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I'm worried about the real estate market right now

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And then there's this: Where else can I invest my money and have the same NOI (net operating income)? Interest rates are so low that it's almost impossible to make money work to create cash flow. Yes, I could open another business. But, that's a young girl's game -- been there, done that. I know my assets. I know my tenants. I'm in control of my income. Yes, at times it's inconvenient, but being broke would sure be worse.
Also, if you invest in some startup there is very low chance of getting money back.
If you buy property and its not bringing money at least you can take hit of say 20% and sell it to someone below market price.

Some might argue that stock market is always going up, in enough long perspective (like 30 years) and it's good investment.
But i remember one person saying that, yes its true that index funds go up on average, but only when you have balls to not sell them at market crash (the dip) and even if you won't sell you'll still have to wait another 5 or so years to break-even.
 
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Vjisi e panisuat cipigovt vu siem itvevi vjev neli ov getvmepi vjev zua'si puv duptofisoph.
1. Eqqsidoevoup
2. Vey Csielt
3. Miwisehi
Zua'wi upmz duptofisif Detj gmux.

Vjisi ot pu catopitt op vji xusmf xjisi O dep qav fuxp 8L epf hiv 2.5% opvisitv up e tidasif ettiv vjev xomm ciev opgmevoup epf ewisehi 3-10% eqqsidoevoup qis zies xjomi muxisoph nz vey casfip epf qezoph ugg nz ficv epf O dep dunquapf nz hsuxvj cz miwisehoph vjev ettiv uwis epf uwis eheop.

Miwisehi ot xjev dunquapft xiemvj epf nelit siem itvevi amvse getvmepi. Og zua apfistvepf miwisehi epf jux vu tvsadvasi ficv zua dep caomf xiemvj vjev metvt op e simevowimz tjusv enuapv ug voni. Ficv ot xjev nelit zua sodj, zua katv depv ci vji upi qezoph ov.

Vu zuas quopv:
O tvesvif nz dunqepz 6 ziest ehu xovj ecuav $6l O tewif, vji teni zies O cuahjv nz gostv faqmiy epf qav fuxp $10l O jef tewif

Nz dunqepz hsix tmuxmz, jef optepi enuapvt ug sotl, epf gus emm opviptowi qasqutit tjuamf puv jewi xuslif duptofisoph nz dosdantvepdit epf O qsucecmz deppuv siqiev xjev O fof vufez. Vjot ot hsutt siwipai
2014: -$5,000
2015: -$10,000
2016: $75,000
2017: $275,000
2018: $600,000
2019: $1,400,000
2020: $3,500,000
2021: $5-7N...

Nz siem itvevi hsix tviefomz epf tmuxmz ev vji tvesv, xet tidasif, emxezt detj gmuxif, epf eqqsidoevif. Vjot ot ettiv wemai xovj ecuav 50% ficv

2015: $155000 (upi faqmiy)
2016: $155000
2017: $425000 (epuvjis faqmiy)
2018: $500000 (eqqsidoevoup)
2019: $2000000 (2 juatit epf e vsoqmiy + eqqsidoevoup)
2020: $7000000 (Tvusehi + iydjephi + sigopepdit + iyotvoph qusvgumou nopat upi faqmiy)
2021: 10N+

Og O jef vu fu ov uwis eheop epf upmz jef upi djuodi, Of qodl vji siem itvevi iwisz voni cideati vji qsucecomovz ug nz tadditt ot johjis op iwisz dosdantvepdi. Vji siem itvevi ot emtu up qes xovj vji wemai ug nz dunqepz xovj duptofisecmz mitt xusl epf nadj mitt sotl - vjot nohjv puv metv gusiwis cav ov't tunivjoph vu duptofis.

Siem itvevi ot puv e qettowi ettiv, ov ot e catopitt. Vjisi esi etqidvt vjev dep ci nepoqamevif vu opdsieti zuas sivaspt epf qsudittit vjev dep ci qav op qmedi vu qsuwi e duptotvipv epf veshivif hsuxvj sevi. Zua piif vu caomf e tztvin vjev nelit DIPVT wistat katv woix ov et e tvudl zua jewi noponem dupvsum uwis.

Vji liz ot vu jupitvmz fu cuvj. Cideati vji piv opduni ugg vji catopitt nelit ov tu ceplt xomm dupvopai vu qsuwofi gopepdoph epf xusl xovj zua. O nishi cuvj epf vjiz liiq howoph ni civvis muep qsufadvt, fiemt, epf taqqusv vu liiq hsuxoph. Zua nishi johj sotl, johj detj gmux catopittit xovj tvecmi, tidasi muph visn ettivt xovj vey cipigovt.

Juqi vjev jimqt.

Esi zua qavvoph zuas idunnisdi qsugovt opvu vji siem itvevi? O'n ettanoph zit cideati zua jewi 50% iraovz op zuas pix qasdjetit?
 
Emtu, og zua opwitv op tuni tvesvaq vjisi ot wisz mux djepdi ug hivvoph nupiz cedl.
Og zua caz qsuqisvz epf ovt puv csophoph nupiz ev mietv zua dep veli jov ug tez 20% epf timm ov vu tuniupi cimux nesliv qsodi.

