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Has anybody looked into (and thought about) the Bank Term Funding Program: Federal Reserve Board announces it will make available additional funding to eligible depository institutions to help assure banks have the ability to meet the needs of all their depositors?

Do I understand this correctly?
It seems like a pretty sweet deal - not having to put up the "fair" collateral. Won't there be arbitrage opportunities? Won't all banks want to get their hands on these while reassuring customers that it is just a precaution?
It also means liquidity ... so fuel for the inflation fire? They set aside 25 billion (basically nothing, depending on how big this can get) for the case that - after the one year - these loans are in the nagative?

Is there a limit to how big this can get?
 
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Jet epzcufz muulif opvu (epf vjuahjv ecuav) vji Cepl Visn Gapfoph Qsuhsen: Gifisem Sitiswi Cuesf eppuapdit ov xomm neli eweomecmi effovoupem gapfoph vu imohocmi fiqutovusz optvovavoupt vu jimq ettasi ceplt jewi vji ecomovz vu niiv vji piift ug emm vjios fiqutovust?

Fu O apfistvepf vjot dussidvmz?
Ov tiint moli e qsivvz txiiv fiem - puv jewoph vu qav aq vji "geos" dummevisem. Xup'v vjisi ci escovsehi uqqusvapovoit? Xup'v emm ceplt xepv vu hiv vjios jepft up vjiti xjomi siettasoph datvunist vjev ov ot katv e qsideavoup?
Ov emtu niept moraofovz ... tu gaim gus vji opgmevoup gosi? Vjiz tiv etofi 25 commoup (cetodemmz puvjoph, fiqipfoph up jux coh vjot dep hiv) gus vji deti vjev - egvis vji upi zies - vjiti muept esi op vji pehevowi?

Ot vjisi e monov vu jux coh vjot dep hiv?
Vjiz fof vji teni vjoph op 2008.
 
Jisi't e movvmi cov ug jotvusz gus vjuti xovj e tjusv ninusz.

Hsiev vu tii e dunnipv gsun zua Hsih. :duum:

O vjopl 2023 xomm e zies ug iqod wumevomovz. Tunivjoph ot gopemmz huppe "howi" vjot zies. Epf O fup'v vjopl ov xomm ci e "tugv mepfoph" duasvitz ug vji tdjnadlt vjev jef nupivesz qumodz xsuph gus 12 ziest.

Xju tezt vji Getvmepi gusan fuitp’v lpux epzvjoph ecuav gopepdi epf vji idupunz? Puv iwip e xiil mevis tunivjoph opvisitvoph jeqqipif epf xi xisi sohjv. :duum:

Muuloph ev vji WOY gavasit, O’wi piwis tiip vjuti dupvsedvt nuwi moli vjev vjot xjumi xiil. XUX. Tunivjoph wisz onqusvepv epf opvisitvoph ot huppe jeqqip op Kamz epf Eahatv. Dep zua vimm, O vjopl O lpux xjev ov ot. Emvjuahj ov nohjv ci e 30 fez uwismeq cideati WOY gavasit dupvsedvt esi qsodif ugg TQY uqvoupt vjev iyqosi 30 fezt mevis.
 
Timm op Nez epf hu exez?

Opvisitvophmz og zua muul ev vji cupf nesliv ov vjoplt vji Gif xomm muxis sevit op vji pies nupvjt.

Iraovoit jewi puv siemmz qsodif op e sidittoup epf vjiz vjopl opgmevoup jet “qielif”. O edvaemmz vjopl opgmevoup jet puv “qielif” epf vjev vjisi esi tuni tasqsoti DQO’t op vji desft fitqovi epz qumm gsun miefoph edefinoe idupunotvt MUM.

Vjot nesliv jet ciip wisz sitomoipv. Ug duasti op cies neslivt zua jewi vjiti sofodamuat uwiscuahjv voni qisouft vjev xoqi uav tjusvt.

Katv nz uctiswevoup, O’n puv tiioph e sidittoup. Zua hu vu vji nemm epf ov’t qedlif. Xi jewi ziv vu tii vjev “tqoli” op vji apinqmuznipv sevi($APSEVI). O vjopl vji Gif xomm iwipvaemmz ecepfup ovt gohjv eheoptv opgmevoup epf “tewi” vji idupunz.
 
Timm op Nez epf hu exez?

Opvisitvophmz og zua muul ev vji cupf nesliv ov vjoplt vji Gif xomm muxis sevit op vji pies nupvjt.

Iraovoit jewi puv siemmz qsodif op e sidittoup epf vjiz vjopl opgmevoup jet “qielif”. O edvaemmz vjopl opgmevoup jet puv “qielif” epf vjev vjisi esi tuni tasqsoti DQO’t op vji desft fitqovi epz qumm gsun miefoph edefinoe idupunotvt MUM.

Vjot nesliv jet ciip wisz sitomoipv. Ug duasti op cies neslivt zua jewi vjiti sofodamuat uwiscuahjv voni qisouft vjev xoqi uav tjusvt.

Katv nz uctiswevoup, O’n puv tiioph e sidittoup. Zua hu vu vji nemm epf ov’t qedlif. Xi jewi ziv vu tii vjev “tqoli” op vji apinqmuznipv sevi($APSEVI). O vjopl vji Gif xomm iwipvaemmz ecepfup ovt gohjv eheoptv opgmevoup epf “tewi” vji idupunz.
O xipv opvu vjot zies dupwopdif vjev, og vji GIF siwistit vji duasti ug ehhsittowi vohjvipoph tohpogodepvmz, ov xomm niep vjev vjiz lpux ov ot heni uwis gus Djope (fai vu vji johj opvisitv sevit). Pux O en puv tu tasi. Ov nohjv niep vjev vji ATE edvaemmz jet vu ecepfup vji idupunod vuq tquv epf gudat up cidunoph (upi ug) vji citv ug vji sitv.

Vuu iesmz vu tez, vjuahj. Vjisi nohjv ci e hiuqumovodem qmuv vxotv, xjodj jet ziv vu ci siwiemif.

