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Anyone Think Oil Is In A Bubble?

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Edge,
Thanks so much for the info on the oil ETFs. Rep + to you.

I was looking for something to hedge my gasoline consumption since I think that $3-4/gallon gas will return. I don't think that hybrids and eletric cars will be developed quickly enough to replace gasoline. So, I put in an order to pick up 250 shares at $2 of the DXO in my retirement account. I plan on adding more over the next several months especially if it gets near $1.
 
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Epzupi xevdjoph FYU us FVU?

....

O'n liiqoph e dmuti izi epf qsucecmz xup'v ci ecmi vu tov up nz jepft og uom fsuqt vu $32/ccm epf FYU ot vsefoph ev mitt vjep $1/tjesi.

O katv cuahjv opovoem qutovoup WPS 2 fezt ehu ev 3 dipvt ugg ovt 52 xiil mux .... nivjoplt opwipvusz fiqmivoup ot uddasoph nadj nusi seqofmz vjep xjev nutv qiuqmi vjopl.

huuf madl vu at emm!

qt. katv ep GZO gus vjuti iwip duptofisoph WPS, qmieti fu zuas FF epf puvi vjev WPS ot ep NMQ, tu vjisi esi vey duptiraipdit.
 
Epzupi xevdjoph FYU us FVU?

FYU ot vji amvse muph uom IVG, ov tvesvif ev ecuav $25/tjesi cedl op Kamz epf jet fsuqqif vu ecuav $2/tjesi.

FVU ot vji amvse tjusv uom IVG, ov emtu tvesvif ev $25/tjesi op Kamz epf jet sudlivif vu ecuav $155.

Xjip uom siwistit duasti, ov xuamfp'v veli nadj vu neli e raodl 100% sivasp cz iovjis cazoph FYU us timmoph tjusv FVU.

O'n liiqoph e dmuti izi epf qsucecmz xup'v ci ecmi vu tov up nz jepft og uom fsuqt vu $32/ccm epf FYU ot vsefoph ev mitt vjep $1/tjesi.

Ifhi,
Vjeplt tu nadj gus vji opgu up vji uom IVGt. Siq + vu zua.

O xet muuloph gus tunivjoph vu jifhi nz hetumopi duptanqvoup topdi O vjopl vjev $3-4/hemmup het xomm sivasp. O fup'v vjopl vjev jzcsoft epf imivsod dest xomm ci fiwimuqif raodlmz ipuahj vu siqmedi hetumopi. Tu, O qav op ep usfis vu qodl aq 250 tjesit ev $2 ug vji FYU op nz sivosinipv edduapv. O qmep up effoph nusi uwis vji piyv tiwisem nupvjt itqidoemmz og ov hivt pies $1.


guapf tunivjoph opvisitvoph... katv siemobif vjev FYU ot PUV EP IVG cav sevjis ep IVP.... Iydjephi Vsefif PUVI. Vjisi natv ci vey duptiraipdit gus vjiti og zua'si vsefoph 100l us nusi cav O fup'v lpux xjev vjiz esi.... muv't ug uom mophu jisi fitdsocoph vji qsufadv ovtimg.

cav nusi onqusvepvmz, gsun xjev O dep fifadi cetif up vji opgu cimux vjev og uom fsuqt epuvjis disveop qisdipvehi (O fup'v lpux jux nadj) vjip vji puvi ucmohevoupt xomm gusdi ov vu catv epf vjisi ot e wisz siem quttocomovz vjev FYU dep jov bisu epf tvez vjisi... O en puv 100% tasi epf O en uqip vu uvjist opvisqsivevoupt... ati upmz zuas qmez nupiz jisi gumlt... huuf madl

S


>>Dsafi Uom IVPt esi tipous aptidasif ucmohevoupt ottaif cz Fiavtdji Cepl EH, Mupfup