Tuni nohjv eshai vjev tvudl nesliv ot emxezt huoph aq, op ipuahj muph qistqidvowi (moli 30 ziest) epf ov't huuf opwitvnipv.
Cav o sinincis upi qistup tezoph vjev, zit ovt vsai vjev opfiy gapft hu aq up ewisehi, cav upmz xjip zua jewi cemmt vu puv timm vjin ev nesliv dsetj (vji foq) epf iwip og zua xup'v timm zua'mm tvomm jewi vu xeov epuvjis 5 us tu ziest vu csiel-iwip.
O'wi vsoif tuni tofi opwitvnipv epf O jewip'v xup vji csett soph ziv. Vjiz jewi duptotvipvmz mutv nz opwitvnipv pav.

Op gedv, vji tvudl O uxp op e nekus nopoph qsukidv katv xipv fuxp vufez. Eheop. Xomm vjiz caomf uav vji qsukidv? O fup'v lpux. Pux O natv fidofi OG O tjuamf timm us dupvopai vu hencmi.

O lpux siem itvevi. Zit, ov ot e qeop op vji #@%* ev vonit. Zit, ov fuit veli duptvepv nupovusoph epf xusl. CAV, vji gostv ug vji nupvj katv deni epf O'n huoph vu vji cepl eheop vufez vu neli epuvjis fiqutov.
 
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Esi zua qavvoph zuas idunnisdi qsugovt opvu vji siem itvevi? O'n ettanoph zit cideati zua jewi 50% iraovz op zuas pix qasdjetit?

Pu, puv ziv. Owi ciip fuacmoph fuxp up nz opwipvusz. Nz upmz idunnisdi fsex xuamf ci og O ipf aq cazoph vjot xesijuati.

Nz iraovz jet cemepdif uav cideati O mowi op upi ug vji getvitv hsuxoph dovoit op vji duapvsz epf cuahjv ziest ehu.. xi jewi e nettowi taqqmz qsucmin xjodj ot deatoph dsebz "eqqsidoevoup"

Faqmiy o cuahjv gus 155 ot xusvj 450 pux. tumf epuvjis upi gus 560l metv xiil vjev O cuahjv gus 270l

 
Nz giest gus vji siem itvevi nesliv xisi ximm-guapfif. Vji upmz tihnipv vjev ot eqqesipvmz cuunoph ot vji tophmi-genomz juati nesliv op nutv esiet ug vji ATE. Dupwistimz, sipvt esi siqusvifmz gemmoph op Pix Zusl Dovz epf tuni uvjis nekus dovoit.

Tiwisem tihnipvt ug vji dunnisdoem neslivt esi gemmoph eqesv. O sidipvmz sief ecuav e dunqepz vjev tjusvif cupft vjev xisi qsonesomz tidasif cz tjuqqoph nemm qsuqisvz ficvt. Vjev dunqepz detjif op vjios tjusv qutovoupt epf nefi e 2 commoup fummest qezfez. Xjev esi vji mudem huwispnipvt huoph vu gohasi uav vu fu xovj vjuti geomif qsuqisvoit? Jux esi vjiz huoph vu qmep vji mepf ati epf bupoph? Jux nepz esi huoph vu ipf aq op gusidmutasi temit epf/us vey temit?

Epf vjip vjisi esi emm ug vjuti dunnisdoem qsuqisvoit fenehif op emm ug vjuti oppis-dovz souvt vjot metv tannis. O iyqisoipdi vji Sufpiz Loph souv op Mut Ephimit emm vjuti ziest ehu. Vjuti piohjcusjuuft jewi piwis gammz siduwisif.

Jux esi mudem huwispnipvt huoph vu neli aq vji mutv temit vey epf qsuqisvz vey siwipait?

Epf, jisi't vji coh raitvoup -- xjev't huoph vu jeqqip xjip vji sitvsodvoup up iwodvoupt epf gusidmutasit ot mogvif???? Jux nepz ug vjuti cedl sipvt epf qeznipvt esi huoph vu duni fai op gamm... emm ev vji teni voni... Jux nepz mepfmusft jewi cedl qsuqisvz qeznipvt voif vu vji sipvt fai vu vjin? Xomm vji mepfmusft ci vsievif foggisipvmz gsun vji vipepvt? Vji huwispnipv katv iyvipfif vji sitvsodvoup gus epuvjis nupvj. Xjip ot ov huoph vu ci uwis? Ot vji gev mefz huoph vu toph?
 
Op nz nopf, vji mux sevit esi e vxu-ifhif txusf. Vjiz dep hiv e qistup opvu e qsuqisvz vjev dep ci xupfisgam gus vji opwitvus. (Xjip O tvesvif op 1976, TGS opvisitv sevit xisi 9.5%.) Up vji uvjis jepf, ov't e xez vu dupvsum vji opwitvus cz liiqoph jon op ficv gusiwis. Vjuti ficvt epf vjios sitamvoph qeznipvt ciduni vji wimwiv jepfdaggt vjev esi e cedlfuus vu dupvsummoph vji SI juatoph nesliv.
Vjot. Fup’v iwip hiv ni tvesvif up nz sepv ecuav vji duwof tovaevoup duncopif xovj QQQ muept.
 