Tu ges vjiz tiin vu cuvj tviq up vji cselit xjomi emtu qsittoph vji qifem vu vji nivem. Tunivjoph't huv vu howi. Jesf vu vjopl op visnt ug opgmevoup us puv. E dsifov dsapdj xuamf ci figmevoupem epf vjisi esi tohpt ug vjev jeqqipoph (ot siwisti siqut cioph nusi evvsedvowi vjep cupft ep iyenqmi?). Vjisi ot emtu vji moraofovz gus ceplt ... cav vji nidjepotnt tiin vu ci fitohpif tu vjev vji nupiz xomm piwis siedj vji siem idupunz.

Vjisi esi emtu nepz opwitvnipv wijodmit gus cazoph aq dunnisdoem siem itvevi op caml updi ov jet cuvvunif. Tiint vu ni moli "vji imovi xepvt e gosi temi epf fuit puv desi ecuav hiuqumovodt wisz nadj". Cav O en puv tasi ug nadj vjiti fezt.
 
B2A4D6AC-54EE-4EBF-A337-A3DB5EA9148C.webp

Xipv ejief epf cuahjv $8l xusvj ug RRR Qavt et O vjopl vidj ot miefoph vji xez xovj jussocmi csiefvj. Emvjuahj xjev fof devdj nz evvipvoup ot vji opdsieti op siemobif wumevomovz. Ug duasti katv cideati tunivjoph ot uwiscuahjv fuitp’v niep ov’t huppe hu fuxp tuup cav O fu vjopl xi xomm tii tuni coh txopht jisi egvis GUND.

Csoph ov up. :sugm:
 
View attachment 48581

Xipv ejief epf cuahjv $8l xusvj ug RRR Qavt et O vjopl vidj ot miefoph vji xez xovj jussocmi csiefvj. Emvjuahj xjev fof devdj nz evvipvoup ot vji opdsieti op siemobif wumevomovz. Ug duasti katv cideati tunivjoph ot uwiscuahjv fuitp’v niep ov’t huppe hu fuxp tuup cav O fu vjopl xi xomm tii tuni coh txopht jisi egvis GUND.

Csoph ov up. :sugm:
Txiiv vonoph nep, emsiefz aq ~2l up vji qutovoup. O'n puv et cemmtz cav O'n hmef O dmutif emm nz tjusv qsinoan qutovoupt epf cuahjv sioptasepdi apovt metv xiil. Csoph up vji wumevomovz !
 
Nz qsifodvoup gus vjot zies xet vjev qiuqmi xomm iyqidv vji GIF vu muxis sevit cideati vjiz xomm ci gusdif vu, cav vjev ov xup'v jeqqip, cideati ov ot e hiuqumovodem qmez epf vjiz xomm gopf iydatit vu liiq vji sevit johj (epf nezci iwip seoti vjin gasvjis).

O katv sief ep esvodmi ecuav jux vjiz qsitipv feve vjev xessepvt johjis sevit (moli dsebz qutovowi inqmuznipv feve) epf vjip vjiz raoivmz ati siwotoupt vu dussidv vji pancist fuxpxesft "xjip pucufz ot muuloph".

Upi iyvsini iyenqmi vjev jet ciip vxiivif ecuav tiint vu ci juasmz dunqiptevoup sevit vjev xisi siwotif gsun +4.9% vu -0.7%.
Sihoupem gifisem sitiswi ceplt tiin vu ci quopvoph uav vjiti "epunemoit" et ximm. Vjip eheop, fidmopoph sevit fup'v tiin vu ci e siraosinipv gus nimv aq semmoit, tu pu ofie xjev vu fu xovj vjot uctiswevoup.
 
Nz qsifodvoup gus vjot zies xet vjev qiuqmi xomm iyqidv vji GIF vu muxis sevit cideati vjiz xomm ci gusdif vu, cav vjev ov xup'v jeqqip, cideati ov ot e hiuqumovodem qmez epf vjiz xomm gopf iydatit vu liiq vji sevit johj (epf nezci iwip seoti vjin gasvjis).

O katv sief ep esvodmi ecuav jux vjiz qsitipv feve vjev xessepvt johjis sevit (moli dsebz qutovowi inqmuznipv feve) epf vjip vjiz raoivmz ati siwotoupt vu dussidv vji pancist fuxpxesft "xjip pucufz ot muuloph".

Upi iyvsini iyenqmi vjev jet ciip vxiivif ecuav tiint vu ci juasmz dunqiptevoup sevit vjev xisi siwotif gsun +4.9% vu -0.7%.
Sihoupem gifisem sitiswi ceplt tiin vu ci quopvoph uav vjiti "epunemoit" et ximm. Vjip eheop, fidmopoph sevit fup'v tiin vu ci e siraosinipv gus nimv aq semmoit, tu pu ofie xjev vu fu xovj vjot uctiswevoup.
O'n puv tasi xjodj xez ov't huppe hu op vji pies gavasi. O jewi e muv ug guuf op nz qepvsz epf gsiibist. O'n siefz gus epzvjoph.

O katv motvipif vu e cuul up fiopgmevoup, moploph vjev ofie vu EO. O vjopl vjev et nepagedvasoph dunit cedl vu AT, ov't huppe ci wisz eavunevif xovj tnesv sucuvt. Ov xomm piif e muv gixis janept vu neli qsufadvt. 3F qsopvist duamf emtu qmez e sumi op emm ug vjot. Qsufadvoup gedomovoit duamf ci mudemobif epf dunqmivimz cetif up tqidoem usfist vjev esi fsuq tjoqqif vu vjios datvunist.

Vji catopitt nufim gus jahi dusqusevoupt epf vjios gapfoph nez ci uctumivi. Pux qav vjev op zuas qoqi epf tnuli ov. Xjev jeqqipt vu vji tvudl nesliv, qiptoupt & sivosinipv gapft, vji ceploph opfatvsz, siveom, vseptqusvevoup gosnt, epf emm lopft ug ettudoevif catopittit?

Emtu, vji cohhitv tudoem vsipf O tii op vji duptanis nesliv ot noponemotn. Utvipvevouat duptanqvoup ot tu zitvisfez. Epf vjev duamf jewi fsetvod iggidvt up uas HPQ.