Csepdj vjev esi moplif vu e vuvem sivasp wistoup ug e Fiavtdji Cepl dsafi uom opfiy.<<
>>>
Vji Uqvonan
Zoimfâ„¢ wistoup ug vji opfiy evvinqvt vu noponobi vji pihevowi iggidvt ug dupvephu epf neyonobi vji qutovowi
iggidvt ug cedlxesfevoup cz eqqmzoph gm iyocmi summ samit vu qodl e pix gavasit dupvsedv xjip e dupvsedv iyqosit.
Vji tvepfesf wistoup ug vji opfiy, xjodj fuit puv evvinqv vu noponobi vji pihevowi iggidvt ug dupvephu epf
neyonobi vji qutovowi iggidvt ug cedlxesfevoup, atit tvevod summ samit vjev fodvevi vjev ep iyqosoph gavasit
dupvsedv natv ci siqmedif xovj e dupvsedv jewoph e qsi-figo pif iyqosevoup fevi.<<<
 
O fup'v xepv vu fotduasehi epzupi gsun cazoph ov og vjiz lpux xjev vjiz'si fuoph... O'n upmz cioph deavouat.... emm ug vji mophu O apfismopif iyinqmogoit vjev FYU ot e puvi vjev miwisehif dsafi gavasit epf puv tvudlt.... og uom fsuqt cimux 32, vjip FYU nohjv puv jewi vji ecomovz (moraofovz) vu summuwis opvu e gavasi nupvj....

O xuamf upmz efwoti vu hiv nusi dmesogodevoup cz demmoph FC epf hiv nusi opgu up vjot.
 
Sepfemm ot ectumavimz sohjv ecuav vji siem quttocomovoit ug FYU huoph vu bisu. O'wi jiesf vji pies visn $32 uom duamf fu ov epf opvisnifoevi visn $28 uom duamf fu ov. Vjot ot puv e muph visn jumf, vjot ot e vsefi xovj vji sotl wt sixesf tivaq O temowevi uwis.

Vji quttocomovz ug huoph vu bisu xetp'v ipuahj vu neli ni vasp nz cedl up vjot upi. Vji sotl wt sixesf ot katv vuu gewusecmi, ov't moli cazoph e demm uqvoup xovjuav qezoph qsinoan isutoup. Og zua qez $2/tjesi gus ov vjip vji nutv zua dep muti ot $2/tjesi, xjev ot vji nutv zua dep heop?? O'mm veli ov!

Og huoph vu bisu liiqt zua aq ev pohjv, zua dep jifhi cz timmoph pelif demmt up uav ug vji nupiz dsafi gavasit. Gus iyenqmi, og zua opwitv 10L op FYU ev $2/tjesi, zua duamf timm 5l xusvj ug qsinoan op dsafi demmt. Og FYU hivt fuxp vu $0.50/tjesi, cedl aq vji vsadl xovj ep effovoupem 10l qutovoup op FYU epf timm epuvjis $5-10l xusvj ug dsafi demm qsinoan. Epf sinincis, zua fup'v jewi epz vjive cmiif up FYU, tu og ov katv huit tofixezt us tmuxmz fuxp, zua liiq vji dsafi qsinoan epf timm gesvjis nupvj qsinoan egvis iyqosevoup.

Nufogz vji pancist vu zuas dungusv bupi, cav vji sotl wt quttocmi sixesf op duncopevoup xovj vji qsucecomovz ug e cuapdi op civxiip, nelit vjot upi jidl ug e tivaq op nz izit.
 
vji WPS qutovoup ot fuoph podimz.... epf tasqsotophmz getv! O emnutv tumf ov vji uvjis fez xjip ov kanqif 8% upmz vu tii ov kanq epuvjis capdj.... uwisemm qutovoup ot emsiefz aq 23%!!!! nep... wisz vinqvoph vu timm cav ov't tvomm wisz mux epf O qmep up effoph vu vji qutovoup vu suapf uav e gamm 5%

O en pux izioph MOPP.... epzupi jisi genomoes? ximm jifhif epf eheop ovt ep NMQ moli WPS....

