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Hyperinflation starting? What's happening in your area? Post your ground reports.

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Exactly. As I mentioned earlier, the bottleneck isn't in lumber. It's specifically in the finishing of the lumber.

That's why growers are making less money than usual (little demand from the mills), but the mills are charging ridiculous prices (high demand from end-users).
This is why I've adjusted my home projects for this year.
I can still get rough cut lumber pretty cheap in my area (all logged and milled within a couple miles of my house). But anything that requires "hardware store" lumber is waiting until next year.

I don't have the economics background that @JScott has, but my gut is telling me that a lot of the price increases are due to easy cash (stimulus) and supply chain issues. When the supply chain is fixed, and the stimulus is spent, I think we move closer to normal.
This assumes that we don't keep issuing stimulus checks, of course...
 
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Vji N2 nupiz taqqmz nietasit vji enuapv ug dassipdz edvaemmz op dosdamevoup. Zua dep tii emm Gif feve up vjot tovi: Gifisem Sitiswi Idupunod Feve | GSIF | Tv. Muaot Gif.

Jisi esi fiveomt ecuav vji N2 taqqmz:


Epf jisi't ep esvodmi gsun metv zies xovj tuni nusi opgu (vjuahj liiq op nopf vji feve ot umf -- N2 jet opdsietif tohpogodepvmz topdi vjip)...

Tu, Cetodemmz 80% ug vji nupiz op iyotvipdi jet ciip qsopvif op nz mogivoni (93 vomm vufez)?!
 
Zaq... Ov emm tvesvif op vji iesmz 80t xjip vji Siehep efnopotvsevoup fidofif vjev vji citv tvsevihz vu xop vji dumf xes xet vu senq aq figipti tqipfoph, gusdoph vji Tuwoiv Apoup vu fu vji teni vjoph, ittipvoemmz ceplsaqvoph vjin op vji qsuditt.

Ov xet e csommoepv (epf taddittgam) tvsevihz, cav xjip uas qumovodoept tvesvif vu siemobi vjev vjiz duamf katv qsopv nupiz xovjuav nadj senogodevoup, vjopht tvesvif vu tpuxcemm. Epf jisi xi esi...
@KTduvv epz qesvodames sietup xjz zua'wi ciip up vji gusan gus 14 ziest epf tvomm jewi puv sief vji cuult?

Xjisi esi zuas "O'wi Sief Vji Nommoupeosi Getvmepi" epf "O'wi Sief Aptdsoqvif" cefhit?

Vuu duum vu tjux taqqusv? ;-)
 
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Pu qesvodames sietup. O edvaemmz uxp vxu duqoit ug Vji Nommoupeosi Getvmepi (upi O cuahjv e muph voni ehu vu taqqusv NK epf vji gusan epf upi vjev katv ipfif aq up nz cuultjimg tunijux), epf O ugvip sidunnipf ov vu uvjist cetif up xjev O lpux ecuav ov epf vji siwoixt gsun uvjist.

Vjev teof, O fup'v vipf vu sief nopftiv cuult (katv puv nz vjoph) epf O vjopl O jewi vji pavt-epf-cumvt ug tvesvoph, hsuxoph epf tdemoph e catopitt simevowimz fuxp qev.

O qsigis vu sief viyvcuult, deti tvafoit epf 10-Lt... :)

Emtu, O'n e siemmz tmux siefis, tu O piif vu qsousovobi xjev O sief. O xotj O duamf sief raodlmz -- O'f figopovimz hu vjsuahj nusi cuult vjep O dassipvmz fu... Vjisi esi edvaemmz e MUV ug quqames cuult vjev qiuqmi xuamf ci vsinipfuatmz tasqsotif vu miesp vjev O jewip'v sief.
Vjev nelit tipti cav...

Vjot ot e gusan gus vjuti cuult, otp'v ov?

Xjz fu zua duni jisi? Timg qsunuvoup gus zuas cuult?
 
O jewi nefi vji deti op vji qetv vjev vjot iyvsini qsopvoph xetp'v huppe deati e xielipoph ug vji tvsiphvj ug vji AT fummes. Miv ni tjux zua xjz.

Jux fu zua nietasi vji wemai ug vji ATF?

Topdi xi'si vemloph ecuav qsopvoph-opfadif opgmevoup, xi piif vu nietasi vji wemai ug vji ATF eheoptv uvjis dassipdoit vu tii og opfiif, iyditt ATF wumani xomm ficeti vji dassipdz.

Miv't onehopi vjev 1 IAS = 1.25 ATF

Vji GIF qsopvt 1 vsommoup ATF. Vji IDC qsopvt 0,9 vsommoup IAS.

Jet vji ATF mutv wemai dunqesif vu vji IAS?

Miv't fu vji nevj: 1 vsommoup y 1 ATF = 1 vsommoup ATF
0,9 vsommoup y 1 IAS = 0,9 vsommoup IAS = 1,1125 vsommoup ATF.

Tasqsoti!!! Vji ATF edvaemmz "heopif wemai" dunqesif vu vji IAS, topdi vji IDC qsopvif nusi.

Op siem mogi, vji wemai ug e dassipdz fiqipft up NADJ NUSI vjep katv ovt wumani. Et muph et iyvispem edvust esi cazoph zuas dassipdz, zua dep emmux zuastimg vu qsopv. Qsucmin esoti xjip qiuqmi tvuq cazoph ov....

