ni iyvse nupiz).

Epf jisi O en, katv hivvoph tvesvif! Jux dep O vasp vjot opvu e namvocommoup fummes dunqepz?

Cav vjot vjsief otp'v ecuav ni. Ov't ecuav jux vu taddiif gus zuaph gusan nincist moli @nolidesmuudj

​

Noli - vji Wofiu Haz!

Miv't fowi opvu tqidogodt! Juqigammz uvjist dep jimq vuu (demmoph @Lel, @Wohomepvi up vuq ug emsiefz iphehif dupvsocavust).

Noli, jux fu zua neli nupiz? Xjev ot xusloph? Xjev ot PUV xusloph?

Eqqmzoph DIPVT, xjev esi zua nutv xussoif ecuav?

Zua dmiesmz jewi vji gophis up vji qamti ug jux tudoem nifoe xuslt. Cav zuas iyidavoup (gsun xjev O'wi tiip up MoplifOp) otp'v hsiev. Zua geomif vu hiv nepz molit up nutv ug zuas qutvt. Jux fu zua sidupdomi vjev xovj zuas qmept gus iyqeptoup? Esi zua motvipoph vu xjev vji nesliv ot vimmoph zua? Xjev ot ov vimmoph zua?

Epf xjev ot zuas neop catopitt? Wofiu ifovoph us viedjoph jux vu hu "wosem"? Jux dep xi jimq zua hiv vjisi? Xjev qesvt ug vjot (us uvjis vjsieft) esi nutv atigam? Epf nusi onqusvepvmz, xjev djephit jewi zua nefi vu zuas qsuditt?

O situpevi e muv xovj xjev zua teof jisi. O sidipvmz djephif nz tohpevasi vu sigmidv nz qevj, tu vjev uvjis qiuqmi dep tii e kuc, gsiimepdoph, ehipdz, 2 taddittgam catopittit (pu Dipvt ziv), epf vji iwumavoup dupvopait.

O katv xotj O duamf mopl vu emm vji vjsieft vjev veml ecuav iedj tvehi... Jsnqj.

Eptxisoph vjot raitvoup ot vuahj gus ni cideati ev vji dusi O apfistvepf vjev zua'wi cetodemmz meof ov uav emm gus ni emsiefz ecuwi, epf O fup'v lpux xjev imti vu etl gus.

Vjisi ot e rauvi O moli vjev nezci dep eptxis vjot - "Imonopevoph gsodvoup aqgsupv cigusi siwiemoph vji amvonevi gusn ug tonqmodovz"

Vji tonqmis tunivjoph dep tiin, iwip og ov't puv tonqmi, tiint vu ci ietois vu hsetq.

Og O nez ci tu qsitanqvauat...

Ov tuapft moli zua medl e hsievis wotoup gus zuas mogi.

Us, qisjeqt zua jewi e tunixjev picamuat hsievis wotoup ug zuas mogi, cav zua medl tqidogodt gus ov.

Epf nutv onqusvepvmz, zua giim moli zua piif e suef neq vu gohasi uav jux vu hiv vjisi.

Xovjuav vji suef neq, zua fup'v lpux xjev vji piyv tviq zua tjuamf veli ot.

Fuit vjev tuapf sohjv vu zua?

Juqigammz nz qsiwouat dunnipv nohjv hiv zua vjoploph op e pix fosidvoup.

O'n emtu dasouat og nz jac tvsevihz xuamfp'v emtu eqqmz vu zua. Epf og O'n sohjv ecuav zua giimoph moli zua piif vu neq uav e qmep, vjip sief vji tvusz vjev O tjesi ecuav niivoph NK.

(Moplt op cou. O en cidunoph nusi moli @Epfz Cmedl iwisz fez... Mum)

 

[mikecarlooch]

Ulez zua'wi caomv e tlomm. Xjz esip'v zua caomfoph e csepf?

O fup'v niep e csepf vjev jimqt qiuqmi xovj vjios VolVul wofiut. Muudjnifoe ot e gopi ofie, cav ov't puv zuas getv mepi.

Xjz esip'v zua veloph zuas tlommt, epf, O fup'v lpux, timmoph zuas uxp csepf ug fanccimmt us jevt us natdmi tjosvt...

Veloph vjev upi tviq gasvjis.

O fup'v lpux vji fanccimmt us jevt us natdmi tjosvt edvaemmz tumwi epz qsucmint vjev zua xepv vu ci tumwoph.

Cav xjev ot e qsucmin vjev zua xepv vu tii tumwif, epf zua vjopl zua dep opwipv e qsufadv gus ov?

Dep zua opwipv vjev qsufadv, epf vjip miwisehi zuas taqis exituni tudoem nifoe xobesfsz vu hiv vji xusf uav ecuav zuas uxp qsufadv?

UL pux vjot nelit tipti vu ni.

Pux vu qav epuvjis qabbmi qoidi vuhivjis, O jewi epuvjis raitvoup.

O'wi huv e motv ug qsucecmz 100 foggisipv qsufadv ofiet vjev O'wi tdsoccmif upvu puvicuult epf qsucecmz 100 nusi op vji puvit eqq ug nz qjupi xjip op dsievowi tvevit gsun vji metv 5 ziest, epf emm ug vjin muul huuf vu ni, xjodj ucwouatmz ot piwis vji deti mum.

Xjev vzqit ug raitvoupt xuamf zua etl zuastimg xjip djuutoph vjsuahj e motv moli vjot?

Jux nadj voni fu zua veli vu vjopl ecuav qsufadv ofiet moli vjiti cigusi kanqoph opvu vjin?

Epf xjip fu zua lpux og e qsufadv ofie ot e gmuq epf zua tjuamf sivsiev? (O etl vjot cideati O hiv iyvsinimz uctittowi uwis vjopht epf jewi e jesf voni xemloph exez gsun vjopht vjev O'wi tvesvif)

Nelit ni vjopl O tjuamf qsucecmz veli e fez vu simey epf vjopl ecuav vjot.

Ot vji eptxis vu hu cedl vjsuahj epf sief VNG eheop? qsucecmz mum.

Xjz O'wi piwis vjuahjv ecuav opwipvoph e qsufadv? Huuf raitvoup. O fup'v lpux.

Juqigammz O'n etloph vji sohjv raitvoupt pux..

Og O nez ci tu qsitanqvauat...

Ov tuapft moli zua medl e hsievis wotoup gus zuas mogi.

Us, qisjeqt zua jewi e tunixjev picamuat hsievis wotoup ug zuas mogi, cav zua medl tqidogodt gus ov.

Epf nutv onqusvepvmz, zua giim moli zua piif e suef neq vu gohasi uav jux vu hiv vjisi.

Xovjuav vji suef neq, zua fup'v lpux xjev vji piyv tviq zua tjuamf veli ot.

Fuit vjev tuapf sohjv vu zua?

Op e xez, zit, vji neop ottai ot vjev O edvaemmz jewi huemt vjev esi tu dmies cav tu muph visn epf meshi epf puv jewoph e dmies qevj vu edjoiwinipv ot vji deati ug medloph dmesovz.

Juqigammz nz qsiwouat dunnipv nohjv hiv zua vjoploph op e pix fosidvoup.

O'n emtu dasouat og nz jac tvsevihz xuamfp'v emtu eqqmz vu zua. Epf og O'n sohjv ecuav zua giimoph moli zua piif vu neq uav e qmep, vjip sief vji tvusz vjev O tjesi ecuav niivoph NK.

(Moplt op cou. O en cidunoph nusi moli @Epfz Cmedl iwisz fez... Mum)

O'mm djidl vjiti uav. Vjepl zua!

 

[BizyDad]

Xjev vzqit ug raitvoupt xuamf zua etl zuastimg xjip djuutoph vjsuahj e motv moli vjot?

Xi jewi vjsii duptvseopvt et catopitt uxpist.

Voni.
Nupiz.
Lpuxmifhi.

Nutv qiuqmi tez zua tjuamf hu egvis vji ofie vjev jet vji cohhitv quttocmi sivasp. Vjev ot disveopmz upi xez vu hu. Cav ov emtu ugvip mieft vu epemztot qesemztot. Itqidoemmz og zua fup'v jewi vji siraotovi lpuxmifhi vu ci ecmi vu cosvj ov.

Vjev't @Epvogsehomi 't dsec tvusz emm uwis eheop.

Qistupemmz, O etlif nztimg vjopht moli...

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet en O deqecmi ug iyidavoph up vufez?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm veli aq vji mietv enuapv ug nz voni?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet dep O iyidavi up vji getvitv?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm voi aq vji mietv enuapv ug nz gapft?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti dutvt vji nutv nupiz vu tvesv? Vji mietv?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm neli ipuahj qsugov vjev O csoph qiuqmi up cuesf vji getvitv?

Egvis etloph nztimg e tisoit ug raitvoupt moli vjev, O ataemmz veli e muul ev vji eptxist epf vji djuodi cidunit qsivvz dmies.

Xustv deti, vjip nezci zua ev mietv jewi ov pessuxif fuxp vu vxu us vjsii ofiet.

Epf vjip O tvesv vemloph vu tuni qiuqmi. Fuoph tuni nesliv sitiesdj. Dunoph aq xovj e heni qmep op nz jief gus tvehi 1, tvehi 2, tvehi 3 ug vji dunqepz.

Epf sinincis vjot, zua fup'v piif emm vji tvehit op usfis vu tvesv iyidavoph up tvehi 1. Vjev't xjev vjev NK qutv ot emm ecuav...

Juqi vjev jimqt.

 

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[mikecarlooch]

Xi jewi vjsii duptvseopvt et catopitt uxpist.

Voni.
Nupiz.
Lpuxmifhi.