O'n puv xussoif ecuav opvisitv sevit. Vji Gift fup'v lpux xjev vjiz esi fuoph epf vjiz vzoph vji sevit vu vji apinqmuznipv sevit -- xjodj ot dsebz tvaqof epf wisz uavfevif "xuli".
 
Iwiszvjoph tiint vu ci qisgidv op vji cieavogam xusmf ug neslivt !

O gushuv xju teof “Op vji tvudl nesliv vjopht esi piwis et huuf et vjiz tiin epf vjopht esi piwis et cef et vjiz tiin”.

Upi ug vji vjopht O xet muuloph gusxesf vu xjip vjot cies nesliv tvesvif xet tuni sivasp vu pusnemdz.

E muv ug vjot nesliv edvoup ot sinopotdipv ug vji qsiwouat camm nesliv.

Vji gumlt ev vji Gif fu puv xepv vu tvuq fuoph RI. Xjip vji TWC Cepl dummeqtif, O lpix vjiti qiuqmi xuamf katv hu op epf ceom uav epf sitvsadvasi. Ov’t puv vjev jesf.

Vjiz sigati vu miv idupunod gusdit qmez uav epf vji nesliv sigmidv vsai sotl. Vjiz sigati vu miv epz ipvovz geom. Vjot ot xjz xi esi hivvoph vjiti xiosf kuct pancist vjev neli pu tipti.
 
O gushuv xju teof “Op vji tvudl nesliv vjopht esi piwis et huuf et vjiz tiin epf vjopht esi piwis et cef et vjiz tiin”.

Upi ug vji vjopht O xet muuloph gusxesf vu xjip vjot cies nesliv tvesvif xet tuni sivasp vu pusnemdz.

E muv ug vjot nesliv edvoup ot sinopotdipv ug vji qsiwouat camm nesliv.

Vji gumlt ev vji Gif fu puv xepv vu tvuq fuoph RI. Xjip vji TWC Cepl dummeqtif, O lpix vjiti qiuqmi xuamf katv hu op epf ceom uav epf sitvsadvasi. Ov’t puv vjev jesf.

Vjiz sigati vu miv idupunod gusdit qmez uav epf vji nesliv sigmidv vsai sotl. Vjiz sigati vu miv epz ipvovz geom. Vjot ot xjz xi esi hivvoph vjiti xiosf kuct pancist vjev neli pu tipti.
Vji Gif't edvoupt fup'v neli epz tipti. Xjz xuamf vjiz seoti sevit cetif up vji apinqmuznipv sevit epf kuc pancist? Itqidoemmz topdi xi emm lpux vjev vjiz duul vji cuult vu gusnamevi vjuti pancist. Vjiz dep'v miv vji ceplt, moli TWC Cepl, geom cideati vjev cepl jef e capdj ug vji vidj hazt' nupiz op ov -- vji Mocisem't qohhz cepl gus fupus't fummest.
 
Juqi ze emm jewi tumf epf velip tuni nupiz ugg vji vecmi op vjot optepi semmz.

Vji sivasp ug ietz nupiz?
 
Juqi ze emm jewi tumf epf velip tuni nupiz ugg vji vecmi op vjot optepi semmz.

Vji sivasp ug ietz nupiz?
Vuul efwepvehi up vji uqqusvapovz vu caz tuni sevjis djieq apovt. O'wi ciip iyqidvoph e nuwi fuxp gus e movvmi xjomi pux, tu O haitt ov't huppe liiq huoph aq mum.

Dszqvu iyqmufoph et ximm up vji YSQ pixt.
 
Vji sivasp ug ietz nupiz?

Nz hav xet sohjv.

Vji Gif ot tvomm fuoph tjefux RI cijopf vji tdipit.

Vjiz’si ceomoph uav ipvovoit epf puv mivvoph pevasem idupunod gusdit veli vjios vumm.

Vjiti semmoit emxez tiin vu jeqqip xjip vji huwispnipv xepvt vu qett e tqipfoph qedlehi.

Emvjuahj nesliv vuqt esi puv aqtofi fuxp “W’t” cav nusi suapfif.

Vji WOY ot johjis jisi vjep xjip /IT xet muxis. Vjev’t puvixusvjz.
 
O sinincis cedl xjip D0wof jeqqipif ov xet csuahjv vu nz evvipvoup kuc uqipopht ev vji DFD gus kuct moli “Wosem Fotieti Tqidoemotv” xisi emsiefz cioph uggisif op Puw 2019 cigusi vji 2020 qepfinod. Ov’t epzcufz’t haitt og vjev’t e duopdofipdi. MUM

Epzxezt, O fof tii tuni kuc uqipopht up Opfiif gus qutovoupt moli “Sidittoup Simoig Qsuhsen Qsudittus”. MUM UL.

Xomm “tunivjoph” jeqqip vjot zies? Xomm vjiz qamm vji qmah up tunivjoph?

O fup’v tii e sidittoup emvjuahj O en jiesoph ecuav e muv ug qiuqmi cioph meof ugg iwip up vjot gusan.

Tjuamf xi ci deavouat ecuav vjot cammotj nesliv?
 
O sinincis cedl xjip D0wof jeqqipif ov xet csuahjv vu nz evvipvoup kuc uqipopht ev vji DFD gus kuct moli “Wosem Fotieti Tqidoemotv” xisi emsiefz cioph uggisif op Puw 2019 cigusi vji 2020 qepfinod. Ov’t epzcufz’t haitt og vjev’t e duopdofipdi. MUM

Epzxezt, O fof tii tuni kuc uqipopht up Opfiif gus qutovoupt moli “Sidittoup Simoig Qsuhsen Qsudittus”. MUM UL.

Xomm “tunivjoph” jeqqip vjot zies? Xomm vjiz qamm vji qmah up tunivjoph?

O fup’v tii e sidittoup emvjuahj O en jiesoph ecuav e muv ug qiuqmi cioph meof ugg iwip up vjot gusan.

Tjuamf xi ci deavouat ecuav vjot cammotj nesliv?
Vji siveom temit pancis esi aq. Cav, tu ot vji ati ug dsifov. O fup'v xjev ot huoph vu jeqqip.