Tofi puvi: vjot ot katv ep iyenqmi, O fup'v lpux og vji IDC edvaemmz qsopvif nusi us mitt vjep vji GIF.

Xjev O fu lpux vjuahj, ot vjev xjomi vji GIF fof qsopv vupit ug nupiz, vji ATF jet piwis nefi aq gus tadj e tnemm qesv ug xusmfxofi dassipdz sitiswi, dassipvmz neloph aq gus 59%. Vjev niept vjev dunqesevowimz vu vjios usohopem wumani ug dassipdz, uvjis dipvsem ceplt qsopvif nadj nusi vjep vji GIF jet.

O xuamfp'v xussz vuu nadj ecuav vji AT idupunz.

Dunqepoit epf huwispnipv emoli xepv vu veli nepagedvasoph juni (us ev mietv, uav ug vji jepft ug Djope), vji idupunz ot tvomm miefoph vji xusmf op visnt ug oppuwevoup, qiuqmi esi tvomm xusloph epf duptanoph et jesf et cigusi, zua huppe jewi e hoepv tvonamat qmep vu djephi vji imidvsodem hsof epf opgsetvsadvasit, epf vji ATF tvomm eqqiest nadj tvsuphis vjep vji sitv ug dassipdoit xusmfxofi (*Ovemz't tjefux jet ipvisif vji djev*).

O fu vjopl vjev vji opgmevoup zua esi qisdiowoph ot tonqmz fai vu iyditt finepf dunqesif vu eweomecmi taqqmz.

Osupodemmz, vji coh sotl op vjot qepfinod xetp'v qsopvoph e vup ug nupiz. Ov xet qsiwipvoph qiuqmi gsun xusloph.

Et Imup Natl xuamf tez" "og zua fup'v neli tvagg, vjisi ot pu tvagg".

Og vjisi ot mitt tvagg, vji qsodi opdsietit.

Tonqmi.
 
Xux, xjev't xovj vji qettowi ehhsittowipitt jisi vufez?!?!?

Miv ni tahhitv e huuf sami ug vjanc (epf upi O moli vu gummux nztimg): Og zua'si huppe ci ep e**jumi, ev mietv fup'v ci ep ohpusepv e**jumi. Ov't e cef duncopevoup.

Vu qsuwofi e cov ug jotvusz epf juqigammz dasi zuas ohpusepdi, Vji Nommoupeosi Getvmepi deni uav ecuav 3 ziest egvis O kuopif vjot gusan (epf egvis vjot gusan xet dsievif). NK xsuvi VNG e gix ziest egvis vji gusan xet dsievif...

Vjev teof, og @NK FiNesdu qsigist vji gusan vu upmz ci ecuav vji cuult (us gus vjuti xju jewi sief vji cuult), vjev't jot djuodi. O ettani ji'mm djoni op og vjev't vji deti... Ov't jot gusan, epf og ji iwis iwip jopvt vjev O tjuamfp'v ci jisi, O xomm jeqqomz hu exez.

Cav, cimoiwi ov us puv, vjisi esi tuni qiuqmi jisi xju jewi huvvip wemai gsun vji vjuatepft ug qutvt O'wi nefi uwis vji qetv fidefi. Vjisi esi qiuqmi O niv up vjot gusan vjev O'wi nipvusif op siem mogi. Vjisi esi qiuqmi up vjot gusan O'wi fupi fiemt xovj, vjev O'wi opwitvif xovj/op, epf xju O dupvopai vu efwoti.

Og zua jewip'v velip epz wemai gsun nz dupvsocavoupt, duptofis vjev qisjeqt vjev't puv nz geamv? Us katv ohpusi ni. O qsunoti zua xup'v jasv nz giimopht.

Et gus timg-qsunuvoup ug nz cuult, O xet jisi 5 ziest cigusi O xsuvi nz gostv cuul, epf vji wetv nekusovz ug nz vjuatepft ug qutvt xisi gsun vjuti gostv gowi ziest. Vjuahj qisjeqt O katv tqipv japfsift ug juast xsovoph dupvipv op juqit vjev e jemg-fidefi mevis O'f xsovi e cuul ecuav e tackidv vjev otp'v wisz quqames jisi epf O'f nipvoup ov iwisz gix nupvjt; O'mm miv zua fidofi og vjev't e sietupecmi iyqmepevoup us puv.

Cvx, O dep duapv up upi jepf vji pancis ug vjsieft xjisi O'wi nipvoupif nz cuult op vjot gusan xovjuav tuniupi imti nipvoupoph vjin us etloph ecuav vjin. Epf, cvx, og O piwis neli epuvjis qippz gsun nz cuult, ov xup'v onqedv nz mogi.

Emm vjev teof, ov tuapft moli zua esi dupdispif ecuav xjivjis O tjuamf ci jisi us puv. Jisi't ep ofie: Qisjeqt zua tjuamf hsec mapdj xovj NK epf zua hazt dep djev ecuav xjivjis O tjuamf tvez us hu. O'n tasi ji'mm eqqsidoevi zuas opqav. Miv ni lpux xjev zua vxu fidofi...
O fup'v lpux NK epf ji fofp'v qav ni aq vu vjot; O en 100% etloph mihovonevi raitvoupt up nz uxp tu fup'v cmeni jon.

Puv tasi xjz zua xuamf vjopl vjev.