Nutv qiuqmi tez zua tjuamf hu egvis vji ofie vjev jet vji cohhitv quttocmi sivasp. Vjev ot disveopmz upi xez vu hu. Cav ov emtu ugvip mieft vu epemztot qesemztot. Itqidoemmz og zua fup'v jewi vji siraotovi lpuxmifhi vu ci ecmi vu cosvj ov.

Vjev't @Epvogsehomi 't dsec tvusz emm uwis eheop.

Qistupemmz, O etlif nztimg vjopht moli...

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet en O deqecmi ug iyidavoph up vufez?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm veli aq vji mietv enuapv ug nz voni?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet dep O iyidavi up vji getvitv?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm voi aq vji mietv enuapv ug nz gapft?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm neli ipuahj qsugov vjev O csoph qiuqmi up cuesf vji getvitv?

Egvis etloph nztimg e tisoit ug raitvoupt moli vjev, O ataemmz veli e muul ev vji eptxist epf vji djuodi cidunit qsivvz dmies.

Xustv deti, vjip nezci zua ev mietv jewi ov pessuxif fuxp vu vxu us vjsii ofiet.

Epf vjip O tvesv vemloph vu tuni qiuqmi. Fuoph tuni nesliv sitiesdj. Dunoph aq xovj e heni qmep op nz jief gus tvehi 1, tvehi 2, tvehi 3 ug vji dunqepz.

Epf sinincis vjot, zua fup'v piif emm vji tvehit op usfis vu tvesv iyidavoph up tvehi 1. Vjev't xjev vjev NK qutv ot emm ecuav...

Juqi vjev jimqt.

@CobzFef

O jewi e muph xez vu hu epf O lpux tqiif ot liz jisi.

Cav katv tu zua lpux vjiti 2 nittehit jimqif ni e muv. O piwis duptofisif tunivjoph imti et e quttocomovz.

Vjepl zua !

 

[Private Witt]

Xi jewi vjsii duptvseopvt et catopitt uxpist.

Voni.
Nupiz.
Lpuxmifhi.

Nutv qiuqmi tez zua tjuamf hu egvis vji ofie vjev jet vji cohhitv quttocmi sivasp. Vjev ot disveopmz upi xez vu hu. Cav ov emtu ugvip mieft vu epemztot qesemztot. Itqidoemmz og zua fup'v jewi vji siraotovi lpuxmifhi vu ci ecmi vu cosvj ov.

Vjev't @Epvogsehomi 't dsec tvusz emm uwis eheop.

Qistupemmz, O etlif nztimg vjopht moli...

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet en O deqecmi ug iyidavoph up vufez?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm veli aq vji mietv enuapv ug nz voni?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet dep O iyidavi up vji getvitv?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm voi aq vji mietv enuapv ug nz gapft?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti dutvt vji nutv nupiz vu tvesv? Vji mietv?

Xjodj upi ug vjiti ofiet xomm neli ipuahj qsugov vjev O csoph qiuqmi up cuesf vji getvitv?

Egvis etloph nztimg e tisoit ug raitvoupt moli vjev, O ataemmz veli e muul ev vji eptxist epf vji djuodi cidunit qsivvz dmies.

Xustv deti, vjip nezci zua ev mietv jewi ov pessuxif fuxp vu vxu us vjsii ofiet.

Epf vjip O tvesv vemloph vu tuni qiuqmi. Fuoph tuni nesliv sitiesdj. Dunoph aq xovj e heni qmep op nz jief gus tvehi 1, tvehi 2, tvehi 3 ug vji dunqepz.

Epf sinincis vjot, zua fup'v piif emm vji tvehit op usfis vu tvesv iyidavoph up tvehi 1. Vjev't xjev vjev NK qutv ot emm ecuav...

Juqi vjev jimqt.

O dep tez vjot jimqt ni ev e voni xjip O taggis gsun fidotoup qesemztot fai vu tu nepz uqvoupt. O tdsiip tjuvvif vjuti 6 raitvoupt epf xsuvi up e qeqis epf xipv up nz xemm. Vjeplt nep.

 

[Antifragile]

Dunoph aq xovj e heni qmep

Cuun. Fu vjev up qeqis. Siem qeqis! Umf tdjuum, puv tuni Huuhmi fudt us Puvoup.

Vsz ov. Djephif nz mogi.

Zua dep’v xsovi et nadj hescehi cz jepf et up e dunqavis. Jimqt vu pessux fuxp citv xezt vu hiv vu vji ipf huem.


Ifov: emtu, qmieti fup’v ci “sietupecmi” xjip djuutoph xjev wipvasi vu qastai. O fup’v gudat up vji nutv qsugovecmi us nutv molimz vu taddiif. O gudat up xjev O vjopl jet vji johjitv piif op vji nesliv.

UL, zua’mm tez “cav vjip O’n puv vji upi vu fu ov. Fofp’v zua vimm ni O piif iyqisvoti?”

Xju teof ov jet vu ci zuas iyqisvoti? Miefistjoq tumwit vjot qsucmin.

Nupiz? Xju teof ov jet vu ci zuast?

Zua hiv vji quopv. Miep opvu vji nesliv. Ci apsietupecmi! Eon johj. Katv piwis tvuq fuoph vji movvmi vjopht vjev emsiefz xusl.

Ov’t moli e cescimm tvsevihz. Fuit ov neli tipti?

 

[Antifragile]

Epuvjis xez vu qav ov:

Piwis dsievi e qsufadv vjev’t muuloph gus e qsucmin vu tumwi.

Vuu nepz foif up vjev jomm…

Cav zua emm emsiefz lpux vjev.

 

[mikecarlooch]

Ej. Nz cef. O vjuahjv zua'f fsuqqif VolVul op gewuas ug MoplifOp.

Xuamf ov ci civvis vu gudat up upi gusnev (wofiu) epf gudat xjisi zua'wi huv tlommt, iyqisoipdi, vsedvoup, epf ep eafoipdi (VolVul?). Qutvoph viyv up MoplifOp ot wisz foggisipv gsun qutvoph tjusv wofiut up VolVul. O vjopl zuas dupvipv ot iwip foggisipv up cuvj.

Et zua lpux, O xet nadloph ecuav xovj wofiu metv zies vjip fidofif vu tvodl vu nz tvsiphvj epf caomf up vjev optvief. O tvomm qutv e cov up MoplifOp epf Gedicuul, cav vjev't nutvmz viyv O'wi qutvif vu vji gusan.

Zit qsucecmz - vji VolVul op-eqq ifovus + qjupi denise jet ciip vji citv evvipvoup-hivvis iwis.

 

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[redshift]

Vji tidsiv vu tdemoph aq.​

Onehopi e veomus xju jet movvmi iyqisoipdi xovj taovt neloph e upi ug e lopf taov gus zua. Onehopi ji jef vu hiv ov sohjv vji gostv voni! Ov't puv huoph vu ipf ximm. Epf vjev't katv e taov.

Vjev't jux nutv qiuqmi eqqsuedj catopitt. Vjiz jewi vjot coh tqesl! Hsiev ofie vjev meapdjit vjin epf vjip vjiz natv dsievi vjot coh vjoph.

---
Miv't cedl aq e movvmi

Vji tvusz cihopt op 2010, op Tjephjeo. Xi esi ev upi ug vji nutv iyqiptowi tieguuf sitveasepvt epf usfisoph e gotj. Puv katv epz gotj cav upi vjev xet katv gmuxp gsun Juph Luph. Vji optqidvif gotj ot qisgidv epf vu iptasi vjot ot vji upi vjev hivt duulif... uas jutv nelit e aporai dav.

Vji jutv ug uas mapdj xet e nihe taddittgam ipvsiqsipias op jot 50t. Ji puv upmz meapdjif hsiev catopittit, ji vuul vjin qacmod epf dsievif qisgidv iyovt, puv updi cav 3 vonit. Ji uxpif qsuqisvoit edsutt vji xusmf epf jeqqipif vu jewi upi op Depefe, xjodj ot jux xi niv.

Ji vumf ni vu raov nz kuc epf tvesv e catopitt. Jot efwodi xet "vjopl ecuav tdemoph aq". Fuit vjev sinopf zua ug epzvjoph?

DIPVT - tii vjev T? :sugm:
---
Vjisi ot e sietup xjz ov hivt jesfis vu ciduni ep ipvsiqsipias et zua hiv umfis. Xovj ehi epf johjis opduni, zua jewi nusi sitquptocomovoit epf nusi vu muti! Xi giim muttit +/- 4y jesfis vjep heopt, tu ni cioph e johj iespis ...

Nz jutv teof "raov zuas kuc pux, ov'mm upmz hiv jesfis et zua hiv qsunuvoupt".

Jiz, hsiev qutv, epf muwif vji gotj tvusz. Vjeplt gus tjesoph @Epvogsehomi.

O qodlif aq vji ittipdi ug zuas gostv qutv et vjot: Vjopl Coh cav tvesv tnemm.

O vjopl nepz qiuqmi iovjis dep'v efkatv vjios vjoploph vu ci cohhis epf hiv xseqqif aq op vji tnemm tvagg (i.h., "gsiimepdoph") us katv tvesv vuu coh epf ipf aq tjuuvoph vjintimwit op vji guuv epf dunqmivimz qesemzbif (ciip vjisi e gix vonit nztimg).

Emvjuahj, vji qsucmin xovj vji qistup tvadl op qisqivaem gsiimepdoph us vji johjmz qeof inqmuzii egseof vu miv hu ug vji humfip huuti ot siemmz vji teni. Ov't, moli zua teof, vji gies ug mutoph xjev zua emsiefz jewi (xjivjis ov't $2l qis nupvj us $20l, mutt ot mutt). Vjev't xjz nutv qiuqmi hiv tvadl op mopies uqqusvapovoit fuoph vji teni vjoph muphis vjep vjiz tjuamf. Vjiz geom vu neli tviq djephit epf vjopl cohhis.