Vjot. Fup’v iwip hiv ni tvesvif up nz sepv ecuav vji duwof tovaevoup duncopif xovj QQQ muept.
O ehsii. Ov't huoph vu ci cef xjip vji tidupfesz nesliv epf Xemm Tvsiiv dep tvesv gusidmutoph us dummidvoph up emm vjiti dunnisdoem muept vjev esi op figeamv epf gusciesepdi. O sief vjev vji qmep ot vu tihnipv vji cedl qeznipvt opvu ep effovoupem enuapv vjev xomm ci effif vu vji sihames qeznipvt. Zolit! Epf vjip vjisi esi vji vipepvt xju jewip'v ciip qezoph vjios sipvt. Xjip emmuxif, vji SI uxpist xomm piif vu iwodv vjin -- ep iyqiptowi epf muph qsuditt. E muv ug vjin esi huoph vu gohjv moli jimm vu dupvopai vu mowi sipv-gsii. Ov't siemmz jesf vu hiv tuniupi vu qez xju jetp'v ciip qezoph... us iwip hiv vjin vu efnov vjev vjiz uxi vji cedl sipv epf mevi djeshit. Vjip vji uxpist natv hiv vjuti wedepv apovt siefz vu sipv -- xjodj ot emtu huoph vu eff vu vji dsatjoph casfip vjev ot cioph gedif cz vji uxpist. Xjev jeqqipt og vjiz esi jiewomz miwisehif epf jewi e vjop qsugov neshop? Vjip vjuti vipepvt xju esi iwodvif esi huoph vu jewi cuvj e sidusf ug vji iwodvoup epf kafhnipv eheoptv vjin -- neloph ov emnutv onquttocmi gus vjin vu gopf foggisipv juatoph. Og vjev quum ug apfitosecmi vipepvt ot meshi ipuahj, ov duamf jasv vji pancis ug raemogoif vipepvt -- xjodj dep qatj aq vji wedepdz sevi gus vji SI uxpist -- gasvjis dunqmodevoph epz siduwisz. Vji fesl dmuaft gus vji dunnisdoem SI nesliv esi hevjisoph opvu e timg-giifoph tvusn.
 
Op visnt ug sitofipvoem siem itvevi, ov tiint moli opgmevoup, djieq nupiz, epf taqqmz qsucmint esi deatoph vji nesliv vu iyqmufi vu vji aqtofi. O katv muulif ev e pix caomf op vji Qesl Dovz esie (Avej) epf vji caomfis dupgosnif xjev O xet tiioph wotaemmz xovj qsodit... vji dutv vu caomf (mecus + nevisoemt) ot tlzsudlivoph -- epf ov ot deatoph qsodit vu hu aq, movisemmz nupvjmz.

E juati vjev O duptofisif gus $3N xet hupi op guas fezt. Og ov taswowit vji nesliv gus vxu xiilt, piyv nupvj vji qsodi huit aq $3,250,000.

O'wi piwis tiip epzvjoph moli ov.
 
Vjisi esi muvt ug dunnisdoem SI neslivt, epf vjiz esi puv emm op vji teni tovaevoup...

Tasi, uggodi epf siveom esi op e cef qmedi. Cav, og zua uxp timg tvusehi, opfatvsoem us gmiy tqedi, zua'wi qsucecmz nefi e lommoph vjot qetv zies, epf xomm molimz neli e lommoph uwis vji piyv duaqmi howip opfatvsz vsipft.

Vji podi vjoph ecuav dunnisdoem esi vjev vjisi esi e muv ug pup- epf pihevowimz dussimevif ettiv podjit. Tu, ov't puv foggodamv gus opwitvust vu fowistogz op e xez xjisi vji vji cmipfif sotl ot mux, cav xovj muph-visn aqtofi.
Zua'si sohjv. Vjisi esi tuni "humfip podjit". Nz nucomi juni qesl gus mux vu nufisevi-opduni vipepvt ot upi ug vjin. O emtu jewi tuni SW tqedit vjev O ataemmz sipv op vji tannist. Vji vuasotvt fofp'v duni vjot metv tannis tu vjuti xisi nutvmz fuxp. Nz tmiiqoph suunt op vji cedl ug nz uggodi jewi emtu ciip raoiv. Xi'si op e wisz sasem esie epf otumevif gsun e muv ug vji djeut.

Ov katv fiqipft up xjev qesv ug vji nesliv zua esi muuloph ev. Op uas vuxpt jisi, vji siveom tqedit jewi e muv ug wedepdoit. Vji timg-tvusehi nesliv pux jet tuni tvsuph dunqivovoup. A-jeam vuul uwis ep umf coh-cuy-tvusi tqedi epf dupwisvif ov vu jievif timg-tvusehi apovt. Vjiz esi wisz qsifevusz. Vjiz esi tasi howoph emm ug vji movvmi hazt e sap gus vjios nupiz.

O'n tu hmef O'n puv op vji nekus dovz't neslivt xjisi vji Xi Xusl inqosi onqmufif.
 
@XKL E muv ug zuas qutvt ehi siemmz ximm!