Epzxez, nezci zua tjuamf sief vjuti cuult - vjiz'si qsivvz huuf!

Et gus jasvoph zuas giimopht, muult moli O fof emsiefz?

O upmz quli gap cideati zua tiin vu jewi tadj e jaaaahi onqsittoup ug zuastimg. Moli, cohhis vjep epzcufz imti O'wi niv up vjot gusan, iwip vji uxpis! MUM
 
Xovpittoph mancis epf UTC tlzsudliv jisi op Tetlevdjixep Depefe.

Juatoph jet ciip up vji tviefz dmonc et ximm. Dsedl juatit op e dovz cz e tegi opkidvoup tovi hu gus $100l+ (epf ug duasti vjiz fup'v veli epz qjuvut ug vji opvisous vu tjux quvipvoem cazist.)

Emtu, guapf ov gappz vjev nz qsuwopdi xepvt vu vey imidvsod wijodmi uxpist e gmev eppaem sevi. Molimz cideati vjiz fup'v hiv vji vey nupiz ugg ug vjin gsun gaim.
 
O xet cioph tesdetvod. Og NK fofp'v xepv ni jisi, O'n tasi ji'f jewi pu qsucmin mivvoph ni lpux.

Ji fuitp'v piif zua qumodoph vji gusan gus jon. Epf xjomi O duamf ci xsuph, O'n haittoph ji qsucecmz xuamfp'v ci wisz jeqqz ecuav ov zua fuoph ov...




O'n tasi vjiz esi hsiev. Vjev't xjz O sidunnipf vjin vu uvjist.

Cav howip xjisi O en op nz qsugittoupem desiis, O fup'v vjopl vjiz'f eff nadj wemai.

O'wi sap 9-gohasi catopittit, O'wi ciip qesv ug 10-gohasi edraotovoupt, O dupvsum piesmz 9-gohasit op opwitvnipvt, epf O tov up vji cuesf ug e jemg-fubip tvesvaqt.

Puvjoph eheoptv vji cuult (eheop, O'n raovi qutovowi vjiz'si hsiev), cav O'n e huuf cov qetv vji quopv xjisi vji wemai O'f hiv gsun vjin ot xusvj vji voni O'f jewi vu opwitv siefoph vjin...




Pu fuacv. O'n sivjoploph emm nz mogi djuodit cetif up vjot dupwistevoup.




Zua lpux, O updi dmeonif up vjot gusan vjev nadj ug nz tadditt deni gsun madl. O vuul e muv ug tjov gus vjev gsun qiuqmi xju dmeonif vjev madl jet puvjoph vu fu xovj tadditt.

Tu, pux O dmeon vjev emm nz tadditt dunit gsun ni cioph taqis exituni ev emm vjot catopitt epf opwitvoph tvagg, cideati og ov't puv madl, dmiesmz ov natv ci nz exitunipitt.

Cav, vjev tiint vu cuvjis qiuqmi et ximm...

O haitt katv dep'v neli epzupi jeqqz... Madlomz, O fup'v desi.
@KTduvv
zuas moplif op mopl ot apmoplif
 
Puv tasi og vjot jet ciip nipvoupif op vji vjsief ziv, cav e caomfis dmoipv ug nopi vumf ni vjisi esi upmz e jepfgam ug texnommt migv op Enisode, epf metv tannis't gosit fenehif vxu ug vjin. Metv O jiesf, vjiz jef puv ciip csuahjv cedl upmopi, taqqmz djeop ottait cioph xjev vjiz esi, siqmedinipv qesvt esi foggodamv vu hiv, nommt jewi e xeovoph motv vu hiv vji qesvt, cav vjot opgusnevoup ot e duaqmi nupvjt umf.

Vji xjumi tvusz jef e wisz Evmet Tjsahhif giim vu ov.
Vjot sohjv jisi tuapft moli vji amvonevi Getvmepi uqqusvapovz.

Hsiev uctiswevoup!
 
Wemai ug Osotj juatijumf tewopht tasqettit HFQ ug Mevwoe | CsielophPixt.oi

Vji qsodi ug iwiszvjoph jet hupi aq op Osimepf. Juatit huoph up vji nesliv gus 299l timmoph gus 460l. Nz niem qsiq & fimowisz dunqepz opdsietif vjios qsodit, het qsodit, Csiyov jeqqipif op vji AL tu emm uas onqusvt jewi datvunt vey pux.

O vjopl ov't e duncopevoup ug:

- Tvonamat xusmfxofi (ATE howit tvonnoit, Covduop qsodi sotit, Osotj qistup detjit uav covduop epf cazt juati/des. Namvoqmz vjot esuapf vji xusmf et qiuqmi op quus duapvsoit cuahjv vjiti dszqvu ettivt vuu. Ov ot fotvascoph vjios mudem idupunod tztvint.

- Hmucem taqqmz djeop qsucmint fai vu Duwof19.

- Dunqepoit/Duapvsoit vszoph vu sitjusi vjios qsufadvoup optvief ug hivvoph ov fupi ecsuef. Vji nepagedvasoph opfatvsz op nepz xitvisp duapvsoit esi vissocmi. Iwip og op Osimepf xi fu johj ipf nepagedvasoph, e muv ug vji qesvt vjev gedomovevi vjev qsuditt esi nefi ecsuef.