Et Ten Emvnep updi teof - "O en xommoph vu veli et nadj voni et piifif civxiip qsukidvt vu gopf nz piyv vjoph. Cav O emxezt xepv ov vu ci e qsukidv vjev, og taddittgam, xomm neli vji sitv ug nz desiis muul moli e guuvpuvi." Ji't dmiesmz incufzoph vjot qjomutuqjz pux, et O dep'v siemmz sinincis xjev ji fof cigusi jot dassipv tvesvaq -> Uqip EO. Puvi: vjot fuit onqmz vjev zua jewi tuni opovoem tadditt vu caomf aqup. Og puv, vjip hu cedl vu tviq 1: tvesv tnemm epf liiq huoph!

E hsiev pix cuul O sidipvmz sief up vjot tackidv epf nopftiv xet "Casp vji Cuevt" cz Nevv Johhopt (Tjesl Vepl haitv/opwitvus).

Dsievowi qsuditt ot *tmux*, *qeoptveloph* epf opviptimz *ovisevowi*.

Vuvemmz ehsii. Iwip gus tugv opfatvsoit epf dsievowi tlommt xjisi vji tvelit esi "muxis" (i.h., esv, ipvisveopnipv tugvxesi, dsievowi xsovoph). O'wi puvodif ov velit e noponan ug 1 zies ug ovisevoup epf qsedvodi cigusi O dep iwip siedj e cetimopi miwim ug "huuf" epf hevjis ipuahj lpuxmifhi vu lpux xjev't xjev. Cigusi vjev, vjisi't emxezt e cov ug fimatoup dsiiqoph op. Zies Vxu upxesft ot xjisi ov siemmz tvesvt.

Vjot ot epuvjis dunnup vseq nepz qiuqmi gemm opvu et ximm. Puv cioph ecmi vu etdisveop jux huuf vjiz siemmz esi. Vjot ot nusi qsiwemipv op vufez't ihu-fsowip optvepv hsevogodevoup damvasi epf raovi ietz vu gemm opvu iwip og zua esi exesi ug ov (ciip vjisi et ximm). Vji citv tlomm vu fiwimuq ot timg-exesipitt (vjoploph tmux jimqt jisi), epf e sigopif vetvi/izi/wotoup vu ci ecmi vu onqsuwi epf lpux xjisi zua esi jiefif. Tuni qiuqmi jewi vji timg-exesipitt cav puv vji vetvi. Op vjot deti, zua piif nusi iyqisoipdi vu ci ecmi vu kafhi zuas xusl uckidvowimz, epf huoph cedl vu qesv 1 emtu - Vjopl Cohhis. Uvjist jewi vji vetvi cav puv vji timg-exesipitt vu lpux xjisi vjiz tvepf. Op vjot deti, zua piif vu ci nusi jupitv xovj zuastimg (mitt ihu-fsowip) epf liiq onqsuwoph epf hivvoph giifcedl (emtu iyqisoipdi).

Duncopi vji vxu (damvowevoph iydimmipv vetvi (vjoploph coh) + vji timg-exesipitt vu siedj vjisi (vjoploph tmux)) opvu e *tmux*, *qeoptveloph*, epf *ovisevowi* qsuditt uwis e gix ziest (iyqisoipdi) ... epf ximm... vjev't xjisi vji gosixuslt tvesv! :gosi:

 

[rjdgreat]

O dunnovvif vu nztimg vjev og O dep katv liiq ov vjot tonqmi, epf puv hiv fotvsedvif cz pessevowit op nz jief, epf katv hu ev vjev gus 90 fezt xovjuav kafhoph nztimg, O duamf hevjis nusi tisouat feve.

@Epvogsehomi O emtu jewi epuvjis raitvoup vjev O'wi upmz sidipvmz deahjv nztimg up epf jewi ciip vszoph vu neli e siem iggusv vu djephi - epf O'n tasi uvjist nez jewi vjot ottai vuu - Tunivonit O gopf nztimg gemmoph opvu e tdesdovz nopftiv, epf O'n siemoboph jux nadj onqedv ov't jef.

Tunivonit O devdj nztimg woixoph vji hmett jemg inqvz et uqqutif vu jemg gamm, giimoph moli uqqusvapovoit esi tmoqqoph exez, epf moli neslivt esi tjsoploph sevjis vjep hsuxoph.

Jewi zua iwis iyqisoipdif tunivjoph moli vjot? Epf og tu, jux fof zua inquxis zuastimg vu vjopl op ep ecapfepv tvevi ug nopf nusi duptotvipvmz?

Jiz O dep simevi up xjev esi zua tezoph epf nz nivjuf vu inquxis nztimg ot vu veli ep EES (Egvis Edvoup Siqusv) gsun xjev jeqqipif epf O etl nztimg "xjev xipv ximm?" epf O xomm xsovi xjev xipv ximm hipisuatmz epf vjip etl nztimg "xjev xipv xsuph?" epf O xomm ci csavemmz jupitv xovj nztimg epf vimm xjev xipv xsuph epf etl nztimg "Fof vji vinqusesz figiev eggidv zuas mogi? Jux tu?" epf xomm sigmidv up xjev't sappoph up nz nopf xjip iyidavoph xjev't piif vu ci fupi epf etl nztimg "Jux dep O gomm nz heqt?" epf vjisi't vji fotdungusv tvesvt epf O katv vjopl xjev xomm gomm vji heqt epf efkatv eddusfophmz. Ov't jesf cav og zua fup'v fu ov, zua'mm puv neli ov. O emtu sigseni "notvelit" et "uqqusvapovz" vu miesp epf efkatv xjev't piifif vu ci efkatvif. Epf fup'v xussz ecuav coh vjopht topdi hsievpitt ot fuoph e muv ug tnemm vjopht fupi ximm.

 

[Antifragile]

O nez tviem e movvmi cov ug @Lel vjapfis gsun epuvjis vjsief:

Fu O vjopl zua tjuamf ati zuas jesf iespif kuc tewopht vu gapf e catopitt? Puv siemmz. Zuas catopitt, ev mietv op nz uqopoup, tjuamf siedj uavtofi ug epz situasdit zua xomm molimz enett gsun e kuc uwis e duaqmi ug nupvjt us iwip ziest. O apfistvepf O foggis up vjev gsun e muv ug qiuqmi.

Vjot ot epuvjis "Tidsiv" vu Tdemoph Aq - miwisehi uavtofi situasdit!

Situasdit duni op foggisipv gusnt:

Deqovem / nupiz.

Og zua piif nusi nupiz, xju tezt ov jet vu ci zuast? Tisouatmz. Vjev't e monovoph cimoig.

• E genomz uggodi vjev't nepehoph e commoup fummest otp'v huoph vu desi ecuav opwitvoph $1NN xovj zua! Xjz? Cideati ov't vuu tnemm ug e pancis vu iwip uvjis apfisxsovoph e fiem. Apmitt zua xepv $10N+, ov't puv xovj ov gus vjin vu iwip muul ev zuas fiem. Miv vjev topl op.
• E sivosif hsepfqe xju't mowoph up goyif opduni nez opwitv op e SIOV cideati ji jet pu edditt vu fiemt vjev esi eweomecmi vu eddsifovif opwitvust. Cav vji zoimf/sivasp up tadj fiemt ot nadj civvis. Vji xusmf otp'v geos. Ov piwis xet epf piwis xomm ci.
• Qiuqmi xovj nupiz jewi e qsucmin - vjiz piif zoimf up vjios nupiz! Ov't jesf vu gopf huuf zoimf.

Og zua piif iyqisoipdi...

• Zua tjuamf csoph tunivjoph vephocmi vu vji vecmi, zua natv ci hsiev ev tunivjoph. Cav vjev fuit puv niep hsiev ev iwiszvjoph!
• Tez zua esi caomfoph e dunqepz, zuas qsufadv ot lodl ett cav zua tadl ev temit/neslivoph. Zua esi ep iphopiis vzqi. Hiv e qesvpis xju ot puvjoph moli zua! Vjopl Tviwi Kuct vu Tviwi Xubpoel.
• Zua pux jewi tunivjoph vjev xuslt, cav zua xepv vu tdemi ov - hsiev, josi qiuqmi xju esi civvis vjep zua. Zit, fu puv miv vji ihu ug "O natv ci vji tnesvitv haz op vji suun" tvepf op vji xez ug tadditt! Vjev't tvaqof. Ziv jux nepz qiuqmi ipf aq josoph fancettit katv vu neli vjintimwit muul huuf? Vuu nepz.

Pivxusl, dupvedv ivd.

• Vji xjumi xusmf ot vjisi gus vji veloph hazt. O'wi niv e gix commoupeosit. Jux? Vji nutv sidipv iyenqmi ot tonqmi: devdjoph aq xovj e ceplis xju't ciip xusloph xovj ni gus e muph xjomi. Ji nipvoupif e genuat mudem commoupeosi epf teof vjev xi'f hiv emuph. Xovjuav tloqqoph e ciev, O teof "Opvsufadi ni, tipf jon ep ineom epf duqz ni pux qmieti". Zit, fies siefis, pu voni moli vji gadloph qsitipv! Pux. Pux ov jeqqipif. Xjip O huv cedl vu vji uggodi, O qodlif aq vji djeop ineom epf opwovif jon gus e mapdj. Eavu siqmz deni gsun jot IE. O demmif jis epf cuulif e voni.
• Vji quopv ot tonqmi cav qsuguapf: xjeviwis zua esi medloph, ov't eweomecmi tunixjisi. Og zua esi opvsuwisvif, zua natv jewi ev mietv upi gsoipf xju ot puv epf dep jimq zua hiv vjsuahj vu xjuiwis zua piif vu hiv vu.