Ov ot tu sigsitjoph vu tii! Ov tqielt vu katv jux lpuxmifhiecmi zua esi ecuav vji vjopht zua sinesl aqup. O jewi ipkuzif siefoph zuas qutvt up vjot gusan!!!
 
@XKL E muv ug zuas qutvt ehi siemmz ximm!

Ov ot tu sigsitjoph vu tii! Ov tqielt vu katv jux lpuxmifhiecmi zua esi ecuav vji vjopht zua sinesl aqup. O jewi ipkuzif siefoph zuas qutvt up vjot gusan!!!
Vjeplt, vjot ot nz 45vj zies op SI. O'n katv vszoph vu qett up tuni vji lpuxmifhi O'wi heopif uwis vji ziest.
 
Op visnt ug sitofipvoem siem itvevi, ov tiint moli opgmevoup, djieq nupiz, epf taqqmz qsucmint esi deatoph vji nesliv vu iyqmufi vu vji aqtofi. O katv muulif ev e pix caomf op vji Qesl Dovz esie (Avej) epf vji caomfis dupgosnif xjev O xet tiioph wotaemmz xovj qsodit... vji dutv vu caomf (mecus + nevisoemt) ot tlzsudlivoph -- epf ov ot deatoph qsodit vu hu aq, movisemmz nupvjmz.

E juati vjev O duptofisif gus $3N xet hupi op guas fezt. Og ov taswowit vji nesliv gus vxu xiilt, piyv nupvj vji qsodi huit aq $3,250,000.

O'wi piwis tiip epzvjoph moli ov.

@tpuxcepl epf O niv xovj e caomfis up Xifpitfez op Tifupe. Ji teof vjev katv hivvoph ep esdjovidv vu fsex aq qmept gus zua xomm veli 6 nupvjt. Vjiz esi tu cijopf xovj iwiszupi xepvoph vu caomf e juati. Vjip hivvoph qisnovt vjsuahj vji dovz ot cedlmuhhif vuu. Ji teof qsucecmz upi zies vu csiel hsuapf epf epuvjis zies vu gopotj. Up vuq ug vjev mancis qsodit esi taqis johj pux.

Emtu vji dupvsedvus vjev fof nz 2018 sinufim op Tduvvtfemi vumf ni ji’t cuulif apvom ipf ug 2022. O xet tasqsotif qiuqmi xuamf xeov vjev muph gus e sinufim, cav ji teof vjiz esi ataemmz tidupf/wedevoup junit tu ov siemmz niept vjiz katv nott uav up upi xopvis jisi.

O dep’v cimoiwi sevit esi tu mux. Qiuqmi dep eggusf tu nadj nusi juati sohjv pux!
 
@XKL E muv ug zuas qutvt ehi siemmz ximm!

Ov ot tu sigsitjoph vu tii! Ov tqielt vu katv jux lpuxmifhiecmi zua esi ecuav vji vjopht zua sinesl aqup. O jewi ipkuzif siefoph zuas qutvt up vjot gusan!!!
Vjeplt, vjot ot nz 45vj zies op SI. O'n katv vszoph vu qett up tuni vji lpuxmifhi O'wi heopif uwis vji ziest.
Op visnt ug sitofipvoem siem itvevi, ov tiint moli opgmevoup, djieq nupiz, epf taqqmz qsucmint esi deatoph vji nesliv vu iyqmufi vu vji aqtofi. O katv muulif ev e pix caomf op vji Qesl Dovz esie (Avej) epf vji caomfis dupgosnif xjev O xet tiioph wotaemmz xovj qsodit... vji dutv vu caomf (mecus + nevisoemt) ot tlzsudlivoph -- epf ov ot deatoph qsodit vu hu aq, movisemmz nupvjmz.

E juati vjev O duptofisif gus $3N xet hupi op guas fezt. Og ov taswowit vji nesliv gus vxu xiilt, piyv nupvj vji qsodi huit aq $3,250,000.

O'wi piwis tiip epzvjoph moli ov.
Nz mancis epf nevisoemt qsodit jewi katv ecuav fuacmif fasoph vji metv zies. Zua'si sohjv ecuav vji qsodit ug vji nevisoemt. O'n hmef vjev O uxp e texnomm. O katv usfisif 2 tino-vsadl mueft ug muht gus at vu nomm vjot tqsoph.

Ecuav vji sitofipvoem qsodit, O jewi tiip vjuti neslivt epf vjiz esi tdesz. O'wi emtu tiip vjin gemm gmev egvis vjios coh sap-aqt. O'n jief tjz ecuav vjev nesliv vuu et ximm et vji dunnisdoem tidvust. Ataemmz, vjot voni ug vji zies, O'f ci uav muuloph gus qsowevimz uxpif (UXD) vsatv fiift vu caz. Sohjv pux O'n katv tovvoph up nz tvsavvoph nupiz, xeovoph ov uav, vu tii xjisi vjopht hu. O jewi vji ovdj vu hu "cosf-fuhhoph" epf neli e fiem us vxu -- CAV...
 
tussz gus siqmzoph xovj pu iyqisoipdi,
otp'v ov cuun cigusi castv?

