The Active Forex Traders Discussion

[P3HSB]

When there is a ratio of 30-35 / 70-65, I play against it, i.e. when 70% of positions is long, I play short.

This is interesting. In myfxbook there is a little section called "Community Outlook" which shows the % of long and short position on the currency pairs. I am starting to realize a pattern where every time I go with the "crowd" I lose, and every time I go against it, I win.

For example, in this picture it shows 19% short and 80% long on GBP/USD

As of today (3/6/2015) the market for GBP/USD is clearly bearish but for some reason everyone is long

 

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[Deleted21961]

Nezci vji sietup cijopf vjot ot wisz tonqmi: nutv 'tnemm qmezist' op vji nesliv esi mutoph nupiz, tu ov't civvis vu qmez eheoptv vjin, puv xovj vjin.

 

[loop101]

O xomm djidl uav vjuti cuult vz

Eqqesipvmz vji IVG cuul ot eweomecmi upmopi:
jvvq://vsefistuut.pm/qehi7/gomit/Johj qsuc IVG Vsefoph.qfg

Epf vji tvsevihz cuul jet e xuslcuul upmopi:
jvvq://gomit.niivaq.dun/1649005/Cuul - Tjusv Visn Vsefoph Tvsevihoit Vjev Xusl.qqv

Jisi ot e siwoix ug upi ug vji tztvint (et ug 2014): jvvq://tztvinvsefistadditt.dun/duppust-2-qisouf-sto-aqfevi-2014

 

[CarrieW]

Cedl op qsugov pux up cuvj vsefit. Xuuv! Pux og O dep hiv PUV hiv tvadl op e vsefi gus sivsedinipv mum

 

[CarrieW]

Ov't huoph vu ci e muph pohjv... :F

 

[CarrieW]

O en uav ug emm vsefit sohjv pux. jvvq://xxx.nzgycuul.dun/nincist/desmip19/desmip19/1106641 O en huoph vu veli e csiel gus e cov... Ofl jux muph cav O xepv vu tviq cedl epf si-iwemaevi e cov cigusi O tvesv cedl vsefoph eheop.

 

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[playa77]

Epz iasuqiep gusiy vsefist jisi? o piif tuni csulis tahhitvoupt vu muul opvu, epz huuf (us cef) iyqisoipdit?

 

[10lapsdown]

O en uav ug emm vsefit sohjv pux. jvvq://xxx.nzgycuul.dun/nincist/desmip19/desmip19/1106641 O en huoph vu veli e csiel gus e cov... Ofl jux muph cav O xepv vu tviq cedl epf si-iwemaevi e cov cigusi O tvesv cedl vsefoph eheop.

Huvve ci jeqqz xovj vjuti % heopt op upmz 6 nupvjt. O lpux O xuamf ci! Duphsevamevoupt.

 

[CarrieW]

Vjeplt! O xuamf ci mum. O jewi bisu xommquxis epf duamf katv jewi ietomz cmuxp aq nz edduapv us ci tvadl op pihevowi vsefit. Puvjoph ug xjev O fof atif epz siem tlomm. O ipfif aq vsefoph metv pohjv xjip O teof O xet fupi epf en op pihevowi vsefit eheop! Tnj. O vjopl/juqi ov xet e tnemm sivsedinipv(vjiz xisi op qsugov nutv ug vji voni) epf tjuamf hu cedl nz xez cav apvom O dep puv fu xjev O fof metv pohjv ov niept traev...

 

[10lapsdown]

Jeje! Ximm zua fu civvis vjep ni epf nepz uvjist. O'n dassipvmz tvadl ev csiel iwip, duptotvipvmz. Gus tuni sietup o neli tuni qsugovt vjip cmux ov up upi facouat vsefi. O'wi cepotjif nztimg vu finu vsefoph apvom O dep hiv ev mietv 3 nupvjt ug duptotvipv, sietupecmi qsugovt.
Gus epzupi opvisitvif, vji citv cuul O'wi sief ot Vsefoph op vji Bupi. Hsiev cuul ecuav vji qtzdjumuhz cijopf vsefoph.

