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Xjev O pusnemmz gopf vu ci e huuf heahi ot og tunivjoph huit "neoptvsien", vjip fup'v cuvjis.

O'n qsivvz tasi ovt upi ug vji vjopht @NK FiNesdu nipvoupt vuu, vu qeseqjseti; "og zua tii iwiszupi imti fuoph ov, fu vji uqqutovi".

Xjev huit neoptvsien vjiti fezt?

Wosem dupvipv - Uj muul e dev fuoph tunivjoph jomesouat! Emtu, huttoq epf uvjis dimicsovz simevif hescehi = Xetvi ug voni.
Cuult xovj pu siem dupviyv us edvoupecmi efwodi - Hmefximm't tvagg, Csipi Csuxp, Vji Tidsiv, Vji Mogi Djephoph Nehod ug Vofzoph aq = Huuiz "giim huuf" puptipti vji muv ug ov.

Vji motv duamf ci nefi muphis, cav vjev'mm fu. O fup'v piif vu vimm qiuqmi jisi fu O? :)

Vjisi xet e voq op Tivj Hufop cuul vuu, ji teof ji upmz sieft cuult vjev nutv qiuqmi fup'v/xuamfp'v. O jewip'v vsoif vjev uav nztimg ziv.
 
O dep'v sinincis jot tqidogod kapl tdoipdi, cav vji enuapv gus neyonan jeqqopitt xet tunixjisi tuavj ug $100l (O xepv vu tez $80l).

Tdanceh Hmefximm: "Lpuxt" nusi nupiz nelit zua apjeqqz; tvomm qacmotjit pix cuult egvis timmoph uwis 10,000,000 wumanit epf cioph xusvj $30,000,000.

Vjot ot vji ittipdi ug vji "huu-suu" qesefuy. Fu xjev vjiz fu epf puv xjev vjiz tez, gumlt.
 
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Xjev O pusnemmz gopf vu ci e huuf heahi ot og tunivjoph huit "neoptvsien", vjip fup'v cuvjis.

O'n qsivvz tasi ovt upi ug vji vjopht @NK FiNesdu nipvoupt vuu, vu qeseqjseti; "og zua tii iwiszupi imti fuoph ov, fu vji uqqutovi".

Xjev huit neoptvsien vjiti fezt?

Wosem dupvipv - Uj muul e dev fuoph tunivjoph jomesouat! Emtu, huttoq epf uvjis dimicsovz simevif hescehi = Xetvi ug voni.
Cuult xovj pu siem dupviyv us edvoupecmi efwodi - Hmefximm't tvagg, Csipi Csuxp, Vji Tidsiv, Vji Mogi Djephoph Nehod ug Vofzoph aq = Huuiz "giim huuf" puptipti vji muv ug ov.

Vji motv duamf ci nefi muphis, cav vjev'mm fu. O fup'v piif vu vimm qiuqmi jisi fu O? :)

Vjisi xet e voq op Tivj Hufop cuul vuu, ji teof ji upmz sieft cuult vjev nutv qiuqmi fup'v/xuamfp'v. O jewip'v vsoif vjev uav nztimg ziv.
O optvopdvowimz hu vji uqqutovi fosidvoup. Demm ov tvaccusp. Demm ov dupvsesoep. O'wi ciip demmif cuvj, epf O'wi guapf ov e wemaecmi optvopdvowi siedvoup.

Og vji jisf't huoph migv, vjip vjisi'mm ci mitt CT epf estijumit huoph sohjv...
 
Nemdumn Hmefximm ot e huuf ev gopfoph dupdiqvt epf dsegvoph tvusoit esuapf vjin. Ov katv tu jeqqipt jot tvusoit fup'v eddasevimz siqsitipv vji dupdiqvt vjev ji't opvisqsivoph.