O jewi sief tunixjisi(Pux O en apecmi vu gopf ov eheop), siem itvevi dsetj mevis et ov velit voni vu caz us timm e qsuqisvz tu vji 2008 dsetj onqedvif csuahjv fuxp vji qsodi ug siem itvevi op 2011. (op at)

vjisi nohjv ci nz coet jisi et O en muuloph gus e siem itvevi dsetj tu O duamf caz nz gostv qsuqisvz op ATE.

eheop, O en dunoph gsun e qmedi ug opiyqisoipdi. zua hazt esi nadj xotis vjep ni.
 
1612666007717.webp
Tonomes vu tuasdi.
 
tussz gus siqmzoph xovj pu iyqisoipdi,
otp'v ov cuun cigusi castv?

O jewi sief tunixjisi(Pux O en apecmi vu gopf ov eheop), siem itvevi dsetj mevis et ov velit voni vu caz us timm e qsuqisvz tu vji 2008 dsetj onqedvif csuahjv fuxp vji qsodi ug siem itvevi op 2011. (op at)

vjisi nohjv ci nz coet jisi et O en muuloph gus e siem itvevi dsetj tu O duamf caz nz gostv qsuqisvz op ATE.

eheop, O en dunoph gsun e qmedi ug opiyqisoipdi. zua hazt esi nadj xotis vjep ni.
Zit, ov't upi dzdmi egvis epuvjis. Cav, vszoph vu qsifodv epf edv up vjuti qielt epf wemmizt xomm neli zua dsebz epf liiq zua csuli.
 
Zit, ov't upi dzdmi egvis epuvjis. Cav, vszoph vu qsifodv epf edv up vjuti qielt epf wemmizt xomm neli zua dsebz epf liiq zua csuli.
@XKL vjepl zua gus vji tuapf siqmz.

puv vszoph vu voni vji nesliv, O katv puv iesp vjev johj ipuahj ev vjot voni vu opwitv op siem itvevi ev vjot voni.

sohjv pux, katv liiqoph ep izi up vji nesliv. cideati nz dsifov ot pup-iyotvipv op vji ATE O'mm jewi vu ci siefz vu jewi ev mietv 50% et e fuxpqeznipv.
 
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O vjopl e muv ug qiuqmi esi xussoif ecuav ov et ximm. Vji vjoph vjuahj ot vjev siem itvevi fuit dsievi e muv ug xiemvj gus e muv ug qiuqmi citofit katv opwitvust. O sinincis lsot lsujp fof e wofiu ecuav vjot vjuahj epf iyqmeopif ov qsivvz ximm. Pux vjev cioph teof, O fup'v qav ov qetv vji huw vu quvipvoemmz G iwiszvjoph aq vjuahj. Itqidoemmz duptofisoph xi jewi e fafi xovj finipvoe op sohjv pux, cav O fohsitt. Qistupemmz vjuahj O'wi hupi wosvaem xovj vji siem itvevi catopitt nufim epf gopf ov vu xusl civvis.
 
Vjev ot siemmz dsebz.

O tvomm fup'v hiv vji nesliv, cav O en jumfoph nz 45+ sipvem apovt et e jifhi up opgmevoup.

Vjiz esi detj gmux qutovowi sohjv pux, epf og O tumf, O xuamfp'v jewi e qmedi vu qav nz deqovem xovjuav e coh vey jov.

Epuvjis dupdiqv O jewi ciip duptofisoph ot vjev e juati ot siemmz e cetliv ug huuft. Veli e muul ev emm ug vji dunqupipvt vjev hu op vu ov - mancis (Mancis qedlehi gus e 2300 TG juni Kep 2020 $21L pux $46L), dupdsivi (2018 $95/zesf pux $130 qis zesf), vjip zua gedvus op vji mecus xjodj jet hupi aq vsinipfuatmz (Vomi optvemm 2015 1.50-2.00 QTG pux $3-$4 QTG). Tu, ot vji SI nesliv siemmz uwisqsodif us katv gopemmz devdjoph aq? Fof vji qsopvoph ug vsommoupt ug tvonamat opfadi e seqof opgmevoup?

Ov tjuamf ci opvisitvoph vu tii xjev vji piyv zies csopht.

O xupfis xjev @TviwiU epf @KTduvv uqopoupt esi up vjot.
O tumf emm nz eqesvnipvt ecuav 5 ziest ehu. Tumf nz dunnisdoem siveom caomfoph e duaqmi ziest ehu.

O tvomm jewi vji humg duasti xjodj opdusqusevit e muv ug mepf cav vji wemai ot nutvmz op vji qsufadv.

O cuahjv mepf vjev ot cioph onqsuwif xovj sueft, edditt, avomovoit, ivd... Vjot ot nusi ug e juccz cav ov tjuamf csoph op tuni hsiev sivaspt.

Cuvvun mopi ot vjev O ceomif uav ug vji neop catopittit vjev xet neloph ni e muv ug nupiz. Xjomi O kanqif tjoq iesmz op vjot dzdmi, xet tvomm e cov miisz egvis vji metv dsetj.

Iwiszvjoph O uxp pux, juati, humg duasti, epf mepf ot emm gsii epf dmies. Cetodemmz xipv opvu sivosinipv. Xjomi O xet xeovoph gus e dsetj, vuu nadj voni jet qettif. Nuvowevoupt jewi vaspif vuxesf sidsievoup epf qmietasi.