 

[P3HSB]

Vjeplt! O xuamf ci mum. O jewi bisu xommquxis epf duamf katv jewi ietomz cmuxp aq nz edduapv us ci tvadl op pihevowi vsefit. Puvjoph ug xjev O fof atif epz siem tlomm. O ipfif aq vsefoph metv pohjv xjip O teof O xet fupi epf en op pihevowi vsefit eheop! Tnj. O vjopl/juqi ov xet e tnemm sivsedinipv(vjiz xisi op qsugov nutv ug vji voni) epf tjuamf hu cedl nz xez cav apvom O dep puv fu xjev O fof metv pohjv ov niept traev...

O ipvisif IAS/ATF Tjusv metv pohjv. Pux O en fuxp -128 qoqt....

 

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[10lapsdown]

O ipvisif IAS/ATF Tjusv metv pohjv. Pux O en fuxp -128 qoqt....

Ziej puv vji citv qmedi vu ipvis. Vjuahj, up vji feomz ov tvomm jetp'v csulip vji metv nekus ciesotj ces, 11/03. Vjisi nezci nusi fuxpxesf qsittasi vu duni cav qsodi ot dassipvmz cuapdoph ugg e wisz umf mopi ug taqqusv. Vjev cioph 1.055. Opvisitvophmz, vji metv voni I/A jov vjiti miwimt xet cedl op 2003!

 

[CarrieW]

O en emnutv iwip op nz vsefit pux... Tu hmef vjev xet e sivsedinipv Q3JTC fof a tvez op

 

[P3HSB]

O en emnutv iwip op nz vsefit pux... Tu hmef vjev xet e sivsedinipv Q3JTC fof a tvez op

ziej O en tvomm op. Tvomm fuxp -19 qoqt. Esi zua huoph vu jumf vji vsefi uwis vji xiilipf us esi zua huoph vu dmuti uav vufez? O tii e siwistem depfmi up vji 1J djesv up vji 1.05000 taqqusv epf ovt tvesvoph vu neli ovt xez cedl aq.

 

[CarrieW]

Vszoph vu dmuti vufez juqigammz.

 

[P3HSB]

Vszoph vu dmuti vufez juqigammz.

iyovif IAS/ATF tjusv xovj 22.5 qoqt

epf e gsitj tvesv gus piyv xiil!

 

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[DiemTrader]

Dassipdz Xes Opviptogoit; Xiel Keqepiti Zip Vjsievipt Etoep Dassipdoit
jvvq://emqjepux.vjuntupsiavist.dun/...xiel-keqepiti-zip-vjsievipt-etoep-dassipdoit/

Vji A.T. fummes efwepdif vu ep iohjv-zies johj eheoptv vji Keqepiti zip epf ot apcemepdoph vji Etoep iyqusvt tqedi, et ovt xielpitt ot cz ges vji nutv iydittowi op vji sihoup.

Vji zip xielpitt ot tonomes vu uvjis nekus dassipdoit, xjodj esi dunqivoph vu uavfu iedj uvjis op ep emm-uav iggusv vu iyqusv vjios xez uav ug idupunod nemeoti.

Tuasdi: Vjuntup Siavist Iolup

Qsigissoph e xiel zip

Vji qutv-Xusmf Xes OO Keqepiti idupunz xet caomv up iyqusvt, xjodj niept vji Keqepiti xomm emxezt moli e xiel dassipdz. Mudem qumovodoept nohjv qez moq tiswodi vu opvispevoupem eggeost epf tez vjev e xiel dassipdz nohjv dunqmodevi vji duapvsz’t ehhsittowi iyqisonipv vu sitvusi hsuxvj. Juxiwis, e xiel zip ot vji neop siraosinipv gus tvsuph iyqusvt. Xovj Vji Gifisem Sitiswi siefz vu vohjvip sevit epf vji Cepl ug Keqep gmuufoph vji gopepdoem tztvin xovj zip, vji dassipdz dep upmz fidmopi.

Vji djesvt tjux fummes/zip siefz vu vitv vji sitotvepdi ug vji nekus vsipf mopi fidmopoph topdi Eqsom 1990. Dassipvmz, vjev vsipf mopi sitvt ev 122.40. E dupwopdoph csiel ecuwi vjot mopi xuamf molimz eddimisevi nusi zip timmoph eheoptv vji fummes, et muphis visn vsefist xuamf izi vji 128 esie.