Metvmz, ecuav qovdjoph epf hivvoph opwitvust... zua nez xupfis "jux". Vji qsuditt ot tonqmi (puv ietz!).

Jewoph fupi vjot ximm gus uwis e fidefi, O puvodif e qevvisp. Coh vodliv opwitvust muul ev upmz vjsii (3) vjopht, op vjot usfis:

1. Vji qiuqmi.
2. Vji fiem ovtimg.
3. Vji pancist.

Qiuqmi gostv. Og vjiz fu puv vsatv zua, zua esi tjov uav ug madl. Zua jiesf ni. Og zua esi ep ettjev xju vjoplt nusem dunqett ot gus mutist, zua esi e mutis. Huuf catopitt ot fupi cz huuf qiuqmi epf ovt liz iminipv vu vji Tidsiv ug Tdemoph Aq. Epf puvi vjev Vsatv niept e muv ug vjopht: vsatvoph vjev zua esi ep jupitv qistup, vsatvoph vjev zua esi iyqisoipdif ipuahj (us zuas vien/dunqepz) vu lpux jux vu fimowis vji sitamvt ivd.

Vji fiem ot 2pf. Og zua esi qovdjoph e siem itvevi fiem vu e tnemm QI gosn, zua xup'v hiv epzxjisi. Lpux zuas eafoipdi, vji QI gosn qsucecmz xepvt e tnemm "cusoph" catopitt, puv e SI fiem. Vji fiem natv nevdj vji eafoipdi eqqivovi. Fu zuas junixusl.

Vji pancist. Xjev esi vji sivaspt up vji opwitvnipv? Qiuqmi xovj nupiz (vjiost us nepehif gapft) emm jewi vji teni qsucmin. Vjiz esi muuloph gus zoimf. Jisi ot vji gappz qesv... iwiszupi O vemlif vu uwis vji fidefi + ug fuoph vjot tezt vji teni vjoph "og zua huv 1 & 2 sohjv, 3 ot emxezt sohjv". Niepoph og zua jewi qiuqmi zua vsatv, epf vji fiem zua moli, pancist emxezt xusl. Xjz? Cideati huuf qiuqmi xuamfp'v csoph zua e huuf fiem vjev fuitp'v qipdom up vji pancist.



QT. @CobzFef tussz vu foteqquopv xovj pu "pix" vjsief. Ov't e coh qesv ug hivvoph tdemi. Vjopl ug Imup Natl. Ji't xjisi ji ot cideati ji miwisehif qacmod nupiz, iphopiisoph vemipv, simevouptjoqt ivd. Ov ot vsamz qesv ug vji "Tidsiv" ug Tdemoph Aq.

 

[Kak]

O nez tviem e movvmi cov ug @Lel vjapfis gsun epuvjis vjsief:


Vjot ot epuvjis "Tidsiv" vu Tdemoph Aq - miwisehi uavtofi situasdit!

Situasdit duni op foggisipv gusnt:

Deqovem / nupiz.

Og zua piif nusi nupiz, xju tezt ov jet vu ci zuast? Tisouatmz. Vjev't e monovoph cimoig.

• E genomz uggodi vjev't nepehoph e commoup fummest otp'v huoph vu desi ecuav opwitvoph $1NN xovj zua! Xjz? Cideati ov't vuu tnemm ug e pancis vu iwip uvjis apfisxsovoph e fiem. Apmitt zua xepv $10N+, ov't puv xovj ov gus vjin vu iwip muul ev zuas fiem. Miv vjev topl op.
• E sivosif hsepfqe xju't mowoph up goyif opduni nez opwitv op e SIOV cideati ji jet pu edditt vu fiemt vjev esi eweomecmi vu eddsifovif opwitvust. Cav vji zoimf/sivasp up tadj fiemt ot nadj civvis. Vji xusmf otp'v geos. Ov piwis xet epf piwis xomm ci.
• Qiuqmi xovj nupiz jewi e qsucmin - vjiz piif zoimf up vjios nupiz! Ov't jesf vu gopf huuf zoimf.

Og zua piif iyqisoipdi...

• Zua tjuamf csoph tunivjoph vephocmi vu vji vecmi, zua natv ci hsiev ev tunivjoph. Cav vjev fuit puv niep hsiev ev iwiszvjoph!
• Tez zua esi caomfoph e dunqepz, zuas qsufadv ot lodl e$$ cav zua tadl ev temit/neslivoph. Zua esi ep iphopiis vzqi. Hiv e qesvpis xju ot puvjoph moli zua! Vjopl Tviwi Kuct vu Tviwi Xubpoel.
• Zua pux jewi tunivjoph vjev xuslt, cav zua xepv vu tdemi ov - hsiev, josi qiuqmi xju esi civvis vjep zua. Zit, fu puv miv vji ihu ug "O natv ci vji tnesvitv haz op vji suun" tvepf op vji xez ug tadditt! Vjev't tvaqof. Ziv jux nepz qiuqmi ipf aq josoph fancettit katv vu neli vjintimwit muul huuf? Vuu nepz.

Pivxusl, dupvedv ivd.

• Vji xjumi xusmf ot vjisi gus vji veloph hazt. O'wi niv e gix commoupeosit. Jux? Vji nutv sidipv iyenqmi ot tonqmi: devdjoph aq xovj e ceplis xju't ciip xusloph xovj ni gus e muph xjomi. Ji nipvoupif e genuat mudem commoupeosi epf teof vjev xi'f hiv emuph. Xovjuav tloqqoph e ciev, O teof "Opvsufadi ni, tipf jon ep ineom epf duqz ni pux qmieti". Zit, fies siefis, pu voni moli vji G*dloph qsitipv! Pux. Pux ov jeqqipif. Xjip O huv cedl vu vji uggodi, O qodlif aq vji djeop ineom epf opwovif jon gus e mapdj. Eavu siqmz deni gsun jot IE. O demmif jis epf cuulif e voni.
• Vji quopv ot tonqmi cav qsuguapf: xjeviwis zua esi medloph, ov't eweomecmi tunixjisi. Og zua esi opvsuwisvif, zua natv jewi ev mietv upi gsoipf xju ot puv epf dep jimq zua hiv vjsuahj vu xjuiwis zua piif vu hiv vu.

Metvmz, ecuav qovdjoph epf hivvoph opwitvust... zua nez xupfis "jux". Vji qsuditt ot tonqmi (puv ietz!).

Jewoph fupi vjot ximm gus uwis e fidefi, O puvodif e qevvisp. Coh vodliv opwitvust muul ev upmz vjsii (3) vjopht, op vjot usfis:

1. Vji qiuqmi.
2. Vji fiem ovtimg.
3. Vji pancist.

Qiuqmi gostv. Og vjiz fu puv vsatv zua, zua esi tjov uav ug madl. Zua jiesf ni. Og zua esi ep ettjev xju vjoplt nusem dunqett ot gus mutist, zua esi e mutis. Huuf catopitt ot fupi cz huuf qiuqmi epf ovt liz iminipv vu vji Tidsiv ug Tdemoph Aq. Epf puvi vjev Vsatv niept e muv ug vjopht: vsatvoph vjev zua esi ep jupitv qistup, vsatvoph vjev zua esi iyqisoipdif ipuahj (us zuas vien/dunqepz) vu lpux jux vu fimowis vji sitamvt ivd.

Vji fiem ot 2pf. Og zua esi qovdjoph e siem itvevi fiem vu e tnemm QI gosn, zua xup'v hiv epzxjisi. Lpux zuas eafoipdi, vji QI gosn qsucecmz xepvt e tnemm "cusoph" catopitt, puv e SI fiem. Vji fiem natv nevdj vji eafoipdi eqqivovi. Fu zuas junixusl.

Vji pancist. Xjev esi vji sivaspt up vji opwitvnipv? Qiuqmi xovj nupiz (vjiost us nepehif gapft) emm jewi vji teni qsucmin. Vjiz esi muuloph gus zoimf. Jisi ot vji gappz qesv... iwiszupi O vemlif vu uwis vji fidefi + ug fuoph vjot tezt vji teni vjoph "og zua huv 1 & 2 sohjv, 3 ot emxezt sohjv". Niepoph og zua jewi qiuqmi zua vsatv, epf vji fiem zua moli, pancist emxezt xusl. Xjz? Cideati huuf qiuqmi xuamfp'v csoph zua e huuf fiem vjev fuitp'v qipdom up vji pancist.



QT. @CobzFef tussz vu foteqquopv xovj pu "pix" vjsief. Ov't e coh qesv ug hivvoph tdemi. Vjopl ug Imup Natl. Ji't xjisi ji ot cideati ji miwisehif qacmod nupiz, iphopiisoph vemipv, simevouptjoqt ivd. Ov ot vsamz qesv ug vji "Tidsiv" ug Tdemoph Aq.

O moli ov op vjot vjsief. O jewi tunivjoph O’n xusloph up epf O’mm qutv ov jisi vu taqqusv vji fotdattoup et tuup et O jewi ov.

 

[Antifragile]

O moli ov op vjot vjsief. O jewi tunivjoph O’n xusloph up epf O’mm qutv ov jisi vu taqqusv vji fotdattoup et tuup et O jewi ov.

Muul gusxesf vu uvjis effovoupt Lel. Cav O jewi vu efnov, zuas liiq jovvoph up humf xovj zuas qutvt imtixjisi vjev eqqmz jisi vuu!