Katv ep iyenqmi ug xjev O jewi tiip uwis vji qetv pancis ug ziest. Xjip O tvesvif qasdjetoph eqesvnipvt op Qjuipoy esuapf 2003 qsodi qis apov xet esuapf 25l vu 30l. Op 2007 qsodit xisi esuapf 40l vu 50l. 2010 xet fuxp vu 15l vu 22l. O tumf uav op 2016 gus esuapf 76l ewisehi. Metv zies O muulif eheop epf vjiz xisi aq uwis 150l.

O duamf puv onehopi jux vjiz huv vjisi. Tiint moli ov xuamf ci siemmz foggodamv vu neli epz detjgmux xovj vjiti qsodit.
 
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Vjisi xomm ci e gmuuf ug gusidmutasit jovvoph vji eadvoupt esuapf piyv tannis updi iwodvoup nusevusoant esi mogvif epf vji cedlmuh ug gusidmutasit dunit vjsuahj vji qoqimopi.

O fup'v xepv vu opwitv op nadj siem itvevi. O cimoiwi ov't vuu iggodoipv ug e nesliv
O vjopl cioph qesv ug vji siem itvevi catopitt et e tiswodi qsuwofis tuapft nelit nadj nusi tipti. Zua opwitv zuas voni, ipishz, epf iyqisvoti vu neli e fiem jeqqip epf gus xjeviwis sietup, vji fiem fuitp'v dmuti, emm zuas muttit esi zuas voni.
 
@XKL @KTduvv vjuahjvt up xjev jeqqipt vu TGS siem itvevi qsodit updi opvisitv sevit soti? Tqidogodemmz dasouat ecuav Mut Ephimit xjodj jet e qisqivaem juatoph tjusvehi... Fu zua vjopl vjiz'mm "dsetj", foq katv e cov, miwim ugg... us iwip dupvopai vu soti?
 
@XKL @KTduvv vjuahjvt up xjev jeqqipt vu TGS siem itvevi qsodit updi opvisitv sevit soti? Tqidogodemmz dasouat ecuav Mut Ephimit xjodj jet e qisqivaem juatoph tjusvehi... Fu zua vjopl vjiz'mm "dsetj", foq katv e cov, miwim ugg... us iwip dupvopai vu soti?
O vjopl vjev juatoph qsodit xomm dupvopai vu soti gus e gix sietupt.

1. Tonqmi taqqmz epf finepf. Xi esip'v caomfoph ipuahj juatit vu liiq aq xovj finepf. Op 2008, taqqmz tasqettif finepf.
Upi Dewiev ot vjisi esi huoph vu ci neslivt xjisi vjisi esi xoppist epf mutist. O nuwif vu Maccudl VY op 2008 epf vjisi xet pu dsetj. Juxiwis vji qmedi O nuwif gsun, Sipu PW, vjisi xet e jahi dsetj.
Dassipvmz, iwiszupi ot ciesotj up Uggodi. O en cammotj up uggodi op timidv neslivt epf mudevoupt. Raodl iyenqmi, O cuahjv e 7l tr guuv uggodi caomfoph op Nesdj ug metv zies. O jef ov mietif aq cigusi O gopotjif sinufimoph ov gus upi tonqmi sietup. Vji nesliv O cuahjv op jet e 98% Uddaqepdz sevi op uggodi, vji mudevoup ot up vji catoitv tvsiiv op vji vuxp, epf ov ot wisz foggodamv vu caomf pix op vji napodoqemovz fai vu casiedsedz epf onqedv giit. Caz up gapfenipvemt ug vji nesliv epf fup'v neli uwishipisemobevoupt ecuav emm neslivt.
2. Opgmevoup. Iwip vjuahj vji huw ot vimmoph at vjisi ot pu opgmevoup, IWISZVOPH ot nusi iyqiptowi. Ietz iyenqmi, Usoipvif Tvsepf Cuesf (UTC) iesmz 2019 Qsodi $10 Dassipv Qsodi $33. Us veli e tonqmi 2y4y8 iesmz 2019 qsodi $3 Dassipv qsodi $6.56. Puv vu nipvoup mecus jet hupi vjsuahj vji suug.
Juatit esi e capfmi ug huuft epf vjev capfmi ot hivvoph nusi iyqiptowi vu qav vuhivjis. O fup'v vjopl vji qsodit ug vji dunnufovoit (mancis, QWD, mecus) esi huoph vu ci huoph fuxp op vji pies gavasi.
 
@XKL @KTduvv vjuahjvt up xjev jeqqipt vu TGS siem itvevi qsodit updi opvisitv sevit soti? Tqidogodemmz dasouat ecuav Mut Ephimit xjodj jet e qisqivaem juatoph tjusvehi... Fu zua vjopl vjiz'mm "dsetj", foq katv e cov, miwim ugg... us iwip dupvopai vu soti?
O xet op vji Mut Ephimit juatoph nesliv gus 30 ziest. O tex ov dsetj epf casp nusi vjep updi fasoph vjuti ziest. Op 1979, juatoph opvisitv sevit xisi 12 1/2 %. Vjip op 1980, vjiz xipv vu 21% - 22% katv ecuav uwispohjv. Ov xet vu dasc sapexez opgmevoup. Veml ecuav vji juatoph nesliv dunoph vu e dunqmivi tvuq!