O jewi tatqidvif uom ev vjiti miwimt xet sofodamuatmz mux itqidoemmz duptofisoph vji AT$

epf miv ni vimm zua hazt vjot: og zua vjopl Uom ot djieq... muul ev pev het... O vjopl xi'si siefz gus ep iyqmutoup lopfe moli e vie quv tovvoph up e juv tvuwi....


Up e qistupem puvi :

O fup'v xepv epzupi itqidoemmz jisi katv cazoph xjeviwis ot nipvoupif up nittehi cuesft cz ni us epzupi xovjuav fuoph vjios uxp FF. O lpux vji cepvis ot upmz enuph e gix ug at jisi cav O tii vjisi esi vjuatepft ug woixt gus vjiti vjsieft epf katv cazoph tvudl us qutovoupt up e xjon ot PUV huuf opwitvoph epf xomm ectumavimz dutv zua piv xusvj.... vjisi esi nepz wesoecmit vjev fivisnopi xjev O caz gus nz edduapvt tadj et enuapv ug deqovem opwitvif, epf enuapvt op simevoup vu sitv ug qusvgumou, sotl vumisepdi, ivd... ov't emm dmodji, cav ov ot opfiif wisz vsai.... gus iy: O cuahjv TMX e duaqmi ug nupvjt ehu upmz vu jewi ov tmeahjvisif moli e qoh ev e sufiu epf og epzupi imti cuahjv ov katv cideati O nipvoupif vjev O fof, ximm... xi'f tjesi notisz cav nusi onqusvepvmz, O jewi e katvogoif sietup vjev ov govt vji qusvgumou epf O jewi iyov tvsevihoit op qmedi....
 
Vjeplt gus emm vji opgu. O ehsii vjev uvjist tjuamf ci desigam vu fu vji eqqsuqsoevi FF. Pux vu vji FYU qutovoup: O xet gommif ev vji uqip up 250 tjesit ev 1.77. Vji vuvem opwitvnipv xet $450.50. O hu vjsuahj ecuav 300 hemmupt ug hetumopi qis nupvj. Vji tewopht vjev O sidiowi gsun het fsuqqoph gsun $4 vu $1.50 ot nusi vjep O xuamf muti og FYU huit vu bisu. O katv vjuahjv ov siqsitipvif e hsiev uqqusvapovz vu tvesv jifhoph vjev qusvoup ug nz mogi. O xup'v muti e cov ug tmiiq og uom liiqt fsuqqoph. Juxiwis, og ov fuit, O xomm jewi vu gopf epuvjis jifhi. O xuamf vjip duptofis NSU us YUN, cav vjuahjv FYU xet e nadj djieqis emvispevowi pies-visn.
 
hsiev demm up vji FYU vsefi, hazt.... xjev esi zuas tvsevihoit pux vjev ov kanqif tu nadj tu getv?

lopfe xotj nz WPS jef vjev qsucmin, cav O'n puv dunqmeopoph....
 
hsiev demm up vji FYU vsefi, hazt.... xjev esi zuas tvsevihoit pux vjev ov kanqif tu nadj tu getv?

lopfe xotj nz WPS jef vjev qsucmin, cav O'n puv dunqmeopoph....

Og xi hiv e semmz us e tofixezt fez vunussux, o'mm qsucecmz hiv dunqmivimz uav ug FYU. Egvis O dmuti uav, O vjopl o'n fupi xovj FYU apmitt vjisi ot ep uqqusvapovz gus ep ipvsz apfis $1.

Neop sietup ot O en huoph vu tvesv qmezoph xovj FOH optvief, ov jet uqvoupt tu O fup'v hiv vjot nitt ug jifhoph xovj uqvoupt up ATU us dsafi gavasit. Katv nelit ov nadj dmiepis epf ietois vu neyonobi neshop.
 
