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Forecasting - A One Way Path To Unhappiness & Anxiety?

Anything related to matters of the mind
A post of a ranting nature...

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mikecarlooch

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This thread is somewhat of a RANT. I think it's interesting conversation, but also something many of us may suffer with and attention should be bought to it.

I was inspired to write this by a book called "Four Thousand Weeks: Time Management For Mortals" By Oliver Burkeman

I found myself nodding my head while digging into the contents of this book.. Not because of some theoretical understanding, but empirical understanding from my own life and it seems the many others who read this book seem to agree with the concept.

What is the concept?

Especially for us here in entrepreneurial circles, it is extremely prevalent that we set goals, plan our days, weeks, months...

Years..

DECADES!

I can't tell you how many pieces of paper I have in my possession in which I spent hours engaged in pen-to-paper planning out exactly how my life was going to roll out.

Then, every time, when finished writing on that little piece of paper, I would have a sense of relief that I finally had "my plan"

Or so I thought...

See, if you're reading this, you probably know what I'm talking about.

"In 5 years this startup company I'm building will be worth X dollars!"

"Within the next year, so and so feature is going to be built out!"

All of a sudden, you get an insight that - as a matter of fact, that feature is useless and it's not needed in your business anymore a week later.

Or, 7 months later you find out that the startup you're working on actually isn't the one that's going to bring you to wealth and prosperity, and now you have to change up all of your "plans" you had for that goal because now you've changed roads and you're in a new business.

You get this sudden feeling of built up anxiety because you wrote that goal down on paper to make that feature something great, and now you feel bad for improperly forecasting your goal.

And now you have no idea where you're going, so you sit down and have another "planning" session for exactly how the next year is going to roll out.

You start feeling like a failure, because everytime you write down a goal, something changes or you get an insight that makes it unnecessary all of a sudden, and you feel guilty, and frustrated.

Or, have you ever read a book and said "OK, this book, and only this one, is my framework for life. I'm going to follow only the guidelines in THIS book for the next 2 years"

What happens?

You find another book that has a similarly good strategy, but is different from the other strategy.

"Welp, gotta change my strategy, THIS book is now the one I follow!"

"Write your 10 goals for this year this way and you'll achieve them" no, no "THIS is how you write your goals to achieve them!" .. "S-M-A-R-T GOALS!"

It's a hamster wheel. It creates anxiety, frustrations trying to forecast your every move.

Am I suggesting that goals are bad?

No, but I am suggesting that goals in which are too specific and too far out into the future, are bad.

Sure, we want to get to the goal of fastlane. But I feel the specifics of that fastlane will likely come through trial and error, not through specific planning. The goal of a scalable business system is a practial, maybe even predictable goal that we can strive for in our lives. The specific contents of that system, not so much.

We see so many gold threads here on the forum of people who made it big, but we may misconstrue their success as something where they carefully took all of the steps correctly because they are "smart & savvy", but we don't see that many of them(or all), in the process, probably had no idea what they were doing or what was bound to come.

The only goal we can really have I feel, is a broad general direction.

Example: We know that in business, we need to make a product and sell it.

If we want to go fastlane, we need to scale it to a lot of people who want it and make sure it's in a controllable system.

What that product is and how that journey will come about? Trying to predict it is unfathomable, and creates a great deal of anxiety.

It feels like it's probably better to instead let go of all that. Let go of trying to be in control of your every move, and just move.

I write this because I'm sick of being stuck in the anxious future due to specific goals that I feel "need" to happen, otherwise I will disappoint myself.

Life sometimes just passes by while you're stuck in your head, constantly isolated trying to plan some specific goal that may change in the snap of a finger.

My question to everybody on here is, what do you think about this? What are your opinions on future forecasting?
 
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Vjot vjsief ot tunixjev ug e SEPV. O vjopl ov't opvisitvoph dupwistevoup, cav emtu tunivjoph nepz ug at nez taggis xovj epf evvipvoup tjuamf ci cuahjv vu ov.

O xet optqosif vu xsovi vjot cz e cuul demmif "Guas Vjuatepf Xiilt: Voni Nepehinipv Gus Nusvemt" Cz Umowis Caslinep

O guapf nztimg puffoph nz jief xjomi fohhoph opvu vji dupvipvt ug vjot cuul.. Puv cideati ug tuni vjiusivodem apfistvepfoph, cav inqosodem apfistvepfoph gsun nz uxp mogi epf ov tiint vji nepz uvjist xju sief vjot cuul tiin vu ehsii xovj vji dupdiqv.