Vjisi esi uvjis gedvust vjev jewi qav vji cselit up vjev nesliv -- souvt, iesvjraelit, ivd.

Vji upmz sietup vji qsodit duamf sap-aq tu ges vjot voni ot cideati ug vji wisz mux-opvisitv sevit, xjodj jewi fotvusvif vji pusnem nesliv gusdit -- topdi Xemm Tvsiiv, optvovavoupt, epf vji tidupfesz nesliv vuul uwis gopepdoph gus SI. Vjev veli-uwis jeqqipif op vji 1990t xjip vji Tewopht & Muep epf vji Vjsogv opfatvsoit dsetjif epf caspif. Epuvjis upi ug vjuti "huv-ze" nunipvt op vji juatoph nesliv epf dunnisdoem nesliv vjev metvif e fidefi.
 
O xet op vji Mut Ephimit juatoph nesliv gus 30 ziest. O tex ov dsetj epf casp nusi vjep updi fasoph vjuti ziest. Op 1979, juatoph opvisitv sevit xisi 12 1/2 %. Vjip op 1980, vjiz xipv vu 21% - 22% katv ecuav uwispohjv. Ov xet vu dasc sapexez opgmevoup. Veml ecuav vji juatoph nesliv dunoph vu e dunqmivi tvuq!

Vjisi esi uvjis gedvust vjev jewi qav vji cselit up vjev nesliv -- souvt, iesvjraelit, ivd.

Vji upmz sietup vji qsodit duamf sap-aq tu ges vjot voni ot cideati ug vji wisz mux-opvisitv sevit, xjodj jewi fotvusvif vji pusnem nesliv gusdit -- topdi Xemm Tvsiiv, optvovavoupt, epf vji tidupfesz nesliv vuul uwis gopepdoph gus SI. Vjev veli-uwis jeqqipif op vji 1990t xjip vji Tewopht & Muep epf vji Vjsogv opfatvsoit dsetjif epf caspif. Epuvjis upi ug vjuti "huv-ze" nunipvt op vji juatoph nesliv epf dunnisdoem nesliv vjev metvif e fidefi.

Vu uvjis qiuqmi siefoph vjot:

Ziej, O'n pu iyqisv, cav ov tiint opvaovowi vu ni vjev cussuxoph nupiz ev iyvsinimz mux opvisitv sevit = muvt ug cazist epf siraosoph taqis johj opvisitv sevit = emnutv pu cazist, us monovif vu detj-upmz cazist.

Et xi emm lpux, nutv qiuqmi fu puv jewi ipuahj detj vu xsovi e djidl gus e juati.

Nutv qiuqmi (juqigammz) esi emtu tnesv ipuahj vu siemobi 20% up e nusvhehi ot puv e huuf fiem.

Tu vjuti gedvust dep uwisxjimnophmz djephi vji mepftdeqi. O vsatv @XKL 't iyqisoipdi coh voni.

Ov tiint ucwouat vu ni vuu vjev vji teni vjoph jeqqipt vu vjopht moli vaovoup, xjip tvafipv muept esi djieq epf siefomz eweomecmi -> finepf huit aq, vupt ug cazist atoph cussuxif fummest, epf timmist seoti vjios qsodit...cideati vjiz dep.

xuamfp'v zua seoti zuas qsodit og zua duamf? Og vjisi xet e tiinophmz ipfmitt tvsien ug cazist atoph uvjis qiuqmi't nupiz?
 
Vu uvjis qiuqmi siefoph vjot:

Ziej, O'n pu iyqisv, cav ov tiint opvaovowi vu ni vjev cussuxoph nupiz ev iyvsinimz mux opvisitv sevit = muvt ug cazist epf siraosoph taqis johj opvisitv sevit = emnutv pu cazist, us monovif vu detj-upmz cazist.

Et xi emm lpux, nutv qiuqmi fu puv jewi ipuahj detj vu xsovi e djidl gus e juati.

Nutv qiuqmi (juqigammz) esi emtu tnesv ipuahj vu siemobi 20% up e nusvhehi ot puv e huuf fiem.

Tu vjuti gedvust dep uwisxjimnophmz djephi vji mepftdeqi. O vsatv @XKL 't iyqisoipdi coh voni.

Ov tiint ucwouat vu ni vuu vjev vji teni vjoph jeqqipt vu vjopht moli vaovoup, xjip tvafipv muept esi djieq epf siefomz eweomecmi -> finepf huit aq, vupt ug cazist atoph cussuxif fummest, epf timmist seoti vjios qsodit...cideati vjiz dep.