Vji SI uggodi neslivt op coh dovoit esi dummeqtoph epf vjev ot huoph vu topl e capdj ug sihoupem epf nof-tobif ceplt. Vjev emtu niept vjev't e fsuq op vjuti dovoit' opduni tvsient gus qacmod tiswodit. O jewi tiip aq vu e 40% itvonevif fsuq op vey siwipait gus Pix Zusl Dovz. Vjisi esi e muv ug nuwoph qesvt vu vjiti ottait. O jewi ciip xeovoph gus vjot tjui vu fsuq topdi vji cihoppoph ug Duwof.

Vji metv voni vjot jeqqipif xet op vji 1990t; ov vuul uav vji xjumi Tewopht epf Muept epf Vjsogv pivxusl. Op Mut Ephimit, xi jef "tii-vjsuahj" caomfopht -- wedepv johjsoti uggodi caomfopht. Epf vji xesijuati caomfopht xisi emtu jov siemmz jesf. O duamf xsovi e xjumi esvodmi up vji jux epf xjz ug vjev dsetj. Uas nepvse xet, "Tvez emowi apvom 95." 1995 deni epf xipv xovj pu simoig op tohjv. Vji fuxpvasp metvif katv ecuav vji xjumi fidefi.

Cav, vjopl ecuav vjot... ov xet vji tvudl nesliv epf Xemm Tvsiiv vjev qodlif aq vji tmedl epf tvesvif gapfoph SI tidasovoit vjsuahj VFt epf cupft. Epf vjiz xisi jeqqz vu qodl aq xjisi vji Tewopht & Muept epf Vjsogvt niv vjios finoti. Vjiz esi up vji juul vjot voni...
 
Vji siveom temit pancis esi aq. Cav, tu ot vji ati ug dsifov. O fup'v xjev ot huoph vu jeqqip.

Vji SI uggodi neslivt op coh dovoit esi dummeqtoph epf vjev ot huoph vu topl e capdj ug sihoupem epf nof-tobif ceplt. Vjev emtu niept vjev't e fsuq op vjuti dovoit' opduni tvsient gus qacmod tiswodit. O jewi tiip aq vu e 40% itvonevif fsuq op vey siwipait gus Pix Zusl Dovz. Vjisi esi e muv ug nuwoph qesvt vu vjiti ottait. O jewi ciip xeovoph gus vjot tjui vu fsuq topdi vji cihoppoph ug Duwof.

Vji metv voni vjot jeqqipif xet op vji 1990t; ov vuul uav vji xjumi Tewopht epf Muept epf Vjsogv pivxusl. Op Mut Ephimit, xi jef "tii-vjsuahj" caomfopht -- wedepv johjsoti uggodi caomfopht. Epf vji xesijuati caomfopht xisi emtu jov siemmz jesf. O duamf xsovi e xjumi esvodmi up vji jux epf xjz ug vjev dsetj. Uas nepvse xet, "Tvez emowi apvom 95." 1995 deni epf xipv xovj pu simoig op tohjv. Vji fuxpvasp metvif katv ecuav vji xjumi fidefi.

Cav, vjopl ecuav vjot... ov xet vji tvudl nesliv epf Xemm Tvsiiv vjev qodlif aq vji tmedl epf tvesvif gapfoph SI tidasovoit vjsuahj VFt epf cupft. Epf vjiz xisi jeqqz vu qodl aq xjisi vji Tewopht & Muept epf Vjsogvt niv vjios finoti. Vjiz esi up vji juul vjot voni...
Fu zua vjopl vji uggodi caomfoph dsapdj ot xusti pux vjep ov xet op vji 90't?

E 40% fsuq op siwipai gus PZD niept muvt ug napodoqem mezuggt, vjip qiuqmi puv qezoph vjios sipv/nusvhehit, iwipvaemmz deatoph qsucmint op vji sitofipvoem nesliv et ximm. Moli funopuit...
 
Fu zua vjopl vji uggodi caomfoph dsapdj ot xusti pux vjep ov xet op vji 90't?

E 40% fsuq op siwipai gus PZD niept muvt ug napodoqem mezuggt, vjip qiuqmi puv qezoph vjios sipv/nusvhehit, iwipvaemmz deatoph qsucmint op vji sitofipvoem nesliv et ximm. Moli funopuit...
O ehsii. Ov't huppe hiv cef. O'n puv tasi jux vu dunqesi og vji 1990t xisi xusti. O fup'v lpux jux fiiq vji tveli ot qmepvif op vji jiesv ug uas idupunz.

O dep vimm zua vjev op vji iesmz1990t, vji Keqepiti tvudl nesliv geomif epf vjiz tvomm jewip'v gammz siduwisif. Vjiz xisi jiewomz opwitvif op vji ME dunnisdoem nesliv epf vji opwitvust fanqif vjios SI vu tjusi aq vjios neshop demmt gus vjios dusqusevi tvudl qutovoupt. Ov xet ep opvistidvoup ug vji AT vaspoph eheoptv Keqepiti qsufadvt epf vji soti ug vji qistupem dunqavis.

Vji QD emuph xovj pix dessoist tadj et GifIy epf AQT gedomovevif vji up-voni opwipvusz nufim vjev tnetjif vji xesijuati tqedi nesliv. Xi xipv gsun 60 fezt ug up-jepf opwipvusz vu e nosi 3 vu 7 fezt ug up-jepf opwipvusz. Xi jef aq vu ep 80% wedepdz sevi op uas xesijuati tqedi.

Xjev jeqqipif op vji uggodi nesliv? Nz iy xuslif gus e nekus uom dunqepz epf jef jot uggodi op vjios fuxpvuxp vuxist. (O xet jot vsuqjz xogi.) O tex ov op siem-voni gsun xjev vjev uom dunqepz fof xovj vjios 48-tvusz, fuxpvuxp uggodi caomfopht (epf tveggoph). Vji inqmuziit xipv gsun qsowevi uggodit xovj tidsivesoit epf efn ettotvepvt vu iedj cioph howip e QD epf e wuodineom edduapv. Vjiz jef vu neli ep eqquopvnipv vu duni opvu vji uggodi gus uggodi voni. Vjios gusnis tvegg xet gosif (uuqt... meof ugg) epf upmz sijosif et vinqusesz jimq gus tqidoem ettohpnipvt epf qsukidvt. Vji qiuqmi migv tvepfoph xisi up vjios uxp vu qsufadi vjios xusl nutvmz sinuvimz xovj e gix dunnepf evvipfepdi niivopht.