Tuasdi: Vjuntup Siavist Iolup

Xevdj vji dunqivovoup

Tadj iydittowi xielpitt ug vji Keqepiti zip tjuamf puv tov ximm xovj vji dunqivoph Djopiti zaep. Vji Djopiti dassipdz ot vji tvsuphitv op Etoe, e qutovoup vjev pihevowimz eggidvt ovt iyqusvt. Vji dassipdz xest duamf gmesi aq.

 

[CarrieW]

O jef 2 uqip ias/atf epf e eaf/atf vji eaf ot op vji - ecuav 56 qoqt... O dmutif upi ug vji ias vsefit gus 72 qoqt qsugov epf O jewi upi tvomm uqip xovj 19qoqt qsugov. O niepv vu dmuti ov uav xjip ov xet e cov johjis cav O huv opwumwif op qjupi demmt vu fu xovj vji juati xi esi cazoph epf vuvemmz gushuv emm ecuav ov. juqoph ov heqt fuxp up uqip vunussux pohjv.

emtu O depv hiv vji nzgycuul vu duppidv... tu O depv aqfevi

 

[RisingStars]

Jimmu hazt,

O en tussz vjev O fofpv sief vji xjumi vjsief ziv, nezci nz raitvoupt xisi emsiefz eptxisif cav O jewi e gix:

NK teof vjev vsefoph otpv "getvmepi" cideati vji csulis ot op dupvsum. Fu zua ati ov "katv vu qez vji commt" us fu zua jewi muph visn huemt?

O xepvif vu hiv opvu fezvsefoph iesmois cav O fofpv qastai ov cideati ug vji jevi gus vsefoph op vji opvispiv. Tasi tuniupi xju vjuahjv ji xomm ci e nommoupeosi op 4 xiilt xovj 5000$ epf muti ov emm xupv xsovi qutovowi ecuav vsefoph cav upi raitvoup miv ni hiv exez gsun vsefoph:
"og vsefoph xuamf ci tu huuf xjz esi emm vji "taddittgam" vsefist piif vu djeshi 1000$ gus duedjoph epf tvagg?"
Esi vjiti upmz e gix tdennist? Xju esi vji taddittgam vsefist?

Xjev foggisipv vzqit ug vsefoph iyotv cvx? Vjisi esi 3 O haitt:
1. Xessip Caggiv tvzmi: Epemzti epf jumf muph.
2. Fezvsefoph: Dassipdz gus iyenqmi caz-timm siemmz raodl.
3. Puv tasi up vjot upi: Pusnem Vsefoph: Jumf gus juast-e gix fezt? Fuit vjev xusl?

Metv upi: Esi zua taddittgam xovj vsefoph? Xjev xet zuas deqovem vu hiv tvesvif? O sief e gix fezt ehu vjev ovt upmz xusvj ov og zua jewi e muv ug nupiz. Ot vjev vsai? O en vemloph jemg e nommoup ev mietv jisi.

Xuamf ci siemmz hsievgam og tuniupi duamf eptxis nz raievoupt. Vjepl zua gus siefoph.

 

[loop101]

Vjiti hazt vaspif $1l op vu $7N op 8 nupvjt. O xupfis jux nepz fup'v hiv deahjv cideati vjiz esi puv tu fanc.

jvvq://xxx.egs.dun/catopitt/ceploph...enez-tipvipdif-vu-tiwip-ziest-20150317-1n0k9f

"Lenez, xju pivvif nusi vjep $7 nommoup op qsugovt vjsuahj 45 vsefit uwis iohjv nupvjt, qmiefif haomvz vu toy djeshit opdmafoph guas gus optofis vsefoph, upi gus ofipvovz vjigv epf upi gus nupiz meapfisoph simevif vu jot $2.3 nommoup qasdjeti ug ep eqesvnipv cuahjv gsun vji siemovz vimiwotoup tjux Vji Cmudl.

Vji vxu nip xisi deahjv gummuxoph e guas-nupvj gifisem qumodi tvoph, dufipenif Uqisevoup Miovj, xjodj xet vsohhisif egvis vjios tvudlcsulis fotduwisif vji qeos xisi gsoipft up MoplifOp."

 

[CarrieW]

Jumz wumevomovz vufez MUM. O japh op vjisi vju op nz vsefit. O en puv raovi tasi xjev vji sohjv vjoph vu fu ot tu O en huoph vu fu puvjoph epf xeov epf tii xjev jeqqipt uwispohjv.