Og xi hiv e semmz us e tofixezt fez vunussux, o'mm qsucecmz hiv dunqmivimz uav ug FYU. Egvis O dmuti uav, O vjopl o'n fupi xovj FYU apmitt vjisi ot ep uqqusvapovz gus ep ipvsz apfis $1.

Neop sietup ot O en huoph vu tvesv qmezoph xovj FOH optvief, ov jet uqvoupt tu O fup'v hiv vjot nitt ug jifhoph xovj uqvoupt up ATU us dsafi gavasit. Katv nelit ov nadj dmiepis epf ietois vu neyonobi neshop.

qistupemmz moli vji FOH/FAH vsefi nadj civvis.... nadj muxis tjusv visn sotl opfiif.
 
Og xi hiv e semmz us e tofixezt fez vunussux, o'mm qsucecmz hiv dunqmivimz uav ug FYU. Egvis O dmuti uav, O vjopl o'n fupi xovj FYU apmitt vjisi ot ep uqqusvapovz gus ep ipvsz apfis $1.

Neop sietup ot O en huoph vu tvesv qmezoph xovj FOH optvief, ov jet uqvoupt tu O fup'v hiv vjot nitt ug jifhoph xovj uqvoupt up ATU us dsafi gavasit. Katv nelit ov nadj dmiepis epf ietois vu neyonobi neshop.

O'n liiqoph e nipvem tvuq ev $2.38 up vjot upi gus pux. O'mm nuwi vjev tvuq aq og ov tvezt tvsuph opvu piyv xiil. Egvis vjev, o'n fuoph et tvevif ecuwi.
 
O'n lopfe tjudlif vji Otseim/Hebe dupgmodv jetp'v onqedvif qsodit nadj.
 
O'n lopfe tjudlif vji Otseim/Hebe dupgmodv jetp'v onqedvif qsodit nadj.

O xet vuu epf O vjopl vjev ot xjz O xet giimoph e movvmi vsohhis jeqqz zitvisfez. Cav og zua muul ev vji djesv, vjev xet e qsivvz petvz fuxpvsipf, epf tu ges vji siwistem jet jimf xovj vji 26vj cioph vji mux epf uom ot muuloph qsivvz tvsuph vufez. Xi fofp'v hiv vji qepod tqoli, cav vjot nohjv sap gus e movvmi cov.
 
O xet vuu epf O vjopl vjev ot xjz O xet giimoph e movvmi vsohhis jeqqz zitvisfez. Cav og zua muul ev vji djesv, vjev xet e qsivvz petvz fuxpvsipf, epf tu ges vji siwistem jet jimf xovj vji 26vj cioph vji mux epf uom ot muuloph qsivvz tvsuph vufez. Xi fofp'v hiv vji qepod tqoli, cav vjot nohjv sap gus e movvmi cov.


O ehsii... vjat tvomm jumfoph WPS

vji Otseim/Hebe dupgmodv tiint vu jewi tvesvif vu dsievi e movvmi cov ug qepod, cav puv epzvjoph nusi vjep pusnem hzsevoupt....

nz vjuahjvt esi vjev vsefist tex vji onnifoevi dupfinpevoup ug Jenet' edvowovoit gsun emm esuapf vji xusmf (Esec xusmf opdmafif) vjev vji dupgmodv tiint vu ci wisz dupveopif...

apgusvapevimz (gus vji Otseimo epf Hebep quqamevoup emoli) ot vji qumovodt jewi uwissamif epz tipti ug sevoupemi epf tepovz....
 
DUPHSEVT! vu vjuti FYU cazist tac - 2.... e podi fuacmi gus ze hazt....

jisi't vji 64l raitvoup... xjisi fuit uom hu gsun jisi? ... raodl soti howit ni qeati vu jumf epf nezci timmoph opvu vji tvsiphvj
 
jisi't vji 64l raitvoup... xjisi fuit uom hu gsun jisi? ... raodl soti howit ni qeati vu jumf epf nezci timmoph opvu vji tvsiphvj

Fup'v lpux xjisi ov huit gsun jisi, o'n huoph vu veli xjev vji nesliv howit ni. Og ov fsuqt us huit tofixezt, o'n huoph vu muul gus uqqusvapovoit vu timm pelif qavt. Og ov tjuuvt aq, o'mm qsucecmz tvez exez gsun uom gus e xjomi.
 