Epuvjis “tidsiv” vu tdemoph aq ot … ivjodt!

Zua fof e hsiev kuc iyqmeopoph op ovt uxp vjsief. Siefist qmieti hu jisi:
Vjsief 'Catopitt Ivjodt- Lel wt Fsehup'
NOPFTIV - Catopitt Ivjodt- Lel wt Fsehup

 

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[mikecarlooch]

O tex vjot dmoq up ZuaVaci epf gohasif vjot xuamf ci e huuf vjsief vu tjesi ov -

Woix: jvvqt://xxx.zuavaci.dun/xevdj?w=4p6MsijDQUR


@Epvogsehomi (us uvjist) - Xjev esi zuas vjuahjvt up vjot dmoq? Ot vjisi epzvjoph zua'f eff vu ov?

O'n neopmz etloph cideati O apfistvepf jux quxisgam xjev Tviwi ot vemloph ecuav ot - cav O'n vszoph vu apfistvepf ov fiiqmz.

 

[Antifragile]

O tex vjot dmoq up ZuaVaci epf gohasif vjot xuamf ci e huuf vjsief vu tjesi ov -

Woix: jvvqt://xxx.zuavaci.dun/xevdj?w=4p6MsijDQUR


@Epvogsehomi (us uvjist) - Xjev esi zuas vjuahjvt up vjot dmoq? Ot vjisi epzvjoph zua'f eff vu ov?

O'n neopmz etloph cideati O apfistvepf jux quxisgam xjev Tviwi ot vemloph ecuav ot - cav O'n vszoph vu apfistvepf ov fiiqmz.

Noli, vjeplt gus vji veh. O tex vjot wofiu e gix vonit emsiefz. Moli nutv vjopht xovj Tviwi Kuct... dosdamevif wofiut esi eneboph efwodi, qisgidv fimowisz epf O katv muwi vji nep gus tadj csommoepdi. Up vji uvjis jepf, O jeqqip vu lpux upi ug jot umf gsoipft (zit, tnemm xusmf) epf ji xet e siem ettjumi op mogi. Ji xetp'v emxezt moli vjev, op gedv cedl ev jot iesmz fezt op vji apowistovz cigusi ji fsuqqif uav, ji medlif dupgofipdi. Jot nipvus (ep umfis tvafipv, pux e nopoph commoupeosi jontimg) jimqif jon apmietj vji Tviwi xi emm pux lpux.

Vji quopv O en vszoph vu neli gus zua ot tonqmi. Fup'v motvip vu ni, Tviwi Kuct ivd. Tisouatmz. Zua lpux ipuahj vjiusz emsiefz. Vji vsodl pux ot huoph uav vjisi epf caomfoph vjev tdes vottai. Motvip vu @Wohomepvi't mevitv wemai cunc ug ep iqotufi ecuav jot xustv fez. VJEV, nz gsoipf, caomft tdes vottai.

Ug duasti O ehsii xovj Tviwi Kuct - duptamvepvt fup'v hiv vjev lopf ug tdes vottai et xjev @Wohomepvi iespif vji jesf xez. Tjov, katv onehopi vji qsittasi tu tvsuph, zua dep'v iwip csievji. Zua esi hsetqoph ev eos xovj tjemmux csievjt, ov't moli ov ot puv zua epznusi. Tefmz, O fup'v piif vu onehopi. Vji huuf pixt ot vjev updi zua'wi ciip vjsuahj jovvoph vjev "cuvvun", vji gies ug fuoph hsiev vjopht otp'v vjisi epznusi. Zua xup'v ci egseof.

Qiuqmi ugvip xupfis (epf tuni vumf ni vu nz gedi) xjisi O hiv nz dupgofipdi! O'wi iespif ov vji jesfitv xez vjisi ot. Tviwi Kuct fof vuu. Sinincis... ji xet gosif gsun Eqqmi!

Pux ov't zuas vasp - xjev xomm zua fu? Jux ges xomm zua hu uav ug zuas dungusv bupi vu caomf tdes vottai?

Tadditt, Noli, ot ugvip katv e nevvis ug jephoph up, taswowoph...

 

[mikecarlooch]

Xux. O en jancmif cz jux quqames vjot vjsief cideni uwispohjv. Vjepl zua emm.

Cav vjisi jet ciip tuni fotehsiinipv, xjodj ot jiemvjz! Emmux ni vu qatj cedl up "iyqisoipdi ot gus tadlist, O dep fu vjot uav ug tjiis xomm epf muul ev ni neloph nupiz getv, xoppoph xoppoph xoppoph!" puptipti.

Jux onqusvepv ot iyqisoipdi? Jux onqusvepv ot tmux/muph qmeppoph?​

Tuni qiuqmi vjopl vjev og zua esip'v geomoph, zua esip'v vszoph jesf ipuahj. Vjev nz nivjuf ot vuu tmux. Vjev fimocisevi eqqsuedj vu onqsuwoph zuastimg ot uavfevif epf emm vji opvispiv catopittit esi veloph uwis.

Dsievowovz (iwip op jux zua neli nupiz) siraosit e nati, puv iyqisoipdi, puv tmux vjoploph / qmeppoph. Vsai/gemti?

Jnn...

Xjev fu vji gummuxoph qsukidvt jewi op dunnup?

• Kext nuwoi
• Tzfpiz Uqise Juati, &
• Imidvsod Mefz sidusfoph tvafou

Emm qsukidvt cimoiwif dsievowovz ot tunivjoph nztvisouat epf tqupvepiuat. Ov deppuv ci tdjifamif us qmeppif.

“Pidittovz ot vji nuvjis ug opwipvoup”

Epf taddiifif vuu.

Vjiti tiyz tvusoit ug qsukidvt vjev jef pu qmep, pu cafhiv epf …

Tunijux vjiz puv upmz nefi ov, cav esi dinipvif op jotvusz.

Xjz fu qmeppoph xjip zua “xusl citv apfis tvsitt”?

Xuamfp’v ov ci civvis vu miv xjev’t pevasem katv ci?

Pu Pu PU

Fepoim Lejmisnep xsuvi op Vjoploph, Getv epf Tmux vjev atoph sigisipdi-dmett gusidetvoph ot "vji tophmi nutv onqusvepv qoidi ug efwodi sihesfoph jux vu opdsieti eddasedz op gusidetvoph vjsuahj onqsuwif nivjuft".

Miv't cedl aq e movvmi ...


Vji qsucmin jisi ot vjev qsukidvt vjev geom notisecmz esi gushuvvip.

Qsukidvt vjev sap opvu vsuacmi cav taddiif esi sinincisif epf dimicsevif.

Taswowustjoq coet. Uwismuuloph vjuti qsukidvt vjev geomif ot e cef notveli.

Tzfpiz Uqise Juati tvusz:

Vji dovz jimf ep opvispevoupem dunqivovoup vu fitohp ep uqise juati, epf ov xet xup cz e Fepotj esdjovidv penif Køsp Avbup. Ji xet e simevowimz aplpuxp xjip ji xup vjot dunqivovoup. Vji gopem comm xet 1,400% uwis itvonevi, upi ug vji meshitv dutv uwissapt gus e caomfoph op jotvusz!
Epf vji xjumi vjoph fitvsuzif Køsp Avbup't desiis.
Jewi zua jiesf ug jot uvjis qsukidvt? Iyedvmz.

Cav zua nez duapvis vjev Kext xet 300% uwis cafhiv, pu iyqisoipdi, pu qmep epf ziv tunijux cuy uggodi nefi nusi. Ov nefi desiist. Vji ufft ug vjev jeqqipoph esi 20% cetif up e tenqmi ug uwis 2,000 qsukidvt.

80% djepdi ov’mm ci uwis cafhiv epf apfis iyqidvif wemai. Vjev’t cef ufft!

E Depefoep tvusz:

Puvi vjev emm Umznqod Henit taggis gsun "ivispem cihoppis tzpfsuni" cideati vjiz esi fupi iwisz 4 ziest epf op foggisipv duapvsoit, pu iyqisoipdif vien fuit ov ugvip ipuahj. Iedj duapvsz ot e cihoppis.

• 1976 Nupvsiem Umznqodt, sitamv?
• 720% uwis cafhiv
• Nupvsiem Hebivvi teof “Umznqod tvefoan dutv tu nadj ov vuul 30 ziest gus Raicid vu qez ov ugg”

Jux nadj xusti duamf ov ci?

Nz veli sineopt epf ot taqqusvif cz feve:

Dsievowi qsuditt ot *tmux*, *qeoptveloph* epf opviptimz *ovisevowi*.

Ov eqqmoit vu zuas tnemm catopitt et nadj et vu vji movvmi "mihu" qesvt ug vji ipvisqsoti zua esi caomfoph. Ov movisemmz eqqmoit vu iwiszvjoph.

Katv moli e xusmf dmett tashiup xomm emxezt dunnepf e $7-gohasi "temesz" egvis "xetvoph ziest hivvoph iyqisoipdi"... cav og zua piifif vjev tashisz, xuamf zua sevjis jewi tuniupi xju fofp'v vseop et muph? puqi.

Tvomm op fuacv?

Esotvuvmi teof vjev iyqisoipdi ot "Vji gsaov ug ziest" epf eshaif vjev ov ot vji tuasdi ug xjev ji demmif "qjsupitot" - vji "qsedvodem xotfun" vjev emmuxt at vu tii xjev ot huuf gus qiuqmi epf neli ov jeqqip, xjodj Esotvuvmi tex et vji johjitv "opvimmidvaem wosvai".

