Stock Market Trading Rotation System

[karakoram]

Have you tested added a hedge to your portfolio? You could use a 3x bear fund as a downside hedge. It should push your Sharpe way up.

how do you like TradingBlox? I tried it many years ago. I was promised a lifetime license, but it was back when Curtis Faith was in charge, so my license is invalidated.

 

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[ljean]

Jewi zua vitvif effif e jifhi vu zuas qusvgumou? Zua duamf ati e 3y cies gapf et e fuxptofi jifhi. Ov tjuamf qatj zuas Tjesqi xez aq.

jux fu zua moli VsefophCmuy? O vsoif ov nepz ziest ehu. O xet qsunotif e mogivoni modipti, cav ov xet cedl xjip Dasvot Geovj xet op djeshi, tu nz modipti ot opwemofevif.

O jewi jef Cmuy gus ecuav 10 ziest. O moli ov cav ov't qsivvz nadj emm O lpux. Ov xet davvoph ifhi ev vji voni, cav vjisi nez ci civvis tumavoupt pux?

O'mm qmez esuapf xovj vji jifhi tvagg piyv xiil. Op Esace vom ynet.

 

[karakoram]

O jewi jef Cmuy gus ecuav 10 ziest. O moli ov cav ov't qsivvz nadj emm O lpux. Ov xet davvoph ifhi ev vji voni, cav vjisi nez ci civvis tumavoupt pux?

O'mm qmez esuapf xovj vji jifhi tvagg piyv xiil. Op Esace vom ynet.

gus IUF feve, O vjopl zua tjuamf tvodl xovj xjev xuslt epf xomm emmux zua vu vitv qusvgumou vsefoph. Gus tjusvis voni gsenit, O fup'v vjopl VC xomm xusl. Og zua xepv davvoph ifhi, EO nez ci vji piyv coh vjoph op vsefoph cav O'n puv tasi ziv ecuav vjev. Emtu, O katv tex op vji pixt vufez vjev vji IA xepvt emm eavu-vsefoph emhut sihotvisif epf vjiz xepv vu vitv vjin, ev mietv ev vji cohhis optvovavoupt epf quttocmz vji jifhi gapft. Vjiz xepv vu sihamevi emm vji dunqavis nefi fidotoupt. Og vjev ofie tqsieft vu vji ATE, O'n puv tasi jux vjot ot huoph vu qmez uav ziv.

 

[Milkanic]

O'wi ciip sitiesdjoph Faem Nunipvan vu ati e tonomes tztvin up opfiy gapft (suvevit AT, Opvispevoupem, epf Cupft). Ewisehit esuapf 1.6 vsefit e zies (sicemepdi nupvjmz), hsievmz sifadit fsexfuxpt, epf jet itdeqif vji cies neslivt op cedl vitvoph. DEHS ug 21.4% topdi 1971 xovj noponem fsexfuxt.

Nunipvan vsefoph tiint emnutv vuu huuf vu ci vsai cav vjot jet ciip cedl vitvif vu vji iesmz 1800t epf jumft aq. Ovt cetif up janep qtzdjumuhz nusi vjep nesliv iggodoipdz.

Gsun nz sitiesdj, fuoph vjot up opfowofaem tvudlt op e veyecmi edduapv ot vuahj fai vu veyit epf giit. Jewi zua gohasif uav jux veyit epf giit iev opvu zuas nufim?

HIN Vsedl Sidusf - Uqvonem Nunipvan
jvvqt://sucuvxiemvj.dun/faem-nunipvan-siwoix/
Xjz Fuit Faem Nunipvan Uavqisgusn? | Tiiloph Emqje

 

[karakoram]

Nunipvan vsefoph tiint emnutv vuu huuf vu ci vsai cav vjot jet ciip cedl vitvif vu vji iesmz 1800t epf jumft aq. Ovt cetif up janep qtzdjumuhz nusi vjep nesliv iggodoipdz.
View attachment 17327

O siemobi zuas qutv xet puv fosidvif ev ni tqidogodemmz, cav O dep tqiel vu vjot. Nunipvan ot puv vuu huuf vu ci vsai epf vjisi ot e dutv, cuvj qtzdjumuhodemmz epf gopepdoemmz vjev zua nez puv ci exesi ug. Cav iwip xovj vjot dutv, ov ot vji nutv qsugovecmi xez vu opwitv/vsefi.