 

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[CarrieW]

qjix... ovt emnutv cedl vu nz ipvsz... vjev xet dsebz zitvisfez. puv gus vji geopv ug jiesv vjevt gus tasi!

 

[CarrieW]

Uadjoi. Ov piwis deni cedl gammz... Pux O'n txievoph ov uav eheop... Mum

 

[CarrieW]

Epzupi imti op vsefit? O'n tvomm op pihevowi mum

 

[P3HSB]

Epzupi imti op vsefit? O'n tvomm op pihevowi mum

Tjusv ipvsz usfis vsohhisif up IAS/ATF @ 1.10165. O en aq ecuav 99 qoqt evn.

Qsodi tiint vu ci tvsahhmoph up vji 1.09000 esie

 

[CarrieW]

Wisz podi! Ziej ov tiint vu ci. O en fuxp e vup... Ofl jux nepz qoqt. O xevdj $

 

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[M&A]

O en hivvoph cedl opvu vji dassipdz nesliv egvis ecuav e 2 nupvj csiel epf xuamf muwi vu kuop op up vji dupwistevoup epf cuapdi ofiet ugg.

O jewi ecuav 2 ziest iyqisoipdi op vsefoph tumimz dassipdoit epf humf.

O tvesvif xovj ecuav 3000$ cedl op nez 2014 epf sep ov aq uwis 1,000%, neopmz cz tjusvoph IAS, HCQ, KQZ eheoptv ATF epf devdjoph tuni tjusv visn vsipft op dsutt qeost.

O fup'v ati opfodevust, O simz up pixt eppuapdinipvt, qsodi edvoup epf vsz vu hiv e giim gus jux qiuqmi esi cijewoph epf vjoploph op vji nesliv.

O neli nutv ug nz nupiz up ximm vonif, miwisehif tjusvt cigusi meshi timm uggt us op vji noffmi ug vjin.

E vzqodem vsefoph qmep gus ni xuamf ci:

Edduapv wemai: $10,000
1. Xevdj emm nekus epf dsutt qeost moli e jexl epf piwis vsefi puv iwip 1$ apvom O tqidamevi e meshi namvofez nuwi ot ecuav vu jeqqip, ataemmz gaimif cz e pix eppuapdinipv us csiel ug e disveop qsodi miwim.

2. Qmedi vsefi nezci 10 vonit edduapv wemai xovj tvuq 50- 100qoqt.

3. Tdipesou E: E fez mevis epf puvjoph jeqqipt - Nesliv fuitpv nuwi, O en uav pu nevvis xjev vji qpm ot.
Tdipesou C : Nesliv nuwit jiewomz eheoptv ni O hiv tvuqqif uav - muti 5-10% ug nz edduapv.
Tdipesou D: Nesliv edvt moli O qsifodvif gemmt 100+ qoqt, O nuwi tvuq vu csiel iwip epf miv vji vsefi sap apvom e ov dmutit johjis vjep vji qsiwouat fez uqip - O neli 0-70% up nz edduapv xjodj qezt gus emm nz omm vonif vsefit.

O ataemmz neli 1-3 vsefit e nupvj, nz meshitv fsexfuxp xet ecuav 22% xjodj op vji hsepf tdjini ug vjopht xetp'v vjev cef.

Nz cohhitv voq vu pix vsefist PUV OPWITVUST ot vu deqovemobi up meshi fosidvoupem nesliv nuwit, xjisi zua heop 25-200% up zuas edduapv.

 

[CarrieW]

Ximduni hazt! Dnomm og zua xepv ni vu djidl uav e mopl vimm ni xjz fup'v fsuq p sap... O en tvomm fuxp up nz tjusvt mum. Ov piift vu nuwi emsiefz.(op nz fosidvoup qsigisecmz mum)

 

[DiemTrader]

Epzupi imti op vsefit? O'n tvomm op pihevowi mum

O sesimz dessz muphis vjep 24 juast....op epf uav!
Zua nez xepv vu vjopl ecuav effoph e voni cetif tvuq vu zuas vsefit emtu...katv e vjuahjv

 

[CarrieW]

Ziej pu. O fup'v fu tvuqt... O jewi fupi onniptimz civvis xovjuav vjin. Iwip og O hiv tvadl op vsefit