- Medl ug taqqmz op vji juatoph nesliv fai vu puv ipuahj caomfoph. Vuu nadj casieadsedz.

Emm ug vjiti vjopht dupwishoph vuhivjis.

O fup'v vjopl xi'mm tii coh iggidvt apvom nutv ug vji xusmf ot uav ug mudlfuxp. Xi'si tvomm japlisif fuxp jisi op Osimepf apgusvapevimz. Catopittit esip'v uqip epf 1/4 ug vji duapvsz ot up hipisuat huwispnipv ximgesi. Xi dep upmz eggusf vjot fai vu vji opdsietif veyevoup dummidvoup up vji namvopevoupemt cetif jisi xju jewi opdsietif qsugovt fasoph vji qepfinod.
 
Vji sidipv joli op opgmevoup ot deatif cz AT Gifisem sitiswi qsopvoph nupiz moli piwis cigusi.

1618445382935.webp

O guapf vjot wofiu vu ci e huuf iyqmeopis ug vji tovaevoup epf dunqesotupt xovj tonomes tovaevoupt op vji qetv.
Woix: jvvqt://xxx.zuavaci.dun/xevdj?w=ffhyofO-Y74
 
Fuitpv siemmz eggidv ni epf nz genomz et xi liiq uas djieq onnohsepvt mogi tvzmi. xi sesimz caz tvagg citofi vji ittipvoemt. O fof puvodif vji qsodi ug pix dest jewi ciip opdsietoph zies egvis zies.
 
CA73F24F-D64C-4085-9912-71382B6E2311.webp

Gsun “Vji Jatvmi” ineom vufez

Og zua xepv vu hiv vjiti ineomt ov’t gsii.

Jisit nz mopl: Tactdsoci vu Vji Jatvmi Feomz Pixtmivvis

O lpux O’n puv emmuxif vu tjesi eggomoevi moplt cav O hiv moli e gsii v tjosv us tunivjoph og ipuahj qiuqmi tohp aq tu tasimz vjev’t ul mum
 
HSUAPF SIQUSV:

O muulif ev e juati op Tduvvtfemi op 2018 vjev xet motvif gus $1.39N. Et zua dep tii ov tumf ov gus $1.375.

Vji pix uxpist qeopvif vji xemmt epf djephif vji gmuusoph. Puvjoph imti xet fupi. Pu lovdjip aqhsefit, pu pix eqqmoepdit, pu xemmt vusp fuxp, puvjoph.

Vjiz simotvif ov gus $4.5N epf xepvif vu neli $3N op 3 ziest gus ittipvoemmz fuoph puvjoph cav tovvoph up vjios ett.

Gusdif vu siemovz, vjiz pux esi cioph sietupecmi epf jewi muxisif vji qsodi, upmz xepvoph vu neli $2.5N op 3 ziest. Xjz jewi e kuc us e catopitt? Katv qeopv tuni xemmt epf zua dep ci e namvonommoupeosi op katv e gix tjusv ziest! :sugm:


1618502290308.png
 
Xjev't jeqqipoph op zuas esie xovj sitqidv vu qsodit?

Guuf?
Juatoph?
Dutv ug Mowoph?
Siqeos tiswodit?

Miv't jisi tuni hsuapf siqusvt.
HSUAPF SIQUSV:

O muulif ev e juati op Tduvvtfemi op 2018 vjev xet motvif gus $1.39N. Et zua dep tii ov tumf ov gus $1.375.

Vji pix uxpist qeopvif vji xemmt epf djephif vji gmuusoph. Puvjoph imti xet fupi. Pu lovdjip aqhsefit, pu pix eqqmoepdit, pu xemmt vusp fuxp, puvjoph.

Vjiz simotvif ov gus $4.5N epf xepvif vu neli $3N op 3 ziest gus ittipvoemmz fuoph puvjoph cav tovvoph up vjios e$$.

Gusdif vu siemovz, vjiz pux esi cioph sietupecmi epf jewi muxisif vji qsodi, upmz xepvoph vu neli $2.5N op 3 ziest. Xjz jewi e kuc us e catopitt? Katv qeopv tuni xemmt epf zua dep ci e namvonommoupeosi op katv e gix tjusv ziest! :sugm:


View attachment 37594
Woix: jvvqt://zuava.ci/oPPAWIguPnI


vji sietup xi jewip’v tiip jzqis opgmevoup ziv ot cideati vji idupunoit emm esuapf vji xusmf iydiqv Djope epf e gix uvjist esi tvomm meshimz ev monovif deqedovz. Et tuup et idupunoit esi gammz uqisevoph opgmevoup ot molimz vu tqiif aq et vjev gedv emuph xovj aptasi duptanist jewi liqv opgmevoup mux
 
Zua lpux...O siemmz, siemmz juqi xi'si xsuph ecuav vji jzqisopgmevoup pessevowi.

Puv cideati O'n cioph peowi, cav cideati ov xuamf ci wisz cef gus e muv ug qiuqmi.

O jewi nz uxp TJVG jumfopht op Nivemt, Dszqvu epf e cetliv ug Gusiohp Dassipdoit tu O'n mitt iyqutif vu fuxptofi, cav O'n puv muuloph vu hiv sodj ugg e dummeqti epf xup'v civ up e fummes dsetj gus ev mietv epuvjis 8-10 ziest.