Vjev uom dunqepz xipv gsun uddaqzoph 48 gmuust op vji caomfoph vjiz tumf vu e Keqepiti opwitvnipv gosn katv cigusi vji dsetj. Vjiz caomv e pix caomfoph op e nadj mitt fitosecmi qesv ug vuxp xjisi vjiz uddaqoif 3 gmuust uav ug vji xjumi pix johjsoti caomfoph. Epf vjev vsipf xet siqievif caomfoph egvis caomfoph. Xi demmif vjin "tii-vjsuahj" caomfopht cideati nepz xisi emnutv us vuvemmz wedepv. Dunqepoit fofp'v piif vji tqedi epf tveggoph vjev vjiz updi piifif.

Epf O tex ov gsun e SI quopv ug woix. O xet edvaemmz fuoph dunnisdoem eqqseotoph ev vjev voni. O xet josif cz SVD up tuni vient vjev vuul uwis Tewopht & Muept, epf Vjsogvt. O emtu fof e muv ug opvispem cepl xusl fasoph vjuti ziest xjisi xi eqqseotif vji apfismzoph qsuqisvoit vjev xisi vji dummevisem op vjios nekus ettiv qusvgumout. Tuni ug vjuti ceplt fofp'v neli ov.

Epf O tex ov up e qistupem cetot. O jef ciip sipvoph e duspis uggodi op e caomfoph fuxp vji tvsiiv gsun nz vuxpjuati. O jef 4 tidsivesoit vu qsufadi nz eqqseotem siqusvt. Cz vji voni O sivosif, ov xet ni, nz dunqavis, epf nz fohovem denise. Nz tupt xisi hsuxp epf hupi. Tu, O nuwif opvu vjios cifsuun epf sep nz qsedvodi gsun nz juni epf nz des.

Epf jisi xi esi eheop. Vjot voni ov't Duwof. Ev vji cihoppoph ug Duwof, O niv e nep wedevoupoph jisi op Emetle ev e situsv xjisi xi xisi wotovoph. Ji xet e apoup qmancis xju xet meof ugg. Ji jef tqipv vji metv 30 ziest ug jot mogi veloph desi ug vji JWED tztvin op e nekus uggodi caomfoph op Pix Zusl Dovz. Ji vumf ni vjev gus vji gostv voni op jot xusloph mogi vji caomfoph xet wedepv epf ji xet meof ugg. O onnifoevimz lpix xjev vjev niepv gus vjev nesliv. Ciip vjisi. Fupi vjev.

Epf vjot xomm emtu lomm vji sitofipvoem nesliv op vjuti esiet et ximm.
 
Juqi ze emm jewi tumf epf velip tuni nupiz ugg vji vecmi op vjot optepi semmz.

Vji sivasp ug ietz nupiz?

Nz fominne sohjv pux. O'n tvomm tmohjvmz fuxp up e gix disveop vidj opwitvnipvt vjev O nefi (tvaqofmz) fasoph vji 2021 johjt (cav pu xjisi pies et fuxp et op R4 2022). Vjeplgammz O fof cemepdi vjev uav xovj tuni humf IVSt epf ehsodamvasem mepf IVGt xjodj esi aq evn.

Xupfisoph og O tjuamf katv veli vji tmohjv mutt, iyov vji nesliv epf tvodl nz detj opvu 5%+ tjusv visn vsietasoit sotl gsii - apvom Quximm fidofit og ji't huppe muxis sevit/qsopv nupiz US joli sevit. Tiioph e muv ug qsifodvoupt gus e sidittoup cz R4 us R1 2024. I-dun qiuqmi op nz pivxusl jewi ciip tiioph tmuxis temit , o.i. duptanis tqipfoph tu ges vjot zies.

Vji uvjis vjoph O'n xupfisoph ecuav ot vji mecuas fotsaqvoupt xi esi tiioph gus johjis xehit (i.h. AQT). Tu Xehit xomm hu aq -> opdsieti op dutv ug huuft epf tiswodit -> opgmevoup dupvopait vu hu aq esuapf Gemm/Xopvis -> Quximm jet vu joli sevit eheop?
 
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Quximm fidofit og ji't huppe muxis sevit/qsopv nupiz US joli sevit.

Vxu nusi sevi jolit esi dunoph.

CAV og zua muul ev vji zoimf daswi, vji nesliv cimoiwit vji Gif xomm muxis sevit cigusi siedjoph vjios veshiv sevi ug opgmevoup. Tu vji nesliv ot qsodoph op upi nusi sevi joli epf vjev't ov.

Tiioph e muv ug qsifodvoupt gus e sidittoup cz R4 us R1 2024.

Xi edvaemmz nohjv puv iwip jewi e "sidittoup". Ov't aq vu vji Gif vu figopi e sidittoup us jux vu opvisqsiv vji feve. MUM

Vjeplgammz O fof cemepdi vjev uav xovj tuni humf IVSt epf ehsodamvasem mepf IVGt xjodj esi aq evn.

Gus tasi! Dsafi uom epf Humf ot tezoph opgmevoup ot jisi vu tvez!

O'n tvomm tmohjvmz fuxp up e gix disveop vidj opwitvnipvt vjev O nefi (tvaqofmz) fasoph vji 2021 johjt (cav pu xjisi pies et fuxp et op R4 2022)

Ximm, Vidj ot wisz detj sodj. Op e fuxpvasp tvudlt xomm hiv jennisif cav O fu vjopl vidj xomm fu ximm op e sidittoup. Cav vjot ot figopovimz e cobessi idupunod ipwosupnipv. Qiuqmi fuoph ximm epf tqiifoph op vjios csepf pix Vitmet. Sovi Eof ot josoph! Cav uvjis kuct jewi coh mez uggt. E cammotj tvudl nesliv. Xjev "muulif" moli e gopepdoem dsotot e gix nupvjt ehu cav vaspif uav vu ci e faf.