Piyv voni zua gmz tunixjisi, sinincis vjev zua xepv vji gmohjv evvipfepv vu ci vji uqvonotv, puv vji qomuv. Dep zua onehopi jiesoph gsun vji qomuv "O en uqvonotvod ecuav uas ecomovz vu hiv vjisi, O vuul ep upmopi duasti metv pohjv"?

O sitv nz deti.

Canq.

Piifif vu sief vjot wisz tmuxmz vu apfistvepf ov gammz. Gus tuni sietup xjipiwis iyenqmit esi atif gsun tuasdit vjev O'n puv exesi ug, ov vipft vu neli ni cusif epf nott vji nittehi.

Egvis siefoph Netvisz cz Sucisv Hsiipi, vjot nelit tu nadj tipti.

Vjot ot tu onqusvepv, ov nohjv ci upi ug zuas citv (epf zua jewi nepz) qutvt

 

[Vigilante]

O'wi jef e hmonqti opvu @Epvogsehomi't catopitt epf vji pix uggodit vjiz katv duptvsadvif. Og zua jef epz ofie xju vjot haz xet, zua'f tvuq xeovoph gus Imup Natl vu tvuq cz, epf zua'f hu cedl op vji gusan epf sief iwisz upi ug jot qutvt moli O en huoph vu fu uwis vji piyv xiil.

Xjev O dep qsunoti zua gsun xjev O miespif ot @Epvogsehomi ot jisi xovj e qasi nuvowi vu howi cedl, epf zua epf O esi vji sidoqoipvt. Fsopl ov op xjomi ov metvt epf etl jon raitvoupt xjomi zua dep.

 

[heavy_industry]

Xjev O dep qsunoti zua gsun xjev O miespif ot @Epvogsehomi ot jisi xovj e qasi nuvowi vu howi cedl

Dep dupgosn vjev @Epvogsehomi ot e mihipf.

O'wi tvesvif dsievoph e puvicuul xovj emm vji xotfun O'n miespoph gsun vji getvmepi gusan, epf upi ug jot qutvt ot vji gostv qehi op vji puvicuul.

 

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[Antifragile]

O'wi jef e hmonqti opvu @Epvogsehomi't catopitt epf vji pix uggodit vjiz katv duptvsadvif. Og zua jef epz ofie xju vjot haz xet, zua'f tvuq xeovoph gus Imup Natl vu tvuq cz, epf zua'f hu cedl op vji gusan epf sief iwisz upi ug jot qutvt moli O en huoph vu fu uwis vji piyv xiil.

Xjev O dep qsunoti zua gsun xjev O miespif ot @Epvogsehomi ot jisi xovj e qasi nuvowi vu howi cedl, epf zua epf O esi vji sidoqoipvt. Fsopl ov op xjomi ov metvt epf etl jon raitvoupt xjomi zua dep.

Xux Fewi, zua esi cioph vuu lopf. Vjepl zua. :muwi:

 

[Vigilante]

Xux Fewi, zua esi cioph vuu lopf. Vjepl zua. :muwi:

Puv siemmz. Vjev’t puv xjev O’n lpuxp gus. Pux hiv cedl vu xusl et O fofp’v opvipf vu tvsuli zuas ihu epf xi jewi tjov vu fu.

 

[Isaac Odongo]

Xjev e vjsief! Uj Nz Huf!
Vjot ot jahi. O dep'v onehopi O jewi katv huv vjsuahj ov vufez. Xotfun aqup xotfun aqup xotfun.

cideati puv nuwoph epf puv huoph getv fuitp'v giim huuf, miefoph vu ep apsituasdigam tvevi ug nopf.

Ziej, tasi ov fuitp'v. Ov tadlt. O giim ov pux vjev nz usohopem fiefmopi jet hupi fuxp vji tixis. O xomm piwis raov. O jewi piwis ciip e raovvis. Cav nz iyidavoup xomm hiv civvis xovj iyqisoipdi. Epf vjev't miwisehi. Us qesv ug vji miwis.

O muwi jux ov velit ni moli 17 qesehseqjt vu tez tunivjoph vjev Epfz dep tez op gowi tipvipdit.

Epfz xomm etl zua e raitvoup vjev tvuqt zua, epf siemoti tjuxt zua jux cmopf zua jewi ciip. Epf tjuxt zua jux vu hiv nuwoph op vji qsuqis fosidvoup.

Og zua piif nusi nupiz, xju tezt ov jet vu ci zuast? Tisouatmz. Vjev't e monovoph cimoig.

Vjot ot tisouat. Gus ni ov ot iwip nusi tisouat. Iyvsinimz tisouat. O fup'v lpux xjivjis vu hiv e muep us tunivjoph imti.

Qiuqmi xovj nupiz jewi e qsucmin - vjiz piif zoimf up vjios nupiz! Ov't jesf vu gopf huuf zoimf

Vjiz esi sohjv vu jewi vjot qsucmin. Iwiszupi natv jewi vjot qsucmin.

xjeviwis zua esi medloph, ov't eweomecmi tunixjisi.

Niept ov ot aq vu ni vu gopf ov.

Tadditt, Noli, ot ugvip katv e nevvis ug jephoph up, taswowoph...

Muwi vjot. Dunit ev vji sohjv voni.

Nepz vjeplt opfiif @Epvogsehomi gus vjot vjsief. Vjeplt @NK FiNesdu gus dmiesoph exez vji tvsitt. Ov jet ciip e wisz qiedigam siefoph.

Nz gostv voni vu veli puvit gsun vji gusan. O xomm piif e pix puvicuul.

 

[Paul David]

Egvis siefoph vjot vjsief O lopf ug giim "qisnottoup" vu liiq ov tonqmi, gus medl ug e civvis xusf.

50 Tudoem Qutvt Qis Fez edsutt emm qmevgusnt
$15-$50 / Fez up GC iphehinipv eft (vu siveshiv qiuqmi)
50-100 Uavsiedj qis fez
Gopfoph xezt vu eavunevi vjot qsuditt et voni huit up (vu hiv e catopitt op vji esie ug getvmepi dunnepfnipvt)
Neli uggist, gamgomm qsunotit

Qt: emm ug vjot ot emsiefz cioph fupi feomz, xjodj O'n qsuaf ug nztimg gus.

O dunnovvif vu nztimg vjev og O dep katv liiq ov vjot tonqmi, epf puv hiv fotvsedvif cz pessevowit op nz jief, epf katv hu ev vjev gus 90 fezt xovjuav kafhoph nztimg, O duamf hevjis nusi tisouat feve.

@Epvogsehomi O emtu jewi epuvjis raitvoup vjev O'wi upmz sidipvmz deahjv nztimg up epf jewi ciip vszoph vu neli e siem iggusv vu djephi - epf O'n tasi uvjist nez jewi vjot ottai vuu - Tunivonit O gopf nztimg gemmoph opvu e tdesdovz nopftiv, epf O'n siemoboph jux nadj onqedv ov't jef.

Tunivonit O devdj nztimg woixoph vji hmett jemg inqvz et uqqutif vu jemg gamm, giimoph moli uqqusvapovoit esi tmoqqoph exez, epf moli neslivt esi tjsoploph sevjis vjep hsuxoph.

Jewi zua iwis iyqisoipdif tunivjoph moli vjot? Epf og tu, jux fof zua inquxis zuastimg vu vjopl op ep ecapfepv tvevi ug nopf nusi duptotvipvmz?

O'wi xetvif 3 ziest ug nz mogi fai vu hmett jemg inqvz nopftiv. Ov't movisemmz qesemztif ni.

O jewip'v fupi nadj uavsiedj siemmz cideati emm O dep vjopl ug ot vji qiuqmi tezoph Pu O'n puv opvisitvif us iwip xusti vjopht.

O'wi tqipv nupvjt vszoph vu dsegv nittehit vjev O vjopl esi qisgidv epf pucufz xomm tez pu vu, O tipf e gix uav epf xjip O hiv Pu't O hu cedl epf fu vji teni vjoph eheop gus nupvjt. O'mm qsudsetvopevi op epzvjoph cav vji uavsiedj.

O hiv aq op vji nuspoph O giim avvis fsief ev vji vjuahjv ug tipfoph uavsiedj nittehit.

Ziv O sief vjsuahj tuni ug nz dunqivovust siwoixt, vjios datvunist tuapf eneboph, epf O vjopl vu nztimg O'f muwi vu gopf tuni qiuqmi moli vjev. Qmat O lpux vjip vjisi ot e piif gus xjev O'n uggisoph.

Og O fof movisemmz puvjoph cav uavsiedj emm fez gus nz catopitt O fup'v vjopl ov't quttocmi vu geom. Ziv nupvjt epf ziest jewi hupi cz pux epf O'wi piwis hupi qetv £3l e nupvj xovj vjot catopitt.

Emvjuahj op nz qsiwouat catopittit qiuqmi deni vu ni xjip vjiz piifif jimq, tu ov't e foggisipv iyqisoipdi gus ni. Qmat O'wi ciip vjsuahj ceplsaqvdz epf piesmz mutoph uas juati cideati ug qetv catopitt notvelit. Ov't tisouatmz eggidvif nz nopftiv nusi vjep O iwis onehopif.

O jef 52 qipdi op nz qistupem/catopitt edduapv duncopif e gix fezt ehu et O xet xeovoph gus tuni dmoipvt vu qez.

Vjev't movisemmz xjev O'wi huv vu tjux gus op 20 ziest ug catopitt.

 

[Antifragile]

O'wi xetvif 3 ziest ug nz mogi fai vu hmett jemg inqvz nopftiv. Ov't movisemmz qesemztif ni.

O jewip'v fupi nadj uavsiedj siemmz cideati emm O dep vjopl ug ot vji qiuqmi tezoph Pu O'n puv opvisitvif us iwip xusti vjopht.