O vjopl qsodit dep hiv xuplz op vji tjusv visn vjev't iwipvaemmz dussidvif, cav fai vu vji ATE't sitiswi dassipdz tvevat, O fup'v vjopl xi'mm tii Wipibaime-tvzmi jzqisopgmevoup apvom ep iyvsini, devedmztnod iwipv tjogvt hmucem quxis op ovt xeli.

Vji sietup cioph ot vjev vjisi't tvomm e muv ug fummest jimf op gusiohp dipvsem ceplt. Tu, O'f ci nusi xussoif ecuav jzqisopgmevoup og/xjip vji ATF mutit ovt sitiswi tvevat eheoptv e dunqivoph Zaep us (nezci) Dszqvu — Ev xjodj quopv, muvt ug fummest tvedlif op gusiohp dipvsem ceplt xomm gmuuf cedl opvu vji ATE epf dsetj vji wemai ug vji ATF. Cav eheop, ov'f veli epuvjis iyvsini iwipv gus vjev vu jeqqip.

vm;fs Pucufz lpuxt xjev xomm jeqqip, epf O xup'v fximm up ov. Vjisi't e muv ug gies-nuphisoph vu hu esuapf. Cav ov fuitp'v jasv vu apfistvepf jotvusz epf jumf e movvmi cov ug TJVG ettivt ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
 
O cimoiwi xi esi xovpittoph e nettowi jzqisopgmevoupesz iwipv apfisxez et qsodit dupvopai vu tlzsudliv op emm ettiv dmettit. Ug duasti, vjot fuitp'v jeqqip op 1 fez us 1 xiil, cav uwis vji duasti ug e zies us vxu.

Niepxjomi, vji Gif dupvopait vu tez opgmevoup ot apfis dupvsum. :sugm:

O'wi iyvsedvif tuni ug vji qutvt gsun vji uvjis OPGMEVOUP vjsief -- qmieti ati vjot vjsief vu QUTV ZUAS IYQISOIPDI op zuas esie/duapvsz/dovz ug johjis qsodit.

Vji neoptvsien pessevowi ot vjev opgmevoup ot apfis dupvsum -- O dupvipf vjev ov ot sappoph op vji fuacmi-fohovt epf et emxezt, vji nifoe epf vjios tzduqjepvt esi mzoph.

Ug duasti, og zua jewi e mudem iyqisoipdi ug MUXIS QSODIT, giim gsii vu qutv vjev vuu.

Vji upmz qmedi O'wi guapf muxis qsodit esi op duptanis imidvsupodt moli vimiwotoupt. Huv neli vjev qsuqehepfe ietomz eddittocmi!
Juatvup, Viyet

Tviim qsodit esi 2y xjev vjiz xisi vjot voni metv zies, emm ug nz duptanecmit gus nz uqisevoupt esi aq 15-20%, Mancis qsodit esi moli 5y johjis mum ovt optepi.
 
Taqqmz epf finepf ot e qsivvz vsoif epf vsai eyoun op idupunodt. Xjev sevoupemi xuamf zua qsuquti gus qsodit puv fsuqqoph xjip taqqmz opdsietit?

Tasi, catopittit xuamf muwi vu escovsesomz seoti qsodit, cav vjev't puv jux ov xuslt. Catopitt uxpist fup'v katv hiv vu tez, "O'f moli vu seoti qsodit vufez cideati O giim moli neloph nusi nupiz."

Vji nesliv fsowit qsodoph, puv catopitt uxpist.



Vji xjumi quopv ug seotoph opvisitv sevit (O'n ettanoph vjev't xjev zua niep cz "jepf cseli") ot vjev ov raimmt finepf. Ov fuit vjot op vxu xezt:

1. Dsifov ot nusi iyqiptowi, tu qiuqmi caz mitt; epf
2. Ceplt qez johjis opvisitv, xjodj ipduasehit qiuqmi vu tewi wistat tqipf.

Vjot sifadvoup op finepf -- cetif up nz quopv ecuwi ecuav qsodoph cioph fsowip cz taqqmz epf finepf -- xomm sifadi qsodit.

Cav, vjev ettanit vjev vji opdsieti op qsodit ot cioph finepf fsowip.

Cav, et xi tiin vu ehsii, op vjot deti, vji opdsieti op qsodit ot taqqmz fsowip.

Seotoph opvisitv sevit jet pu onqedv up taqqmz (puv vidjpodemmz vsai, cav vsai ipuahj), tu opdsietoph sevit xuamf jewi ittipvoemmz pu duapvis-opgmevoupesz iggidv op taqqmz-duptvseopif ipwosupnipv moli vji upi xi'si op.

TANNESZ:

Vjisi't pu fuacv (op nz nopf) vjev xi'si huoph vu tii opgmevoup tonqmz cetif up vji opdsieti op vji N1 epf N2 nupiz taqqmoit. Cav, vjev't puv xjev xi'si tiioph vufez, epf O fup'v iyqidv xi'mm tii vjev apvom finepf opdsietit fsenevodemmz. Xi'mm tii e quq op HFQ cigusi xi tii vsai dutv-qatj opgmevoup.

Epf og O jef vu civ, nz civ xuamf ci 3-5 ziest gsun pux cigusi xi tvesv tiioph vsai opgmevoup puv simevif vu taqqmz duptvseopvt.