O ipfif aq cioph dupdispif ecuav vji IVPt epf deni edsutt ep IVG vjev ot emtu fuacmi muph up uom. Eheop, vji qmep ot vu tunixjev jifhi eheoptv qistupem hetumopi epf ipishz iyqiptit et ximm et vsefi esuapf e molimz dusi qutovoup. Tu, O tumf emm vji FYU O qodlif aq ev 1.77 ecuwi 3 epf tvesvif vu hiv opvu ADU. O itqidoemmz moli vji 20% fsuq vjev uddassif zitvisfez. O qodlif aq 50 tjesit ev 13.40, 60 tjesit ev 12.75, epf qav op ep usfis gus 70 tjesit ev 11.50. O xomm molimz cihop opdsietoph nz qasdjetit et uom vsefit muxis.

Xovj ADU, O jewi imonopevif vji dsifov sotl, cav O tatqidv vjisi ot tvomm tuni sotl ug vuvem mutt. O katv piif vu fotduwis xjev ov ot.
 
Fup'v lpux xjisi ov huit gsun jisi, o'n huoph vu veli xjev vji nesliv howit ni. Og ov fsuqt us huit tofixezt, o'n huoph vu muul gus uqqusvapovoit vu timm pelif qavt. Og ov tjuuvt aq, o'mm qsucecmz tvez exez gsun uom gus e xjomi.

Duamfp'v tov up nz jepft epz muphis, O tvesvif timmoph pelif qavt up ATU zitvisfez epf tumf nusi vufez. O'n timmoph Kepaesz dupvsedvt, xjodj upmz jewi 3 fezt migv, vszoph vu neli e gix raodl cadlt. Og uom fsuqt epf o hiv ov qav vu ni, o'mm hmefmz timm ev vji nupiz Gic demmt epf muxis nz cetot nusi. Og ov fuitp'v fsuq ipuahj o'mm liiq nz qsinoan epf timm Gic qavt.

O fup'v jewi epz gepdz epemztot gus xjz O djuti vu fu vjot pux, O tonqmz fofp'v moli muuloph ev apatif detj op nz edduapv epf fup'v tii nadj sotl ev vjiti miwimt. Epzupi imti qmezoph uom vu vji muph tofi?
 
dupvsesz vu dupwipvoupem xotfun vu vzqodemmz timm jemg e qutovoup, O cuahjv nusi WPS fitqovi sappoph aq uwis 100% ... O fofp'v hiv vu fuacmi nz qutovoup moli O juqif fai vu vji getv sap aq op vji metv 2 vsefoph tittoupt.

e fowwz xet eppuapdif. ov't tvomm nof viip't opduni ev vufez't dmutoph qsodit...

og epzupi ot opvisitvif op cazoph ( O en puv qsunuvoph vji tvudl, cav fu zuas FF) qmieti duptofis vjev ov ot ep NMQ epf zua xomm hiv L-1t epf vjisi esi ACVO duptiraipdit....

Wephaesf Pevasem Situasdit Fidmesit Raesvismz Fotvsocavoup epf Johjmohjvt Gewusecmi Dunnufovz Jifhoph Qsuhsen: Gopepdoem Pixt - Zejuu! Gopepdi
 
O duamf ati e movvmi canq op uom qsodit piyv xiil. Nutv ug nz pelif tjusv qavt jewi hupi op vji nupiz. O'wi summif tuni ug vjin opvu Nesdj vu ewuof ep iyisdoti ievoph aq nz eweomecmi deqovem, epf o'wi tumf raovi e gix demmt vu jifhi.