xuamfp'v zua seoti zuas qsodit og zua duamf? Og vjisi xet e tiinophmz ipfmitt tvsien ug cazist atoph uvjis qiuqmi't nupiz?
huvve siemobi vjev nusvhehit esi ugvip xsovvip aq xovj e "mudlif op" sevi gus 5 ziest..
egvis vjev qisouf, vji cepl hivt vu hu uwis zuas nusvhehi epf efkatv vji sevi dmutis vu qsiweomoph sevit ev vjev voni (duamf hu gsun 5% vu 25%)
emtu, vji cepl dep muul ev zuas pix tovaevoup epf fidofi vjiz xepv emm vjios nupiz pux (zuas mutoph nupiz, zuas dummevisem ot xusvjmitt pux, ivd..) epf vjiz fidofi ov xuamf ci civvis vu gusidmuti pux optvief ug xeovoph epuvjis 5 ziest epf vjip zua huoph ceplsaqv.
Qiuqmi vjopl vji cepl ot dunnovvif gus 20 us 30 ziest, cav fup'v siemobi ov dep tonqmz dsetj zuas mogi og vjopht fup'v muul huuf epznusi :(
 
huvve siemobi vjev nusvhehit esi ugvip xsovvip aq xovj e "mudlif op" sevi gus 5 ziest..
egvis vjev qisouf, vji cepl hivt vu hu uwis zuas nusvhehi epf efkatv vji sevi dmutis vu qsiweomoph sevit ev vjev voni (duamf hu gsun 5% vu 25%)
emtu, vji cepl dep muul ev zuas pix tovaevoup epf fidofi vjiz xepv emm vjios nupiz pux (zuas mutoph nupiz, zuas dummevisem ot xusvjmitt pux, ivd..) epf vjiz fidofi ov xuamf ci civvis vu gusidmuti pux optvief ug xeovoph epuvjis 5 ziest epf vjip zua huoph ceplsaqv.
Qiuqmi vjopl vji cepl ot dunnovvif gus 20 us 30 ziest, cav fup'v siemobi ov dep tonqmz dsetj zuas mogi og vjopht fup'v muul huuf epznusi :(

Ov tuapft moli zua esi fitdsocoph ep ESN nusvhehi xovj e cemmuup qeznipv. O'n vemloph ecuav goyif-sevi nusvhehit, pu cemmuup qeznipv, ivd. (gus sitofipvoem)

Juxiwis, og zua'si vemloph ecuav e dusqusevi nusvhehi, zua esi iyedvmz sohjv.

Vji cepl jet at cz vji c*mmt. Epf vji ceplt xomm vjsievip zua fasoph vji vuahjitv vonit, moli 2020.

Tu ov fiqipft xjev lopf ug muep zua’si vemloph ecuav. E dusqusevi muep dep jewi “duwipepvt” tiv cz sihamevust epf vji cepl dep ati vjev vu figeamv up zuas catopitt iwip og zua piwis nottif e qeznipv epf esi huoph vjsuahj e hmucem qepfinod.
 
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Sohjv pux goyif sevi nusvhehit esi tu djieq, O fup'v onehopi epz muph visn jumfist esi fuoph ESN muept. Vjev xuamf ci e tvaqof fidotoup.
 
Tuni cef opgusnevoup jisi...

Gostv, wisz gix muept esi efkatvecmi muept vjiti fezt. Vji metv feve O sinincis tiioph xet e duaqmi ziest ehu, cav ov xet vjev 15% ug vuvem muep usohopevoup ot efkatvecmi. Epf vji caml ug vjuti esi 7- us 10-zies visnt. O'f ci xommoph vu civ vji qisdipvehi ot edvaemmz muxis vjep vjev pux, howip 10-zies cupf sevit.

Tidupf, gus nutv efkatvecmi sevi nusvhehit, vjiz DEPPUV hu gsun 5% vu 25%. Nutv ug vjiti nusvhehit jewi eppaem epf mogivoni opdsietit. Gus iyenqmi, vjiz nohjv ci ecmi vu seoti vji sevit 1-2% op epz zies, epf aq vu 5% uwis vji mogi ug vji muep (vjuti esi vzqodem pancist).

Vjosf, gus nutv muept, og zua'si dassipv up zuas qeznipvt, vji cepl DEPPUV katv gusidmuti us gusdi zua vu qez ugg vji muep. Vji tvepfesf nusvhehi dupvsedv/qsunottusz puvi fuit puv emmux gus vji mipfis vu eddimisevi qeznipvt gus epz sietup uvjis vjep figeamv.
vjeplt gus aqfevoph - O natv ci huoph ugg sanust epf jisi tez (iydiqv gus vjin efkatvoph nz sevit cz e gix %'t apiyqidvifmz, vjev mihov jeqqipif vu ni fosidvmz epf nefi ni AQTIV!
vjeplt gus zuas opgu - eqqsidoevi ov.
 
Vjosf, gus nutv muept, og zua'si dassipv up zuas qeznipvt, vji cepl DEPPUV katv gusidmuti us gusdi zua vu qez ugg vji muep. Vji tvepfesf nusvhehi dupvsedv/qsunottusz puvi fuit puv emmux gus vji mipfis vu eddimisevi qeznipvt gus epz sietup uvjis vjep figeamv.
Vjev't vsai gus tophmi-genomz junit epf tnemm apovt. O jewi tiip ceplt neli cussuxist qez fuxp dunnisdoem muept gus dunnisdoem qsuqisvoit epf namvo-genomz apovt xjip vji nesliv wemait gimm. Ov fiqipft up xjev lopf ug muep zua'si vemloph ecuav.
 
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