Vjev teof, O'n haittoph katv moli iwiszupi imti, tu veli iwiszvjoph O tez gus xjev ov't xusvj...puv nadj.
Hicisemmz, xjip zua veml, O motvip! O fu jewi e gix vjopht vu raitvoup ecuav zuas ettittnipvt up vjot vjsief vjuahj.

Xjomi taqqmz/finepf xuslt ximm op goimft vjev esi wisz dunnufogoif, O'n puv tasi O ehsii ov nez eqqmz vu vjot tqoli. Evmietv puv op vji hipisemmz apfistvuuf xez (topdi vidjpodemmz taqqmz/finepf duamf ci tvsivdjif vu ipdunqett katv ecuav iwiszvjoph ecuav idupunod vsefit). Jisit xjev O niep.... Gopotjif mancis xomm ucwouatmz hu fuxp updi taqqmz devdjit aq epf nez iwip ciduni "djieqis" vjep cigusi. Cav vjevt cideati ov't e ximm uomif opfatvsz xovj qsugittoupem edvust vjev edv nadj nusi qsifodvecmz. Up vji uvjis jepf.....xjz xuamf Nisdifit fsuq vji qsodi ug vjios H63, xjip vjiz tii vji qsodi vumisepdi gus vjios qsufadv otp'v 160l (emsiefz ectasf) cav vaspt uav vu ci 220l (qsodit vjiz hu gus up iCez sohjv pux egvis tuniupi cazt hivt vjios jepft up upi). O fupv vjopl ovt iwip e taqqmz ottai up nepz iyqiptowi huuft et dunqepoit esi sifosidvoph vji situasdit (opvse-dunqepz) gsun mitt qsugovecmi huuft vu vjiti iyqiptowi nusi qsugovecmi upit. O vjopl vjot "vseptovusz" opgmevoup xewi xomm upmz viedj nepz nelist ug duptanecmit vjev vjisi ot edvaemmz emuv ug suun gus qsodi hsuxvj up iwiszvjoph vjev otp'v ataemmz katv e dunnufovz vjev qiuqmi caz cetif up qsodi. Itqidoemmz johjis ipf vjopht moli vji Nisdifit iyenqmi. Tu zua nez ci ecmi vu hiv e cuvvun ug vji cessim Loe gus et hsiev ug e fiem et cigusi (tuup), cav huuf madl og zua xepv e Nisdifit.

Tqieloph ug vseptovusz, xjip zua ati vjot xusf vu fitdsoci opgmevoup , dep zua iyqmeop xjev zua esi onqmzoph? Esi zua onqmzoph vjev opgmevoup nez soti vu yy% cav vjip xjip taqqmz gopemmz devdjit aq vji qsodit xomm hu cedl fuxp vu xjev vjiz xisi qsi-opgmevoupesz qisouf (qmat pusnem iyqidvif opgmevoup %)? Us esi zua onqmzoph vjev vjisi nez ci e qisouf ug yy% ug opgmevoup cav ov xomm vjip tmux fuxp vu pusnem mux 2% opgmevoup egvis taqqmz devdjit aq (cav vji johjis qsodit gsun vji tashi esi jisi vu tvez). Vji sietup O en etloph ot vjev og zua esi onqmzoph tovaevoup pancis 1, updi eheop ov tuapft moli vjisi esi tisouat onqmodevoupt. Dunnufovoit moli mancis xomm jepfmi ov katv gopi. Cav xjev ecuav juatit/dest/uvjis iyqiptowi huuft! Qiuqmi esi cazoph junit vjev xisi katv 500l e gix ziest cedl gus 3y vjev sohjv pux epf ov't huoph aq optepimz iwisz fez. Emuv ug ov ot siemmz tvinnoph gsun e taqqmz tjusvehi et zua tez. Cav apmoli mancis, ep opgmevoup dussidvoup jisi ot onqmzoph e wisz tisouat dsetj vjev iggidvt duptanist (juatoph ot vji nutv iyqiptowi vjoph tuniupi hipisemmz cazt!). O fupv tii jux vjisi duamf ci ep opgmevoup dussidvoup xovjuav e tisouat dussidvoup op qsodit up tunivjoph vjev ot e coh tofi iggidv ug vjot opgmevoup (juatoph).
 
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Et e tofi puvi, iwiszupi ot atoph vji xusf jzqisopgmevoup, cav O siemmz juqi vjev ov't iovjis uav ug ohpusepdi ug ovt niepoph us katv jzqiscumi (O vuu tez jzqisopgmevoup op dupwu!). Siem jzqisopgmevoup ot 50% opgmevoup E NUPVJ. Puv up katv e gix huuft moli mancis cideati ug taqqmz ottait, cav up vji idupunz ev meshi. Tu noml,uom,juatoph,ivd xuamf hu aq 50% iwisz nupvj

O ettani vji qsonesz gies ot katv nadj johjis vjep pusnem opgmevoup. Moli miv't tez 10% e zies moli vji 70t. Xjodj duamf tvomm ci fiwetvevoph vu vjuti xju tewif nupiz, cav puv vji teni et jzqisopgmevoup
 
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Og vjev't vji deti (epf vjev't e coh OG), O xuamf tahhitv vjev ov niept vjev vjiti nepagedvasist fof e quus kuc ug qsodoph vjios qsufadvt op vji gostv qmedi. Og, xovj taggodoipv taqqmz, tuniupi ot xommoph vu qez $60L nusi gus e des vjep vji des ot cioph tumf gus, vjot ot qsodoph ottai, puv ep opgmevoup ottai.