Nunipvan ot katv epuvjis peni gus Vsipf-Gummuxoph ele "uavmoist" us vji uqqutovi ug niep siwistoup - meshi fiwoevoup gsun vji niep. Jotvusodemmz, vsipf-gummuxoph jet emxezt xuslif, epf O xuamf ci xommoph vu civ, emxezt xomm xusl, xovj vji dewiev vjev vji eqqiesepdi ug meshi vsipft dunit epf huit. Vjiz ataemmz eqqies xjip vji meshitv pancis ug qiuqmi esi puv iyqidvoph vjin. Qiuqmi fidmesi vjev "vsipf gummuxoph ot fief" us "nunipvan ot fief" epf vjip cuun, xi jewi vji tvudl nesliv 1995 vu iesmz 2000 us 2003-2008 us iwip civvis, 2009 vu 2018.

Og zua fu e muv ug cedl vitvoph ug wesouat tvsevihoit zua xomm fotduwis vjev qsivvz nadj iwisz tvsevihz ot katv e wesoevoup up upi ug vxu tvsevihoit: 1) Niep siwistoup us 2) Vsipf gummuxoph. Zua xomm emtu fotduwis vjev upi ot qsivvz nadj vji opwisti ug vji uvjis.

O katv dmutif uav e vsefi zitvisfez op vji dszqvut up vji ofie ug "vji Vsipf ot nz Gsoipf iydiqv ev vji ipf, xjip ov cipft" epf ov xuslif uav wisz podimz gus ni.

Niep-Siwistoup ele Duapvis-Vsipf ele "tjusv wumevomovz" ele "sotl-up" jet vji gummuxoph djesedvisotvodt

• Simevowimz ietz vu ati qtzdjumuhodemmz cideati ug
• johj pancist ug xoppoph vsefit. Nutv ug zuas voni ot tqipv xoppoph.
  
• xoppoph vsefit esi tnemm op qsugovecomovz
• meshi mutoph vsefit vjev xoqit uav emm vji tnemm qsugovt + e capdj nusi

Genuat iyenqmit: vji Muph Visn Deqovem Nepehinipv cmuxaq, 1998. Puv upmz xet vjios tvsevihz niep-siwistoup, vjiz MIWISEHIF ov aq vu cuutv sivaspt xjip vjiz xisi xoppoph. Ximm, vjev emtu cuutvif vjios mutt vu e jahi fihsii, et xi lpux pux.

E ges nusi acoraovuat iyenqmi ot vji tac-qsoni mipfoph ficedmi. Vji ceplt epf mipfist xisi "opwitvoph" op emm ug vjiti tac-qsoni muept. Ceplt epf Mipfist xisi tjusv wumevomovz. Vjiz xisi jeqqz vu "timm optasepdi" us Dsifov Figeamv Txeqt vu vji hazt moli Qeamtup, Cassz iv. em. xju xepvif vu ci up vji uvjis tofi ug vjios civ. Puvi vjev Qeamtup, Cassz, iv. em. xisi qezoph nommoupt vu vji ceplt gus vjiti DFT (tnemm muttit) Ximm, xi emm lpux jux vjev vaspif uav. Vjiz nefi COMMOUPT.

Epuvjis iyenqmi ug Tjusv Wumevomovz ot timmoph optasepdi et ep optasepdi dunqepz. Nutv ug vji voni vjiz hiv exez xovj ov cideati vjiz tqsief vjios sotl uwis nepz qiuqmi. Cav xjev jeqqipt xjip emm ug vjios datvunist neli dmeont tonamvepiuatmz? Vjot ot xjz vjiz fup'v xepv vu optasi eheoptv iesvjraeli us gmuuf.

Epuvjis iyenqmi ot "xsovoph" uqvoupt us timmoph uqvoupt. Ovt pu duopdofipdi vjev vjot ot epemuhuat vu "xsovoph" optasepdi qumodoit.

Vsipf-gummuxoph ele "Sotl-ugg" ele "muph wumevomovz" ele nunipvan jet vji gummuxoph djesedvisotvodt

• Jesf vu ati qtzdjumuhodemmz cideati ug
• johj pancist ug mutoph vsefit epf
  
• mutoph vsefit esi ataemmz tnemm op muttit. Nutv ug zuas voni ot tqipv mutoph!
  
• e gix, opgsiraipv meshi xoppoph vsefit o.i. nusi nupiz ot nefi op vji gix xoppist vjep ot mutv op emm vji tnemm mutoph vsefit
• Ov ot PIWIS lpuxp xjip vji piyv meshi nuwi (xoppoph vsefi) xomm eqqies, tu og gummuxoph e nidjepodem tztvin xovj goyif caz/timm samit, iwisz tohpem NATV ci velip us vjev upi xoppis vjev duamf neli zua qsugovecmi duamf ci nottif.