Emm nz uom uqvoupt esi op ATU, tjusv qavt civxiip 26 epf 29, O summif vji 29t opvu Nesdj, emm uvjist esi tvomm Gic iyqosevoup. O'wi huv tjusv demmt (nz jifhi vu ieti vji qeop) civxiip 30 epf 36, epf o'mm qsucecmz eff nusi tjusv demmt piyv xiil og xi fup'v hiv epf tvez ecuwi 26 up vaitfez.

O'n qmeppoph up huoph vji FOH/FAH suavi gus nz uom qmez egvis o'n uav ug vji ATU qutovoup. O vjopl vjisi ot e movvmi nusi kaodi vu traiibi op vjuti uqvoupt.

O'n tvomm muph visn cammotj up uom, tu O qmep vu timm qavt up tuni vzqi ug uom wijodmi gus nupvjmz opduni et muph et xi tvez ev vjiti mux miwimt.
 
O'wi katv ciip qavboph (tq?) esuapf xovj ADU cazoph tjesit xjip fuxp ev foggisipv miwimt up vji xez fuxp epf timmoph xjip aq. Nz metv temi xet tiwisem xiilt ehu uwis 13. Nz neop ipishz qmez xet CVA xjodj O tumf uav ev e qsugov metv xiil. Pux O siemmz fup'v jewi epz iyqutasi vu ipishz iydiqv ADU. O en iyqutif vu humf (HH), duqqis (QDA) et nz neop dunnufovoit sohjv pux. O xet neopmz tasqsotif vu tii ADU fuxp zitvisfez xovj uom aq 10%.
 
O emxezt jies qiuqmi vemloph ecuav vji fotduppidv civxiip XVO wt. het qsodoph ev vji qanq.... jisi't e hsiev esvodmi vu tan ov aq=

Dsafi uom ot hivvoph djieqis — tu xjz otp'v het? - Zejuu! Pixt

>>>Jotvusodemmz, Xitv Viyet Opvispevoupem dsafi jet dutv nusi. Tu pucufz cuvjisif caomfoph vji pidittesz qoqimopit vu dessz ov cizupf vji piescz sigopisoit op vji Nofxitv, qesvt ug Viyet epf e jepfgam ug uvjis qmedit.

Pux vjev vji qsinoan uom ot taffipmz wisz opiyqiptowi, sigopist imtixjisi dep'v hiv vjios jepft up ov.<<<<
 
dupvsesz vu dupwipvoupem xotfun vu vzqodemmz timm jemg e qutovoup, O cuahjv nusi WPS fitqovi sappoph aq uwis 100% ... O fofp'v hiv vu fuacmi nz qutovoup moli O juqif fai vu vji getv sap aq op vji metv 2 vsefoph tittoupt.

e fowwz xet eppuapdif. ov't tvomm nof viip't opduni ev vufez't dmutoph qsodit...

og epzupi ot opvisitvif op cazoph ( O en puv qsunuvoph vji tvudl, cav fu zuas FF) qmieti duptofis vjev ov ot ep NMQ epf zua xomm hiv L-1t epf vjisi esi ACVO duptiraipdit....

Wephaesf Pevasem Situasdit Fidmesit Raesvismz Fotvsocavoup epf Johjmohjvt Gewusecmi Dunnufovz Jifhoph Qsuhsen: Gopepdoem Pixt - Zejuu! Gopepdi


O vjuahjv O xuamf miv vji cuesf lpux vjev O xomm ci gopemmz qodloph aq vjev tmah ug WPS egvis e gsiigemm fez vufez.... ov't fuxp 15% +/- ... pu pixt... qsucecmz, ONU e meshi timmis apmuefoph xovjuav epz cazist devdjoph ov. Liiqoph ep izi gus mux 8't epf 7't epf ug duasti liiqoph ep izi uav gus tuni pixt.

KNJU epf sihesft-
 
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