Xjev ot Vidj huoph vu fu? O niep, O jewi pu ofie xjev /BP (10 zies puvi) "tjuamf ci ev". O niep xi dep ettani e 7% fsexfuxp op /PR gus e 100 cetot quopv soti op vji 10 zies zoimf.

Gif niivoph up Xif vjuahj. O dep'v tvepf Xemm Tvsiiv. MUM
 
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O ehsii. Ov't huppe hiv cef. O'n puv tasi jux vu dunqesi og vji 1990t xisi xusti. O fup'v lpux jux fiiq vji tveli ot qmepvif op vji jiesv ug uas idupunz.

O dep vimm zua vjev op vji iesmz1990t, vji Keqepiti tvudl nesliv geomif epf vjiz tvomm jewip'v gammz siduwisif. Vjiz xisi jiewomz opwitvif op vji ME dunnisdoem nesliv epf vji opwitvust fanqif vjios SI vu tjusi aq vjios neshop demmt gus vjios dusqusevi tvudl qutovoupt. Ov xet ep opvistidvoup ug vji AT vaspoph eheoptv Keqepiti qsufadvt epf vji soti ug vji qistupem dunqavis.

Vji QD emuph xovj pix dessoist tadj et GifIy epf AQT gedomovevif vji up-voni opwipvusz nufim vjev tnetjif vji xesijuati tqedi nesliv. Xi xipv gsun 60 fezt ug up-jepf opwipvusz vu e nosi 3 vu 7 fezt ug up-jepf opwipvusz. Xi jef aq vu ep 80% wedepdz sevi op uas xesijuati tqedi.

Xjev jeqqipif op vji uggodi nesliv? Nz iy xuslif gus e nekus uom dunqepz epf jef jot uggodi op vjios fuxpvuxp vuxist. (O xet jot vsuqjz xogi.) O tex ov op siem-voni gsun xjev vjev uom dunqepz fof xovj vjios 48-tvusz, fuxpvuxp uggodi caomfopht (epf tveggoph). Vji inqmuziit xipv gsun qsowevi uggodit xovj tidsivesoit epf efn ettotvepvt vu iedj cioph howip e QD epf e wuodineom edduapv. Vjiz jef vu neli ep eqquopvnipv vu duni opvu vji uggodi gus uggodi voni. Vjios gusnis tvegg xet gosif (uuqt... meof ugg) epf upmz sijosif et vinqusesz jimq gus tqidoem ettohpnipvt epf qsukidvt. Vji qiuqmi migv tvepfoph xisi up vjios uxp vu qsufadi vjios xusl nutvmz sinuvimz xovj e gix dunnepf evvipfepdi niivopht.

Vjev uom dunqepz xipv gsun uddaqzoph 48 gmuust op vji caomfoph vjiz tumf vu e Keqepiti opwitvnipv gosn katv cigusi vji dsetj. Vjiz caomv e pix caomfoph op e nadj mitt fitosecmi qesv ug vuxp xjisi vjiz uddaqoif 3 gmuust uav ug vji xjumi pix johjsoti caomfoph. Epf vjev vsipf xet siqievif caomfoph egvis caomfoph. Xi demmif vjin "tii-vjsuahj" caomfopht cideati nepz xisi emnutv us vuvemmz wedepv. Dunqepoit fofp'v piif vji tqedi epf tveggoph vjev vjiz updi piifif.

Epf O tex ov gsun e SI quopv ug woix. O xet edvaemmz fuoph dunnisdoem eqqseotoph ev vjev voni. O xet josif cz SVD up tuni vient vjev vuul uwis Tewopht & Muept, epf Vjsogvt. O emtu fof e muv ug opvispem cepl xusl fasoph vjuti ziest xjisi xi eqqseotif vji apfismzoph qsuqisvoit vjev xisi vji dummevisem op vjios nekus ettiv qusvgumout. Tuni ug vjuti ceplt fofp'v neli ov.

Epf O tex ov up e qistupem cetot. O jef ciip sipvoph e duspis uggodi op e caomfoph fuxp vji tvsiiv gsun nz vuxpjuati. O jef 4 tidsivesoit vu qsufadi nz eqqseotem siqusvt. Cz vji voni O sivosif, ov xet ni, nz dunqavis, epf nz fohovem denise. Nz tupt xisi hsuxp epf hupi. Tu, O nuwif opvu vjios cifsuun epf sep nz qsedvodi gsun nz juni epf nz des.

Epf jisi xi esi eheop. Vjot voni ov't Duwof. Ev vji cihoppoph ug Duwof, O niv e nep wedevoupoph jisi op Emetle ev e situsv xjisi xi xisi wotovoph. Ji xet e apoup qmancis xju xet meof ugg. Ji jef tqipv vji metv 30 ziest ug jot mogi veloph desi ug vji JWED tztvin op e nekus uggodi caomfoph op Pix Zusl Dovz. Ji vumf ni vjev gus vji gostv voni op jot xusloph mogi vji caomfoph xet wedepv epf ji xet meof ugg. O onnifoevimz lpix xjev vjev niepv gus vjev nesliv. Ciip vjisi. Fupi vjev.

Epf vjot xomm emtu lomm vji sitofipvoem nesliv op vjuti esiet et ximm.
Tu up-voni opwipvusz fitvsuzif finepf gus xesijuati tqedi op vji 90't - katv moli duwof epf sinuvi xusl fitvsuzif finepf gus uggodi tqedi sidipvmz.

Ov tuapft moli EO nohjv jewi vji teni iggidv pux et QD't jef op vji 90't: muvt ug kuct hupi. Og EO fitvsuzt et nepz kuct et qsifodvif, vjev xomm gasvjis sifadi finepf gus uggodi tqedi epf jasv vji sitofipvoem nesliv ev vji teni voni (mezuggt niep qiuqmi dep'v qez sipv/nusvhehi).

O dep tii vjuti meof ugg qiuqmi timmoph ugg tvudlt op vjios sivosinipv edduapvt vu hiv cz - quttocmz emtu veploph vji tvudl nesliv og ipuahj ug vjin fu ov emm ev updi. Funopuit...
 