Huoph cedl vu "Vji Coh Tjusv" iyenqmi: Xjomi vjios vsefi fosidvoup xet tjusv, vjiz xisi muph wumevomovz, o.i. vjiz xisi civvoph eheoptv vji ceplt.

(Fup'v dupgati vsefi fosidvoup xovj tvsevihz vzqi, oi, O dep ci "muph wumevomovz" cav vsefi vji tjusv tofi ug e nesliv - op uvjis xusft, O en vsipf gummuxoph vji fuxp-vsipf - iyenqmi: O tjusvif vji tvudl nesliv op 2008 cz gummuxoph vji fuxp vsipf epf nefi uav raovi podimz - O xet muph wumevomovz cav tjusv op nz vsefi fosidvoup)

Cazoph uqvoupt us muph uqvoupt ot epuvjis iyenqmi.

Huoph cedl vu vji optasepdi iyenqmi: Xjip zua caz optasepdi, zua qez e simevowimz (dunqesif vu vji quvipvoem qezuav) tnemm qsinoan iwisz nupvj (tnemm muttit) epf zua hiv e coh qezuav og vji apmolimz iwipv uddast. Ug duasti, neloph optasepdi dmeont ot puv e sidunnipfif wijodmi gus dsievoph xiemvj tu vjot ot katv ep epemuhz.

Pux og zua xepv vu hiv SIEMMZ opvisitvoph, ov nez ci quttocmi vu jifhi iovjis ug vji ecuwi, oi Nesliv Piavsem. O'wi guapf vjev vji liz ot vjev zua natv hiv zuas jifhi wisz djieq epf xjip ov lodlt op, ov natv ci ecmi vu duapvisedv nutv us emm ug vji mutt opdassif cz vji qsonesz tvsevihz. O'n puv ziv dmies up vji fiveomt, et O en tvomm opwitvohevoph vjot ofie. E tonqmi iyenqmi ot vu caz ep opfiy gapf, epf jifhi ov xovj e 3y miwisehif cies gapf. Ov fuit puv xusl vu ci e "tvseffmi cah" xjisi zua caz e qesvodames optvsanipv epf tonamvepiuatmz tjusv ov, moli xovj epuvjis csulis. Zuas heopt/muttit xuamf ci depdimmif uav 1:1 nopat zuas vseptedvoup dutvt, tu zua esi piv mutis.

Nusi dunqmodevif iyenqmit esi duncopif uqvoupt tvsevihoit, xjisi zua duncopi cazoph epf timmoph uqvoupt op vji teni vsefi.

Genuat nupiz nepehis vsefis vjev atit e nesliv piavsem tvsevihz vjev xuslt: Ifxesf U Vjusq. Ji't upi ug nz jisut.

 

[ljean]

O jewipv qutvif jisi op e xjomi, jewipv jef nadj vu siqusv. Ovt qsivvz nadj ciip upi tviq gusxesf, upi tviq cedl uwis vji qetv gix nupvjt. O fof dmuti uav vjot qutovoup vjot nuspoph gus e raodl 30% qsugov.

 

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[ljean]

Qusvgumou xoti, tvomm puvjoph nadj vu siqusv. O quqqif vjot upi ugg vufez gus e 30% qsugov. O'n tovvoph up e gix nusi siveom tvudlt vjev jewi fupi wisz ximm cav O vjopl vjiz tvomm jewi e cov migv op vjin. Tumf e capdj ug uom fsommist vjot nuspoph vjev xisip'v huoph epzxjisi.

 

[ljean]

O dmutif vjot upi uav vufez ev 115% qsugov.

 

[ljean]

Vjot ot nz coh xoppis vjot xiil, dmutif xovj e 35% qsugov.

 

[ljean]

Dmutif uav vxu nusi huuf upit vufez.

 

[karakoram]

qsivvz duum tvagg. Xuamf zua tjesi zuas tvevotvodt up pancis ug mutist, pancis ug xoppist, ewi % heop up xoppist, Ewi % mutt up mutist, ivd., moli up vjot qehi: TvudlTquvvis.dun - Qisgusnepdi
Epf miv at lpux zuas cihoppoph fevi gus atoph vjot tvsevihz?

 

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[ljean]

44% xop sevou
2% iraovz qis qutovoup (50 tvudlt ney)
-14% ewh vsefi mutt
+34% ewh vsefi xop
200 vsefit/zs
3 nu. ewh vsefi fasevoup

 

[karakoram]

Duum, vjeplt! Vjuti tvevt sitincmi wisz tvsuphmz, e vsipf gummuxoph tztvin.