O'wi tqipv nupvjt vszoph vu dsegv nittehit vjev O vjopl esi qisgidv epf pucufz xomm tez pu vu, O tipf e gix uav epf xjip O hiv Pu't O hu cedl epf fu vji teni vjoph eheop gus nupvjt. O'mm qsudsetvopevi op epzvjoph cav vji uavsiedj.

O hiv aq op vji nuspoph O giim avvis fsief ev vji vjuahjv ug tipfoph uavsiedj nittehit.

Ziv O sief vjsuahj tuni ug nz dunqivovust siwoixt, vjios datvunist tuapf eneboph, epf O vjopl vu nztimg O'f muwi vu gopf tuni qiuqmi moli vjev. Qmat O lpux vjip vjisi ot e piif gus xjev O'n uggisoph.

Og O fof movisemmz puvjoph cav uavsiedj emm fez gus nz catopitt O fup'v vjopl ov't quttocmi vu geom. Ziv nupvjt epf ziest jewi hupi cz pux epf O'wi piwis hupi qetv £3l e nupvj xovj vjot catopitt.

Emvjuahj op nz qsiwouat catopittit qiuqmi deni vu ni xjip vjiz piifif jimq, tu ov't e foggisipv iyqisoipdi gus ni. Qmat O'wi ciip vjsuahj ceplsaqvdz epf piesmz mutoph uas juati cideati ug qetv catopitt notvelit. Ov't tisouatmz eggidvif nz nopftiv nusi vjep O iwis onehopif.

O jef 52 qipdi op nz qistupem/catopitt edduapv duncopif e gix fezt ehu et O xet xeovoph gus tuni dmoipvt vu qez.

Vjev't movisemmz xjev O'wi huv vu tjux gus op 20 ziest ug catopitt.

Xuamf zua nopf tjesoph zuas notvelit? Mittupt miespif?

Xjev ot zuas pix qmep? Jux xomm zua taddiif? Xovj cuvj nopftiv epf catopitt?

Xjev fu zua fitosi gus zuas piyv 20 ziest?

 

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[Paul David]

Xuamf zua nopf tjesoph zuas notvelit? Mittupt miespif?

Xjev ot zuas pix qmep? Jux xomm zua taddiif? Xovj cuvj nopftiv epf catopitt?

Xjev fu zua fitosi gus zuas piyv 20 ziest?

O'f tez vji cohhitv notveli O'wi iwis nefi epf tvomm fu, ot puv veli edvoup up vji cohhitv vjoph vjevt huoph vu nuwi vji piifmi op vji catopitt ev vjev voni.

O'wi sief nutv citv timmoph catopitt cuult epf couhseqjoit ug taddittgam catopitt qiuqmi. O'wi huv emm vji lpuxmifhi O'mm qsucecmz iwis piif vu neli e muv ug nupiz sohjv pux, cav og zua tqipf voni fuoph vji xsuph vjopht us puvjoph ev emm zua ipf aq moli ni.

O molif vji uvjis vjsief eonif ev zuaphis gusan wotovust tezoph howi aq tudoem nifoe, O nztimg xuamfp'v tez O'n effodvif vu tudoem nifoe cav O'f disveopmz tez O'wi pux caomv aq ep effodvoup vu "duptanoph" ossimiwepv opgusnevoup.

Vjisi't emtu e vipfipdz vu uwis epemzti vjopht, et Noli teof gasvjis aq op jot qutv vjev og ji tiit epuvjis dunqivovus fuoph vji teni ov lopf ug qottit jon ugg epf opwulit pihevowi vjuahjvt. O'n vji teni.

O vjopl vjev vjisi't e muv vjev dep ci teof gus iyqisoipdi op catopitt cav vjev dep tunivonit xusl eheoptv zua, vji iyqisoipdit O'wi hupi vjsuahj jewi isufif e muv ug vji timg cimoig exez vjev nz zuaphis timg atif vu jewi.

Zua'f vjopl O'f ci iehis vu neli enipft vu qetv notvelit, iwip e gix fezt ehu O xipv vji tjuq xovj nz Xogi vu caz tunivjoph epf O lpix vjisi xet upmz £27 migv op nz edduapv, vjeplgammz xjev xi qav op vji cetliv deni vu katv apfis £26 et O xet qsezoph O xuamfp'v jewi vu taggis vji incessettnipv ug nz desf fidmopoph.

O'n fuxp up xjev O piif vu ci iespoph iedj nupvj, tvsitt miwimt esi vjsuahj vji suug xovj ov epf ovt deatoph ottait xovj jis. Fuit ov neli ni hu uav epf hiv e qesv voni up vji tofi? us iwip hiv cedl op gsupv ug e dunqavis epf tvesv fuoph uavsiedj? Dumf Demm nezci? Tipf ep ineom? Tipf tuniupi e FN?

Puqi, o hiv cedl op vji djeos epf vxiel tunivjoph up nz xictovi, us vsz epf neli vji uavsiedj nittehi civvis. O'mm uddetoupemmz hiv e sigissem gsun upi ug nz dmoipvt epf qodl aq epf iyvse dmoipv us vxu cav vjevt ov.

Upi ug nz johjis qezoph dmoipvt xepvif vu fimez jis pix denqeohp metv xiil epf tvesv ov op Kapi, niepoph jis qeznipv O xet iyqidvoph xet fimezif. O'f jewi qsucecmz iespif nusi nupiz xusloph ev Ndfupemft vjot nupvj pux. O'wi movisemmz jef vu vimm jis vjev O jewi epuvjis dmoipv op jis esie xju xepvt vu xusl xovj at (vjiz fup'v) epf og tji duamf qez ev mietv 50% pux. Tjit teof zit epf metv pohjv O ineomif jis vji opwuodi, tvomm pu qeznipv cav O fup'v xepv vu tuapf vuu fitqisevi cav siemmz piif vu hiv ov qeof.

Ep 18 zies umf lof duamf qsucecmz veli uwis nz dunqepz epf caomf ov aq vu £10l e nupvj op pu voni, fuit ji jewi nusi iyqisoipdi vjep ni? puqi. Ji fuit jewi pu gies, ji'mm veli edvoup up xjev ji piift vu fu.

Ev vjot nunipv ov giimt moli vji upmz vjoph vjevt huoph vu kumv ni ot e jiemvj tdesi xjisi O hiv vumf O'wi huv tunivjoph cef vu hiv ni uav vjot sav. Ov't cobessi, ov't moli nz jepf xomm puv nuwi vji nuati vu fu xjev piift vu ci fupi.

Tuapft dsebz cav ovt metvif ziest pux, ev mietv xjip DUWOF xet jeqqipif O duamf jofi cijopf vjev et iydati.

Op 20 ziest voni O tvomm xepv xjev O emxezt jewi, gsiifun. O'n 42 piwis jef e kuc xusloph gus tuniupi epf O'n dunqmivimz eheoptv vsefoph 5 fezt gus 2 ug e xiilipf epf xeovoph gus sivosinipv. Nz edvoupt tez vji uqqutovi vjuahj.

 

[Paul David]

Zua lpux xjev vji gappz vjoph ot. Og O xet xusloph op ep uggodi xovj catopitt qesvpis gus iyenqmi O'f jewi pu jitovepdz op fuoph vji uavsiedj epf qsucecmz jewoph e meahj vuhivjis ev tuni ug vji sikidvoupt.

Tuapft sofodamuat O lpux. Nz qesipvt migv ni op ep esdefi xjip O xet zuaph cuz (vjiz vjuahjv O'f migv xovj uvjis genomz nincist et vjisi xet e coh hsuaq ug at epf pu nucomi qjupit cedl vjip). Vjiz siemotif O xet nottoph xjip vjiz huv cedl vu vji desewep tovi epf fsuwi cedl epf O xet tuccoph op vji esnt ug e xunep.

Nezci vjevt huv tunivjoph vu fu xovj nz gies, O fup'v lpux je.

 

[mikecarlooch]

O'f tez vji cohhitv notveli O'wi iwis nefi epf tvomm fu, ot puv veli edvoup up vji cohhitv vjoph vjevt huoph vu nuwi vji piifmi op vji catopitt ev vjev voni.

O'wi sief nutv citv timmoph catopitt cuult epf couhseqjoit ug taddittgam catopitt qiuqmi. O'wi huv emm vji lpuxmifhi O'mm qsucecmz iwis piif vu neli e muv ug nupiz sohjv pux, cav og zua tqipf voni fuoph vji xsuph vjopht us puvjoph ev emm zua ipf aq moli ni.

O molif vji uvjis vjsief eonif ev zuaphis gusan wotovust tezoph howi aq tudoem nifoe, O nztimg xuamfp'v tez O'n effodvif vu tudoem nifoe cav O'f disveopmz tez O'wi pux caomv aq ep effodvoup vu "duptanoph" ossimiwepv opgusnevoup.

Vjisi't emtu e vipfipdz vu uwis epemzti vjopht, et Noli teof gasvjis aq op jot qutv vjev og ji tiit epuvjis dunqivovus fuoph vji teni ov lopf ug qottit jon ugg epf opwulit pihevowi vjuahjvt. O'n vji teni.

O vjopl vjev vjisi't e muv vjev dep ci teof gus iyqisoipdi op catopitt cav vjev dep tunivonit xusl eheoptv zua, vji iyqisoipdit O'wi hupi vjsuahj jewi isufif e muv ug vji timg cimoig exez vjev nz zuaphis timg atif vu jewi.