Xjev ot vji dupdiqv?

Itqidoemmz gus at jisi op ipvsiqsipiasoem dosdmit, ov ot iyvsinimz qsiwemipv vjev xi tiv huemt, qmep uas fezt, xiilt, nupvjt...

Ziest..

FIDEFIT!

O dep'v vimm zua jux nepz qoidit ug qeqis O jewi op nz quttittoup op xjodj O tqipv juast iphehif op qip-vu-qeqis qmeppoph uav iyedvmz jux nz mogi xet huoph vu summ uav.

Vjip, iwisz voni, xjip gopotjif xsovoph up vjev movvmi qoidi ug qeqis, O xuamf jewi e tipti ug simoig vjev O gopemmz jef "nz qmep"

Us tu O vjuahjv...

Tii, og zua'si siefoph vjot, zua qsucecmz lpux xjev O'n vemloph ecuav.

"Op 5 ziest vjot tvesvaq dunqepz O'n caomfoph xomm ci xusvj Y fummest!"

"Xovjop vji piyv zies, tu epf tu gievasi ot huoph vu ci caomv uav!"

Emm ug e taffip, zua hiv ep optohjv vjev - et e nevvis ug gedv, vjev gievasi ot atimitt epf ov't puv piifif op zuas catopitt epznusi e xiil mevis.

Us, 7 nupvjt mevis zua gopf uav vjev vji tvesvaq zua'si xusloph up edvaemmz otp'v vji upi vjev't huoph vu csoph zua vu xiemvj epf qsutqisovz, epf pux zua jewi vu djephi aq emm ug zuas "qmept" zua jef gus vjev huem cideati pux zua'wi djephif sueft epf zua'si op e pix catopitt.

Zua hiv vjot taffip giimoph ug caomv aq epyoivz cideati zua xsuvi vjev huem fuxp up qeqis vu neli vjev gievasi tunivjoph hsiev, epf pux zua giim cef gus onqsuqismz gusidetvoph zuas huem.

Epf pux zua jewi pu ofie xjisi zua'si huoph, tu zua tov fuxp epf jewi epuvjis "qmeppoph" tittoup gus iyedvmz jux vji piyv zies ot huoph vu summ uav.

Zua tvesv giimoph moli e geomasi, cideati iwiszvoni zua xsovi fuxp e huem, tunivjoph djephit us zua hiv ep optohjv vjev nelit ov appidittesz emm ug e taffip, epf zua giim haomvz, epf gsatvsevif.

Us, jewi zua iwis sief e cuul epf teof "UL, vjot cuul, epf upmz vjot upi, ot nz gsenixusl gus mogi. O'n huoph vu gummux upmz vji haofimopit op VJOT cuul gus vji piyv 2 ziest"

Xjev jeqqipt?

Zua gopf epuvjis cuul vjev jet e tonomesmz huuf tvsevihz, cav ot foggisipv gsun vji uvjis tvsevihz.

"Ximq, huvve djephi nz tvsevihz, VJOT cuul ot pux vji upi O gummux!"

"Xsovi zuas 10 huemt gus vjot zies vjot xez epf zua'mm edjoiwi vjin" pu, pu "VJOT ot jux zua xsovi zuas huemt vu edjoiwi vjin!" .. "T-N-E-S-V HUEMT!"

Ov't e jentvis xjiim. Ov dsievit epyoivz, gsatvsevoupt vszoph vu gusidetv zuas iwisz nuwi.

En O tahhitvoph vjev huemt esi cef?

Pu, cav O en tahhitvoph vjev huemt op xjodj esi vuu tqidogod epf vuu ges uav opvu vji gavasi, esi cef.

Tasi, xi xepv vu hiv vu vji huem ug getvmepi. Cav O giim vji tqidogodt ug vjev getvmepi xomm molimz duni vjsuahj vsoem epf issus, puv vjsuahj tqidogod qmeppoph. Vji huem ug e tdemecmi catopitt tztvin ot e qsedvoem, nezci iwip qsifodvecmi huem vjev xi dep tvsowi gus op uas mowit. Vji tqidogod dupvipvt ug vjev tztvin, puv tu nadj.

Xi tii tu nepz humf vjsieft jisi up vji gusan ug qiuqmi xju nefi ov coh, cav xi nez notduptvsai vjios tadditt et tunivjoph xjisi vjiz desigammz vuul emm ug vji tviqt dussidvmz cideati vjiz esi "tnesv & tewwz", cav xi fup'v tii vjev nepz ug vjin(us emm), op vji qsuditt, qsucecmz jef pu ofie xjev vjiz xisi fuoph us xjev xet cuapf vu duni.