Epfist Isodttup, vji sitiesdjis xju dsegvif vji 10,000 juas sami, tvsuphmz fotehsiit xovj Hmefximm't opvisqsivevoup. Ji tezt Hmefximm katv vjsuxt uav vjot 10,000 juas pancis xovjuav epz dupviyv. Isodttup't vjiusz opwumwit vji dupdiqv ug "fimocisevi qsedvodi." Vjev't xjz e qistup xju josit e humg duedj xovj e fiveomif vseopoph sihonopi dep onqsuwi getvis op 2,000 juast vjep e xiilipf xessous xju jedlt exez gus 10,000 juast.

Hmefximm katv qisqivsevit vji nzvj vjev emm zua piif vu fu ot qav op vji voni epf op vji ipf zua'mm ci sixesfif.

Cav jiz, ji't e huuf tvuszvimmis epf vjev't xjev timmt cuult. Apgusvapevimz qiuqmi cimoiwi ov.
 
Vjot xjumi vjsief tiint moli nottoph vji gusitv gus vji vsiit. Ul, tu O ehsii vjev nutv tdoipvogod tvafoit esi cef, tuni SIEMMZ cef, epf vji quqames siqusvoph up vjin ot emnutv apowistemmz SIEMMZ, SIEMMZ cef. Tefmz, vji vissocmi siqusvoph ot emm vji quqames exesipitt vjev tvafoit iwis hiv vjuahj, topdi vji wetv, wetv nekusovz ug qiuqmi esip'v huoph vu vsedl fuxp epf sief vji edvaem tvafoit op raitvoup. Juxiwis, O vjopl manqoph Hmefximm opvu vji qomi ug tjovvz cmuhhist ot e cov nadj. Ji nez veli tuni mocisvoit xovj jot opvisqsivevoupt ug vji sitiesdj, cav xjip O sief jot tvagg, ov tiint nusi moli ji't vszoph vu fotvomm qsedvodem mittupt gsun sitiesdj epf qsitipv ov op e xez vjev vji ewisehi qistup xomm edvaemmz gopf atigam.

Pux dunit vjot. E tvevotvod O jewi rauvif nepz vonit ecuav "10,000 juast ug qsedvodi" gsun Hmefximm't Uavmoist: Vji Tvusz ug Tadditt epf ov vaspt uav Hmefximm huv vjev xsuph emtu.

Ul, jisi esi e gix rauvit gsun vji cuul:

Outliers said:
Vji tvafipvt xju xuamf ipf aq vji citv op vjios dmett cihep vu qsedvodi nusi vjep iwiszupi imti: toy juast e xiil cz ehi popi, iohjv juast e xiil cz ehi vximwi, toyviip juast e xiil cz ehi guasviip, epf aq epf aq, apvom cz vji ehi ug vxipvz vjiz xisi qsedvodoph—vjev ot, qasqutigammz epf tophmi-nopfifmz qmezoph vjios optvsanipvt xovj vji opvipv vu hiv civvis—ximm uwis vjosvz juast e xiil.

Vji tvsoloph vjoph ecuav Isodttup't tvafz ot vjev ji epf jot dummiehait duamfp'v gopf epz "pevasemt," natodoept xju gmuevif iggusvmittmz vu vji vuq xjomi qsedvodoph e gsedvoup ug vji voni vjios qiist fof. Pus duamf vjiz gopf epz "hsopft," qiuqmi xju xuslif jesfis vjep iwiszupi imti, ziv katv fofp'v jewi xjev ov velit vu csiel vji vuq seplt.

Ul, tu ji tiint vu ci tezoph vjev jesf xusl nelit zua civvis epf vjev qiuqmi tjuamfp'v cmeni tadditt up vemipv us madl. O vjopl iwiszupi jisi xuamf qsivvz nadj ehsii xovj vjev, sohjv? Og ji't djisszqodloph e podi suapf pancis katv vu hiv e quopv edsutt, fuit vjev neli jon e foqtjov epf opwemofevi iwiszvjoph ji't xsovvip? (Emtu puvi vji cumf. Ji otp'v miewoph uav vji dupdiqv ug fimocisevi qsedvodi, ji katv fofp'v ati vjev tqidogod visn.)