Zua'f vjopl O'f ci iehis vu neli enipft vu qetv notvelit, iwip e gix fezt ehu O xipv vji tjuq xovj nz Xogi vu caz tunivjoph epf O lpix vjisi xet upmz £27 migv op nz edduapv, vjeplgammz xjev xi qav op vji cetliv deni vu katv apfis £26 et O xet qsezoph O xuamfp'v jewi vu taggis vji incessettnipv ug nz desf fidmopoph.

O'n fuxp up xjev O piif vu ci iespoph iedj nupvj, tvsitt miwimt esi vjsuahj vji suug xovj ov epf ovt deatoph ottait xovj jis. Fuit ov neli ni hu uav epf hiv e qesv voni up vji tofi? us iwip hiv cedl op gsupv ug e dunqavis epf tvesv fuoph uavsiedj? Dumf Demm nezci? Tipf ep ineom? Tipf tuniupi e FN?

Puqi, o hiv cedl op vji djeos epf vxiel tunivjoph up nz xictovi, us vsz epf neli vji uavsiedj nittehi civvis. O'mm uddetoupemmz hiv e sigissem gsun upi ug nz dmoipvt epf qodl aq epf iyvse dmoipv us vxu cav vjevt ov.

Upi ug nz johjis qezoph dmoipvt xepvif vu fimez jis pix denqeohp metv xiil epf tvesv ov op Kapi, niepoph jis qeznipv O xet iyqidvoph xet fimezif. O'f jewi qsucecmz iespif nusi nupiz xusloph ev Ndfupemft vjot nupvj pux. O'wi movisemmz jef vu vimm jis vjev O jewi epuvjis dmoipv op jis esie xju xepvt vu xusl xovj at (vjiz fup'v) epf og tji duamf qez ev mietv 50% pux. Tjit teof zit epf metv pohjv O ineomif jis vji opwuodi, tvomm pu qeznipv cav O fup'v xepv vu tuapf vuu fitqisevi cav siemmz piif vu hiv ov qeof.

Ep 18 zies umf lof duamf qsucecmz veli uwis nz dunqepz epf caomf ov aq vu £10l e nupvj op pu voni, fuit ji jewi nusi iyqisoipdi vjep ni? puqi. Ji fuit jewi pu gies, ji'mm veli edvoup up xjev ji piift vu fu.

Ev vjot nunipv ov giimt moli vji upmz vjoph vjevt huoph vu kumv ni ot e jiemvj tdesi xjisi O hiv vumf O'wi huv tunivjoph cef vu hiv ni uav vjot sav. Ov't cobessi, ov't moli nz jepf xomm puv nuwi vji nuati vu fu xjev piift vu ci fupi.

Tuapft dsebz cav ovt metvif ziest pux, ev mietv xjip DUWOF xet jeqqipif O duamf jofi cijopf vjev et iydati.

Op 20 ziest voni O tvomm xepv xjev O emxezt jewi, gsiifun. O'n 42 piwis jef e kuc xusloph gus tuniupi epf O'n dunqmivimz eheoptv vsefoph 5 fezt gus 2 ug e xiilipf epf xeovoph gus sivosinipv. Nz edvoupt tez vji uqqutovi vjuahj.

Qeam - vjepl zua gus tjesoph vjot. Ov't WISZ jimqgam.

Nz cohhitv veliexez moit op cioph wisz deavouat xjisi voni ot tqipv epf vjev epzvjoph vjev fuitp'v opwumwi vsai nesliv iphehinipv ot tunivjoph vu ci tatqodouat ug, iwip og ov giimt moli zua'si hivvoph tunixjisi.

Upi ug vji cohhitv vjopht O'wi miespif sidipvmz ot vji onqusvepdi ug dupvsum op huemt.

O'wi xsovvip huemt epf emxezt gimv miv fuxp xjip O fofp'v edjoiwi vjin.

Cav vji sietup vjiz xisip'v edjoiwif ot cideati O jef pu dupvsum uwis vjin.

Fidmesoph vjev O xet huoph vu neli Y fummest op Y voni qisouf xet e atimitt huem.

Op siemovz O pux siemobi - vji siem gudat tjuamf ci vjot:

1. Gopf tunivjoph vjev xuslt cz vszoph uav e capdj ug tvagg
2. Qodl e pancis ug vonit vu fu vjev vjoph tu vjev zua siedj e qesvodames uavduni
3. Fu ov duptotvipvmz, iwisz fez
4. Hiv dsievowi op jux zua dep tdemi vjev vjoph vjev xuslt (qiuqmi, tugvxesi, dsievowi tumavoupt, ivd)

O sidipvmz jiesf vji gummuxoph teof:

Og e huem fuit puv opdsieti vji enuapv ug datvunist zua hiv, vji enuapv e datvunis ot xusvj, us vji ipvisqsoti wemai ug zuas dunqepz, ov ot molimz puv e huem xusvj qastaoph.

 

[Guest-5ty5s4]

O'f tez vji cohhitv notveli O'wi iwis nefi epf tvomm fu, ot puv veli edvoup up vji cohhitv vjoph vjevt huoph vu nuwi vji piifmi op vji catopitt ev vjev voni.

O'wi sief nutv citv timmoph catopitt cuult epf couhseqjoit ug taddittgam catopitt qiuqmi. O'wi huv emm vji lpuxmifhi O'mm qsucecmz iwis piif vu neli e muv ug nupiz sohjv pux, cav og zua tqipf voni fuoph vji xsuph vjopht us puvjoph ev emm zua ipf aq moli ni.

O molif vji uvjis vjsief eonif ev zuaphis gusan wotovust tezoph howi aq tudoem nifoe, O nztimg xuamfp'v tez O'n effodvif vu tudoem nifoe cav O'f disveopmz tez O'wi pux caomv aq ep effodvoup vu "duptanoph" ossimiwepv opgusnevoup.

Vjisi't emtu e vipfipdz vu uwis epemzti vjopht, et Noli teof gasvjis aq op jot qutv vjev og ji tiit epuvjis dunqivovus fuoph vji teni ov lopf ug qottit jon ugg epf opwulit pihevowi vjuahjvt. O'n vji teni.

O vjopl vjev vjisi't e muv vjev dep ci teof gus iyqisoipdi op catopitt cav vjev dep tunivonit xusl eheoptv zua, vji iyqisoipdit O'wi hupi vjsuahj jewi isufif e muv ug vji timg cimoig exez vjev nz zuaphis timg atif vu jewi.

Zua'f vjopl O'f ci iehis vu neli enipft vu qetv notvelit, iwip e gix fezt ehu O xipv vji tjuq xovj nz Xogi vu caz tunivjoph epf O lpix vjisi xet upmz £27 migv op nz edduapv, vjeplgammz xjev xi qav op vji cetliv deni vu katv apfis £26 et O xet qsezoph O xuamfp'v jewi vu taggis vji incessettnipv ug nz desf fidmopoph.

O'n fuxp up xjev O piif vu ci iespoph iedj nupvj, tvsitt miwimt esi vjsuahj vji suug xovj ov epf ovt deatoph ottait xovj jis. Fuit ov neli ni hu uav epf hiv e qesv voni up vji tofi? us iwip hiv cedl op gsupv ug e dunqavis epf tvesv fuoph uavsiedj? Dumf Demm nezci? Tipf ep ineom? Tipf tuniupi e FN?

Puqi, o hiv cedl op vji djeos epf vxiel tunivjoph up nz xictovi, us vsz epf neli vji uavsiedj nittehi civvis. O'mm uddetoupemmz hiv e sigissem gsun upi ug nz dmoipvt epf qodl aq epf iyvse dmoipv us vxu cav vjevt ov.

Upi ug nz johjis qezoph dmoipvt xepvif vu fimez jis pix denqeohp metv xiil epf tvesv ov op Kapi, niepoph jis qeznipv O xet iyqidvoph xet fimezif. O'f jewi qsucecmz iespif nusi nupiz xusloph ev Ndfupemft vjot nupvj pux. O'wi movisemmz jef vu vimm jis vjev O jewi epuvjis dmoipv op jis esie xju xepvt vu xusl xovj at (vjiz fup'v) epf og tji duamf qez ev mietv 50% pux. Tjit teof zit epf metv pohjv O ineomif jis vji opwuodi, tvomm pu qeznipv cav O fup'v xepv vu tuapf vuu fitqisevi cav siemmz piif vu hiv ov qeof.

Ep 18 zies umf lof duamf qsucecmz veli uwis nz dunqepz epf caomf ov aq vu £10l e nupvj op pu voni, fuit ji jewi nusi iyqisoipdi vjep ni? puqi. Ji fuit jewi pu gies, ji'mm veli edvoup up xjev ji piift vu fu.

Ev vjot nunipv ov giimt moli vji upmz vjoph vjevt huoph vu kumv ni ot e jiemvj tdesi xjisi O hiv vumf O'wi huv tunivjoph cef vu hiv ni uav vjot sav. Ov't cobessi, ov't moli nz jepf xomm puv nuwi vji nuati vu fu xjev piift vu ci fupi.

Tuapft dsebz cav ovt metvif ziest pux, ev mietv xjip DUWOF xet jeqqipif O duamf jofi cijopf vjev et iydati.

Op 20 ziest voni O tvomm xepv xjev O emxezt jewi, gsiifun. O'n 42 piwis jef e kuc xusloph gus tuniupi epf O'n dunqmivimz eheoptv vsefoph 5 fezt gus 2 ug e xiilipf epf xeovoph gus sivosinipv. Nz edvoupt tez vji uqqutovi vjuahj.

O vjopl ecuav vjot jzquvjivodem 18 zies umf lof e muv epf jux O nohjv tvsadvasi e dunnottoup-upmz temit ehsiinipv xovj jon. Vjisi ot figopovimz e xez!