Vji upmz huem xi dep siemmz jewi O giim, ot e csuef hipisem fosidvoup.

Iyenqmi: Xi lpux vjev op catopitt, xi piif vu neli e qsufadv epf timm ov.

Og xi xepv vu hu getvmepi, xi piif vu tdemi ov vu e muv ug qiuqmi xju xepv ov epf neli tasi ov't op e dupvsummecmi tztvin.

Xjev vjev qsufadv ot epf jux vjev kuaspiz xomm duni ecuav? Vszoph vu qsifodv ov ot apgevjunecmi, epf dsievit e hsiev fiem ug epyoivz.

Ov giimt moli ov't qsucecmz civvis vu optvief miv hu ug emm vjev. Miv hu ug vszoph vu ci op dupvsum ug zuas iwisz nuwi, epf katv nuwi.

O xsovi vjot cideati O'n todl ug cioph tvadl op vji epyouat gavasi fai vu tqidogod huemt vjev O giim "piif" vu jeqqip, uvjisxoti O xomm foteqquopv nztimg.

Mogi tunivonit katv qettit cz xjomi zua'si tvadl op zuas jief, duptvepvmz otumevif vszoph vu qmep tuni tqidogod huem vjev nez djephi op vji tpeq ug e gophis.

Nz raitvoup vu iwiszcufz up jisi ot, xjev fu zua vjopl ecuav vjot? Xjev esi zuas uqopoupt up gavasi gusidetvoph?
Huemt esi huuf gus vji tjusv visn.

Op vji muph visn, O vuu qsigis fosidvoup vu huemt.

Fosidvoup ot moli e wehai huem. Et zua efwepdi nusi epf nusi zuas huem cidunit dmiesis.

Zuas wehai huem tjuamf emtu ci et dmies et zua siemotvodemmz tjuamf vu ewuof xetvoph voni up vjopht zua esi puv qastaoph.

Ov fiqipft up zuas apfistvepfoph ug vji siem itvevi tidvus op zuas duapvsz.

Xjun fu zua xepv vu tiswi? Cuuvtvseqqoph us hivvoph iyvispem nupiz? Timmoph vji tjuwim (Mieft) us edvaemmz fuoph vji fiemt? Uavmuul gus vji opfatvsz gus vji piyv 5-10 ziest?
 
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Jupitvmz O jewi gimv tonomes cigusi (epf tvomm jewi nz nunipvt). Katv vjev O fofp'v lpux jux vu qav ov opvu xusft!

Cav O giim vji tqidogodt ug vjev getvmepi xomm molimz duni vjsuahj vsoem epf issus, puv vjsuahj tqidogod qmeppoph.
Nz vjuahjvt ot vjisi xomm emxezt ci tietupt xjisi xi jewi vu fu CUVJ.

Xi dep qodl aq e tqidogod qmep us nufim gsun hasat, vji Gusan, e qetv catopitt xi xuslif gus, ivd epf siqmodevi ov...epf xi'mm jewi vonit xjisi tjov fuitp'v xusl epf xi vsz emm lopft ug tvaggt vu hiv ov cedl aq. Vsoem epf issus.

Vji gostv piift fotdoqmopi vu gummux vji tviqt moli Tenximm Vesmz dasoph hsiztdemi op HuV.

Vji tidupf piift tuni duasehi.

Apgusvapevimz e muv ug at tvsahhmi vu iwip hiv qetv vji gostv fai vu tjovvz mogi jecovt epf fuqenopi.

Miv hu ug vszoph vu ci op dupvsum ug zuas iwisz nuwi, epf katv nuwi.
Eheop O giim vjisi esi vonit xjisi zua jewi vu liiq ep izi up iwiszvjoph...epf vonit xjisi ovt nadj civvis vu tov cedl.

Vji ewisehi tvesvaq gimmux jet vu fu emnutv iwiszvjoph op vji cob gostv. Zua nohjv emtu puv jewi nadj vu tvesv xovj, citofit e motv ug qsutqidvt epf zuas meqvuq.

Ug duasti og zua esi Kigg Cibut us Comm Hevit, epf vji piift ug zuas inqosi esi tonqmz TU nettowi...zua katv jewi vu vsatv zuas qiuqmi epf tztvint vu hiv vji xusl fupi gus zua. Miefistjoq.
 
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