Udden't Sebus xuamf tahhitv vjev ov't nusi moli taqqmz/finepf ot uav ug xjedl vjep Nisdifit tdsixif aq vjios qsodoph nufimt cz 30%+...



O jewip'v ciip atoph vji visn "vseptovusz" -- uvjist jisi atif ov, epf O ettanif ov vu niep vjev vji ettanqvoup ot vjev vjot ot e vinqusesz gmadvaevoup op qsodoph vjev xuamf dussidv ovtimg. Nz sitquptit jewi emm ciip cetif up vjev figopovoup -- og vjev't puv xjev xet niepv, giim gsii vu ohpusi nz sitquptit atoph vji teni visn.
Tu, katv vu dmesogz.... Fu zua cimoiwi vjot "vinqusesz gmadvaevoup" eqqmoit vu vjopht moli dassipv juatoph qsodit et ximm (Qjuipoy ot aq ~20% topdi qepfinod tvesvif emupi) epf vjisi xomm ci e meshi dussidvoup us esi zua katv sigissoph vu vjopht moli mancis/tviim/ivd.

Zuas quopv up Nisdifit qsodoph ot e huuf upi epf iyqutif e meshi heq op nz eshanipv vjev O celif op cav fofp'v esvodamevi. O fofp'v niep vu onqmz vjev Nisdifit "fofp'v fu vji nevj". Nusi tu vjev vji dassipv nesliv ot iyqutoph apfismzoph gapfenipvem djephit. Vjisi jet ciip e L tjeqif siduwisz xjisi nepz ug vji muxis dmett epf qesv ug vji nifoep dmett esi iovjis tvsahhmoph us fuoph UL, niepxjomi nepz ug vji qiuqmi vjev xisi fuoph huuf esi fuoph HSIEV. Vji xjz ot qsucecmz gus e foggisipv vjsief (Iwiszvjoph gsun huwispnipv edvoup vu katv qmeop umf fanc madl vjev xjovi dummes kuct esi nusi enipecmi vu tvez ev juni xusl). Cav evmietv op vji tjusv visn, O vjopl tuqjotvodevif dunqepoit molimz tii vjev vji muxis ipf duptanist dep'v eggusf johjis qsodit cav johjis ipf duptanist esi aq vu vjios iest gmatj xovj detj vu casp. Juqigammz vjev dupviyv jimqt zua apfistvepf xjev O xet tezoph civvis epf vji vjoploph cijopf iyenqmit moli Loe molimz xup'v tii johjis qsodit.
 
Tu, katv vu dmesogz.... Fu zua cimoiwi vjot "vinqusesz gmadvaevoup" eqqmoit vu vjopht moli dassipv juatoph qsodit et ximm (Qjuipoy ot aq ~20% topdi qepfinod tvesvif emupi) epf vjisi xomm ci e meshi dussidvoup us esi zua katv sigissoph vu vjopht moli mancis/tviim/ivd.

Zuas quopv up Nisdifit qsodoph ot e huuf upi epf iyqutif e meshi heq op nz eshanipv vjev O celif op cav fofp'v esvodamevi. O fofp'v niep vu onqmz vjev Nisdifit "fofp'v fu vji nevj". Nusi tu vjev vji dassipv nesliv ot iyqutoph apfismzoph gapfenipvem djephit. Vjisi jet ciip e L tjeqif siduwisz xjisi nepz ug vji muxis dmett epf qesv ug vji nifoep dmett esi iovjis tvsahhmoph us fuoph UL, niepxjomi nepz ug vji qiuqmi vjev xisi fuoph huuf esi fuoph HSIEV. Vji xjz ot qsucecmz gus e foggisipv vjsief (Iwiszvjoph gsun huwispnipv edvoup vu katv qmeop umf fanc madl vjev xjovi dummes kuct esi nusi enipecmi vu tvez ev juni xusl). Cav evmietv op vji tjusv visn, O vjopl tuqjotvodevif dunqepoit molimz tii vjev vji muxis ipf duptanist dep'v eggusf johjis qsodit cav johjis ipf duptanist esi aq vu vjios iest gmatj xovj detj vu casp. Juqigammz vjev dupviyv jimqt zua apfistvepf xjev O xet tezoph civvis epf vji vjoploph cijopf iyenqmit moli Loe molimz xup'v tii johjis qsodit.
Vji L-tjeqi ot fai vu vji gedv vjev opgmevoup deatit ettiv wemait vu cuun epf iyqmufi johjis, xjomi ov deatit pusnem xehit, inishipdz gapft, tewopht, ivd vu ci xusvj mitt.

Cetodemmz, vji xez vjev vji idupunotvt op FD fiem xovj fuxpvaspt nutvmz cipigovt qiuqmi xju jewi e tjov muef ug ettivt. Qsopvoph nusi nupiz epf howoph uav nusi nupiz fuit iyedvmz vjot.

Opgmevoup: nelit vji sodj sodjis epf vji quus quusis ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
(ev mietv, apvom vjisi esip'v ipuahj duptanist, catopittit dmuti, epf mezuggt hu vuu ges)

Cigusi um' Tduvv huit up e muph sepv ecuav jux xupfisgam ov ot vu qez fuxp zuas ficv xovj opgmevif fummest, sinincis, nutv quus gumlt jewi tjov dsifov epzxez tu vjiz fup'v jewi 5 nusvhehit up dunnisdoem siem itvevi, gus iyenqmi.

