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The Cockroach Fable*
My mother in law mentioned casually the other day that she saw a cockroach run across her kitchen floor.
"I hate cockroaches. But it was just one."
Then I found out that she had called in an exterminator, not just to spray around the perimeter, but to tent her entire house.
I thought, "That's a little weird. Seems like an overreaction."
My mother-in-law justified it by saying that she had seen more cockroaches. She upped the cockroach count to 5.
Then I learned that a day or two later, all the other neighbors on her street also had to have an exterminator tent their houses.
But my mother-in-law insisted that no more than 10 cockroaches had been seen in the entire neighborhood.
By the next week, 7 city blocks of houses were all hiring exterminators and tenting their houses. Photos were being leaked on social media (and then quickly deleted) of swarms and swarms of an unknown, bedbug-like vermin, and lots of people itching a very nasty rash.
I thought, "That's kind of creepy. This is some kind of super insect that's spreading like crazy."
But my mother-in-law (and all the official channels) were all adamant that the fuss was over less than 100 cockroaches total. "Nothing to see here, folks! Move along!"
Moral of the story: Watch what China DOES, not what they SAY.
Right now, there's a massive mismatch. We don't do this for the flu:
(B) When we are seeing draconian measures employed to lock down 700+ million people, this is not the flu. It's not anything like the flu. This is even MORE prominent considering that China does not care if people die. If there were just 2,000+ victims, or even 10,000+ victims in Wuhan, China would just be like #shrug. If their officials are terrified, we should take this much more seriously than the media is leading us to think.
(C) Regarding ammo, if it gets to the point where people are starving, those without food will start raiding homes one by one to find the preppers and hoarders. Just like the hospitals get overloaded, the police forces will become overloaded. You will not be protected by calling 911.
Watch the situation with agriculture in a month or two. Planting season is coming right when this virus may be peaking. If fields don't get planted due to quarantine or shortage of workers, then there are going to be food shortages down the road. The world probably has food supply until this fall, when harvest would normally take place. If we don't have a normal sized harvest, then the food situation could get really dire in 2021.
Thoughts on masks...
I agree about the masks, unless you have N95 ones, which are still not 100% effective.
It's really sad to me to see all this footage of Chinese doctors and nurses in full Hazmat suits and then... surgical masks. It's like, guys, why bother with the whole get-up if you're going to ruin it with a useless mask over your most vulnerable location? Obviously they're short on supplies, but a lot of doctors and nurses are going to continue to get infected this way.
Trackers:
Here are some other good ones:
nucleuswealth.com
www.worldometers.info
=============
*Regarding the fable: This is only a fable. There are no actual neighborhoods tenting houses. I do not even have a mother-in-law. This is only a creative story written to illustrate a point.
My mother in law mentioned casually the other day that she saw a cockroach run across her kitchen floor.
"I hate cockroaches. But it was just one."
Then I found out that she had called in an exterminator, not just to spray around the perimeter, but to tent her entire house.
I thought, "That's a little weird. Seems like an overreaction."
My mother-in-law justified it by saying that she had seen more cockroaches. She upped the cockroach count to 5.
Then I learned that a day or two later, all the other neighbors on her street also had to have an exterminator tent their houses.
But my mother-in-law insisted that no more than 10 cockroaches had been seen in the entire neighborhood.
By the next week, 7 city blocks of houses were all hiring exterminators and tenting their houses. Photos were being leaked on social media (and then quickly deleted) of swarms and swarms of an unknown, bedbug-like vermin, and lots of people itching a very nasty rash.
I thought, "That's kind of creepy. This is some kind of super insect that's spreading like crazy."
But my mother-in-law (and all the official channels) were all adamant that the fuss was over less than 100 cockroaches total. "Nothing to see here, folks! Move along!"
Moral of the story: Watch what China DOES, not what they SAY.
Right now, there's a massive mismatch. We don't do this for the flu:
Why? We're watching their actions, not their words.
To me, it's a rational way of thinking. (A) The elected officials have an interest in keeping people from panicking. It seems obvious that they have strong economic motivation to keep the facts OUT of the public eye this time. This is the exact reverse of the way the media handles things most of the time. "The weather! We're all gonna die!" They usually inflate and distort the actual size of the problem. "Snow" becomes a "Bomb Cyclone." They cry wolf to distract attention.
(B) When we are seeing draconian measures employed to lock down 700+ million people, this is not the flu. It's not anything like the flu. This is even MORE prominent considering that China does not care if people die. If there were just 2,000+ victims, or even 10,000+ victims in Wuhan, China would just be like #shrug. If their officials are terrified, we should take this much more seriously than the media is leading us to think.
(C) Regarding ammo, if it gets to the point where people are starving, those without food will start raiding homes one by one to find the preppers and hoarders. Just like the hospitals get overloaded, the police forces will become overloaded. You will not be protected by calling 911.
Watch the situation with agriculture in a month or two. Planting season is coming right when this virus may be peaking. If fields don't get planted due to quarantine or shortage of workers, then there are going to be food shortages down the road. The world probably has food supply until this fall, when harvest would normally take place. If we don't have a normal sized harvest, then the food situation could get really dire in 2021.
Thoughts on masks...
I agree about the masks, unless you have N95 ones, which are still not 100% effective.
It's really sad to me to see all this footage of Chinese doctors and nurses in full Hazmat suits and then... surgical masks. It's like, guys, why bother with the whole get-up if you're going to ruin it with a useless mask over your most vulnerable location? Obviously they're short on supplies, but a lot of doctors and nurses are going to continue to get infected this way.
Trackers:
Anyone know what happened to the John Hopkins virus tracker? It no longer works for me.
Asks for login. As if the public can no longer have access to the data.
Here are some other good ones:
Updated COVID-19 (Coronavirus) statistics and analysis | Nucleus Wealth
C0VlD-19 (Coronavirus) statistics & analysis focusing on how countries are coping with Coronavirus outbreaks, including numbers of cases, deaths & testing
nucleuswealth.com
Coronavirus Update (Live): 134,528,282 Cases and 2,915,012 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the C0VlD-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...
www.worldometers.info
=============
*Regarding the fable: This is only a fable. There are no actual neighborhoods tenting houses. I do not even have a mother-in-law. This is only a creative story written to illustrate a point.
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