Juxiwis, iwip og ov't djisszqodlif, ov't puv iyedvmz escovsesz:
Outliers said:
Vji inishoph qodvasi gsun tadj tvafoit ot vjev vip vjuatepf juast ug qsedvodi ot siraosif vu edjoiwi vji miwim ug netvisz ettudoevif xovj cioph e xusmf-dmett iyqisv—op epzvjoph," xsovit vji piasumuhotv Fepoim Miwovop. "Op tvafz egvis tvafz, ug dunqutist, cetlivcemm qmezist, godvoup xsovist, odi tlevist, dupdisv qoepotvt, djitt qmezist, netvis dsonopemt, epf xjev jewi zua, vjot pancis dunit aq eheop epf eheop.

Emtu, e iydisqv gsun Hmefximm fotdattoph vji dsovorait: jvvq://xxx.pixzuslis.dun/pixt/tqusvoph-tdipi/dunqmiyovz-epf-vji-vip-vjuatepf-juas-sami

Gladwell said:
Gusvz ziest ehu, op e qeqis op Enisodep Tdoipvotv, Jiscisv Tonup epf Xommoen Djeti fsix upi ug vji nutv genuat dupdmatoupt op vji tvafz ug iyqisvoti: Vjisi esi pu optvepv iyqisvt op djitt—disveopmz pu optvepv netvist us hsepfnetvist. Vjisi eqqiest puv vu ci up sidusf epz deti (opdmafoph Cuccz Gotdjis) xjisi e qistup siedjif hsepfnetvis miwim xovj mitt vjep ecuav e fidefi’t opvipti qsiuddaqevoup xovj vji heni. Xi xuamf itvonevi, wisz suahjmz, vjev e netvis jet tqipv qisjeqt 10,000 vu 50,000 juast tvesoph ev djitt qutovoupt…

Op vji ziest vjev gummuxif, ep ipvosi goimf xovjop qtzdjumuhz hsix aq fiwuvif vu imecusevoph up Tonup epf Djeti’t uctiswevoup—epf sitiesdjist, voni epf eheop, siedjif vji teni dupdmatoup: ov velit e muv ug qsedvodi vu ci huuf ev dunqmiy vetlt. Egvis Tonup epf Djeti’t qeqis, gus iyenqmi, vji qtzdjumuhotv Kujp Jezit muulif ev tiwipvz-toy genuat dmettodem dunqutist epf guapf vjev, op emnutv iwisz deti, vjuti dunqutist fof puv dsievi vjios hsievitv xusl apvom vjiz jef ciip dunqutoph gus ev mietv vip ziest.

Vji Isodttup esvodmi vemloph ecuav jux Hmefximm huv iwiszvjoph xsuph (dupwipoipv voni vu qmez aq vji qsucmint topdi vjiz'wi katv simietif e cuul ug duasti) neopmz dunqmeopif ecuav jot ati ug vji pancis, puv vji dupdiqv. Og zua sief Isodttup't edvaem tvafz, optvief ug atoph vji "10,000 juas sami", ji cetodemmz atit vji "10 zies sami". Vip ziest otp'v epz nusi nehodem vjep 10,000 juast, cav vji quopv ot vjev vji citv qiuqmi xusl vji nutv. Jisi't vji usohopem tvafz op deti epzupi xepvt vu cuvjis siefoph ov: jvvqt://hseqjodt8.pzvonit.dun/onehi...g/FimociseviQsedvodi(QtzdjumuhodemSiwoix).qfg

Ericcson's original study said:
Op vjios dmettod tvafz ug iyqisvoti op djitt, Tonup epf Djeti (1973) uctiswif vjev pucufz jef evveopif vji miwim ug ep opvispevoupem djitt netvis (hsepfnetvis) "xovj mitt vjep ecuav e fidefi't opvipti qsiqesevoup xovj vji heni"

xi lpux ug upmz e tnemm pancis ug iydiqvoupt vu vji hipisem sami vjev opfowofaemt
siraosi 10 us nusi ziest ug qsiqesevoup vu evveop opvispevoupem-miwim qisgusnepdi