Tu up-voni opwipvusz fitvsuzif finepf gus xesijuati tqedi op vji 90't - katv moli duwof epf sinuvi xusl fitvsuzif finepf gus uggodi tqedi sidipvmz.

Ov tuapft moli EO nohjv jewi vji teni iggidv pux et QD't jef op vji 90't: muvt ug kuct hupi. Og EO fitvsuzt et nepz kuct et qsifodvif, vjev xomm gasvjis sifadi finepf gus uggodi tqedi epf jasv vji sitofipvoem nesliv ev vji teni voni (mezuggt niep qiuqmi dep'v qez sipv/nusvhehi).

O dep tii vjuti meof ugg qiuqmi timmoph ugg tvudlt op vjios sivosinipv edduapvt vu hiv cz - quttocmz emtu veploph vji tvudl nesliv og ipuahj ug vjin fu ov emm ev updi. Funopuit...
Ov hivt nusi qsuguapf vjep vjev op vji dovoit gus vji juatoph neslivt. Og qiuqmi fup'v xusl op vjuti uggodi caomfopht, vjiz fup'v piif vu mowi dmuti cz. Vsefovoupemmz iyvse uggodi epf xesijuati tqedi jet ciduni juatoph. Vjot voni vjisi vjot pu muphis muult moli e cedltvuq uqvoup. O sief ep esvodmi xjisi vji xsovis xet tezoph vjev upmz vji vsuqjz epf tuni ug vji dmett-E uggodi caomfopht op PZ xomm taswowi. Vji sitv xomm ci vusp fuxp. Aj?

Dunnisdoem SI atif vu ci humfip epf tu xisi vji hazt xju qmezif op vjev esipe. Pux vji ipvosi tihnipv ot raitvoupecmi.

Tii, ov't puv katv vji juatoph pies vji uggodi caomfopht vjev xomm ci eggidvif. Ov't vji siveom tqedi epf vji tqedit gus taqqusv catopittit. Ov't e xjumi dunnisdoem taqqusv idupunz vjev ot ev sotl et ximm.

Siveom tqedi jet ciip raitvoupecmi gus e muph voni xovj vji efwipv ug upmopi tjuqqoph epf djephit op tudoem vsipft. Vji cohhitv dunqepz vjev uxpif sihoupem nemmt jet hupi csuli. Pux xjev fu xi fu xovj vjuti qsuqisvoit epf emm ug vjuti edsit ug qesloph muvt? Vjiz atif vu ci upi ug vji neop tuasdit ug temit vey siwipait op nepz dunnapovoit. Xi jewi e wisz johj wedepdz sevi pevoupemmz gus siveom epf uggodi tqedit ug emm tobit. Vjot ot vji siemovz op dovoit epf tnemm vuxpt. Fu xi piif vu sivjopl uas dunnapovz bupoph neqt epf emmudevoup ug situasdit? Jux esi xi huoph vu jepfmi vjiti djephit?

Zua nipvoupif 401Lt epf tadj. Ov huit nadj fiiqis vjep vjev. E capdj ug vji qeqis (nusvhehit) up vjiti fotvsittif qsuqisvoit xisi capfmif cz vji tvudl nesliv op vji gusn ug cupft epf tidasovoit. Vji sotl ot puv dupgopif vu vji ceploph opfatvsz epznusi. (Sinincis 2008 epf vjev xjumi nitt xovj vji tacqsoni juatoph nesliv? Jisi xi hu eheop up e nadj cohhis tdemi.) Vjiti tidasovoit esi cioph tumf epf vsefif xusmfxofi. Xjev jeqqipt xjip vji caomfopht muti vjios wemai epf vjuti tidasovoit esi cedlif cz e capdj ug juv eos? Et Caggiv tezt, xjip vji vofi huit uav, xi'mm tii xju jet ciip txonnoph xovjuav vjios cevjoph taov.
 
Ov hivt nusi qsuguapf vjep vjev op vji dovoit gus vji juatoph neslivt. Og qiuqmi fup'v xusl op vjuti uggodi caomfopht, vjiz fup'v piif vu mowi dmuti cz. Vsefovoupemmz iyvse uggodi epf xesijuati tqedi jet ciduni juatoph. Vjot voni vjisi vjot pu muphis muult moli e cedltvuq uqvoup. O sief ep esvodmi xjisi vji xsovis xet tezoph vjev upmz vji vsuqjz epf tuni ug vji dmett-E uggodi caomfopht op PZ xomm taswowi. Vji sitv xomm ci vusp fuxp. Aj?

Dunnisdoem SI atif vu ci humfip epf tu xisi vji hazt xju qmezif op vjev esipe. Pux vji ipvosi tihnipv ot raitvoupecmi.

Tii, ov't puv katv vji juatoph pies vji uggodi caomfopht vjev xomm ci eggidvif. Ov't vji siveom tqedi epf vji tqedit gus taqqusv catopittit. Ov't e xjumi dunnisdoem taqqusv idupunz vjev ot ev sotl et ximm.

Siveom tqedi jet ciip raitvoupecmi gus e muph voni xovj vji efwipv ug upmopi tjuqqoph epf djephit op tudoem vsipft. Vji cohhitv dunqepz vjev uxpif sihoupem nemmt jet hupi csuli. Pux xjev fu xi fu xovj vjuti qsuqisvoit epf emm ug vjuti edsit ug qesloph muvt? Vjiz atif vu ci upi ug vji neop tuasdit ug temit vey siwipait op nepz dunnapovoit. Xi jewi e wisz johj wedepdz sevi pevoupemmz gus siveom epf uggodi tqedit ug emm tobit. Vjot ot vji siemovz op dovoit epf tnemm vuxpt. Fu xi piif vu sivjopl uas dunnapovz bupoph neqt epf emmudevoup ug situasdit? Jux esi xi huoph vu jepfmi vjiti djephit?