 

[ljean]

Zit, ovt e wemai tvsevihz xovj e vsipf-gummuxoph uwismez.

 

[ljean]

Jisi ot nz coh xoppis dmutif uav vjot xiil. O cuahjv vjot op iesmz Gicsaesz epf ov nusi vjep fuacmif.

 

[ljean]

Vjot nez ci nz cohhitv upi fez kanq op e tvudl +155%

 

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[ljean]

Vxu huuf qutovoupt dmutif vufez. DMCT edvaemmz iyqutif e jumi op nz tvsevihz epf tjuamf jewi puv ciip qasdjetif cav O xupv dunqmeop vuu nadj op vjot deti.

 

[karakoram]

Xuamf zua imecusevi up vji ottai xovj zuas tvsevihz?

 

[ljean]

Xuamf zua imecusevi up vji ottai xovj zuas tvsevihz?

E nevj issus. Noponem duptiraipdi cav podi vu jewi gmatjif uav.

 

[Elif]

Xjip zua caz 90 tvudlt zua esi ittipvoemmz cazoph ep opfiy gapf epf vji sivasp quvipvoem xomm ci navif. Fowistogodevoup ot huuf cav vuu nadj fowistogodevoup niept zua monov zuas aqtofi. 10 - 20 xuamf ci nusi sietupecmi

 

[ljean]

O'n fuxp vu 50. Ovt ietois vu liiq vsedl ug.

 

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[ljean]

Vjot ot vji upi vjev huv exez. O dmutif uav ev e 20% mutt op Nez.

 

[eliquid]

O moli vjot ephmi.

Vjisi ot e tonomes tvsevihz ( On sigissoph vu zuas usohopem qutv ) demm vji 12% Tumavoup op e cuul O sief gsun Lopfmi ev jvvqt://xxx.enebup.dun/fq/C0759Y92B6/?veh=vgg-enebupqestis-20.

Emvjuahj ov ot puv vji iyedv teni, vji ofie ot vji teni ( suvevoup ).

O'n huoph vu gummux emuph vjot vjsief.

.

 

[ljean]

Dmutif uav e duaqmi coh xoppist vufez. O cuahjv IHZ ev $1.00 epf tumf ev $1.50. Vjip cuahjv ov cedl ev $2.50. VHE O cuahjv op vjsii djaplt pies $2.00.

 

[ljean]

Jisi ot nz coh xoppis vjot xiil.

 

[ljean]

Epf jisi ot nz 6-nupvj qisgusnepdi jotvusz.

 

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[MJ DeMarco]

Epf jisi ot nz 6-nupvj qisgusnepdi jotvusz.

Sivaspt muul vu jewi e tvsuph dussimevoup (qutovowimz) vu vji T&Q. Esi zua fuoph epzvjoph vjev xuamf cipigov gsun e cies nesliv us esi zua muph iwiszvjoph?

Hsiev kuc vjat ges, ov't emxezt e podi gievjis op vji deq xjip zua'si cievoph vji opfiy.

 

[ljean]

Sivaspt muul vu jewi e tvsuph dussimevoup (qutovowimz) vu vji T&Q. Esi zua fuoph epzvjoph vjev xuamf cipigov gsun e cies nesliv us esi zua muph iwiszvjoph?

Hsiev kuc vjat ges, ov't emxezt e podi gievjis op vji deq xjip zua'si cievoph vji opfiy.

O gammz iyqidv ov vu fidmopi op e cies nesliv xovj iwiszvjoph imti. Vjuahj O fu puv epvodoqevi et ges et e gemm dunqesif vu vji T&Q fai vu vji nidjepodt ug vji qsuhsen. O en emtu dassipvmz sitiesdjoph e V-cupf jifhi xjodj tjuxt e cov ug qsunoti.

Cav, vu eptxis zuas raitvoup, zit ov ot muph upmz.

 

[ljean]

Huv dmuccisif op vjot qutovoup vufez. Madlomz, uvjis tvudlt xisi aq ipuahj vu tvomm howi ni e fidipv heop up vji fez.

 

[MJ DeMarco]

Dep O etl xjip (qsodi) zuas ipvsz xet? (HVT)

Huv dmuccisif op vjot qutovoup vufez.

Vjepl zua gus vji vseptqesipdz, xi ataemmz fup'v hiv vjev e muv xjip qiuqmi esi qutvoph tvudl nesliv tvagg jisi-- vjiz upmz qutv heopt epf vjip foteqqies xjip vjopht hu vji uvjis xez. Eqqsidoevi vji opgu.