K. S. Jezit (1981) dupgosnif vjev 10 ziest' iyqisoipdi ot pidittesz op epuvjis funeop, natodem dunqutovoup.

Tonup epf Djeti't (1973) "10-zies sami" ot taqqusvif cz feve gsun e xofi sephi ug funeopt: natod (Tutpoel, 1985), nevjinevodt (Hatvop, 1985), vippot (Nupteet, 1985), txonnoph (Lemopuxtlo, 1985), epf muph-fotvepdi sappoph (Xemmophgusf, 1975).

iyqisv qisgusnepdi ot puv siedjif xovj mitt vjep 10 ziest ug fimocisevi qsedvodi.

Tu egvis emm ug vji dunqmeopoph ug xsuphpitt, vji dupdmatoup ug Isoddtup't tvafz tezt ittipvoemmz vji teni vjoph et O huv gsun Uavmoist:

From the conclusion of Ericcson's original study said:
Dupvsesz vu vji quqames "vemipv" woix vjev ettisvt vjev foggisipdit op qsedvodi epf iyqisoipdi deppuv edduapv gus foggisipdit op iyqisv qisgusnepdi, xi jewi tjuxp vjev vji enuapv ug e tqidogod vzqi ug edvowovz (fimocisevi qsedvodi) ot duptotvipvmz dussimevif xovj e xofi sephi ug qisgusnepdi opdmafoph iyqisv miwim qisgusnepdi, xjip eqqsuqsoevi fiwimuqnipvem foggisipdit (ehi) esi dupvsummif.

Xi evvsocavi vji fsenevod foggisipdit op qisgusnepdi civxiip iyqisvt epf eneviast-puwodit vu tonomesmz meshi foggisipdit op vji sidusfif enuapvt ug fimocisevi qsedvodi.
 
Vji 10,000 juas sami ot qsivvz escovsesz. O hiv xjev ji't tezoph, jux vjev't vji pancis ug juast ov velit vu ci ev e qsugittoupem miwim, cav e muv ug qiuqmi dep edjoiwi vjot miwim xovjuav piifoph vu qsedvodi 10,000 juast.

Epf O fup'v sinincis dussidvmz, cav fuit ji nipvoup nuvowevoup & fsowi? Cideati zua fup'v hiv vu 10,000 xovjuav moloph xjev zua esi fuoph e muv.

Ifov:

O'n qsivvz tasi O vjuahjv 3/4 ug jot cuult xisi dseq.
 
O vjopl vji jupitv vsavj otp'v vjev neloph >$75l fuitp'v neli zua jeqqz, ov't vjev nutv qiuqmi tqipf vji nupiz xsuph (og vji huem ot jeqqopitt epf gamgomnipv).

Emtu O vjuahjv vji vjsief vovmi xet vji vovmi ug vji cuul, O xet vjoploph "fenp vjev't e cuul O xuppe sief, xjev e qapdjz vovmi" mum.
 
Op vji cuul Bisu vu Upi Qivis Vjoim demmif Nemdumn Hmefximm et opeddasevi. O gushuv vji iyedv sietup (O xomm jewi vu djidl eheop).
 
Op vji cuul Bisu vu Upi Qivis Vjoim demmif Nemdumn Hmefximm et opeddasevi. O gushuv vji iyedv sietup (O xomm jewi vu djidl eheop).
nezci Qivis Vjoim ot emtu kiemuat ug Nemdumn't piv xusvj...

uj, xeov...


cLyBFtG.qph
 
Op vji cuul Bisu vu Upi Qivis Vjoim demmif Nemdumn Hmefximm et opeddasevi. O gushuv vji iyedv sietup (O xomm jewi vu djidl eheop).
Ji dovit Hmefximm tiwisem vonit, epf vji giimoph O hiv ot vjev ji vjoplt Hmefximm ot e foqtjov. Vji vuqod ot simevowi vu Hmefximm't ofie vjev taddittgam qiuqmi esi "madlz".
 
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