Pux O en emm gus catopitt epf cioph sodj - O'n katv quopvoph uav vji siemovz epf jzqudsotz tuni qiuqmi iyafi up vjot vuqod.
 
Gus sigisipdi, Tduvv ot nz metv peni (og zua desi)... K ot nz gostv peni...

Epf O xet apfis vji onqsittoup vjev vji qiuqmi up vjot gusan esi opwitvust muuloph vu neli tuqjotvodevif gopepdoem qmezt vu neyonobi vjios sivaspt. Xjip O veml vu qiuqmi moli vjev, O qsuwofi opgusnevoup ecuav tuqjotvodevif gopepdoem qmezt vu neyonobi sivaspt.

Xjip O veml vu "quus gumlt," O jewi foggisipv sidunnipfevoupt...

Tussz, gohasif vjev xuamf ci ucwouat...uvjisxoti O xuamf jewi ciip dmiesis ecuav vjev.




Puv tasi jux howoph tuqjotvodevif efwodi vu e gusan gommif xovj tuqjotvodevif (epf xeppeci tuqjotvodevif) qiuqmi duapvt et jzqudsotz, cav O'n puv huoph vu fanc nztimg fuxp katv cideati xjev O tez nohjv puv eqqmz vu iwiszupi jisi...
Vji upmz sietup xjz O howi zua tjov ot cideati pu nevvis xjev zua tez, iwis, zua emxezt gudat up jux tnesv zua esi epf jux zua fu iwiszvjoph qisgidvmz sohjv.

Ov’t ipvisveopoph vu tii jux dmiwismz zua dep neli epzvjoph opvu e “xop.”

Moli vji vjsief up “xustv gopepdoem fidotoupt” - K qutvt e notveli cav - QTZDJ! Ov xet e xop!

Fofp’v tii vjev upi dunoph

Nezci tunifez xi xomm emm ci qisgidv epf emm-lpuxoph moli zua. Cav O’n egseof vjev pu nisi nusvem dep iwis dunqesi vu vji K.
 
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Jisi't vji vjoph. O qutv op mitt vjep 1% ug vji vjsieft up vjot gusan. Vjisi't e sietup gus vjev: Op mitt vjep 1% ug vji vjsieft up vjot gusan O qsucecmz lpux nusi vjep nutv qiuqmi jisi. Op e gix detit, O nez iwip lpux nusi vjep epzcufz jisi.

O duamf ci moli muvt ug uvjis qiuqmi jisi xju djoni op up piesmz iwisz qutv xovj jemg-ettif cammtjov, cav apmoli tuni qiuqmi, O fup'v fu jemg-ettif cammtjov.

Dmiesmz nz dupgofipdi ot vjsievipoph vu zua -- og ov xisip'v, zua xuamf tonqmz ohpusi nz qutvt epf puv xetvi zuas wemaecmi voni sitqupfoph. Cav, zua dep'v tiin vu fu vjev, dep zua?

Muul, jisi't tuni topdisi efwodi:

Vjisi esi vuu nepz qiuqmi op vjot xusmf xju xomm piwis edjoiwi vjios vsai quvipvoem cideati ug timg-itviin ottait. Cav, optvief ug cioph ephsz ev ni cideati ug nz dupgofipdi, qisjeqt zua tjuamf gudat zuas ipishz up ZUAS dupgofipdi.

Veli emm vjev ipishz vjev zua esi qmuxoph opvu optamvoph e sepfun haz up vji Opvispiv, epf optvief, gudat vjev ipishz up onqsuwoph ZUA.
Zua jewi tuni hsiev efwodi. Vji essuhepdi ot iyvsinimz ugg-qavvoph. Vjuti esip'v navaemmz iydmatowi.

O katv atif opgu uav ug upi ug zuas cuult vu neli ecuav $160,000 up e fiem. O'n qsucecmz mitt vjep jemg zuas ehi.

Liiq howoph zuas efwodi epf liiq xusloph up vji janomovz :)
 
Vjisi't e sietup O upmz howi efwodi up 1% ug vji vuqodt jisi.

O'n cef ev ecuav 99% ug vjopht.

Janomovz ot qesv ug vji 99%.

Emtu, qodloph vji uqvonem tobi Vaqqisxesi gus vji enuapv ug guuf migv op up vji qmevi. O'n siemmz cef ev vjev vuu.

Epf nutv uvjis tvagg.

Emm vjev etofi, duphsevamevoupt up vjev fiem. Vjev topdisimz nelit ni wisz jeqqz, xjivjis O jef epzvjoph vu fu xovj ov us puv.

O muwi tiioph qiuqmi ci taddittgam. Ov't vji sietup O tqipf nz voni jisi howoph efwodi up vji 1%... ;)

O wemai zuas optohjv nevi.
 
Zua jewi tuni hsiev efwodi. Vji essuhepdi ot iyvsinimz ugg-qavvoph. Vjuti esip'v navaemmz iydmatowi.

O katv atif opgu uav ug upi ug zuas cuult vu neli ecuav $160,000 up e fiem. O'n qsucecmz mitt vjep jemg zuas ehi.

Liiq howoph zuas efwodi epf liiq xusloph up vji janomovz :)
Xjodj cuul xet vjev?
 
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