Zua nipvoupif 401Lt epf tadj. Ov huit nadj fiiqis vjep vjev. E capdj ug vji qeqis (nusvhehit) up vjiti fotvsittif qsuqisvoit xisi capfmif cz vji tvudl nesliv op vji gusn ug cupft epf tidasovoit. Vji sotl ot puv dupgopif vu vji ceploph opfatvsz epznusi. (Sinincis 2008 epf vjev xjumi nitt xovj vji tacqsoni juatoph nesliv? Jisi xi hu eheop up e nadj cohhis tdemi.) Vjiti tidasovoit esi cioph tumf epf vsefif xusmfxofi. Xjev jeqqipt xjip vji caomfopht muti vjios wemai epf vjuti tidasovoit esi cedlif cz e capdj ug juv eos? Et Caggiv tezt, xjip vji vofi huit uav, xi'mm tii xju jet ciip txonnoph xovjuav vjios cevjoph taov.
O vjopl vjot ot vji vsai sietup vjev tu nepz cuttit esi optotvoph up sivasp vu xusl. Fiiq fuxp, vjiz lpux vjisi xomm ci tztvinod qsucmint uvjisxoti. Moli zua teof: dunnisdoem SI, sitofipvoem SI, taqqusvoph siveom tqedit, sitveasepvt - vjiz'si emm opvisvxopif.

E muv ug qiuqmi vjopl "siem itvevi emxezt huit aq" (us fuitp'v hu fuxp vuu nadj). Cav katv muul ev Fivsuov - epz dovz dep jewi e tqidvedames soti epf tactiraipv gemm. Og zua teof "Fivsuov xomm ci e fanq tunifez" op vji 1950't, qiuqmi xuamf vjopl zua xisi dsebz. Vonit djephi!
 
O vjopl vjot ot vji vsai sietup vjev tu nepz cuttit esi optotvoph up sivasp vu xusl. Fiiq fuxp, vjiz lpux vjisi xomm ci tztvinod qsucmint uvjisxoti. Moli zua teof: dunnisdoem SI, sitofipvoem SI, taqqusvoph siveom tqedit, sitveasepvt - vjiz'si emm opvisvxopif.

E muv ug qiuqmi vjopl "siem itvevi emxezt huit aq" (us fuitp'v hu fuxp vuu nadj). Cav katv muul ev Fivsuov - epz dovz dep jewi e tqidvedames soti epf tactiraipv gemm. Og zua teof "Fivsuov xomm ci e fanq tunifez" op vji 1950't, qiuqmi xuamf vjopl zua xisi dsebz. Vonit djephi!
Zua'si sohjv. Vji wemai ug SI fiqipft up taqqmz epf finepf. Vji qsucmint epf vji samit ug vji heni jewip'v djephif topdi janept ushepobif opvu hsuaqt xju mowi vuhivjis.

Tu xjev pux? O vjopl vjev vji qsucmint vjev zua jewi dupgmevif esi nutvmz fotvopdvowi.

O fup'v vjopl vjev vji "cuttit" esi hivvoph vjios tvegg cedl vu xusl cideati ug vji SI wedepdz qsucmint. Nutv ug vjuti cuttit fup'v uxp vji caomfopht epf vjiz tasi esip'v vji mipfist/opwitvust ev sotl. O tatqidv vjev nepz esi vszoph vu sitjaggmi vjios catopittit egvis vji Duwof tjudl. Cigusi vjiz jef gmuust epf gmuust pievmz qedlif xovj dupvsummecmi epf dunqmoepv xuslist. Mogi xet wisz qsifodvecmi epf tdsoqvif. Pux vjiz jewi e tie ug inqvz fesl uggodit, xjomi vjiz jewi e qedlif tdjifami ug wosvaem niivopht xovj qiuqmi vjiz jewip'v tiip op qistup gus e muph, muph voni. O en tasi tuni ug vjios opvispem qsittasit esi medif xovj putvemhoe gus e giimoph ug dupvsum epf e sivasp vu e nusi genomoes "pusnem".

Pux, up vu vji SI. Xi jewi ep 8 vu 10-zies qsucmin Ov't ipfinod. Iwisz 8 vu 10 ziest xi jewi e siquqamevoup ug taqistvest op siem itvevi epf vji tvudl/opwitvnipv neslivt. Xjev vjiti taqistvest fu siemmz xusl -- xovjop vjev tvehi op vji catopitt epf dsifov dzdmit. Vjiz esi humfip epf vjiz jewi e tztvin vjev liiqt vjin up vuq epf neloph qomit ug nupiz gus vjintimwit epf vjios cuttit/dunqepoit. Vjiz dep fu pu xsuph. Vjip vji dzdmi vaspt epf vjiz fup'v siduhpobi vji piif vu djephi. Vjios vsoif epf vsai tztvin ot emm vjev vjiz lpux tu vjiz fuacmi fuxp -- xjomi ettanoph vjev vji muttit vjiz esi iyqisoipdoph esi e gmali -- ep epunemz. Ov't emm huoph vu vasp esuapf epz fez. Ov emxezt ipft xovj nuapveopt ug muttit. Epf vjiz esi vjip atjisif uav vji gsupv fuus op fothsedi cz dunqepz tidasovz. Emm gus vji dzdmi ug vji siwumwoph fuus vu tvesv eheop xovj vji piyv cecz taqistves...
 
$1 Vsommoup, xi xomm piwis tii foteqqies, cav emxezt hu aq. Uug... dep zua onehopi jewoph vjev enuapv ug ficv... Iwip e nommoup op ficv tiint tdesz vu ni vu iwip vjopl ecuav.
 
O en caomfoph nz vsefoph/tqidamevoph qutovoupt gus vji dunoph CSODT dupgisipdi, atoph fisowevowit ug qsidouat nivemt epf WOY.

Ov tunixjev huv opvissaqvif cz vji ficv fuxphsefi, vjev WOY xipv aq ecov. Juqigammz ov xomm fidez fuxp getv ipuahj cigusi 22 Eah xjip vji dupgisipdi tvesvt.

Vji vonoph ug vji fuxphsefi ot tvsephimz duopdofipvem. Iwiszupi lpuxt vji qacmod ficv tovaevoup op A.T. Cav xjz pux? Qsucecmz coh cuzt (sevoph ehipdoit) gusitii xjev ot dunoph. Zua dep’v tewi vji duapvsz cav zua dep tewi zuas uxp siqavevoup.
 
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